Download - Table 1. Total population by sex and sex ratio, by country ... · PDF fileTotal population by sex and sex ratio, by country, 2000 (medium-variant) ... Table 1. Total population by

Table 1. Total population by sex and sex ratio, by country, 2000 (medium-variant)

Total Male FemaleWorld 1 6 056 715 3 051 099 3 005 616 102

Afghanistan 21 765 11 227 10 538 107Albania 3 134 1 603 1 531 105Algeria 30 291 15 346 14 945 103Angola 13 134 6 499 6 635 98Argentina 37 032 18 163 18 868 96Armenia 3 787 1 834 1 953 94Australia 2 19 138 9 529 9 608 99Austria 8 080 3 942 4 138 95Azerbaijan 8 041 3 959 4 082 97Bahamas 304 150 154 97Bahrain 640 368 272 135Bangladesh 137 439 70 858 66 582 106Barbados 267 130 138 94Belarus 10 187 4 746 5 441 87Belgium 10 249 5 020 5 229 96Belize 226 115 112 103Benin 6 272 3 092 3 180 97Bhutan 2 085 1 054 1 032 102Bolivia 8 329 4 144 4 185 99Bosnia and Herzegovina 3 977 1 968 2 009 98Botswana 1 541 755 787 96Brazil 170 406 84 169 86 238 98Brunei Darussalam 328 173 156 111Bulgaria 7 949 3 864 4 086 95Burkina Faso 11 535 5 576 5 959 94Burundi 6 356 3 088 3 268 94Cambodia 13 104 6 389 6 715 95Cameroon 14 876 7 405 7 471 99Canada 30 757 15 229 15 527 98Cape Verde 427 199 228 87Central African Republic 3 717 1 811 1 907 95Chad 7 885 3 900 3 985 98Channel Islands 144 70 74 95Chile 15 211 7 531 7 680 98China 1 275 133 655 702 619 431 106China, Hong Kong SAR 3 6 860 3 491 3 369 104China, Macao SAR 4 444 217 227 96Colombia 42 105 20 786 21 319 98Comoros 706 354 352 100Congo 3 018 1 478 1 540 96Costa Rica 4 024 2 040 1 983 103Côte d'Ivoire 16 013 8 206 7 807 105Croatia 4 654 2 253 2 401 94Cuba 11 199 5 611 5 588 100Cyprus 784 391 393 100Czech Republic 10 272 4 995 5 276 95Dem. Peoples's Rep. of Korea 22 268 11 179 11 090 101Dem. Rep. of the Congo 50 948 25 245 25 703 98Denmark 5 320 2 633 2 687 98Djibouti 632 297 335 89Dominican Republic 8 373 4 254 4 119 103East Timor 737 381 356 107Ecuador 12 646 6 350 6 296 101Egypt 67 884 34 364 33 521 103El Salvador 6 278 3 082 3 196 96Equatorial Guinea 457 225 231 97Eritrea 3 659 1 817 1 842 99Estonia 1 393 649 745 87Ethiopia 62 908 31 259 31 649 99

Population (000) Sex ratio (males per 100 females)

Country or area*

23

Table 1. Total population by sex and sex ratio, by country, 2000 (medium-fertility variant)

Total Male FemalePopulation (000) Sex ratio (males

per 100 females)Country or area*

Fiji 814 414 400 103Finland 5 172 2 523 2 649 95France 59 238 28 856 30 382 95French Guiana 165 85 80 106French Polynesia 233 121 113 107Gabon 1 230 609 621 98Gambia 1 303 644 658 98Georgia 5 262 2 512 2 750 91Germany 82 017 40 148 41 869 96Ghana 19 306 9 613 9 692 99Greece 10 610 5 230 5 380 97Guadeloupe 428 209 219 95Guam 155 80 75 108Guatemala 11 385 5 741 5 645 102Guinea 8 154 4 102 4 052 101Guinea-Bissau 1 199 591 608 97Guyana 761 369 392 94Haiti 8 142 3 989 4 153 96Honduras 6 417 3 230 3 187 101Hungary 9 968 4 756 5 212 91Iceland 279 140 139 101India 1 008 937 520 312 488 626 106Indonesia 212 092 106 379 105 713 101Iran (Islamic Republic of) 70 330 35 998 34 332 105Iraq 22 946 11 666 11 280 103Ireland 3 803 1 890 1 913 99Israel 6 040 2 980 3 060 97Italy 57 530 27 902 29 628 94Jamaica 2 576 1 270 1 307 97Japan 127 096 62 212 64 884 96Jordan 4 913 2 554 2 359 108Kazakhstan 16 172 7 844 8 329 94Kenya 30 669 15 273 15 396 99Kuwait 1 914 1 115 800 139Kyrgyzstan 4 921 2 413 2 508 96Lao People's Dem. Republic 5 279 2 636 2 643 100Latvia 2 421 1 116 1 305 86Lebanon 3 496 1 711 1 786 96Lesotho 2 035 1 009 1 026 98Liberia 2 913 1 465 1 448 101Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 5 290 2 741 2 549 108Lithuania 3 696 1 743 1 953 89Luxembourg 437 215 222 97Madagascar 15 970 7 943 8 028 99Malawi 11 308 5 617 5 692 99Malaysia 22 218 11 255 10 964 103Maldives 291 149 142 105Mali 11 351 5 624 5 727 98Malta 390 193 197 98Martinique 383 186 198 94Mauritania 2 665 1 321 1 344 98Mauritius 5 1 161 579 583 99Mexico 98 872 48 926 49 946 98Mongolia 2 533 1 268 1 265 100Morocco 29 878 14 964 14 914 100Mozambique 18 292 9 042 9 251 98Myanmar 47 749 23 729 24 020 99Namibia 1 757 868 889 98Nepal 23 043 11 811 11 232 105Netherlands 15 864 7 862 8 002 98Netherlands Antilles 215 104 112 93

24




New Caledonia 215 110 105 105New Zealand 3 778 1 861 1 917 97Nicaragua 5 071 2 523 2 548 99Niger 10 832 5 459 5 373 102Nigeria 113 862 57 383 56 479 102Norway 4 469 2 213 2 256 98Occupied Palestinian Terr. 3 191 1 622 1 569 103Oman 2 538 1 347 1 191 113Pakistan 141 256 72 622 68 634 106Panama 2 856 1 441 1 415 102Papua New Guinea 4 809 2 507 2 303 109Paraguay 5 496 2 772 2 725 102Peru 25 662 12 726 12 935 98Philippines 75 653 38 092 37 561 101Poland 38 605 18 761 19 844 95Portugal 10 016 4 819 5 197 93Puerto Rico 3 915 1 885 2 030 93Qatar 565 366 199 184Republic of Korea 46 740 23 522 23 218 101Republic of Moldova 4 295 2 054 2 242 92Reunion 721 352 369 96Romania 22 438 10 977 11 461 96Russian Federation 145 491 68 130 77 361 88Rwanda 7 609 3 765 3 844 98Saint Lucia 148 72 75 96Samoa 159 83 75 111Saudi Arabia 20 346 10 872 9 474 115Senegal 9 421 4 697 4 723 99Sierra Leone 4 405 2 165 2 239 97Singapore 4 018 2 023 1 995 101Slovakia 5 399 2 625 2 773 95Slovenia 1 988 966 1 022 95Solomon Islands 447 230 217 106Somalia 8 778 4 358 4 420 99South Africa 43 309 21 323 21 986 97Spain 39 910 19 511 20 400 96Sri Lanka 18 924 9 718 9 206 106Sudan 31 095 15 639 15 457 101Suriname 417 207 210 98Swaziland 925 456 469 97Sweden 8 842 4 375 4 467 98Switzerland 7 170 3 546 3 624 98Syrian Arab Republic 16 189 8 200 7 988 103Tajikistan 6 087 3 032 3 055 99TFYR Macedonia 6 2 034 1 017 1 017 100Thailand 62 806 31 078 31 728 98Togo 4 527 2 248 2 279 99Trinidad and Tobago 1 294 644 651 99Tunisia 9 459 4 776 4 682 102Turkey 66 668 33 676 32 992 102Turkmenistan 4 737 2 345 2 393 98Uganda 23 300 11 625 11 676 100Ukraine 49 568 23 019 26 549 87United Arab Emirates 2 606 1 722 884 195United Kingdom 59 415 29 242 30 173 97United Republic of Tanzania 35 119 17 422 17 697 98United States of America 283 230 139 655 143 575 97Uruguay 3 337 1 619 1 718 94Uzbekistan 24 881 12 357 12 524 99Vanuatu 197 101 96 105Venezuela 24 170 12 161 12 009 101

25




Viet Nam 78 137 38 938 39 199 99Western Sahara 252 125 127 99Yemen 18 349 9 142 9 207 99Yugoslavia 10 552 5 248 5 305 99Zambia 10 421 5 236 5 185 101Zimbabwe 12 627 6 315 6 313 100

Source: United Nations Population Division.

2 Including Christmas Islands, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.3As of July 1st 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.4As of December 20th 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.5 Including Agalega, Rodrigues and St. Brandon.6 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.* Countries or areas with 140,000 persons or more in 2000.

1 The world population includes the population of all countries and areas including those with less than 140,000 persons.

26

1950 2000 2015 2025 2050

World 2 519 495 6 056 715 7 207 361 7 936 741 9 322 251

Afghanistan 8 151 21 765 35 577 45 193 72 267Albania 1 215 3 134 3 439 3 676 3 905Algeria 8 753 30 291 38 022 42 738 51 180American Samoa 19 68 104 129 172Andorra 4 86 146 181 193Angola 4 131 13 134 20 795 28 213 53 328Anguilla 5 11 16 19 23Antigua and Barbuda 46 65 68 70 73Argentina 17 150 37 032 43 498 47 160 54 522Armenia 1 354 3 787 3 808 3 736 3 150Aruba 57 101 157 194 242Australia 1 8 219 19 138 21 910 23 523 26 502Austria 6 935 8 080 7 848 7 605 6 452Azerbaijan 2 896 8 041 8 725 9 076 8 897Bahamas 79 304 359 393 449Bahrain 116 640 793 887 1 008Bangladesh 41 783 137 439 183 159 210 823 265 432Barbados 211 267 281 285 263Belarus 7 745 10 187 9 664 9 335 8 305Belgium 8 639 10 249 10 272 10 205 9 583Belize 69 226 287 324 392Benin 2 046 6 272 9 448 11 992 18 070Bermuda 37 63 69 73 79Bhutan 734 2 085 3 070 3 843 5 569Bolivia 2 714 8 329 11 218 13 131 16 966Bosnia and Herzegovina 2 661 3 977 4 279 4 165 3 458Botswana 389 1 541 1 694 1 826 2 109Brazil 53 975 170 406 201 393 218 980 247 244British Virgin Islands 6 24 32 35 39Brunei Darussalam 48 328 417 473 565Bulgaria 7 251 7 949 6 816 6 125 4 531Burkina Faso 3 960 11 535 18 509 25 227 46 304Burundi 2 456 6 356 9 835 12 390 20 218Cambodia 4 346 13 104 18 585 22 310 29 883Cameroon 4 466 14 876 20 226 23 986 32 284Canada 13 737 30 757 34 419 36 717 40 407Cape Verde 146 427 567 647 807Cayman Islands 6 38 59 72 89Central African Republic 1 314 3 717 4 877 5 886 8 195Chad 2 658 7 885 12 376 16 383 27 732Channel Islands 102 144 143 139 120Chile 6 082 15 211 17 912 19 548 22 215China 554 760 1 275 133 1 410 217 1 470 787 1 462 058China, Hong Kong SAR 2 1 974 6 860 8 025 8 678 9 648China, Macao SAR 3 190 444 499 529 527Colombia 12 568 42 105 52 641 59 161 70 862Comoros 173 706 1 067 1 327 1 900Congo 808 3 018 4 730 6 284 10 744Cook Islands 15 20 22 23 27Costa Rica 862 4 024 5 233 5 929 7 195Côte d'Ivoire 2 775 16 013 21 529 25 024 32 185Croatia 3 850 4 654 4 622 4 519 4 179Cuba 5 850 11 199 11 644 11 733 10 764Cyprus 494 784 864 899 910Czech Republic 8 925 10 272 10 028 9 727 8 429Dem. Peoples's Rep. of Korea 10 815 22 268 24 396 25 872 28 038Dem. Rep. of the Congo 12 184 50 948 84 045 114 876 203 527Denmark 4 271 5 320 5 372 5 359 5 080Djibouti 62 632 703 801 1 068Dominica 51 71 70 70 72

Country or areaPopulation (000)

Table 2. Total population by country, 1950, 2000, 2015, 2025 and 2050 (medium-variant)

27

1950 2000 2015 2025 2050Country or area

Population (000)

Table 2. Total population by country, 1950, 2000, 2015, 2025 and 2050 (medium-fertility variant)

Egypt 21 834 67 884 84 425 94 777 113 840El Salvador 1 951 6 278 7 979 8 975 10 855Equatorial Guinea 226 457 692 889 1 378Eritrea 1 140 3 659 5 720 7 063 10 028Estonia 1 101 1 393 1 190 1 062 752Ethiopia 18 434 62 908 89 765 113 418 186 452Faeroe Islands 32 46 52 55 55Falkland Islands (Malvinas) 2 2 3 3 4Fiji 289 814 925 954 916Finland 4 009 5 172 5 180 5 138 4 693France 41 829 59 238 61 892 62 753 61 832French Guiana 25 165 255 326 503French Polynesia 61 233 288 318 372Gabon 469 1 230 1 757 2 178 3 164Gambia 294 1 303 1 781 2 077 2 605Georgia 3 527 5 262 4 775 4 377 3 219Germany 68 376 82 017 80 673 78 897 70 805Ghana 4 900 19 306 26 378 30 936 40 056Gibraltar 21 27 26 25 21Greece 7 566 10 610 10 472 10 149 8 983Greenland 23 56 58 59 62Grenada 76 94 97 100 105Guadeloupe 210 428 471 487 479Guam 60 155 209 242 307Guatemala 2 969 11 385 16 329 19 624 26 551Guinea 2 550 8 154 11 300 14 120 20 711Guinea-Bissau 505 1 199 1 727 2 170 3 276Guyana 423 761 749 703 504Haiti 3 261 8 142 10 215 11 549 13 982Holy See 4 1 1 1 1 1Honduras 1 380 6 417 8 703 10 106 12 845Hungary 9 338 9 968 9 254 8 783 7 486Iceland 143 279 305 319 333India 357 561 1 008 937 1 230 484 1 351 801 1 572 055Indonesia 79 538 212 092 250 068 272 911 311 335Iran (Islamic Republic of) 16 913 70 330 87 103 99 343 121 424Iraq 5 158 22 946 33 550 40 298 53 574Ireland 2 969 3 803 4 410 4 745 5 366Isle of Man 56 75 83 84 81Israel 1 258 6 040 7 714 8 486 10 065Italy 47 104 57 530 55 239 52 364 42 962Jamaica 1 403 2 576 2 957 3 264 3 815Japan 83 625 127 096 127 522 123 798 109 220Jordan 472 4 913 7 191 8 666 11 709Kazakhstan 6 703 16 172 15 957 16 090 15 302Kenya 6 265 30 669 40 001 44 897 55 368Kiribati 32 83 100 112 138Kuwait 152 1 914 2 766 3 219 4 001Kyrgyzstan 1 740 4 921 5 836 6 460 7 538Lao People's Dem. Republic 1 755 5 279 7 334 8 721 11 438Latvia 1 949 2 421 2 225 2 090 1 744Lebanon 1 443 3 496 4 219 4 581 5 018Lesotho 734 2 035 2 141 2 225 2 478Liberia 824 2 913 5 550 7 638 14 370Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 1 029 5 290 7 058 7 972 9 969Liechtenstein 14 33 37 39 39Lithuania 2 567 3 696 3 538 3 418 2 989Luxembourg 296 437 518 576 715Madagascar 4 230 15 970 24 072 30 759 47 030Malawi 2 881 11 308 15 656 19 544 31 114Malaysia 6 110 22 218 27 911 31 326 37 850Maldives 82 291 453 580 868Mali 3 520 11 351 17 657 23 461 41 724Malta 312 390 411 418 400Marshall Islands 13 51 62 69 85Martinique 222 383 410 421 413

28

1950 2000 2015 2025 2050Country or area

Population (000)


Mauritania 825 2 665 4 105 5 351 8 452Mauritius 5 493 1 161 1 301 1 374 1 426Mexico 27 737 98 872 119 175 130 194 146 651Micronesia (Fed. States of) 32 123 172 204 269Monaco 20 33 37 39 38Mongolia 761 2 533 3 085 3 478 4 146Montserrat 14 4 6 7 11Morocco 8 953 29 878 37 680 42 002 50 361Mozambique 6 198 18 292 23 526 28 012 38 837Myanmar 17 832 47 749 55 260 60 243 68 546Namibia 511 1 757 2 313 2 776 3 662Nauru 3 12 17 20 26Nepal 8 502 23 043 32 138 38 706 52 415Netherlands 10 114 15 864 16 420 16 571 15 845Netherlands Antilles 112 215 242 255 259New Caledonia 65 215 278 316 397New Zealand 1 908 3 778 4 141 4 302 4 439Nicaragua 1 134 5 071 7 216 8 606 11 477Niger 2 500 10 832 18 482 25 725 51 872Nigeria 29 790 113 862 165 313 202 957 278 788Niue 5 2 2 2 2Northern Mariana Islands 7 73 124 157 216Norway 3 265 4 469 4 670 4 800 4 880Occupied Palestinian Terr. 1 005 3 191 5 317 7 145 11 821Oman 456 2 538 4 110 5 411 8 751Pakistan 39 659 141 256 204 267 250 981 344 170Palau 6 19 26 30 39Panama 860 2 856 3 451 3 779 4 262Papua New Guinea 1 613 4 809 6 642 8 023 10 980Paraguay 1 488 5 496 7 773 9 355 12 565Peru 7 632 25 662 31 876 35 518 42 122Philippines 19 996 75 653 95 881 107 073 128 383Pitcairn 6 0 0 0 0 0Poland 24 824 38 605 38 035 37 254 33 370Portugal 8 405 10 016 10 030 9 831 9 006Puerto Rico 2 218 3 915 4 390 4 615 4 835Qatar 25 565 693 754 831Republic of Korea 20 357 46 740 50 631 52 065 51 560Republic of Moldova 2 341 4 295 4 152 4 052 3 577Reunion 248 721 845 911 1 002Romania 16 311 22 438 21 437 20 585 18 150Russian Federation 102 702 145 491 133 314 125 687 104 258Rwanda 2 120 7 609 10 504 12 883 18 523Saint Helena 7 5 6 7 8 10Saint Kitts and Nevis 44 38 35 34 34Saint Lucia 79 148 169 179 189Saint Pierre and Miqueleon 5 7 8 8 9Saint Vincent and Grenadines 67 113 123 129 138Samoa 82 159 179 200 223San Marino 15 27 31 32 30Sao Tome and Principe 60 138 178 208 294Saudi Arabia 3 201 20 346 31 748 40 473 59 683Senegal 2 500 9 421 13 516 16 511 22 711Seychelles 34 80 97 110 145Sierra Leone 1 944 4 405 7 115 9 052 14 351Singapore 1 022 4 018 4 756 4 998 4 620Slovakia 3 463 5 399 5 420 5 317 4 674Slovenia 1 473 1 988 1 926 1 847 1 527Solomon Islands 90 447 719 943 1 458Somalia 2 264 8 778 15 405 21 192 40 936South Africa 13 683 43 309 44 616 43 772 47 301Spain 28 009 39 910 39 018 37 395 31 282Sri Lanka 7 483 18 924 21 451 22 529 23 066Sudan 9 190 31 095 42 433 49 556 63 530Suriname 215 417 437 442 418

29

1950 2000 2015 2025 2050Country or area

Population (000)


Swaziland 264 925 1 022 1 138 1 391Sweden 7 014 8 842 8 625 8 518 7 777Switzerland 4 694 7 170 6 972 6 729 5 607Syrian Arab Republic 3 495 16 189 23 206 27 410 36 345Tajikistan 1 532 6 087 7 097 8 066 9 763TFYR Macedonia 8 1 230 2 034 2 075 2 067 1 894Thailand 19 626 62 806 72 490 77 480 82 491Togo 1 329 4 527 6 576 8 219 11 832Tokelau 2 1 1 1 1Tonga 41 99 105 110 125Trinidad and Tobago 636 1 294 1 392 1 437 1 378Tunisia 3 530 9 459 11 257 12 343 14 076Turkey 20 809 66 668 79 004 86 611 98 818Turkmenistan 1 211 4 737 6 059 6 844 8 401Turks and Caicos Islands 5 17 26 31 39Tuvalu 5 10 12 14 16Uganda 5 210 23 300 38 739 53 765 101 524Ukraine 37 298 49 568 43 335 39 569 29 959United Arab Emirates 70 2 606 3 230 3 468 3 709United Kingdom 50 616 59 415 60 566 61 243 58 933United Republic of Tanzania 7 886 35 119 49 343 60 395 82 740United States of America 157 813 283 230 321 225 346 822 397 063United States Virgin Islands 27 121 140 151 167Uruguay 2 239 3 337 3 670 3 871 4 249Uzbekistan 6 314 24 881 30 554 34 203 40 513Vanuatu 48 197 282 342 462Venezuela 5 094 24 170 30 877 34 775 42 152Viet Nam 27 367 78 137 94 413 105 488 123 782Wallis and Futuna Islands 7 14 16 17 19Western Sahara 14 252 368 438 599Yemen 4 316 18 349 33 118 48 206 102 379Yugoslavia 7 131 10 552 10 309 10 044 9 030Zambia 2 440 10 421 14 796 19 026 29 262Zimbabwe 2 744 12 627 16 368 18 672 23 546

Source: United Nations Population Division.1 Including Christmas Islands, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.2 As of July 1st 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.3 As of December 20th 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.4 Refers to the Vatican City State.5 Including Agalega, Rodrigues and St. Brandon.6 The population of Pitcairn is 68 in 2000 and remains constant till 2050.7 Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha.8 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.

30

Table 3. Total fertility by country, for selected periods (medium-variant)

1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015 2020-2025 2045-2050World 2.82 2.68 2.50 2.39 2.15

Afghanistan 6.90 6.80 6.18 5.22 2.82Albania 2.60 2.27 2.10 2.10 2.10Algeria 3.25 2.79 2.10 2.10 2.10Angola 7.20 7.20 6.50 5.58 3.26Argentina 2.62 2.44 2.19 2.10 2.10Armenia 1.39 1.10 1.14 1.31 1.70Australia 1 1.77 1.75 1.78 1.85 2.02Austria 1.36 1.24 1.22 1.35 1.65Azerbaijan 1.94 1.51 1.44 1.58 1.90Bahamas 2.40 2.31 2.10 2.10 2.10Bahrain 2.63 2.28 2.10 2.10 2.10Bangladesh 3.80 3.56 2.90 2.32 2.10Barbados 1.50 1.50 1.58 1.74 1.90Belarus 1.27 1.20 1.26 1.48 1.86Belgium 1.55 1.48 1.47 1.58 1.82Belize 3.41 2.89 2.10 2.10 2.10Benin 6.10 5.68 4.84 3.99 2.10Bhutan 5.50 5.10 4.30 3.50 2.10Bolivia 4.36 3.92 3.12 2.51 2.10Bosnia and Herzegovina 1.35 1.30 1.33 1.44 1.70Botswana 4.35 3.94 3.12 2.30 2.10Brazil 2.27 2.15 2.10 2.10 2.10Brunei Darussalam 2.80 2.53 2.10 2.10 2.10Bulgaria 1.14 1.10 1.17 1.43 1.89Burkina Faso 6.89 6.80 6.17 5.21 2.82Burundi 6.80 6.80 6.10 5.16 2.81Cambodia 5.25 4.77 3.80 2.83 2.10Cameroon 5.10 4.70 3.90 3.10 2.10Canada 1.60 1.58 1.64 1.74 1.90Cape Verde 3.56 3.24 2.59 2.10 2.10Central African Republic 5.30 4.92 4.17 3.42 2.10Chad 6.65 6.65 5.89 4.88 2.35Channel Islands 1.50 1.50 1.51 1.57 1.70Chile 2.44 2.35 2.21 2.10 2.10China 1.80 1.80 1.90 1.90 1.90China, Hong Kong SAR 2 1.17 1.17 1.36 1.56 1.70China, Macao SAR 3 1.15 1.10 1.15 1.26 1.70Colombia 2.80 2.62 2.37 2.21 2.10Comoros 5.40 4.96 4.08 3.20 2.10Congo 6.29 6.29 5.59 4.66 2.33Costa Rica 2.83 2.67 2.42 2.23 2.10Côte d'Ivoire 5.10 4.64 3.72 2.79 2.10Croatia 1.68 1.70 1.71 1.77 1.90Cuba 1.55 1.55 1.69 1.83 1.90Cyprus 1.98 1.92 1.90 1.90 1.90Czech Republic 1.18 1.16 1.22 1.45 1.97Dem. Peoples's Rep. of Korea 2.05 2.07 2.10 2.10 2.10Dem. Rep. of the Congo 6.70 6.70 5.93 4.91 2.36Denmark 1.74 1.65 1.62 1.71 1.90Djibouti 6.10 5.77 5.12 4.35 2.10Dominican Republic 2.88 2.71 2.41 2.20 2.10East Timor 4.35 3.85 2.85 2.10 2.10

Total fertility (average number of children per woman)Country or area*

31

Table 3. Total fertility, by country, for selected periods (medium-fertility variant)

1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015 2020-2025 2045-2050Total fertility (average number of children per woman)

Country or area*

Ecuador 3.10 2.76 2.32 2.10 2.10Egypt 3.40 2.88 2.10 2.10 2.10El Salvador 3.17 2.88 2.45 2.19 2.10Equatorial Guinea 5.89 5.89 5.18 4.23 2.10Eritrea 5.70 5.28 4.43 3.58 2.10Estonia 1.24 1.20 1.27 1.53 2.00Ethiopia 6.75 6.75 6.05 5.12 2.80Fiji 3.20 2.98 2.49 2.10 2.10Finland 1.71 1.55 1.53 1.66 1.94France 1.73 1.80 1.84 1.86 1.90French Guiana 4.05 3.86 3.47 3.08 2.10French Polynesia 2.60 2.47 2.18 2.10 2.10Gabon 5.40 5.40 4.69 3.75 2.10Gambia 5.20 4.79 3.96 3.13 2.10Georgia 1.58 1.39 1.34 1.51 1.90Germany 1.33 1.29 1.31 1.40 1.61Ghana 4.60 4.22 3.45 2.68 2.10Greece 1.30 1.24 1.25 1.43 1.85Guadeloupe 2.06 2.02 1.94 1.90 1.90Guam 3.95 3.95 3.26 2.33 2.10Guatemala 4.93 4.41 3.42 2.68 2.10Guinea 6.27 5.83 4.95 4.08 2.10Guinea-Bissau 5.99 5.99 5.26 4.29 2.10Guyana 2.45 2.31 2.10 2.10 2.10Haiti 4.38 3.98 3.26 2.70 2.10Honduras 4.30 3.72 2.85 2.38 2.10Hungary 1.37 1.20 1.26 1.48 1.97Iceland 2.05 1.90 1.84 1.92 2.10India 3.32 2.97 2.27 2.10 2.10Indonesia 2.60 2.27 2.10 2.10 2.10Iran (Islamic Republic of) 3.20 2.76 2.10 2.10 2.10Iraq 5.25 4.77 3.80 2.83 2.10Ireland 1.92 2.02 2.07 2.08 2.10Israel 2.93 2.70 2.22 2.10 2.10Italy 1.20 1.20 1.23 1.35 1.61Jamaica 2.50 2.37 2.10 2.10 2.10Japan 1.41 1.33 1.43 1.53 1.75Jordan 4.69 4.31 3.55 2.80 2.10Kazakhstan 2.10 1.95 1.90 1.90 1.90Kenya 4.60 4.15 3.24 2.33 2.10Kuwait 2.89 2.66 2.21 2.10 2.10Kyrgyzstan 2.89 2.34 2.10 2.10 2.10Lao People's Dem. Republic 5.30 4.80 3.82 2.84 2.10Latvia 1.12 1.10 1.18 1.48 2.00Lebanon 2.29 2.18 1.96 1.90 1.90Lesotho 4.75 4.45 3.79 3.08 2.10Liberia 6.80 6.80 6.10 5.16 2.81Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 3.80 3.31 2.34 2.10 2.10Lithuania 1.38 1.20 1.19 1.48 2.00Luxembourg 1.72 1.76 1.77 1.81 1.90Madagascar 6.10 5.68 4.84 3.99 2.10Malawi 6.75 6.34 5.51 4.69 2.63Malaysia 3.26 2.90 2.26 2.10 2.10Maldives 5.80 5.37 4.49 3.62 2.10Mali 7.00 7.00 6.35 5.35 2.85

32



Country or area*

Malta 1.91 1.77 1.71 1.75 1.84Martinique 1.75 1.70 1.74 1.80 1.89Mauritania 6.00 6.00 5.27 4.29 2.10Mauritius 4 2.00 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90Mexico 2.75 2.49 2.22 2.10 2.10Mongolia 2.70 2.32 2.10 2.10 2.10Morocco 3.40 3.03 2.29 2.10 2.10Mozambique 6.30 5.86 4.97 4.09 2.10Myanmar 3.30 2.80 2.10 2.10 2.10Namibia 5.30 4.87 4.02 3.17 2.10Nepal 4.83 4.48 3.70 2.92 2.10Netherlands 1.54 1.50 1.52 1.61 1.81Netherlands Antilles 2.10 2.09 2.04 1.97 1.90New Caledonia 2.60 2.47 2.18 2.10 2.10New Zealand 1.97 1.97 1.87 1.82 2.07Nicaragua 4.32 3.82 2.97 2.41 2.10Niger 8.00 8.00 7.26 6.28 3.82Nigeria 5.92 5.42 4.40 3.38 2.10Norway 1.83 1.70 1.68 1.80 2.07Occupied Palestinian Terr. 5.99 5.60 4.82 4.05 2.10Oman 5.85 5.46 4.67 3.88 2.10Pakistan 5.48 5.08 4.16 3.25 2.10Panama 2.63 2.42 2.16 2.10 2.10Papua New Guinea 4.60 4.32 3.77 3.21 2.10Paraguay 4.17 3.84 3.25 2.77 2.10Peru 2.98 2.64 2.26 2.10 2.10Philippines 3.64 3.24 2.33 2.10 2.10Poland 1.46 1.26 1.32 1.56 2.10Portugal 1.46 1.45 1.43 1.56 1.83Puerto Rico 1.97 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90Qatar 3.70 3.34 2.63 2.10 2.10Republic of Korea 1.51 1.51 1.64 1.87 2.10Republic of Moldova 1.61 1.40 1.34 1.51 1.90Reunion 2.30 2.14 1.90 1.90 1.90Romania 1.32 1.32 1.37 1.58 2.05Russian Federation 1.23 1.14 1.18 1.36 1.75Rwanda 6.20 5.77 4.91 4.04 2.10Saint Lucia 2.70 2.53 2.19 2.10 2.10Samoa 4.51 4.24 3.71 3.07 2.10Saudi Arabia 6.15 5.54 4.51 3.61 2.10Senegal 5.57 5.11 4.18 3.26 2.10Sierra Leone 6.50 6.50 5.77 4.79 2.34Singapore 1.60 1.45 1.45 1.65 1.90Slovakia 1.40 1.28 1.31 1.43 1.70Slovenia 1.24 1.14 1.15 1.36 1.83Solomon Islands 5.60 5.26 4.60 3.82 2.10Somalia 7.25 7.25 6.55 5.61 3.27South Africa 3.10 2.85 2.35 2.10 2.10Spain 1.16 1.13 1.14 1.29 1.64Sri Lanka 2.10 2.09 1.94 1.90 1.90Sudan 4.90 4.47 3.61 2.75 2.10Suriname 2.21 2.05 1.70 1.75 1.90Swaziland 4.80 4.44 3.72 3.00 2.10Sweden 1.51 1.29 1.34 1.55 2.01

33



Country or area*

Switzerland 1.47 1.38 1.37 1.48 1.72Syrian Arab Republic 4.00 3.65 2.96 2.27 2.10Tajikistan 3.72 2.87 2.33 2.15 2.10TFYR Macedonia 5 1.92 1.48 1.31 1.49 1.90Thailand 2.10 2.00 1.85 1.88 1.90Togo 5.80 5.36 4.49 3.62 2.10Trinidad and Tobago 1.65 1.53 1.63 1.81 1.90Tunisia 2.31 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10Turkey 2.70 2.30 2.10 2.10 2.10Turkmenistan 3.60 3.17 2.31 2.10 2.10Uganda 7.10 7.10 6.35 5.35 2.85Ukraine 1.26 1.10 1.15 1.35 1.70United Arab Emirates 3.17 2.86 2.25 2.10 2.10United Kingdom 1.70 1.61 1.60 1.70 1.91United Republic of Tanzania 5.48 5.03 4.13 3.23 2.10United States of America 2.04 1.93 1.90 1.95 2.10Uruguay 2.40 2.30 2.16 2.10 2.10Uzbekistan 2.85 2.29 2.10 2.10 2.10Vanuatu 4.59 4.26 3.59 2.93 2.10Venezuela 2.98 2.72 2.34 2.10 2.10Viet Nam 2.50 2.25 2.10 2.10 2.10Western Sahara 4.40 3.80 2.99 2.38 2.10Yemen 7.60 7.60 6.85 5.85 3.35Yugoslavia 1.77 1.55 1.48 1.61 1.90Zambia 6.05 5.66 4.87 4.08 2.10Zimbabwe 5.00 4.50 3.43 2.37 2.10

Source : United Nations Population Division.1 Including Christmas Islands, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.2 As of July 1st 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.3 As of December 20th 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.4 Including Agalega, Rodrigues and St. Brandon.5 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.* Countries or areas with 140,000 persons or more in 2000.

34

Table 4. Life expectancy at birth (both sexes combined) by country, for selected periods

1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015 2020-2025 2045-2050World 65.0 66.0 68.7 71.3 76.0

Afghanistan 42.5 43.2 47.2 51.2 62.4Albania 72.8 73.7 75.3 76.9 79.9Algeria 68.9 70.3 72.7 74.8 78.4Angola 44.6 45.8 49.0 52.9 64.5Argentina 72.9 73.8 75.6 77.2 80.0Armenia 72.4 73.4 75.0 76.1 79.3Australia 1 78.7 79.2 80.1 81.0 83.0Austria 77.7 78.5 80.1 81.2 83.6Azerbaijan 71.0 72.2 74.0 75.4 79.0Bahamas 69.1 69.4 72.7 74.9 77.3Bahrain 72.9 73.8 75.5 77.1 79.9Bangladesh 58.1 60.7 65.3 69.2 75.0Barbados 76.4 77.2 78.4 79.3 81.4Belarus 68.5 68.5 71.3 73.7 77.9Belgium 77.9 78.8 80.2 81.4 83.8Belize 73.6 74.4 75.8 76.9 79.7Benin 53.5 54.0 56.0 59.5 69.9Bhutan 60.7 63.2 67.6 70.7 76.0Bolivia 61.4 63.5 67.5 71.1 76.1Bosnia and Herzegovina 73.3 74.0 75.5 76.5 78.9Botswana 44.4 36.1 43.0 51.6 63.2Brazil 67.2 68.3 70.8 73.0 76.9Brunei Darussalam 75.5 76.3 77.7 78.8 81.1Bulgaria 70.8 70.9 72.5 74.3 78.3Burkina Faso 45.3 48.1 56.4 62.2 69.7Burundi 40.6 40.6 44.9 49.6 64.3Cambodia 56.5 56.2 59.2 64.1 72.2Cameroon 50.0 50.0 52.9 58.2 70.7Canada 78.5 79.0 80.0 80.8 82.8Cape Verde 68.9 70.5 73.1 75.2 78.6Central African Republic 44.3 44.3 49.1 55.8 67.3Chad 45.2 46.3 50.9 56.3 67.9Channel Islands 77.6 78.2 79.2 80.2 82.2Chile 74.9 75.6 76.9 78.0 80.1China 69.8 71.2 73.5 75.5 79.0China, Hong Kong SAR 2 79.1 79.9 81.1 82.1 84.7China, Macao SAR 3 78.5 79.3 80.7 81.6 83.8Colombia 70.4 71.9 73.7 75.3 78.4Comoros 58.8 60.8 64.8 68.3 76.3Congo 50.9 51.6 55.7 60.9 70.4Costa Rica 76.0 76.7 78.0 79.0 80.9Côte d'Ivoire 47.7 47.9 52.4 57.8 68.1Croatia 73.3 74.2 75.5 76.6 79.6Cuba 75.7 76.4 77.5 78.4 80.2Cyprus 77.8 78.3 79.2 80.2 82.2Czech Republic 74.3 75.4 77.6 79.3 81.4Dem. Peoples's Rep. of Korea 63.1 65.1 68.7 71.2 76.3Dem. Rep. of the Congo 50.5 52.1 56.3 61.2 70.1Denmark 75.9 76.6 78.2 79.2 81.4Djibouti 45.5 40.6 38.0 44.2 63.3Dominican Republic 67.3 66.9 66.1 67.0 72.5East Timor 47.5 50.0 55.0 60.0 70.3Ecuador 69.5 70.5 72.2 73.9 77.6

Life expectancy at birth (years)Country or area*

35

Table 4. Life expectancy at birth (both sexes combined), by country, for selected periods

1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015 2020-2025 2045-2050Life expectancy at birth (years)

Country or area*

Egypt 66.3 68.3 71.4 73.7 77.8El Salvador 69.1 70.3 72.5 74.5 78.0Equatorial Guinea 50.0 52.0 56.0 60.0 70.3Eritrea 51.5 52.4 55.6 60.3 70.1Estonia 70.0 71.2 73.3 74.8 78.2Ethiopia 44.5 43.3 46.9 53.0 66.7Fiji 68.4 69.8 71.9 73.7 77.8Finland 77.2 78.0 79.7 81.0 83.0France 78.1 79.0 80.3 81.5 84.0French Guiana 75.0 75.9 77.4 78.6 80.9French Polynesia 71.7 73.1 75.1 76.7 79.6Gabon 52.4 52.9 55.9 60.2 69.9Gambia 45.4 47.1 51.2 55.4 65.4Georgia 72.7 73.6 75.0 76.3 79.3Germany 77.3 78.2 79.7 81.0 83.4Ghana 56.3 57.2 61.5 65.8 72.5Greece 78.0 78.5 79.5 80.4 82.4Guadeloupe 77.3 78.3 80.0 81.1 83.1Guam 73.5 74.5 76.3 77.8 80.4Guatemala 64.0 65.6 68.7 71.5 76.7Guinea 46.5 48.5 52.5 56.5 68.0Guinea-Bissau 44.1 45.4 49.2 53.4 66.0Guyana 63.7 62.4 61.6 62.9 71.2Haiti 52.0 53.3 57.8 62.0 69.9Honduras 65.6 65.8 67.7 70.2 74.1Hungary 70.7 72.0 74.3 76.1 79.4Iceland 78.9 79.4 80.3 81.1 83.1India 62.3 64.2 67.9 70.5 75.4Indonesia 65.1 67.3 70.5 72.9 77.4Iran (Islamic Republic of) 68.0 69.7 72.4 74.6 78.5Iraq 58.7 64.9 70.8 73.2 77.6Ireland 76.1 77.0 78.3 79.3 81.4Israel 78.3 79.2 80.6 81.6 83.5Italy 78.2 78.7 79.7 80.6 82.5Jamaica 74.8 75.7 77.3 78.5 80.8Japan 80.5 81.5 83.3 84.9 88.0Jordan 69.7 71.0 73.3 75.3 78.8Kazakhstan 64.1 65.0 68.3 71.2 76.4Kenya 52.2 49.3 51.5 56.1 66.9Kuwait 75.9 76.5 77.7 78.6 81.1Kyrgyzstan 66.9 68.6 71.4 73.3 77.8Lao People's Dem. Republic 52.5 54.5 59.0 63.7 72.2Latvia 69.6 71.2 73.2 74.7 78.0Lebanon 72.6 73.5 75.0 76.2 79.2Lesotho 51.2 40.2 37.8 45.5 65.1Liberia 48.1 55.6 60.7 64.9 71.6Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 70.0 70.9 73.8 75.8 79.1Lithuania 71.4 72.7 74.7 76.5 79.6Luxembourg 77.0 77.9 79.5 80.8 82.8Madagascar 51.6 53.6 57.6 61.6 71.1Malawi 40.7 39.3 43.1 49.0 64.0Malaysia 71.9 73.0 75.0 76.6 79.7Maldives 65.4 67.6 71.5 74.4 78.2Mali 50.9 52.1 56.1 60.5 69.7Malta 77.6 78.5 80.3 81.6 84.0

36



Country or area*

Martinique 78.8 79.1 80.3 81.1 83.0Mauritania 50.5 52.5 56.5 63.5 72.1Mauritius 4 70.7 72.0 73.9 75.3 78.8Mexico 72.2 73.0 74.6 76.1 78.8Mongolia 61.9 63.9 70.7 73.0 77.5Morocco 66.6 68.7 71.5 73.8 77.9Mozambique 40.6 38.0 41.0 47.4 62.8Myanmar 55.8 56.2 61.8 66.5 72.0Namibia 45.1 44.3 53.6 59.3 67.3Nepal 57.3 59.8 64.6 68.9 74.9Netherlands 77.9 78.3 79.3 80.2 82.2Netherlands Antilles 75.5 76.3 77.8 78.9 81.0New Caledonia 74.0 74.9 76.5 78.0 80.4New Zealand 77.2 78.0 79.0 80.0 82.0Nicaragua 67.7 69.1 71.8 74.0 77.7Niger 44.2 46.2 50.2 54.2 65.4Nigeria 51.3 52.1 55.9 60.4 69.3Norway 78.1 78.9 80.2 81.2 83.7Occupied Palestinian Terr. 71.4 72.4 74.2 75.6 79.0Oman 70.5 71.5 73.2 74.6 78.5Pakistan 59.0 61.0 65.0 68.5 73.7Panama 73.6 74.5 75.9 76.9 79.2Papua New Guinea 55.6 57.7 61.7 65.8 73.2Paraguay 69.6 70.7 72.6 74.3 77.8Peru 68.0 69.5 72.1 74.4 77.5Philippines 68.6 70.0 72.4 74.5 78.4Poland 72.8 73.9 75.9 77.4 80.1Portugal 75.2 76.2 77.6 78.8 81.0Puerto Rico 74.9 75.6 76.8 77.6 80.3Qatar 68.9 70.3 72.6 74.4 78.3Republic of Korea 74.3 75.5 77.5 79.3 82.0Republic of Moldova 66.6 66.6 69.9 72.6 77.2Reunion 73.8 74.9 76.7 78.0 81.4Romania 69.8 69.8 72.1 73.8 76.9Russian Federation 66.1 66.0 69.3 72.0 76.9Rwanda 39.4 40.9 46.5 52.8 64.2Saint Lucia 73.0 73.8 75.4 76.4 79.5Samoa 68.5 70.0 72.7 74.7 78.0Saudi Arabia 70.9 72.2 74.3 76.1 79.4Senegal 52.3 54.3 58.4 62.4 71.6Sierra Leone 37.3 40.5 44.5 48.8 61.5Singapore 77.1 78.1 79.7 80.9 82.9Slovakia 72.8 73.7 75.2 76.5 79.5Slovenia 75.0 76.1 78.0 79.7 81.8Solomon Islands 67.4 69.2 71.9 74.1 78.3Somalia 46.9 48.9 52.9 56.9 68.3South Africa 56.7 47.4 42.0 46.4 66.4Spain 78.1 78.8 79.7 80.6 82.6Sri Lanka 71.6 72.6 74.6 76.4 79.5Sudan 55.0 57.0 61.0 65.0 72.9Suriname 70.1 71.1 73.2 75.0 78.6Swaziland 50.8 38.1 39.2 49.8 62.7Sweden 79.3 80.1 81.1 82.1 84.6Switzerland 78.6 79.1 80.0 80.9 82.9Syrian Arab Republic 70.5 71.8 74.0 75.8 79.1

37



Country or area*

Tajikistan 67.2 68.0 70.7 72.7 77.3TFYR Macedonia 5 72.7 73.6 75.2 76.4 79.5Thailand 69.6 70.8 73.5 75.9 79.1Togo 51.3 52.2 57.0 62.3 69.9Trinidad and Tobago 73.8 74.8 76.6 78.1 80.5Tunisia 69.5 70.9 73.3 75.3 78.8Turkey 69.0 70.5 72.9 74.9 78.6Turkmenistan 65.4 67.1 69.8 72.3 77.1Uganda 41.9 46.0 54.3 58.9 67.8Ukraine 68.1 68.1 71.2 73.3 77.5United Arab Emirates 74.6 75.4 76.9 77.9 80.5United Kingdom 77.2 78.2 79.8 81.1 83.0United Republic of Tanzania 51.1 51.1 56.3 62.3 69.6United States of America 76.5 77.5 79.2 80.7 82.6Uruguay 73.9 75.0 76.8 78.4 80.9Uzbekistan 68.3 69.7 71.9 73.7 78.1Vanuatu 67.2 68.8 71.3 73.3 76.5Venezuela 72.4 73.3 75.0 76.4 79.2Viet Nam 67.2 69.2 71.9 74.1 78.2Western Sahara 61.4 63.9 68.2 71.3 76.4Yemen 59.4 61.9 66.3 70.0 75.5Yugoslavia 72.2 73.2 74.8 76.0 79.1Zambia 40.5 42.2 52.1 58.6 66.0Zimbabwe 42.9 42.9 50.2 56.3 66.3


38

Table 5. Infant mortality rate by country, for selected periods

1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015 2020-2025 2045-2050World 59.6 54.5 43.4 34.7 19.4

Afghanistan 164.7 161.3 143.8 127.0 83.9Albania 28.3 25.0 19.6 15.0 9.8Algeria 50.0 42.8 30.5 21.9 12.4Angola 126.2 117.7 99.2 82.3 43.4Argentina 21.8 20.0 16.0 12.8 7.3Armenia 16.9 15.4 12.9 11.3 7.0Australia 1 5.4 5.2 4.8 4.4 3.6Austria 5.4 4.7 4.3 4.1 3.5Azerbaijan 32.5 29.3 24.6 21.0 12.8Bahamas 18.7 17.2 12.2 9.9 7.9Bahrain 16.4 14.4 11.3 8.9 6.8Bangladesh 78.8 67.0 47.1 31.3 13.7Barbados 12.4 10.9 9.2 8.3 6.5Belarus 12.5 12.5 10.4 8.7 5.8Belgium 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.3Belize 32.5 30.0 25.6 22.3 14.0Benin 87.7 80.6 66.3 50.9 23.9Bhutan 62.9 53.6 38.6 28.8 15.9Bolivia 65.6 55.6 38.1 27.1 14.0Bosnia and Herzegovina 15.0 13.5 10.9 9.4 6.9Botswana 73.9 67.2 44.5 33.0 20.0Brazil 42.1 38.3 29.8 22.1 7.7Brunei Darussalam 9.6 8.6 7.2 6.6 5.4Bulgaria 15.2 15.2 12.9 10.5 6.5Burkina Faso 99.1 86.6 64.9 47.5 23.7Burundi 120.0 111.5 95.4 75.5 33.7Cambodia 83.4 72.5 53.1 36.3 16.1Cameroon 87.3 79.3 60.2 41.5 19.3Canada 5.5 5.4 5.0 4.8 4.1Cape Verde 55.6 49.6 39.8 31.4 18.3Central African Republic 101.2 93.3 71.6 52.6 23.6Chad 122.5 116.1 94.5 73.3 33.1Channel Islands 5.8 5.5 5.2 4.8 4.2Chile 12.8 11.6 9.6 8.0 5.1China 41.4 36.5 28.6 22.2 13.3China, Hong Kong SAR 2 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.2China, Macao SAR 3 8.9 8.2 7.0 6.3 5.1Colombia 30.0 25.6 19.1 15.2 11.1Comoros 76.3 67.0 49.6 34.9 11.6Congo 72.1 65.8 52.0 38.7 20.1Costa Rica 12.1 10.9 9.0 7.8 6.3Côte d'Ivoire 89.0 80.8 63.2 47.0 23.8Croatia 10.1 8.1 7.2 6.5 4.9Cuba 7.5 7.3 6.6 5.8 3.6Cyprus 8.1 7.7 7.1 6.5 5.3Czech Republic 5.8 5.4 4.5 4.1 3.7Dem. Peoples's Rep. of Korea 45.1 39.1 29.3 23.3 12.8Dem. Rep. of the Congo 90.6 77.2 61.2 46.8 22.5Denmark 5.9 5.0 4.5 4.2 3.6Djibouti 116.6 117.1 99.4 78.7 33.0Dominican Republic 40.6 36.3 27.8 21.2 11.4East Timor 135.0 120.9 94.4 70.3 27.5Ecuador 45.6 41.5 33.2 25.0 8.0

Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)Country or area*

39

Table 5. Infant mortality rate, by country, for selected periods

1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015 2020-2025 2045-2050Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)

Country or area*

Egypt 50.8 40.5 26.8 18.7 10.3El Salvador 32.0 26.4 17.5 12.1 7.3Equatorial Guinea 107.7 98.8 81.7 65.7 30.1Eritrea 89.3 82.4 64.0 46.2 22.6Estonia 11.1 9.7 8.3 7.3 5.2Ethiopia 114.8 106.1 83.0 61.8 28.3Fiji 19.6 17.5 14.3 11.9 7.5Finland 4.4 4.0 3.7 3.4 2.9France 5.5 5.0 4.6 4.3 3.6French Guiana 31.9 28.7 24.3 20.7 13.6French Polynesia 9.7 8.7 7.3 6.3 5.0Gabon 87.7 80.0 63.8 49.2 23.6Gambia 125.3 115.0 96.2 79.5 41.8Georgia 19.4 17.6 15.4 13.3 8.7Germany 5.0 4.6 4.2 4.0 3.5Ghana 68.6 62.1 47.3 35.0 18.8Greece 6.6 6.3 5.7 5.2 4.1Guadeloupe 8.3 7.4 6.2 5.5 4.3Guam 11.0 9.8 7.8 6.5 5.3Guatemala 46.0 41.2 32.5 25.5 13.4Guinea 124.2 114.4 96.3 79.4 37.1Guinea-Bissau 130.8 121.2 101.8 84.7 39.2Guyana 56.2 52.5 40.1 32.8 18.8Haiti 68.3 61.3 51.1 40.6 17.3Honduras 37.1 33.1 26.0 19.9 14.2Hungary 9.6 8.7 7.3 6.2 4.7Iceland 4.7 4.5 4.2 4.0 3.3India 72.5 64.7 49.0 39.6 25.2Indonesia 48.4 39.5 27.1 19.2 9.9Iran (Islamic Republic of) 44.0 35.9 24.7 17.3 9.7Iraq 91.7 63.5 33.0 22.7 8.3Ireland 6.6 6.0 5.4 4.9 3.9Israel 6.3 5.9 5.3 4.9 4.2Italy 5.6 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.1Jamaica 21.9 19.9 16.3 13.8 9.1Japan 3.5 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.5Jordan 26.6 22.6 16.3 12.5 8.1Kazakhstan 44.8 42.1 32.6 25.3 13.8Kenya 64.7 58.7 44.4 33.4 19.3Kuwait 12.3 10.8 9.2 8.3 6.6Kyrgyzstan 43.2 37.0 30.1 25.1 14.6Lao People's Dem. Republic 96.6 88.0 69.6 51.9 24.7Latvia 15.6 13.6 11.4 9.9 6.8Lebanon 20.0 17.2 14.2 12.0 8.3Lesotho 108.1 111.2 89.3 68.4 34.6Liberia 111.4 79.3 55.9 39.8 17.8Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 27.8 25.2 18.3 14.4 9.7Lithuania 10.7 8.9 8.2 7.4 5.4Luxembourg 6.6 5.6 4.8 4.3 3.5Madagascar 100.2 91.5 74.9 59.4 27.6Malawi 139.8 130.1 105.8 82.9 36.6Malaysia 11.6 10.3 8.3 6.9 5.3Maldives 46.4 37.3 23.2 14.7 9.1Mali 130.3 120.5 99.4 79.7 41.7Malta 7.7 7.0 6.0 5.3 4.2

40



Country or area*

Martinique 7.0 6.8 6.2 5.8 4.8Mauritania 105.6 96.7 79.7 52.8 24.9Mauritius 4 18.5 16.0 12.9 10.8 7.0Mexico 31.0 28.2 23.3 19.2 11.8Mongolia 65.8 58.2 35.0 28.1 16.0Morocco 52.2 42.1 29.3 20.6 10.9Mozambique 136.7 127.7 105.8 85.9 39.7Myanmar 92.2 87.2 64.9 50.8 31.0Namibia 78.5 64.7 45.2 34.5 19.8Nepal 82.6 70.9 49.9 32.7 14.1Netherlands 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.1 3.7Netherlands Antilles 14.2 12.6 9.8 8.7 6.9New Caledonia 7.2 6.6 5.8 5.1 4.4New Zealand 6.6 6.2 5.6 5.1 4.1Nicaragua 39.5 35.7 27.9 22.1 12.6Niger 136.1 125.7 106.4 88.9 45.9Nigeria 88.1 78.5 59.4 43.7 22.3Norway 4.8 4.5 4.1 3.8 3.0Occupied Palestinian Terr. 24.0 20.7 15.9 13.0 8.4Oman 26.6 22.9 17.3 14.3 8.8Pakistan 95.3 86.5 69.4 55.3 36.2Panama 21.4 18.6 14.2 10.9 7.5Papua New Guinea 69.0 62.1 49.0 37.1 18.5Paraguay 39.2 37.0 30.8 24.4 14.7Peru 45.0 37.4 27.0 21.5 15.0Philippines 34.4 29.0 20.8 15.4 9.0Poland 10.0 9.1 7.5 6.3 4.9Portugal 6.6 6.1 5.3 4.8 4.2Puerto Rico 11.0 10.3 9.2 8.4 6.1Qatar 13.6 11.2 8.2 6.5 4.9Republic of Korea 7.9 7.1 5.8 4.9 4.1Republic of Moldova 20.5 20.5 17.2 14.3 8.7Reunion 9.0 8.2 6.8 5.9 4.5Romania 22.1 22.1 16.4 13.5 8.9Russian Federation 16.7 16.8 14.0 11.4 7.2Rwanda 121.9 119.2 94.2 75.8 35.4Saint Lucia 14.3 13.1 10.8 9.5 6.7Samoa 29.8 25.9 19.9 15.5 9.7Saudi Arabia 25.0 20.6 14.7 11.2 8.0Senegal 62.4 56.8 46.3 36.5 16.7Sierra Leone 165.4 146.3 124.0 105.4 53.9Singapore 4.9 4.6 4.3 4.1 3.7Slovakia 8.6 8.0 7.0 6.1 4.7Slovenia 6.1 5.6 4.7 4.2 3.8Solomon Islands 24.0 20.7 16.1 12.6 7.8Somalia 122.3 112.7 94.7 77.9 36.4South Africa 58.2 59.2 50.1 38.2 16.1Spain 5.7 5.3 5.0 4.7 4.1Sri Lanka 22.9 20.1 15.6 12.0 8.0Sudan 85.9 77.7 62.0 47.5 22.6Suriname 29.1 25.7 19.5 15.2 9.1Swaziland 86.9 91.7 62.2 42.8 23.4Sweden 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.5Switzerland 5.1 4.8 4.5 4.3 3.8Syrian Arab Republic 26.9 22.3 15.8 12.3 8.3

41



Country or area*

Tajikistan 56.6 53.3 43.6 37.2 21.8TFYR Macedonia 5 18.2 16.0 12.6 10.5 7.1Thailand 25.4 20.8 15.5 12.0 8.1Togo 83.1 74.8 57.9 42.9 22.9Trinidad and Tobago 14.3 12.5 9.8 8.1 6.4Tunisia 30.3 25.5 17.6 13.4 8.6Turkey 45.7 38.5 27.7 20.7 10.9Turkmenistan 54.8 48.6 40.1 32.9 18.7Uganda 106.5 93.9 74.8 59.2 28.3Ukraine 15.3 15.3 12.3 10.3 6.7United Arab Emirates 12.0 10.9 8.9 8.1 6.5United Kingdom 5.9 5.4 4.7 4.2 3.4United Republic of Tanzania 81.3 72.7 55.0 40.6 21.6United States of America 7.6 6.8 5.8 5.2 4.4Uruguay 17.5 13.1 11.0 9.0 5.3Uzbekistan 41.0 36.7 31.0 26.2 15.2Vanuatu 32.5 28.5 22.6 18.5 12.4Venezuela 20.9 18.9 15.3 12.4 7.4Viet Nam 40.1 33.6 25.5 20.0 12.2Western Sahara 64.5 53.6 35.6 24.4 11.6Yemen 73.8 62.5 43.9 29.0 13.3Yugoslavia 14.8 13.0 10.4 9.0 6.2Zambia 93.6 79.6 59.2 44.2 24.0Zimbabwe 65.0 55.0 40.3 30.7 18.6


42

1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015 2020-2025 2045-2050World 1.35 1.23 1.09 0.92 0.47

Afghanistan 2.64 3.68 2.56 2.34 1.43Albania -0.32 0.63 0.76 0.61 0.07Algeria 1.82 1.76 1.30 1.12 0.47Angola 2.94 2.99 3.15 3.02 2.11Argentina 1.26 1.19 0.95 0.78 0.44Armenia 0.14 0.06 0.01 -0.28 -0.95Australia 1 1.15 0.99 0.82 0.67 0.41Austria 0.08 -0.10 -0.27 -0.34 -0.83Azerbaijan 0.91 0.59 0.53 0.32 -0.27Bahamas 1.44 1.25 1.00 0.86 0.35Bahrain 2.21 1.68 1.29 1.04 0.37Bangladesh 2.12 2.09 1.74 1.29 0.70Barbados 0.37 0.35 0.27 0.11 -0.60Belarus -0.28 -0.40 -0.32 -0.37 -0.57Belgium 0.22 0.09 -0.05 -0.08 -0.33Belize 2.17 1.89 1.32 1.18 0.52Benin 2.66 2.81 2.64 2.29 1.21Bhutan 2.60 2.62 2.52 2.14 1.20Bolivia 2.33 2.15 1.85 1.48 0.82Bosnia and Herzegovina 3.02 1.13 0.05 -0.37 -0.93Botswana 1.61 0.54 0.80 0.66 0.57Brazil 1.33 1.22 1.01 0.78 0.32Brunei Darussalam 2.18 1.81 1.41 1.20 0.52Bulgaria -1.12 -0.98 -1.05 -1.09 -1.30Burkina Faso 2.32 3.01 3.21 3.04 1.86Burundi 0.89 3.00 2.54 2.23 1.59Cambodia 2.80 2.43 2.22 1.66 1.04Cameroon 2.28 2.14 1.95 1.62 1.07Canada 0.93 0.80 0.71 0.62 0.30Cape Verde 2.30 2.14 1.65 1.25 0.57Central African Republic 2.10 1.64 1.92 1.84 1.11Chad 3.15 3.07 2.93 2.75 1.48Channel Islands 0.10 0.05 -0.19 -0.28 -0.81Chile 1.36 1.18 1.03 0.81 0.36China 0.90 0.71 0.63 0.34 -0.26China, Hong Kong SAR 2 1.99 1.16 0.93 0.73 0.22China, Macao SAR 3 1.30 0.85 0.72 0.51 -0.21Colombia 1.77 1.59 1.37 1.10 0.52Comoros 2.95 2.92 2.56 2.07 1.18Congo 2.96 3.03 2.94 2.80 1.54Costa Rica 2.48 2.03 1.49 1.17 0.57Côte d'Ivoire 2.14 2.07 1.85 1.38 0.89Croatia 0.09 0.03 -0.12 -0.26 -0.36Cuba 0.42 0.30 0.23 0.02 -0.61Cyprus 1.05 0.77 0.55 0.32 -0.06Czech Republic -0.11 -0.10 -0.22 -0.34 -0.65Dem. Peoples's Rep. of Korea 0.82 0.68 0.59 0.56 0.26Dem. Rep. of the Congo 2.56 3.34 3.30 3.05 1.60Denmark 0.35 0.16 -0.01 -0.02 -0.30Djibouti 2.96 1.03 0.70 1.39 0.92Dominican Republic 1.68 1.50 1.04 0.67 0.21East Timor -2.60 3.93 1.50 0.73 0.47

Table 6. Annual population growth rate by country, for selected periods (medium-variant)

Annual population growth rate (percentage)Country or area*

43

1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015 2020-2025 2045-2050

Table 6. Annual population growth rate, by country, for selected periods (medium-fertility variant)


Ecuador 1.97 1.74 1.35 1.03 0.48Egypt 1.82 1.67 1.26 1.10 0.54El Salvador 2.04 1.82 1.40 1.10 0.54Equatorial Guinea 2.68 2.82 2.69 2.43 1.26Eritrea 2.75 4.22 2.31 2.03 1.14Estonia -1.26 -1.14 -1.02 -1.20 -1.51Ethiopia 2.55 2.41 2.34 2.33 1.63Fiji 1.16 1.06 0.64 0.23 -0.50Finland 0.25 0.07 -0.03 -0.10 -0.39France 0.37 0.36 0.22 0.11 -0.16French Guiana 3.50 3.15 2.70 2.37 1.34French Polynesia 1.67 1.56 1.22 0.95 0.43Gabon 2.63 2.48 2.28 2.09 1.24Gambia 3.11 2.38 1.83 1.44 0.77Georgia -0.34 -0.53 -0.74 -0.92 -1.46Germany 0.09 -0.04 -0.17 -0.24 -0.52Ghana 2.20 2.20 1.94 1.46 0.86Greece 0.30 0.04 -0.20 -0.34 -0.61Guadeloupe 0.90 0.79 0.49 0.29 -0.32Guam 1.42 2.15 1.81 1.30 0.79Guatemala 2.64 2.58 2.20 1.73 0.96Guinea 2.13 1.48 2.45 2.15 1.09Guinea-Bissau 2.14 2.41 2.40 2.24 1.19Guyana 0.47 0.20 -0.39 -0.70 -1.89Haiti 1.59 1.55 1.45 1.15 0.58Honduras 2.64 2.30 1.78 1.41 0.73Hungary -0.49 -0.50 -0.50 -0.54 -0.66Iceland 0.87 0.67 0.52 0.44 0.05India 1.69 1.52 1.11 0.92 0.41Indonesia 1.41 1.21 1.01 0.82 0.35Iran (Islamic Republic of) 1.69 1.38 1.50 1.21 0.62Iraq 2.70 2.75 2.29 1.68 0.96Ireland 1.05 0.96 0.97 0.65 0.40Israel 2.43 2.02 1.24 0.94 0.50Italy 0.08 -0.13 -0.41 -0.56 -0.98Jamaica 0.83 0.89 0.95 0.94 0.43Japan 0.26 0.14 -0.11 -0.35 -0.59Jordan 2.90 2.80 2.26 1.75 0.95Kazakhstan -0.54 -0.37 0.20 0.02 -0.37Kenya 2.32 1.91 1.59 1.01 0.74Kuwait 2.48 2.56 2.24 1.30 0.61Kyrgyzstan 1.51 1.16 1.15 0.95 0.45Lao People's Dem. Republic 2.38 2.30 2.08 1.59 0.90Latvia -0.77 -0.56 -0.56 -0.67 -0.74Lebanon 1.97 1.55 0.98 0.77 0.09Lesotho 1.69 0.74 0.14 0.44 0.62Liberia 7.07 5.53 3.40 3.18 1.89Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 2.13 2.20 1.55 1.19 0.61Lithuania -0.10 -0.24 -0.32 -0.38 -0.62Luxembourg 1.28 1.20 1.09 1.05 0.79Madagascar 2.94 2.83 2.64 2.37 1.24Malawi 2.42 2.16 2.20 2.20 1.49Malaysia 2.09 1.72 1.31 1.13 0.54Maldives 3.02 3.01 2.86 2.35 1.27

44

1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015 2020-2025 2045-2050



Mali 2.68 2.91 2.95 2.81 1.76Malta 0.63 0.40 0.31 0.10 -0.24Martinique 0.59 0.54 0.37 0.23 -0.28Mauritania 3.16 2.96 2.76 2.56 1.30Mauritius 4 0.83 0.80 0.70 0.48 -0.03Mexico 1.63 1.42 1.09 0.82 0.24Mongolia 0.97 1.14 1.45 1.10 0.46Morocco 1.87 1.78 1.29 1.06 0.47Mozambique 2.31 1.76 1.66 1.74 0.97Myanmar 1.48 1.16 0.84 0.84 0.31Namibia 2.06 1.71 1.96 1.73 0.97Nepal 2.40 2.32 2.11 1.76 1.01Netherlands 0.52 0.35 0.13 0.08 -0.29Netherlands Antilles 0.99 0.86 0.71 0.42 -0.06New Caledonia 2.18 1.93 1.47 1.26 0.70New Zealand 0.94 0.73 0.49 0.37 0.01Nicaragua 2.72 2.59 2.11 1.65 0.89Niger 3.46 3.63 3.46 3.26 2.38Nigeria 2.74 2.61 2.36 1.93 1.09Norway 0.50 0.37 0.24 0.28 -0.01Occupied Palestinian Terr. 3.83 3.59 3.22 2.86 1.39Oman 3.29 3.27 3.12 2.63 1.42Pakistan 2.66 2.54 2.38 1.94 1.03Panama 1.64 1.43 1.10 0.85 0.26Papua New Guinea 2.34 2.24 2.07 1.82 0.95Paraguay 2.59 2.46 2.15 1.75 0.94Peru 1.73 1.60 1.29 1.02 0.46Philippines 2.03 1.86 1.29 1.08 0.47Poland 0.01 -0.09 -0.12 -0.26 -0.47Portugal 0.20 0.13 -0.10 -0.22 -0.50Puerto Rico 1.03 0.88 0.65 0.45 0.03Qatar 1.99 1.51 1.21 0.72 0.31Republic of Korea 0.78 0.66 0.40 0.25 -0.25Republic of Moldova -0.20 -0.26 -0.18 -0.28 -0.60Reunion 1.67 1.33 0.85 0.71 0.18Romania -0.22 -0.26 -0.35 -0.42 -0.58Russian Federation -0.36 -0.64 -0.54 -0.63 -0.82Rwanda 8.48 2.11 2.17 1.99 1.00Saint Lucia 1.14 1.07 0.72 0.52 -0.03Samoa 0.02 0.35 1.26 1.04 0.24Saudi Arabia 3.49 3.11 2.81 2.29 1.22Senegal 2.54 2.51 2.29 1.89 1.07Sierra Leone 1.53 4.54 2.49 2.38 1.31Singapore 2.90 1.74 0.65 0.48 -0.60Slovakia 0.13 0.08 -0.04 -0.25 -0.67Slovenia -0.02 -0.12 -0.31 -0.46 -0.91Solomon Islands 3.44 3.32 2.99 2.61 1.34Somalia 3.56 4.21 3.30 3.14 2.19South Africa 1.57 0.77 -0.23 -0.09 0.54Spain 0.09 -0.02 -0.28 -0.46 -0.95Sri Lanka 0.96 0.94 0.71 0.42 -0.13Sudan 2.13 2.30 1.86 1.44 0.82Suriname 0.39 0.44 0.19 0.08 -0.47Swaziland 2.04 0.92 0.70 1.11 0.76

45

1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015 2020-2025 2045-2050



Sweden 0.03 -0.13 -0.18 -0.12 -0.37Switzerland 0.15 -0.06 -0.29 -0.39 -0.86Syrian Arab Republic 2.59 2.55 2.21 1.48 0.85Tajikistan 1.17 0.69 1.40 1.18 0.55TFYR Macedonia 5 0.71 0.30 0.04 -0.08 -0.47Thailand 1.34 1.14 0.79 0.63 0.01Togo 3.27 2.55 2.42 2.15 1.14Trinidad and Tobago 0.50 0.45 0.49 0.24 -0.39Tunisia 1.12 1.14 1.15 0.83 0.32Turkey 1.62 1.32 1.00 0.88 0.34Turkmenistan 2.36 1.88 1.40 1.19 0.57Uganda 2.95 3.19 3.46 3.21 1.92Ukraine -0.78 -0.94 -0.86 -0.94 -1.25United Arab Emirates 2.05 1.72 1.11 0.61 0.15United Kingdom 0.27 0.18 0.10 0.10 -0.25United Republic of Tanzania 2.58 2.32 2.26 1.92 1.04United States of America 1.05 0.89 0.81 0.74 0.47Uruguay 0.73 0.70 0.58 0.53 0.27Uzbekistan 1.76 1.39 1.37 1.02 0.47Vanuatu 2.67 2.52 2.26 1.82 0.96Venezuela 2.02 1.82 1.45 1.10 0.56Viet Nam 1.40 1.30 1.25 1.03 0.45Western Sahara 3.34 2.95 2.12 1.63 1.01Yemen 4.17 4.07 3.82 3.71 2.45Yugoslavia 0.01 -0.15 -0.18 -0.29 -0.49Zambia 2.46 2.09 2.61 2.45 1.13Zimbabwe 1.91 1.73 1.71 1.15 0.79


46

0-14 15-59 60+ 0-14 15-59 60+

World 30.0 60.0 10.0 21.0 58.0 21.1

Afghanistan 43.5 51.8 4.7 30.5 61.8 7.7Albania 30.0 61.1 9.0 19.0 56.4 24.6Algeria 34.8 59.1 6.0 19.7 58.1 22.2Angola 48.2 47.3 4.5 36.7 58.1 5.2Argentina 27.7 59.0 13.3 19.7 56.9 23.4Armenia 23.7 63.1 13.2 12.2 48.3 39.5Australia 1 20.5 63.1 16.3 17.7 54.1 28.2Austria 16.6 62.6 20.7 11.6 47.4 41.0Azerbaijan 29.0 60.5 10.5 15.1 52.8 32.1Bahamas 29.6 62.4 8.0 19.8 56.7 23.5Bahrain 28.2 67.1 4.7 18.2 56.9 24.9Bangladesh 38.7 56.4 4.9 22.0 62.0 16.0Barbados 20.7 66.0 13.4 15.0 49.6 35.4Belarus 18.7 62.4 18.9 14.6 49.6 35.8Belgium 17.3 60.6 22.1 14.2 50.3 35.5Belize 38.4 55.6 6.0 19.8 58.5 21.7Benin 46.4 49.4 4.2 27.3 63.8 8.9Bhutan 42.7 50.8 6.5 24.2 63.6 12.2Bolivia 39.6 54.2 6.2 21.8 61.8 16.4Bosnia and Herzegovina 18.9 66.1 14.9 12.9 49.3 37.7Botswana 42.1 53.4 4.5 24.6 63.5 11.9Brazil 28.8 63.4 7.8 19.9 56.5 23.6Brunei Darussalam 31.9 63.0 5.1 18.8 57.4 23.8Bulgaria 15.7 62.6 21.7 13.8 47.6 38.6Burkina Faso 48.7 46.5 4.8 33.9 59.5 6.5Burundi 47.6 48.1 4.3 33.3 59.9 6.8Cambodia 43.9 51.8 4.4 24.3 64.0 11.7Cameroon 43.1 51.3 5.6 24.8 64.1 11.2Canada 19.1 64.2 16.7 16.3 53.2 30.5Cape Verde 39.3 54.2 6.5 20.7 59.7 19.6Central African Republic 43.0 50.9 6.1 25.9 64.7 9.4Chad 46.5 48.6 4.9 30.9 62.3 6.8Channel Islands 17.5 62.8 19.7 13.3 51.1 35.5Chile 28.5 61.4 10.2 19.8 56.7 23.5China 24.8 65.0 10.1 16.3 53.8 29.9China, Hong Kong SAR 2 16.3 69.3 14.3 13.9 50.7 35.4China, Macao SAR 3 22.1 68.2 9.7 12.5 49.1 38.5Colombia 32.8 60.3 6.9 20.3 58.2 21.5Comoros 43.0 52.8 4.2 23.8 64.0 12.2Congo 46.3 48.7 5.1 31.0 62.0 6.9Costa Rica 32.4 60.2 7.5 20.2 57.5 22.3Côte d'Ivoire 42.1 52.9 5.0 24.3 63.3 12.4Croatia 18.0 61.8 20.2 16.3 53.0 30.8Cuba 21.2 65.1 13.7 15.4 50.6 34.0Cyprus 23.1 61.2 15.7 16.7 53.4 29.9Czech Republic 16.4 65.2 18.4 13.6 46.3 40.1Dem. Peoples's Rep. of Korea 26.5 63.5 10.0 19.6 58.0 22.4Dem. Rep. of the Congo 48.8 46.7 4.5 31.7 62.1 6.2Denmark 18.3 61.8 20.0 15.2 53.0 31.8Djibouti 43.2 51.2 5.5 28.1 66.1 5.8

Table 7. Percentage distribution of the population in major age groups by country, 2000 and 2050 (medium-variant)

2050Age groups Age groups

2000Country or area*

47

0-14 15-59 60+ 0-14 15-59 60+

Table 7. Percentage distribution of the population in selected age groups, by country, 2000 and 2050 (medium-fertility variant)



Dominican Republic 33.5 59.9 6.6 21.0 58.4 20.7East Timor 43.0 52.2 4.7 21.8 60.3 18.0Ecuador 33.8 59.2 6.9 20.0 58.1 21.9Egypt 35.4 58.3 6.3 20.1 59.1 20.8El Salvador 35.6 57.2 7.2 20.6 58.8 20.6Equatorial Guinea 43.7 50.3 6.0 27.2 64.2 8.6Eritrea 43.9 51.4 4.7 25.3 64.7 10.0Estonia 17.7 62.1 20.2 15.6 48.5 35.9Ethiopia 45.2 50.1 4.7 32.5 60.9 6.6Fiji 33.3 60.9 5.7 17.8 58.9 23.3Finland 18.0 62.0 19.9 15.0 50.6 34.4France 18.7 60.7 20.5 16.0 51.3 32.7French Guiana 34.8 58.8 6.4 24.0 61.7 14.3French Polynesia 30.8 62.3 6.8 19.7 57.1 23.2Gabon 40.2 51.1 8.7 25.7 65.0 9.3Gambia 40.3 54.6 5.2 23.5 64.5 12.0Georgia 20.5 60.8 18.7 14.4 49.8 35.8Germany 15.5 61.2 23.2 12.4 49.5 38.1Ghana 40.9 54.0 5.1 23.2 62.1 14.7Greece 15.1 61.5 23.4 13.1 46.2 40.7Guadeloupe 24.5 62.7 12.7 16.5 52.3 31.2Guam 34.7 56.9 8.4 21.9 62.1 15.9Guatemala 43.6 51.1 5.3 22.6 62.9 14.4Guinea 44.1 51.5 4.4 26.2 64.3 9.6Guinea-Bissau 43.5 50.9 5.6 28.1 64.0 7.9Guyana 30.6 62.5 6.9 17.2 51.8 31.0Haiti 40.6 53.8 5.6 22.9 61.5 15.6Honduras 41.8 53.1 5.1 21.9 61.7 16.4Hungary 16.9 63.3 19.7 14.4 49.4 36.2Iceland 23.3 61.6 15.1 17.3 53.2 29.5India 33.5 58.9 7.6 19.7 59.7 20.6Indonesia 30.8 61.6 7.6 19.9 57.7 22.3Iran (Islamic Republic of) 37.4 57.4 5.2 20.1 58.1 21.7Iraq 41.6 53.8 4.6 22.5 62.4 15.1Ireland 21.6 63.2 15.2 19.1 53.3 27.6Israel 28.3 58.6 13.2 18.9 56.3 24.8Italy 14.3 61.7 24.1 11.5 46.2 42.3Jamaica 31.5 58.9 9.6 19.3 56.7 24.0Japan 14.7 62.1 23.2 12.5 45.2 42.3Jordan 40.0 55.4 4.5 22.5 61.9 15.6Kazakhstan 27.0 61.8 11.2 17.7 56.8 25.4Kenya 43.5 52.3 4.2 24.3 62.7 13.0Kuwait 31.3 64.3 4.4 19.7 54.7 25.7Kyrgyzstan 33.9 57.1 9.0 20.0 57.7 22.3Lao People's Dem. Republic 42.7 51.6 5.6 23.2 63.4 13.3Latvia 17.4 61.7 20.9 15.0 47.5 37.5Lebanon 31.1 60.3 8.5 17.5 57.1 25.4Lesotho 39.3 54.2 6.5 24.5 66.0 9.5Liberia 42.7 52.8 4.5 33.5 59.8 6.7Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 33.9 60.6 5.5 20.1 58.7 21.1Lithuania 19.5 62.0 18.6 14.6 48.1 37.3Luxembourg 18.7 62.0 19.4 17.7 57.1 25.2Madagascar 44.7 50.5 4.7 26.8 63.9 9.3

48

0-14 15-59 60+ 0-14 15-59 60+




Malawi 46.3 49.0 4.6 32.2 61.2 6.6Malaysia 34.1 59.3 6.6 19.8 59.4 20.8Maldives 43.7 51.0 5.3 24.2 63.7 12.1Mali 46.1 48.1 5.7 33.6 59.4 7.0Malta 20.2 62.9 17.0 15.3 51.1 33.6Martinique 22.5 62.5 15.0 15.7 51.7 32.6Mauritania 44.1 51.1 4.7 27.2 63.8 8.9Mauritius 4 25.6 65.4 9.0 17.4 56.4 26.1Mexico 33.1 59.9 6.9 19.3 56.3 24.4Mongolia 35.2 59.2 5.6 19.7 57.2 23.1Morocco 34.7 59.0 6.4 20.1 59.3 20.6Mozambique 43.9 50.9 5.1 26.8 65.4 7.8Myanmar 33.1 60.1 6.8 19.7 58.7 21.6Namibia 43.7 50.6 5.6 24.7 64.2 11.1Nepal 41.0 53.1 5.9 23.6 64.0 12.4Netherlands 18.3 63.4 18.3 14.7 52.5 32.8Netherlands Antilles 24.6 63.8 11.6 17.4 55.8 26.8New Caledonia 29.9 61.9 8.2 19.5 58.0 22.6New Zealand 23.0 61.5 15.6 17.1 53.7 29.3Nicaragua 42.6 52.8 4.6 22.0 61.9 16.1Niger 49.9 46.9 3.3 38.4 56.6 5.0Nigeria 45.1 50.2 4.8 25.1 64.6 10.3Norway 19.8 60.7 19.6 16.1 51.7 32.3Occupied Palestinian Terr. 46.4 48.7 4.9 26.7 63.3 9.9Oman 44.1 51.7 4.2 26.8 62.7 10.5Pakistan 41.8 52.5 5.8 23.1 64.4 12.4Panama 31.3 60.6 8.1 19.1 56.5 24.4Papua New Guinea 40.1 55.7 4.1 23.2 64.6 12.1Paraguay 39.5 55.1 5.3 22.2 61.9 16.0Peru 33.4 59.4 7.2 19.8 57.8 22.4Philippines 37.5 56.9 5.5 20.3 60.1 19.5Poland 19.2 64.3 16.6 15.7 48.7 35.6Portugal 16.7 62.5 20.8 14.4 49.9 35.7Puerto Rico 23.8 61.9 14.3 17.0 55.1 27.9Qatar 26.7 70.2 3.1 19.8 59.5 20.7Republic of Korea 20.8 68.2 11.0 16.5 50.4 33.2Republic of Moldova 23.1 63.2 13.7 15.3 52.2 32.5Reunion 28.1 62.1 9.9 17.4 56.2 26.5Romania 18.3 62.9 18.8 15.9 50.0 34.2Russian Federation 18.0 63.5 18.5 13.5 49.3 37.2Rwanda 44.3 51.5 4.2 27.2 63.8 9.0Saint Lucia 32.1 60.2 7.8 19.7 58.3 22.0Samoa 41.2 52.0 6.8 22.7 62.6 14.7Saudi Arabia 42.9 52.3 4.8 23.1 64.0 12.9Senegal 44.3 51.5 4.2 24.4 64.7 11.0Sierra Leone 44.2 51.0 4.8 31.0 62.2 6.8Singapore 21.9 67.6 10.6 13.9 51.1 35.0Slovakia 19.5 65.1 15.4 13.2 50.0 36.8Slovenia 15.9 65.0 19.2 12.4 45.1 42.4Solomon Islands 44.8 51.0 4.2 24.6 64.5 10.8Somalia 48.0 48.1 3.9 36.3 58.0 5.7South Africa 34.0 60.3 5.7 23.6 62.7 13.7Spain 14.7 63.5 21.8 11.4 44.5 44.1

49

0-14 15-59 60+ 0-14 15-59 60+




Sri Lanka 26.3 64.4 9.3 17.3 55.1 27.6Sudan 40.1 54.4 5.5 22.7 62.9 14.4Suriname 30.5 61.4 8.1 16.5 54.1 29.4Swaziland 41.6 53.1 5.3 25.8 65.0 9.1Sweden 18.2 59.4 22.4 14.0 48.3 37.7Switzerland 16.7 62.1 21.3 12.5 48.6 38.9Syrian Arab Republic 40.8 54.4 4.7 21.8 60.2 18.0Tajikistan 39.4 53.8 6.8 20.0 59.0 21.0TFYR Macedonia 5 22.6 63.0 14.4 14.2 52.0 33.8Thailand 26.7 65.2 8.1 17.1 55.8 27.1Togo 44.3 50.9 4.9 25.4 64.5 10.1Trinidad and Tobago 25.0 65.4 9.6 16.4 50.3 33.3Tunisia 29.7 61.9 8.4 19.6 55.9 24.6Turkey 30.0 61.5 8.4 19.5 57.5 23.0Turkmenistan 37.6 55.9 6.5 20.1 60.0 19.9Uganda 49.2 47.0 3.8 34.8 59.5 5.7Ukraine 17.8 61.6 20.5 12.9 49.0 38.1United Arab Emirates 26.0 68.9 5.1 18.6 54.8 26.7United Kingdom 19.0 60.4 20.6 15.0 51.1 34.0United Republic of Tanzania 45.0 51.0 4.0 24.3 64.6 11.0United States of America 21.7 62.1 16.1 18.5 54.6 26.9Uruguay 24.8 58.1 17.2 19.2 55.9 24.9Uzbekistan 36.3 56.7 7.1 19.9 57.8 22.3Vanuatu 42.0 53.0 5.0 22.7 63.4 13.9Venezuela 34.0 59.4 6.6 20.2 58.4 21.4Viet Nam 33.4 59.2 7.5 19.8 56.6 23.5Western Sahara 36.4 55.9 7.7 22.0 62.2 15.9Yemen 50.1 46.3 3.6 37.0 57.7 5.3Yugoslavia 20.0 61.7 18.3 15.2 52.4 32.5Zambia 46.5 48.9 4.5 28.6 63.6 7.9Zimbabwe 45.2 50.1 4.7 24.9 63.8 11.3


50

Table 8. Countries with a population of 50 million or more, 1950, 2000 and 2050 (medium-variant)

CountryPopulation

in 1950 (000)

Cumulated percentage

CountryPopulation

in 2000 (000)


CountryPopulation

in 2050 (000)


1 China 554 760 22.0 1 China 1 275 133 21.1 1 India 1 572 055 16.92 India 357 561 36.2 2 India 1 008 937 37.7 2 China 1 462 058 32.53 United States of America 157 813 42.5 3 United States of America 283 230 42.4 3 United States of America 397 063 36.84 Russian Federation 102 702 46.6 4 Indonesia 212 092 45.9 4 Pakistan 344 170 40.55 Japan 83 625 49.9 5 Brazil 170 406 48.7 5 Indonesia 311 335 43.86 Indonesia 79 538 53.0 6 Russian Federation 145 491 51.1 6 Nigeria 278 788 46.87 Germany 68 376 55.7 7 Pakistan 141 256 53.4 7 Bangladesh 265 432 49.78 Brazil 53 975 57.9 8 Bangladesh 137 439 55.7 8 Brazil 247 244 52.39 United Kingdom 50 616 59.9 9 Japan 127 096 57.8 9 Dem. Rep. of the Congo 203 527 54.5

10 Nigeria 113 862 59.7 10 Ethiopia 186 452 56.511 Mexico 98 872 61.3 11 Mexico 146 651 58.112 Germany 82 017 62.7 12 Philippines 128 383 59.513 Viet Nam 78 137 64.0 13 Viet Nam 123 782 60.814 Philippines 75 653 65.2 14 Iran (Islamic Republic of) 121 424 62.115 Iran (Islamic Republic of) 70 330 66.4 15 Egypt 113 840 63.316 Egypt 67 884 67.5 16 Japan 109 220 64.517 Turkey 66 668 68.6 17 Russian Federation 104 258 65.618 Ethiopia 62 908 69.6 18 Yemen 102 379 66.719 Thailand 62 806 70.7 19 Uganda 101 524 67.820 United Kingdom 59 415 71.6 20 Turkey 98 818 68.921 France 59 238 72.6 21 United Republic of Tanzania 82 740 69.722 Italy 57 530 73.6 22 Thailand 82 491 70.623 Dem. Rep. of the Congo 50 948 74.4 23 Afghanistan 72 267 71.4

24 Colombia 70 862 72.225 Germany 70 805 72.926 Myanmar 68 546 73.727 Sudan 63 530 74.328 France 61 832 75.029 Saudi Arabia 59 683 75.630 United Kingdom 58 933 76.331 Kenya 55 368 76.932 Argentina 54 522 77.433 Iraq 53 574 78.034 Angola 53 328 78.635 Nepal 52 415 79.236 Niger 51 872 79.737 Republic of Korea 51 560 80.338 Algeria 51 180 80.839 Morocco 50 361 81.4


Table 9. Countries accounting for 75 per cent of population growth in the world in 1950-1955, 2000-2005 and 2045-2050 (medium-variant)

Country

Annual population increase

1950-1955 (000)


Country

Annual population

increase 2000-2005 (000)


Country

Annual population increase

2045-2050 (000)


1 China 10 849 23 1 India 15 929 21 1 India 6 361 152 India 7 507 39 2 China 9 246 33 2 Pakistan 3 455 233 United States of America 2 652 45 3 Pakistan 3 818 38 3 Dem. Rep. of the Congo 3 129 304 Brazil 1 782 48 4 Nigeria 3 172 42 4 Nigeria 2 965 375 Russian Federation 1 740 52 5 Bangladesh 3 023 46 5 Ethiopia 2 917 436 Indonesia 1 384 55 6 Indonesia 2 649 49 6 Yemen 2 362 497 Japan 1 238 58 7 United States of America 2 567 53 7 Uganda 1 861 538 Bangladesh 864 60 8 Brazil 2 136 55 8 Bangladesh 1 832 579 Pakistan 816 61 9 Dem. Rep. of the Congo 1 852 58 9 United States of America 1 827 61

10 Mexico 800 63 10 Ethiopia 1 611 60 10 Niger 1 166 6411 Nigeria 707 64 11 Philippines 1 470 62 11 Indonesia 1 075 6712 Philippines 645 66 12 Mexico 1 453 64 12 Angola 1 070 6913 Thailand 627 67 13 Egypt 1 184 65 13 Afghanistan 998 7114 Turkey 610 68 14 Viet Nam 1 052 67 14 Somalia 850 7315 Egypt 572 70 15 Iran (Islamic Republic of) 1 007 68 15 United Rep. of Tanzania 837 7516 Ukraine 560 71 16 Turkey 908 6917 Viet Nam 537 72 17 Afghanistan 880 7018 Poland 491 73 18 United Rep. of Tanzania 863 7119 Iran (Islamic Republic of) 436 74 19 Yemen 827 7220 Canada 400 75 20 Uganda 805 73

21 Sudan 758 7422 Thailand 739 75

WORLD 47 044 100 WORLD 76 857 100 WORLD 43 496 100


Country or area** Total fertility Country or area** Total fertility

1. Niger 8.00 1. Niger 3.822. Yemen 7.60 2. Yemen 3.353. Somalia 7.25 3. Somalia 3.274. Angola 7.20 4. Angola 3.265. Uganda 7.10 5. Uganda 2.856. Mali 7.00 6. Mali 2.857. Afghanistan 6.80 7. Afghanistan 2.828. Burkina Faso 6.80 8. Burkina Faso 2.829. Burundi 6.80 9. Burundi 2.81

10. Liberia 6.80 10. Liberia 2.81

1. Latvia 1.10 1. Germany 1.612. Armenia 1.10 2. Italy 1.613. Bulgaria 1.10 3. Spain 1.644. China, Macao SAR 1 1.10 4. Austria 1.655. Ukraine 1.10 5. Bosnia and Herzegovina 1.706. Spain 1.13 6. Channel Islands 1.707. Slovenia 1.14 7. China, Hong Kong SAR 1.708. Russian Federation 1.14 8. China, Macao SAR 1.709. Czech Republic 1.16 9. Slovakia 1.70

10. China, Hong Kong SAR 2 1.17 10. Ukraine 1.70

WORLD 2.68 WORLD 2.15

Source : United Nations Population Division.

1 As of December 20th 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.2 As of July 1st 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.* Average number of children per woman** Countries or areas with 140,000 persons or more in 2000.

Table 10. Ten countries or areas with highest and ten countries or areas with the lowest total fertility*, 2000-2005 and 2045-2050 (medium-variant)

B. Lowest total fertility

2045-20502000-2005

A. Highest total fertility

53

Country or area* Life expectancy Country or area* Life expectancy

1. Japan 81.5 1. Japan 88.02. Sweden 80.1 2. China, Hong Kong SAR1 84.73. China, Hong Kong SAR 1 79.9 3. Sweden 84.64. Iceland 79.4 4. Malta 84.05. China, Macao SAR 2 79.3 5. France 84.06. Australia 79.2 6. Belgium 83.87. Israel 79.2 7. China, Macao SAR2 83.88. Martinique 79.1 8. Norway 83.79. Switzerland 79.1 9. Austria 83.6

10. France 79.0 10. Israel 83.5

1. Botswana 36.1 1. Sierra Leone 61.52. Mozambique 38.0 2. Afghanistan 62.43. Swaziland 38.1 3. Swaziland 62.74. Malawi 39.3 4. Mozambique 62.85. Lesotho 40.2 5. Botswana 63.26. Sierra Leone 40.5 6. Djibouti 63.37. Djibouti 40.6 7. Malawi 64.08. Burundi 40.6 8. Rwanda 64.29. Rwanda 40.9 9. Burundi 64.3

10. Zambia 42.2 10. Angola 64.5



1 As of July 1st 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.2 As of December 20th 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.* Countries or areas with 140,000 persons or more in 2000.

Table 11. Ten countries or areas with the highest and ten countries or areas with the lowest life expectancy at birth, 2000-2005 and 2045-2050

B. Lowest life expectancy at birth

2045-20502000-2005

A. Highest life expectancy at birth

54

Country or area*Annual

growth rate (percentage)

Country or area*Annual

growth rate (percentage)

1. Liberia 5.53 1. Yemen 2.452. Sierra Leone 4.54 2. Niger 2.383. Eritrea 4.22 3. Somalia 2.194. Somalia 4.21 4. Angola 2.115. Yemen 4.07 5. Uganda 1.926. Afghanistan 3.68 6. Liberia 1.897. Niger 3.63 7. Burkina Faso 1.868. Occupied Palestinian Terr. 3.59 8. Mali 1.769. Dem. Rep. of the Congo 3.34 9. Ethiopia 1.63

10. Oman 3.27 10. Dem. Rep. of the Congo 1.60

1. Estonia -1.14 1. Estonia -1.512. Bulgaria -0.98 2. Georgia -1.463. Ukraine -0.94 3. Bulgaria -1.304. Russian Federation -0.64 4. Ukraine -1.255. Latvia -0.56 5. Italy -0.986. Georgia -0.53 6. Armenia -0.957. Hungary -0.50 7. Spain -0.958. Belarus -0.40 8. Bosnia and Herzegovina -0.939. Kazakhstan -0.37 9. Slovenia -0.91

10. Republic of Moldova -0.26 10. Switzerland -0.86



* Countries or areas with 1 million persons or more in 2000.

Table 12. Ten countries or areas with the highest and ten countries or areas with the lowest rates of population growth, 2000-2005 and 2045-2050 (medium-variant)

B. Lowest rate of population growth

2045-20502000-2005

A. Highest rate of population growth

55

Country or area*Rate of natural

increase (percentage)

Country or area*Rate of natural

increase (percentage)

1. Liberia 4.32 1. Yemen 2.452. Yemen 4.05 2. Niger 2.383. Niger 3.61 3. Somalia 2.204. Somalia 3.48 4. Angola 2.115. Occupied Palestinian Terr. 3.47 5. Uganda 1.926. Dem. Rep. of the Congo 3.36 6. Burkina Faso 1.887. Uganda 3.34 7. Liberia 1.888. Mali 3.23 8. Mali 1.849. Angola 3.22 9. Ethiopia 1.63

10. Oman 3.19 10. Burundi 1.61

1. Ukraine -0.73 1. Italy -1.122. Bulgaria -0.72 2. Spain -1.043. Russian Federation -0.67 3. Slovenia -0.974. Latvia -0.56 4. Ukraine -0.935. Belarus -0.50 5. Bosnia and Herzegovina -0.936. Hungary -0.46 6. Switzerland -0.937. Estonia -0.46 7. Austria -0.908. Germany -0.26 8. Bulgaria -0.879. Sweden -0.24 9. Russian Federation -0.87

10. Lithuania -0.24 10. Greece -0.82



* Countries or areas with 1 million persons or more in 2000.

Table 13. Ten countries or areas with the highest and ten countries or areas with the lowest rates of natural increase, 2000-2005 and 2045-2050 (medium-variant)

B. Lowest rate of natural increase

2045-20502000-2005

A. Highest rate of natural increase

56

Country or area* Median age Country or area* Median age

1. Japan 41.2 1. Spain 55.22. Italy 40.2 2. Slovenia 54.13. Switzerland 40.2 3. Italy 54.14. Germany 40.1 4. Austria 53.75. Sweden 39.7 5. Armenia 53.46. Finland 39.4 6. Japan 53.17. Bulgaria 39.1 7. Czech Republic 52.48. Belgium 39.1 8. Greece 52.39. Greece 39.1 9. Switzerland 52.0

10. Denmark 38.7 10. China, Macao SAR 1 51.9

1. Yemen 15.0 1. Niger 20.42. Niger 15.1 2. Yemen 21.13. Uganda 15.4 3. Angola 21.24. Burkina Faso 15.6 4. Somalia 21.55. Dem. Rep. of the Congo 15.6 5. Uganda 22.16. Angola 15.9 6. Burkina Faso 22.87. Somalia 16.0 7. Liberia 22.98. Burundi 16.0 8. Mali 22.99. Zambia 16.5 9. Burundi 23.2

10. Benin 16.6 10. Malawi 23.7



1 As of December 20th 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.* Countries or areas with 140,000 persons or more in 2000.

Table 14. Ten countries or areas with the oldest and ten countries with the youngest populations, 2000 and 2050 (medium-variant)

B. Youngest population

2000 2050

A. Oldest population

57

2000 2050 Absolute Percentage1 Russian Federation 145 491 104 258 -41,233 -28.32 Ukraine 49 568 29 959 -19,609 -39.63 Japan 127 096 109 220 -17,876 -14.14 Italy 57 530 42 962 -14,568 -25.35 Germany 82 017 70 805 -11,212 -13.76 Spain 39 910 31 282 -8,629 -21.67 Poland 38 605 33 370 -5,235 -13.68 Romania 22 438 18 150 -4,288 -19.19 Bulgaria 7 949 4 531 -3,419 -43.0

10 Hungary 9 968 7 486 -2,481 -24.911 Georgia 5 262 3 219 -2,043 -38.812 Belarus 10 187 8 305 -1,882 -18.513 Czech Republic 10 272 8 429 -1,842 -17.914 Austria 8 080 6 452 -1,628 -20.115 Greece 10 610 8 983 -1,627 -15.316 Switzerland 7 170 5 607 -1,563 -21.817 Yugoslavia 10 552 9 030 -1,522 -14.418 Sweden 8 842 7 777 -1,066 -12.119 Portugal 10 016 9 006 -1,010 -10.120 Kazakhstan 16 172 15 302 -871 -5.421 Slovakia 5 399 4 674 -724 -13.422 Republic of Moldova 4 295 3 577 -718 -16.723 Lithuania 3 696 2 989 -707 -19.124 Latvia 2 421 1 744 -677 -28.025 Belgium 10 249 9 583 -667 -6.526 Estonia 1 393 752 -642 -46.127 Armenia 3 787 3 150 -637 -16.828 Bosnia and Herzegovina 3 977 3 458 -519 -13.029 United Kingdom 59 415 58 933 -482 -0.830 Finland 5 172 4 693 -479 -9.331 Croatia 4 654 4 179 -474 -10.232 Slovenia 1 988 1 527 -461 -23.233 Cuba 11 199 10 764 -435 -3.934 Guyana 761 504 -257 -33.735 Denmark 5 320 5 080 -240 -4.536 TFYR Macedonia 1 2 034 1 894 -140 -6.937 Channel Islands 144 120 -25 -17.238 Netherlands 15 864 15 845 -18 -0.139 Barbados 267 263 -4 -1.7


1 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.* Countries or areas with 140,000 persons or more in 2000.

Population (000) Difference

Table 15. Countries or areas whose population is projected to decrease between 2000 and 2050 (medium-variant)Rank order Country or area*

58

With AIDS

Without AIDS

With AIDS

Without AIDS

With AIDS

Without AIDS

Angola 44.6 46.5 45.8 48.5 49.0 52.5Bahamas 69.1 72.8 69.4 73.7 72.7 76.7Benin 53.5 55.0 54.0 57.0 56.0 61.0Botswana 44.4 67.6 36.1 69.7 43.0 73.0Brazil 67.2 67.6 68.3 68.9 70.8 71.3Burkina Faso 45.3 53.4 48.1 55.9 56.4 60.9Burundi 40.6 49.6 40.6 51.6 44.9 55.5Cambodia 56.5 58.0 56.2 60.3 59.2 64.8Cameroon 50.0 56.2 50.0 58.6 52.9 63.7Central African Republic 44.3 52.9 44.3 55.2 49.1 59.3Chad 45.2 47.2 46.3 48.8 50.9 53.4Congo 50.9 56.9 51.6 58.9 55.7 63.0Côte d'Ivoire 47.7 56.6 47.9 58.6 52.4 62.7Dem. Rep. of the Congo 50.5 54.9 52.1 58.2 56.3 62.1Djibouti 45.5 50.5 40.6 52.4 38.0 56.5Dominican Republic 67.3 68.2 66.9 69.6 66.1 71.9Eritrea 51.5 53.3 52.4 55.7 55.6 60.7Ethiopia 44.5 50.6 43.3 53.0 46.9 58.1Gabon 52.4 55.5 52.9 57.5 55.9 61.5Gambia 45.4 47.0 47.1 49.0 51.2 53.0Ghana 56.3 60.0 57.2 62.0 61.5 66.0Guinea-Bissau 44.1 45.7 45.4 47.8 49.2 51.8Guyana 63.7 65.4 62.4 66.8 61.6 70.8Haiti 52.0 57.1 53.3 59.0 57.8 63.0Honduras 65.6 67.1 65.8 67.8 67.7 69.7India 62.3 62.8 64.2 65.0 67.9 68.9Kenya 52.2 63.6 49.3 65.9 51.5 69.8Lesotho 51.2 61.4 40.2 63.7 37.8 67.9Liberia 48.1 51.8 55.6 59.3 60.7 63.6Malawi 40.7 51.2 39.3 53.2 43.1 57.3Mali 50.9 52.6 52.1 54.7 56.1 58.9Mozambique 40.6 47.0 38.0 49.0 41.0 53.0Myanmar 55.8 57.2 56.2 58.6 61.8 64.0Namibia 45.1 62.1 44.3 64.5 53.6 68.6Nigeria 51.3 55.6 52.1 58.1 55.9 63.1Rwanda 39.4 49.2 40.9 50.6 46.5 54.8Sierra Leone 37.3 39.0 40.5 43.0 44.5 47.0South Africa 56.7 63.3 47.4 65.8 42.0 69.6Swaziland 50.8 60.2 38.1 62.7 39.2 67.2Thailand 69.6 71.4 70.8 72.7 73.5 74.7Togo 51.3 57.1 52.2 59.2 57.0 63.3Uganda 41.9 52.0 46.0 54.2 54.3 58.3United Republic of Tanzania 51.1 57.1 51.1 59.2 56.3 63.3Zambia 40.5 57.6 42.2 59.6 52.1 63.6Zimbabwe 42.9 66.5 42.9 68.5 50.2 71.4

Table 16. Expectation of life at birth with and without AIDS for the most affected countries and groups of affected countries in major areas, 1995-2000, 2000-2005 and 2010-2015

Country2000-20051995-2000

Expectation of life at birth (years)2010-2015

59

With AIDS

Without AIDS

With AIDS

Without AIDS

With AIDS

Without AIDS

Table 16. Expectation of life at birth with and without AIDS for the most affected countries and groups of affected countries in major areas, 1995-2000, 2000-2005 and 2010-2015

Country2000-20051995-2000

Expectation of life at birth (years)2010-2015

All 45 countries 56.9 59.8 57.5 61.7 60.4 65.235 African countries 48.3 54.8 48.2 57.1 52.4 61.24 Asian countries 62.2 62.8 64.0 64.9 67.7 68.96 Latin American countries 66.1 66.9 67.2 68.2 69.5 70.7

9 countries with prevalence of 14 per cent or more 49.3 61.5 45.3 63.6 47.5 67.1

Source : United Nations Population Division

60

Excess deaths (000)

Percentage increase

Excess deaths (000)

Percentage increase

Excess deaths (000)

Percentage increase

Angola 60 5 87 7 122 9Bahamas 2 27 3 29 2 24Benin 20 6 42 11 85 21Botswana 83 193 148 342 109 234Brazil 142 3 193 3 195 3Burkina Faso 195 25 178 22 86 10Burundi 148 29 178 33 187 29Cambodia 38 6 115 18 181 29Cameroon 198 23 294 35 405 48Central African Republic 79 31 101 39 87 33Chad 39 6 49 7 48 6Congo 37 22 48 26 51 26Côte d'Ivoire 317 37 406 46 407 43Dem. Rep. of the Congo 463 15 649 21 682 20Djibouti 8 17 21 44 30 62Dominican Republic 14 6 46 18 115 39Eritrea 15 7 31 13 55 22Ethiopia 998 22 1 668 35 1 845 37Gabon 8 10 13 15 16 18Gambia 6 5 7 6 6 5Ghana 140 16 192 22 201 22Guinea-Bissau 5 5 8 7 8 7Guyana 3 9 8 27 15 58Haiti 90 21 101 23 90 21Honduras 15 8 22 11 26 11India 989 2 1 592 4 2 386 6Kenya 681 63 1 129 104 1 414 129Lesotho 47 49 132 141 166 179Liberia 19 10 23 12 22 12Malawi 295 33 418 45 411 41Mali 37 4 57 6 67 6Mozambique 333 21 631 38 609 35Myanmar 150 6 276 11 255 11Namibia 70 91 87 113 56 72Nigeria 1 025 16 1 504 23 2 000 30Rwanda 162 31 189 30 145 21Sierra Leone 27 5 35 6 33 5South Africa 654 41 2 191 138 3 469 208Swaziland 20 48 67 161 70 167Thailand 234 15 247 14 155 7Togo 54 23 70 28 66 25Uganda 521 31 365 20 100 5United Republic of Tanzania 459 27 661 37 569 31Zambia 440 77 435 73 233 37Zimbabwe 668 161 753 179 597 131

Table 17. Excess deaths in a projection with AIDS in relation to a projection assuming no AIDS for affected countries and groups of affected countries in major areas, 1995-2000, 2000-2005 and 2010-2015

Country

1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015

61

Excess deaths (000)

Percentage increase

Excess deaths (000)

Percentage increase

Excess deaths (000)

Percentage increase

Table 17. Excess deaths in a projection with AIDS in relation to a projection assuming no AIDS for affected countries and groups of affected countries in major areas, 1995-2000, 2000-2005 and 2010-2015

Country

1995-2000 2000-2005 2010-2015

All 45 countries 10 010 11 15 468 17 17 877 1935 African countries 8 332 25 12 866 37 14 457 404 Asian countries 1 412 3 2 230 5 2 976 66 Latin American countries 266 4 372 5 443 6

9 countries with prevalence of 14 per cent or more 2 958 61 5 361 110 6 526 128


62

Population difference

(000)

Percentage difference


(000)



(000)


Angola 147 1 723 3 3 563 6Bahamas 4 1 13 3 26 6Benin 35 1 314 3 1 616 8Botswana 113 7 675 28 1 610 43Brazil 231 0 883 0 1 754 1Burkina Faso 501 4 1 508 8 5 120 10Burundi 385 6 1 535 14 5 650 22Cambodia 46 0 621 3 1 986 6Cameroon 437 3 2 015 9 6 336 16Central African Republic 170 4 638 12 1 671 17Chad 95 1 377 3 1 377 5Congo 88 3 364 7 1 329 11Côte d'Ivoire 679 4 2 608 11 6 873 18Dem. Rep. of the Congo 994 2 4 611 5 18 485 8Djibouti 11 2 136 16 466 30Dominican Republic 17 0 287 3 1 147 9Eritrea 24 1 210 4 904 8Ethiopia 1 741 3 11 558 11 44 739 19Gabon 15 1 84 5 305 9Gambia 12 1 43 2 113 4Ghana 286 1 1 192 4 3 259 8Guinea-Bissau 10 1 51 3 171 5Guyana 3 0 43 5 116 19Haiti 203 2 611 6 1 538 10Honduras 27 0 113 1 329 2India 1 624 0 8 460 1 24 129 2Kenya 1 195 4 6 563 14 19 899 26Lesotho 62 3 731 25 1 967 44Liberia 45 2 177 3 765 5Malawi 605 5 2 856 15 9 935 24Mali 73 1 414 2 1 835 4Mozambique 649 3 3 888 14 10 964 22Myanmar 192 0 1 166 2 2 870 4Namibia 112 6 465 17 1 231 25Nigeria 2 263 2 10 448 6 37 093 12Rwanda 470 6 1 496 12 3 963 18Sierra Leone 59 1 249 3 838 6South Africa 782 2 11 675 21 30 093 39Swaziland 25 3 332 25 863 38Thailand 322 1 1 025 1 1 175 1Togo 118 3 467 7 1 367 10Uganda 1 627 7 3 873 9 12 783 11United Rep. of Tanzania 835 2 3 847 7 10 253 11Zambia 948 8 2 895 16 8 210 22Zimbabwe 1 456 10 4 677 22 11 373 33

2000 2015 2050

Table 18. Difference in projected population with and without AIDS and percentage difference for affected countries and groups of affected countries in major areas, 2000, 2015 and 2050

Country

63


(000)



(000)



(000)


2000 2015 2050

Table 18. Difference in projected population with and without AIDS and percentage difference for affected countries and groups of affected countries in major areas, 2000, 2015 and 2050

Country

All 45 countries 19 739 1 96 913 4 302 090 835 African countries 17 069 3 83 693 10 267 019 154 Asian countries 2 185 0 11 272 1 30 161 26 Latin American countries 485 0 1 948 1 4 910 2

9 countries with prevalence of 14 per cent or more 5 298 4 30 869 18 85 180 30


64

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