Transcript
Page 1: People celebrating independence South Sudan South Sudan situation

People celebrating independence South Sudan

South Sudan situation

Page 2: People celebrating independence South Sudan South Sudan situation

Republic of South Sudan

National Foundation  :  9th July ,2011( gained independence from Sudan through over 40years civil war )

Area :  619,745 K ㎡

Population : 10.3 million

Ethnic group :  Dinka, Nuer, Murle, others

religion :  Christianity, Others traditional      ( Sudan is Arabic )

language : English(official) 、 others local language      ( Sudan is Arabic )

●Youngest contry,4years from foundation and 54th independent state in Africa.●Border between Sudan and South Sudan is some in English and Arabic border.

Indirect cause between Sudan ans South Sudan

Capital Juba

Sudan

South SudanChristianEnglish

IslamArabic

Khartoum

Outline

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●South Sudan needs to transport crude oil via pipeline to the Red Sea through Sudan. ●Road condition is terrible and under many restrictions during rainy season.

Climatic

●From north to south, steppe,savannah,tropical zone

●Juba is savannah, rainy season from Apl to Oct and dry season from Nov to Mar

Geographical

●Landlocked country bordered by six countries

●Border with Uganda, 2,000m class mountanious club

●White Nile flows from south to north.

  From Juba to northern border, Sudd wetland covers.

White Nile

Sudan

DRC

KENYA

ETHIOPIA

UGANDA

Juba

Mountanious

Sudd

wetland

Geo and climatic characteristics

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正副 4

Dinka2.4million

Shiluk320,000

Nuer1.4million

Murle110,000

Bari460,000

200km

Azande610,000

Ethnic groups

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JubaKapoetaYambio

Wau

RumbekPibor

Nasser

Malakal

Bentiu

Renk

Bor

( 資料源: ReliefWeb)

Roads in rainy season

impossiblepossible ( light vehicle only )

River line

possible ( main road )

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JubaKapoetaYambio

Wau

RumbekPibor

Nasser

Malakal

Bentiu

Renk

( 資料源: ReliefWeb)

Bor

impossiblepossible ( light vehicle only )

River line

possible ( main road )

Roads in dry season

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Economic index●Main production : Oil,Agriculture,Forestry,Fishery●GDP : $11.79 billion (comparison to the world:144 in 2012)●GDP per capita:$1,100(2012)●GDP real growth rate : -47.5 % ( 2012 )

Crude oil

●Economy is now highly oil-dependent.

Trade●Main trading partner ・ Export : China, UAE, Japan, Saudi Arabia,India ・ Import : China, india, India, UAE, Saudi Arabia●Main products ・ Export : Crude oil ・ Import : Machinery,Industrial products

Oil revenueOil revenue

South Sudan:98%Oil accounts for almost of government

revenues Sudan:54%

Oil-related facilities

Infrastructure in undeveloped by a civil war

Economic

On 27 Mar, Government sought the support of international partners to extend loans to ease the financial pressures stemming from the significant decline in national oil production and international oil prices.But international donors rejected,citing the lack of a peace agreement.

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SPLA becomes the Government of South Sudan’s national military  

Total Army Air Force 海 軍Around 200,000

⇒ UNKcategoly Production country type number

Land

MBT UNK T-72 、 T-55(*1) UNK

Artirelly RUSSIA BM-21 、 122mm D-30 UNK

AA missile RUSSIA, USSR SA-7(MANPADS)(*2) 、 23mm ZU-23-2 UNK

Small Arms UNK AK-47, 12.7mm DshK, RPG-7 UNK

Air

Comuter US Beach craft1900C 1

Transport Heli

RUSSIA Mi-17V-5 、 Mi-172 10

Army Commander

3rd DIVNorthern 

Bahr El Ghazal

4th DIVUnity

8thDIVJonglei

5th DIVWestern

Bahr El Ghazal

1st DIVUpper Nile

6th DIVWestern Equatoria

2nd DIVCentral

Equatoria

7th DIVUpper Nile

Sec#2 MalakalSec#1 Wau Sec#3 Torit 

Military structure Military structure

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②Ethnic and Social problems

Dinka ( 2.3million )

①Political Squabble

③Military

Former vice-president Eric Machar ( Nuer )President Salva Kiir ( Dinka ) VS

Nuer ( 1.4million )VS

Political maneuvering in advance of 2015 presidential election

Simmering ethnic tensions and bitter interpersonal rivalries remains( the effect of longest civil war )

Anti-government ( mainly Nuer )

( SPLA in Opposition )

SPLA split The fighting between forces loyal to Kiir and forces loyal to Machar

Government Army : SPLA( mainly Dinka )

VS

Behind the Civil War

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< legend >

: Government

: Anti-Government

: Dinka

: Nuer

: Murle

 200km

Wau

Malakal

Distribution map with ethnic and political group

Bor

Rumbek

Juba

WARRAP

UPPER NILE

LAKES

JONGLEI

UNITY

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On 23 Jan 2014, ceasefire agreement signed

On 9 May 2014, Kiir and Machar signed another ceasefire agreement

On 10 June 2014,both agreed to begin talks on the formation of a transitional government 

On 23 June 2014,IGAD announced that the talks postponed indefinitely

A ceasefire agreement on 9 may 2014

PresidentKiir Former vice-president MacharFormer vice-president Machar

※Clashes reported since the agreement signed

On 8 Oct 2014,The talks scheduled to last 60 days,both parties boycotted the talks

On 18 Dec 2014, the talks resume

Now, Both sides seeking to maximize their negotiating position,There is no room for compromise.

Peace talks

On 6 Mar 2015,peace talks adjourned indefinitely without agreement.

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Peace talks Could not reached on 1 power sharing ratios in the Council of Ministers2 transitional security arrangements SPLM/A in OP’s proposals for two separate armies during the transition

The crucial issues1 The reinstatement of Machar into the second most powerful position in the government, the potential for Machar to succeed Kiir as President2 Whether SPLA and SPLA in Op will remain separated during the transitional period.

Vice-president status・ Proposing creation of two vice presidents with equal status (Government)・ Request first vice-president(SPLM-IO)

Power sharing ratio・ 60% government, 30% SPLM-IO and 10% Others(Government)・ 45-45% government and SPLM-IO and 10% others(SPLM-IO)

(1st Apr 2015,Sudan tribune )

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34,674 IDPs in Juba 52,908 IDPs in Bentiu 21,368 IDPs in Malakal904 IDPs in Melut 2,374 IDPs in Bor 362 IDPs in Wau. Total number of IDPs in UNMISS protection sites was 112,590.

IDP as of 26 March

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Yambio

JONGLEIJONGLEI

Bor

Ayod

Security Situation : JongleiTensions flared in fighting between SPLA and SPLA in Op in Ayod. UNMISS has observed increased military heli movement at Bor airport.

Ayod is an important location as it overlooks both the Bor-Malakal and River Nile resupply routes, and can influence the ability to move materials north. The SPLA reportedly have a strong presence in Ayod.

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Yambio

JONGLEIJONGLEI

Bor

Fangak

Security Situation : Jonglei

30 March, Fighting took place between SPLA and SPLA-IO in Fangak. According to the Opposition, SPLA attempted to attack their positions to make strategic inroads.

1 April, in Bor, A Nuer county official from Ayod who claimed the recent fighting in Ayod had damaged the Government’s military installations. He claimed the Opposition forces involved in fighting in Ayod were White Army soldiers from the Nuer community. He stated that Opposition forces might push SPLA southwards towards Bor, which would trigger the Government to retaliate by launching an attack on the UNMISS protection site.

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UNITYUNITY

Bentiu

Security Situation : UnityUnconfirmed reports indicating SPLA in Op advanced in north of Unity Oil Field. Meanwhile, several clashes were reported around Bentiu.

The value of taking control of the Unity Oil Field is uncertain, given that key elements of oil infrastructure would take several months to re-invigorate. The area of Rubkona and Bentiu remains well-defended by JEM fighting alongside SPLA.

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Wadekona

Melut

UPPER NILEUPPER NILE

Following SPLA’s capture of Wadekona from Op forces, An SPLA Commander in Melut informed that Wunyok,located in northern Longochuk County is now under their full control.

Security Situation : Upper Nile

SPLA plans to take both Longochuk and Maiwut counties as part of their end of dry season offensive. Nevertheless, it is unclear whether the recent SPLA advances in Longochuck County are aimed at establishing a stronghold in the area, similar to their position in Nassir, or are part of a deliberate attempt to push further south to the SPLM/A in Op stronghold in Pagak County.

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MalakalUPPER NILEUPPER NILE

Security Situation : Upper Nile

1 April, Clashes occurred between armed Shilluk and armed Dinka. The fighting is related to a long-standing land dispute. Fighting also took place between Dinka and Shilluk in Malakal. The incident caused an estimated 2,000 civilians to move to UNMISS protection site. The Government dispatched SPLA troops to calm the situation.

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NORTHERN BAHR NORTHERN BAHR EL GHAZALEL GHAZAL

CENTRAL CENTRAL EQUATORIAEQUATORIA

Aweil マンキエン

In Northern Bahr El Ghazal, UNMISS observed an Antonov flying over Aweil and allegedly dropping bombs in Aweil.

On 1 April, pro-Government of Sudan militias have been deployed in Eastern Darfur, near the border with Aweil in preparation for the upcoming elections in Sudan.

Security Situation : Northern Bahr El-Ghazal

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Yambio

WESTERN WESTERN EQUATORIAEQUATORIA

Security Situation : Western Equatoria

31 March, members of the civilian population from Nabiapai Boma, Gangura Payam in Yambio County, who were reportedly abducted by Lord’s Resistance Army on 3 March, have been released.

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Yambio

Raja

NORTHERN BAHR NORTHERN BAHR EL GHAZALEL GHAZAL

CENTRAL CENTRAL EQUATORIAEQUATORIA

EASTERN EASTERN EQUATORIAEQUATORIA

UNITYUNITYWARRAPWARRAPWau

Aweil

Juba

Renk

Mayom

Maridi

Nasser

モギリ

JONGLEIJONGLEILAKESLAKES

Malakal

Torit

Bentiu

Kapoeta

Gumuruk

ガゴク

Tumbura

WESTERN WESTERN EQUATORIAEQUATORIA

WESTRN BAHR WESTRN BAHR EL GHAZALEL GHAZAL

マペル

マシアング

Yirol

ボマ

Pibor

Bor

Akobo

Rumbek

ポチャラ

Yuai

ポクタプ

Ayod

ファラジャラ

マンキエン

pagak

Yei

マイェンジュア

パジア

Kodok

パユエリ

Paloich

オワチトンガドレイブ・

ヒル

ムンドリ

ティムサハ

ニムレ

Wang Kai

ニャン

ゴンゴコロ

ブオス

ダク

ワート

Melut

パタイ

バリエット

トレ

ブオス

マペル

Kuacjok

ロミチ

ナダパル

Pariang

ジャマム

Kajo Keji

カナル ニィロル郡

T チュクドゥム

コク

ファンガク

ケート

マンヨー郡

パニジャル

ツラレイ

ナゲロ

ブンジ

UPPER NILEUPPER NILE

ガディアング

パニャゴル

トゥイックイースト郡

ベネソワ

Terekeka

Blue NILE

Leer

Abyei

Wadekona

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LAKESLAKES

Security Situation : Lakes

31 March, one person from the Dinka Agar clan was killed during a cattle-raiding incident that led to a clash near Korikori payam between Dinka Agar from Rumbek and Dinka Atuat from Yirol.

Rumbek

Yirol

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