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The Gold Symposium Keynote Presentation 14 & 15 November 2011 Luna Park

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Egon von greyerz
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DEUS EX MACHINA

Leo Lein

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THREE KINDS OF MONEY

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WHO IS THE MOST PRODUCTIVE?

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THE DARK AGES BEGIN

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100 YEARS OF PAPER

MONEY COLLAPSE

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DEBT EXPLOSION

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THE DESTRUCTION OF PAPER MONEY

Ounces of gold bought for $ 1,000

Investment Year Ounces Gold

Price

%

change

$1,000 1911 50 $ 20 -99%

$1,000 1971 28 $ 35 -98%

$1,000 1999 4 $ 250 -86%

$1,000 2002 3 $ 300 -83%

$1,000 2011 0.5

$1,800 -

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A STEALTH MARKET

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GOLD in AUD

GOLD IN AUD IS UP

4.5 X SINCE 1999

CAGR 13%

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ASX vs GOLD in AUD

ASX vs GOLD

DOWN 70% SINCE

PEAK IN 2007

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AUSTRALIAN HOUSE

PRICE COLLAPSE

1968-1979

Down 90%

2005-2010

Down 40%

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BENEFITS SUPERVISOR

SLEEPING by LUCIAN FREUD

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EU’s MILK COW SLEEPING

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GOVERNMENT DEBT WILL NEVER BE REPAID

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DEBTS THAT WILL NEVER

BE REPAID • Government, state, city, municipality debts

• Central bank debts

• Housing loans, personal loans, car loans

• Credit cards, student loans

• Commercial mortgages

• Toxic bank debt

• Derivatives

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LOSE - LOSE

• Deflation or Inflation – Austerity or QE

• Deflation – collapse of the financial system

• No bank will survive with deflation

• Money printing – QE

• Currency weakens

• Creates hyperinflation

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HYPERINFLATION

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CONSEQUENCES • Government deficits explode

• All currencies fall

• Interest rates surge

• Unemployment surges

• Assets financed by credit bubble fall

• Exchange controls

• Financial system will fail

• Social structures break down

• Wars

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GOLD STORAGE

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Matterhorn Asset Management

• Wealth preservation experts, Zurich

• GoldSwitzerland

– Specialises in physical Gold and Silver bullion

– Stored outside the banking system

– Gold/Silver bars owned directly by investor

– Personal access to metals

– Ultimate form of wealth preservation

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THIS IS NOT WEALTH

PROTECTION

• Gold / Silver ETFs in banking system

• Unallocated or allocated Gold/Silver in bank

• COMEX Gold

• Futures Gold

• Bank safe deposit box

• Storing gold at home

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TOO LATE TO JUMP ON THE

GOLDWAGON?

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GOLD TARGETS

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WEIMAR GOLD

From DM 100 to DM 100 trillion

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THE FINAL COLLAPSE

“THERE IS NO MEANS OF AVOIDING THE

FINAL COLLAPSE OF A BOOM BROUGHT

ABOUT BY CREDIT EXPANSION. THE

ALTERNATIVE IS ONLY WHETHER THE CRISIS

SHOULD COME SOONER AS A RESULT OF A

VOLUNTARY ABANDONMENT OF FURTHER

CREDIT EXPANSION, OR LATER AS A FINAL

OR TOTAL CATASTROPHE OF THE CURRENCY

SYSTEM INVOLVED”

Ludwig von Mises

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