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EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting May 20-21, 2003

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EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting. May 20-21, 2003. Cautionary Statements And Risk Factors That May Affect Future Results. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

EEI Annual Finance Committee MeetingMay 20-21, 2003

Page 2: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

2

Cautionary Statements And Risk Factors That May Affect Future Results

In connection with the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (Reform Act), FPL Group, Inc. (FPL Group) and Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) are hereby filing cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause FPL Group's or FPL's actual results to differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements (as such term is defined in the Reform Act) made by or on behalf of FPL Group and FPL in this presentation, in SEC filings, in press releases, in response to questions or otherwise. Any statements that express, or involve discussions as to expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, through the use of words or phrases such as will likely result, are expected to, will continue, is anticipated, estimated, projection, target, outlook) are not statements of historical facts and may be forward-looking. Forward-looking statements involve estimates, assumptions and uncertainties. Accordingly, any such statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to, and are accompanied by, the following important factors (in addition to any assumptions and other factors referred to specifically in connection with such forward-looking statements) that could cause FPL Group's or FPL's actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of FPL Group and FPL.

Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and FPL Group and FPL undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. New factors emerge from time to time and it is not possible for management to predict all of such factors, nor can it assess the impact of each such factor on the business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement.

The following are some important factors that could have a significant impact on FPL Group's and FPL's operations and financial results, and could cause FPL Group's and FPL's actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements:

FPL Group and FPL are subject to changes in laws or regulations, including the Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of 1978, as amended (PURPA), and the Public Utility Holding Company Act of 1935, as amended (Holding Company Act), changing governmental policies and regulatory actions, including those of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), the Florida Public Service Commission (FPSC) and the utility commissions of other states in which FPL Group has operations, and the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), with respect to, among other things, allowed rates of return, industry and rate structure, operation of nuclear power facilities, operation and construction of plant facilities, operation and construction of transmission facilities, acquisition, disposal, depreciation and amortization of assets and facilities, recovery of fuel and purchased power costs, decommissioning costs, return on common equity and equity ratio limits, and present or prospective wholesale and retail competition (including but not limited to retail wheeling and transmission costs). The FPSC has the authority to disallow recovery of costs that it considers excessive or imprudently incurred.

The regulatory process generally restricts FPL's ability to grow earnings and does not provide any assurance as to achievement of earnings levels.

FPL Group and FPL are subject to extensive federal, state and local environmental statutes, rules and regulations relating to air quality, water quality, waste management, natural resources and health and safety that could, among other things, restrict or limit the use of certain fuels required for the production of electricity. There are significant capital, operating and other costs associated with compliance with these environmental statutes, rules and regulations, and those costs could be even more significant in the future.

Page 3: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

3

FPL Group and FPL operate in a changing market environment influenced by various legislative and regulatory initiatives regarding deregulation, regulation or restructuring of the energy industry, including deregulation of the production and sale of electricity. FPL Group and its subsidiaries will need to adapt to these changes and may face increasing competitive pressure.

The operation of power generation facilities involves many risks, including start up risks, breakdown or failure of equipment, transmission lines or pipelines, the dependence on a specific fuel source or the impact of unusual or adverse weather conditions (including natural disasters such as hurricanes), as well as the risk of performance below expected levels of output or efficiency. This could result in lost revenues and/or increased expenses. Insurance, warranties or performance guarantees may not cover any or all of the lost revenues or increased expenses, including the cost of replacement power. In addition to these risks, FPL Group's and FPL's nuclear units face certain risks that are unique to the nuclear industry including additional regulatory actions up to and including shutdown of the units stemming from public safety concerns, whether at FPL Group's and FPL's plants, or at the plants of other nuclear operators. Breakdown or failure of an FPL Energy, LLC (FPL Energy) operating facility may prevent the facility from performing under applicable power sales agreements which, in certain situations, could result in termination of the agreement or incurring a liability for liquidated damages.

FPL Group's and FPL's ability to successfully and timely complete their power generation facilities currently under construction, those projects yet to begin construction or capital improvements to existing facilities is contingent upon many variables and subject to substantial risks. Should any such efforts be unsuccessful, FPL Group and FPL could be subject to additional costs, termination payments under committed contracts and/or the write-off of their investment in the project or improvement.

FPL Group and FPL use derivative instruments, such as swaps, options, futures and forwards to manage their commodity and financial market risks, and to a lesser extent, engage in limited trading activities. FPL Group could recognize financial losses as a result of volatility in the market values of these contracts, or if a counterparty fails to perform. In addition, FPL's use of such instruments could be subject to prudency challenges by the FPSC and if found imprudent, cost disallowance.

There are other risks associated with FPL Group's non-rate regulated businesses, particularly FPL Energy. In addition to risks discussed elsewhere, risk factors specifically affecting FPL Energy's success in competitive wholesale markets include the ability to efficiently develop and operate generating assets, the price and supply of fuel, transmission constraints, competition from new sources of generation, excess generation capacity and demand for power. There can be significant volatility in market prices for fuel and electricity, and there are other financial, counterparty and market risks that are beyond the control of FPL Energy. FPL Energy's inability or failure to effectively hedge its assets or positions against changes in commodity prices, interest rates, counterparty credit risk or other risk measures could significantly impair its future financial results. In keeping with industry trends, a portion of FPL Energy's power generation facilities operate wholly or partially without long-term power purchase agreements. As a result, power from these facilities is sold on the spot market or on a short-term contractual basis, which may affect the volatility of FPL Group's financial results. In addition, FPL Energy's business depends upon transmission facilities owned and operated by others; if transmission is disrupted or capacity is inadequate or unavailable FPL Energy's ability to sell and deliver its wholesale power may be limited.

FPL Group is likely to encounter significant competition for acquisition opportunities that may become available as a result of the consolidation of the power industry. In addition, FPL Group may be unable to identify attractive acquisition opportunities at favorable prices and to successfully and timely complete and integrate them.

Page 4: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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FPL Group and FPL rely on access to capital markets as a significant source of liquidity for capital requirements not satisfied by operating cash flows. The inability of FPL Group and FPL to maintain their current credit ratings could affect their ability to raise capital on favorable terms, particularly during times of uncertainty in the capital markets which, in turn, could impact FPL Group's and FPL's ability to grow their businesses and would likely increase interest costs.

FPL Group's and FPL's results of operations can be affected by changes in the weather. Weather conditions directly influence the demand for electricity and natural gas and affect the price of energy commodities, and can affect the production of electricity at wind and hydro-powered facilities. In addition, severe weather can be destructive, causing outages and/or property damage, which could require additional costs to be incurred.

FPL Group and FPL are subject to costs and other effects of legal and administrative proceedings, settlements, investigations and claims; as well as the effect of new, or changes in, tax rates or policies, rates of inflation or accounting standards.

FPL Group and FPL are subject to direct and indirect effects of terrorist threats and activities. Generation and transmission facilities, in general, have been identified as potential targets. The effects of terrorist threats and activities include, among other things, terrorist actions or responses to such actions or threats, the inability to generate, purchase or transmit power, the risk of a significant slowdown in growth or a decline in the U.S. economy, delay in economic recovery in the U.S., and the increased cost and adequacy of security and insurance.

FPL Group's and FPL's ability to obtain insurance, and the cost of and coverage provided by such insurance, could be affected by national events as well as company-specific events.

FPL Group and FPL are subject to employee workforce factors, including loss or retirement of key executives, availability of qualified personnel, collective bargaining agreements with union employees or work stoppage.

The issues and associated risks and uncertainties described above are not the only ones FPL Group and FPL may face. Additional issues may arise or become material as the energy industry evolves. The risks and uncertainties associated with these additional issues could impair FPL Group's and FPL's businesses in the future.

Page 5: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

5

Capitalizing on Our Strengths

• Premier integrated utility– high growth, stable customer base– favorable regulatory climate

• Successful wholesale generation business– well hedged portfolio– attractive earnings growth prospects

• Strong balance sheet• Substantial cash flow to fund expansion

Page 6: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

6

Financial DisciplineWell Hedged Position

2003 Capacity

% contracted 2:FPL 100%FPL Energy 76%

Total FPL Group 3 96%

85%

15%

85%

15%

Florida Power & Light FPL Energy

Corp. & Other

Earnings Contribution %2003E 1

Notes:

1 Excludes the mark-to-market effect of non-managed hedges, which cannot be determined at this time2 As of 3/31/033 Weighted average based on 2003 estimated earnings contribution

Page 7: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting
Page 8: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

8

Premier Electric Utility

• Favorable customer mix • Strong customer and usage growth • Operational excellence • Proven cost management • Constructive regulatory environment • Superior environmental performance

Attractive financial returns

Page 9: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

9

Growing EPS Contributions at FPL(GAAP)

$3.36$3.56

$4.02 $4.14

1999 2000 2001 2002

Assuming dilution

Page 10: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

10

High Growth Utility with Favorable Customer Mix

• Solid customer base– over 4 million

customer accounts– residential and

commercial customers > 90% of total

• Strong demand growth1

– 2.1% avg. annual increase in customer accounts

– 1.6% avg. annual increase in usage per customer

35%

36%

32%

3%

30%

55%

3%6%

Other

Industrial

Commercial

ResidentialFPL Industry

Average

Notes:1 Over last 10 years2 As of 12/31/02

% of Revenuesby Customer Class 2

Page 11: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

11

Substantial Regulated Generation Fleet

• 18,277 1 MW of generating capability in Florida– 600 additional MW

to be added in 2003

– 1,900 MW to be added in 2005

• Diverse fuel mix

24%

32%

20%

18%6%

Oil

Natural Gas

Nuclear

Coal

Purchased Power

Energy Sources(based on kWh produced in 2002)

Note:1 As of 3/31/03

Page 12: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

12

94%

87%

97%

89%

FPL IndustryAverage

FPL IndustryAverage

69

139

FPL IndustryAverage

Operational Excellence

Plant Availability

FPL = 50% better than average

Service Reliability Outage Time Per Customer (Min.)

Fossil Nuclear

FPL information as of 2002; industry information as of 2001.

Page 13: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

13

Superior Cost Management(O&M $ per customer)

$513$517

$373$305

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

$450

$500

$550

$600

93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02

Industry Average

FPL

Page 14: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

14

FPL Residential Rates Low

$81.60 $83.71 $83.93

$93.93 $94.14$99.35

$115.53

$129.91

FPL PEF NationalAverage

PA TECO NJ MA CA

Comparisons of a 1,000 kWh residential bill as of 5/15/03.Rates for FPL, PEF (Progress Energy Florida) and TECO as of 4/1/03 excluding municipal taxes and franchise fees.Rates outside of Florida as reported in EEI Typical Bills Report Winter 2003.

Page 15: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

15

Superior Environmental Performance

“FPL received a rating of AAA, ranking 1 out of 30 Electric Companies in this sector.”

“As consistently demonstrated in many industry sectors, environmental leadership by companies such as FPL reflects visionary management that ultimately leads to financial and stock out-performance.”

Frank Dixon - Innovest

Innovest Names FPL Group #1 Environmental

Performer among Top 30 Utilities

Page 16: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

16

Constructive Regulatory Environment in Florida

• Fuel, capacity charges directly passed through to customers

• “Rate certainty” through end of 2005– incentive-based agreement allowing

shareholders to benefit from productivity improvements

– “win-win” revenue sharing provision instead of ROE measure

• No current activity on wholesale restructuring

Page 17: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

17

FPL Business Strategies

• Capitalize on growing demand for electricity in our service territory

• Continue to improve our outstanding operating performance

• Seek opportunities to profitably grow our core utility business

• Work to maintain the collaborative and progressive regulatory environment in Florida

Page 18: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting
Page 19: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

19

Disciplined Wholesale Generator• Low risk approach

– diversified by region, fuel source

– well hedged portfolio– emphasis on base-load

assets• Low cost provider

– modern, efficient, clean plants

– operational excellence• Industry leader in

wind generation• Conservative,

integrated asset optimization function

• 7,274 1 net MW in operation

• presence in 23 states

Note:1 Includes 550 MW of leased capacity at R.I.S.E.P. As of 4/25/03

Page 20: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

20

$0.48$0.67

$(0.97)

2000 2001 2002

EPS Contributions at FPL Energy

$0.49$0.62

$0.73

2000 2001 2002

GAAP Adjusted

Assuming dilution. 2000 results include merger-related expenses of $0.01 per share. 2001 results include a net unrealized mark-to-market gain associated with non-managed hedges of $0.04 per share associated with non-managed hedges. 2002 results include the cumulative effect of an accounting change of $1.28 per share, restructuring and other charges of $0.42 per share and a net unrealized mark-to-market gain associated with non-managed hedges of $1 million after-tax.

Page 21: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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Northeast

Mid-Atlantic24%

26%

14%

36%

West

Regional Diversity Fuel DiversityGas60%

20%Wind

Other1%

Hydro3% 7%

Oil

Diversified PortfolioYear-end 2004 (Projected)(11,525 1 Net MW in Operation)

Central

Nuclear9%

Note:1 Includes 550 MW of leased capacity at R.I.S.E.P.

Page 22: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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Wind Energy: Unique Advantage

• More than 1,700 net MW in operation– U.S. market leader with more than 1/3

market share• Supported by policy trends (RPS, PTCs)

and economics• Attractive financial characteristics

– long-term power contracts (15 – 25 years)

– ROEs in the high teens/low 20s– accretive in first full year

• Disciplined development opportunities underway

Page 23: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

23

Wind Energy: Announced Growth(Projected Operating Net MW)

Year in Service Net MW Existing plants in 2000 577 2001 843 2002 324 2003 Announced projects 593 Expected project additions 110 − 410 Total in service by YE2003 2,450 – 2,750

Page 24: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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More than 90 percent of expected 2003 gross margin hedged

FPL Energy Contract Coverage Balance of 2003 2004

Asset Class Available

MW 1 % MW

Hedged 1 Available

MW 1 % MW

Hedged 1

Wind 2 1,981

100 2,179 100 Other projects / QFs 2 1,255 98 1,255 98 Merchants

Seabrook 2 932 92 1,024 84 NEPOOL / PJM / NYPP 3 1,556 50 1,951 19 ERCOT 3 2,657 72 3,009 8 WECC / SERC 3 1,093 39 1,345 52

Total portfolio 3 9,474

76

10,762 53

Notes:1 Weighted to reflect in-service dates, planned maintenance, and refueling outage for Seabrook2 Reflects RTC MW hedged3 Reflects on-peak MW hedgedAs of 3/31/03

Page 25: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

25

Wind MW under Contract

434

0

840

840

985

2,099

1,068

1,1111,282

1,269

1,144

1,8011,883

1,8581,690

1,632

1,289

2,1792,179

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027

(MW

)

As of 3/31/03

Page 26: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

26

QFs and Other Projects MW under Contract

1,235

013125

12553

936994

994936

936855

1,186

1,1861,231

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

(MW

)

As of 3/31/03

Page 27: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

27

Seabrook15% - 20%

QFs20% - 25%

Wind30% - 35%

Merchants15% - 20%

Restructuring10% - 15%

Contribution measure represents estimated segment earnings excluding interest and taxes and FPL Energy Corporate G&A allocation. Includes PTCs “grossed-up” to a pre-tax basis.

FPL Energy Projected Earnings Contribution 2003

Page 28: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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Project Restructuring Opportunities

• Highly experienced project restructuring team

• Proven track record with two significant project restructurings in 2002

– gas contract

– power supply contract

• Substantial backlog of opportunities for 2003

– power contracts in PJM

– natural gas supply contract in Northeast

– 3rd-party QF restructurings in NEPOOL and PJM

Page 29: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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FPL Energy Business Strategies

• Profitably growing a geographically diverse portfolio

• Focusing on clean energy generation• Optimizing assets through operational

excellence, sound business management, and conservative marketing and trading practices

Page 30: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting
Page 31: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

31

Debt to Cap Ratio

49

59

25

50

75

FPL Group IndustryAverage

(%)

Strong Financial Position

• Financial discipline

• Strong credit ratings

A2 / A - = FPL Group Capital Inc. (Debentures)

Aa3 / A = Florida Power & Light Company (First Mortgage Bonds)

• Prudent dividend policy

Note:1 FPL Group Debt to Cap Ratio = 49% with 80% equity credit for equity-linked securities

55

1

Page 32: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

32

FPL Group Performance in 2002

$473

$831

GAAP Adjusted

2002 Net Income($ millions)

2002 EPS

Includes the cumulative effect of an accounting change at FPL Energy ($222 million after-tax or $1.28 per share), restructuring and other charges at FPL Energy ($73 million after-tax or $0.42 per share), restructuring and impairment charges at Corporate and Other ($64 million after-tax or $0.37 per share), a reserve for leverage leases at Corporate and Other ($30 million after-tax or $0.17 per share), a favorable settlement of litigation with the IRS at Corporate and Other ($30 million after-tax or $0.17 per share) and net unrealized mark-to-market gains associated with non-managed hedges atFPL Energy ($1 million after-tax).

$2.73

$4.80

GAAP Adjusted

Page 33: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

33

Total Shareholder Return(12/31/01 – 12/31/02)

-22%

-15%

11%

FPL Group

S&P 500 Electric Utilities Index

S&P 500 Index

Page 34: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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Outlook for 2003 Remains Strong

• FPL– Expect $725 - $735 million 2003 assuming normal

weather

• FPL Energy– Expect 2003 earnings of $165 - $190 million 1

– More than 90 percent of 2003 gross margin hedged– Full year impact of Seabrook and 324 MW of wind

projects added in 2002– Targeting additional 700 - 1,000 MW of wind

projects by year end

• Corporate and Other– Breakeven results at FPL FiberNet– Higher interest expense– Net drag of 20 - 30 cents per share

EPS of $4.80 to $5.00 1

Note:1 Excluding the mark-to-market effect of non-managed hedges which cannot be determined at this time

Page 35: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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FPL Group: A Solid Investment

• Premier integrated utility serving a vibrant territory

• Growing wholesale generation business with moderate risk profile

• Operational and environmental excellence• Financial strength and discipline• Proven track record• Solid corporate governance policies and

practices

Page 36: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

Appendix

Page 37: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

37

Organizational Structure(Credit Ratings - S&P/Moody’s)

FPL Group, Inc.

Holding Company

A/Not Rated

Florida Power & Light Company

(Utility Operation)

Issuer Rating A/A1

Secured A/Aa3

Commercial Paper A-1/P-1

FPL Group Capital Inc

(Funding Co. for Non-regulated Ops)

Issuer Rating A/Not Rated

Unsecured A-/A2

Commercial Paper A-1/P-1

FPL Energy, LLC

(Non-rate regulated Operations)

The outlook indicated by Moody’s for the ratings of FPL is stable, while the outlook of FPL Group Capital is negative reflecting uncertainty in the wholesale generation market. The outlook indicated by S&P is negative for FPL Group and its subsidiaries.

Page 38: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

38

Capital Plan Supports Disciplined Growth StrategyProjected Capital Sources & Uses 2003 - 2005($ billion)

Note:1 Increases based on past practice

Sources Uses Cash flow from operations 6.8 – 7.2 Dividends 1 1.5 Equity through benefit plan 0.3 Regulated

utility 4.0 – 4.5

Equity-linked securities 0.6 FPL Energy Debt (1.0) – (0.6) Wind 0.7 – 1.0 Gas 0.4 Nuclear 0.1 Total 6.7 – 7.5 Total 6.7 – 7.5

Page 39: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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Debt Maturities($ millions)

$-

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

Short-term debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Florida Power & Light FPL Group Capital

Short-term debt as of 4/22/03

Page 40: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

40

$3,182$2,203$979Total

Bilateral Facilities

50 50 0 June 2003

50 50 0 August 2003

146 146 0 October 2004

October 2004

October 2003

Syndicated Facilities

Maturity

$1,436$ 957$ 479

1,500 1,000 500

Total

FPL Group

Capital

Florida

Power & Light

Liquidity Resources($ millions)

As of 3/31/03

Page 41: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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Pension Update($ millions)

• Expected long-term rate of return is 7.75%

• Weighted average discount rate used for determining obligation is 6.00%

• FPL Group’s pension status ranks very favorably relative to its peers

$983Funded Statusat 9/30/02

$1,405Pension Benefit Obligationat 9/30/02

$2,388Fair Value of Pension Assetsat 9/30/02

Page 42: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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FPL: Potential2003 Earnings Variability

Issue Variability Potential 2003 Full

Year Impact Weather variability at 80% probability ±18¢

Customer growth ±4 – 5¢

Usage growth ±7 – 8¢

O&M expenses 2% variation ±8¢

See Safe Harbor Statement and SEC filings for full discussion of risks

Page 43: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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FPL Energy: Potential Driversof 2003 Earnings Variability

• Commodity price exposure (hedging)

• Counterparty performance (credit risk)

• Weather (wind, hydro)• Asset restructuring activities

See Safe Harbor Statement and SEC filings for full discussion of risks

Page 44: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

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Merchant Assets Available

MW’s 1 % MW’s

Unhedged

Sensitivity

Range of Recent Variability in

Forward Prices ($/MWh)

Potential 2003 Full Year Impact

Seabrook

932 8 power price

NEPOOL / PJM / NYPP 2 1,556 50 3 spark spread

ERCOT (North Zone)

2,657 28 spark spread

WECC

1,093 61 3 spark spread

Total merchants

6,239 37 Total 2003 impact

FPL Energy Market Price SensitivityUnhedged Segment

Notes:1 Weighted to reflect in-service dates; all assets adjusted for 2003 outages, including refueling outage for Seabrook2 Does not include Maine hydro; pricing based on NEPOOL RI Zone3 Represents on-peak MW unhedged onlyAs of 3/31/03

±1¢

±1¢

±2¢

±3¢

±7¢

+$7

-$6

+$2

-$2

+$2

-$3

+$7

-$6

Page 45: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting

45

Seabrook Contract Coverage (% hedged)

RTC MW, as of 3/31/03

92%84%

58%

48%

Balance 2003 2004 2005 2006

Page 46: EEI Annual Finance Committee Meeting