Download - Is health promotion cost effective?
PREVENTIVE MEDICINE 10, 324-339 (1981)
Is Health Promotion Cost Effective?
PEGGY JEAN ROGERS,**’ ELIZABETH K. EATON,‘? AND
JOHN G. BRUHN*
*Department of Preventive Medicine and Community Health, and tMoody Medical Library, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, Texas 77550
A literature review surveyed applications of cost analyses in evaluation of programs for the promotion of a healthy life-style. Some confusion was uncovered regarding the defini- tions of such concepts as health education, disease detection, and health protection. All may facilitate positive long-term behavior patterns, but are less effective when used in isolation. In the review, severa approaches were found using cost analysis in the short- and long-term evaluation of programs. Few evaluations included appropriate cost-analysis techniques or long-range follow-up of the effects of the program. Therefore, the overall cost effectiveness of services to promote health cannot yet be determined. The proposed model is intended as a guide for future evaluations. Such studies are essential to insure that the decision-making process regarding health service funding priorities is based on objective criteria, as well as social and political judgments.
INTRODUCTION
The need to reorder our personal, professional, and governmental priorities regarding health expenditures is no longer at issue. The debate now revolves around how and by whom this reordering will be carried out and what criteria will be used to justify the result. The Surgeon General’s Report, “Healthy People” (18), points out that 9% of the gross national product in 1979 was spent on health care, compared with only 6% in 1960. The annual expenditure on health increased more than 70% during this period, with 11 cents of every federal dollar now allocated for health care.
Both public and private sectors have responded with activities aimed at cost containment. The principal means have been to regulate benefits and to support nonduplicated services and innovative methods of funding health care. Federal and state governments have carried out programs to control the development and distribution of health manpower and new technology, and insurance companies and other businesses have joined in encouraging new, less costly methods of delivering services. With this proliferation of cost-containment programs, how- ever, the next question has been, logically, which combination of methods will provide optimum health for the population at the least cost?
Background
Warner and Hutton (36) have analyzed the growth and composition of the literature regarding cost benefit and cost effectiveness in health cam. The first publications appeared in the mid- 1960s. During the 1970s the health-care commu-
’ To whom reprint requests should be addressed at: Office of Research in Medical Education, Room 114, Keiller Bldg., The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, Tex. 77550.
324
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HEALTH PROMOTION: COST EFFECTIVE? 325
nity was offered many explanations of these concepts and their potential uses and applications. Both cost-benefit analysis (CBA) and cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) require that the significant costs and the desired results of methods of addressing a health problem be identified, measured, and compared. They differ, however; CBA measures both cost and success in monetary terms, and CEA may measure days of illness prevented or years of life, without monetary value attached. In CBA, a ratio between cost and monetary benefit is constructed, which can be compared among programs, regardless of the desired results of a specific program. Programs to be compared by CEA must use the same criteria for success (other than money) in order to determine whether one is more effective than another for the same monetary outlay.
The preponderance of health-care expenditures have been devoted to treating illness and rehabilitating the disabled rather than preventing morbidity and pro- moting health. Only 4% of the current Federal health dollar is allocated for prevention-oriented activities (18). A successful disease prevention policy would be most effective during the productive years of life and, due to increased longev- ity, would require a major restructuring of retirement and social security systems (14). During the past two decades, a better understanding of the risk factors and complex causes of chronic diseases has been achieved, with the result that in- creased attention has been given to changes needed in life-style and personal habits that affect health. Unhealthy behavior or life-style was estimated to be responsible for approximately half of the mortality in the United States in 1976, with inadequate health care accounting for only 10%. Yet, health dollars are allocated in reverse proportion to their potential effectiveness in maintaining health, which is the presumed objective. Increasing the 4% share of health expen- ditures for prevention of diseases due to life-style may be expected to eliminate a larger proportion of related mortality than the more expensive treatment and rehabilitation measures which now account for the bulk of health costs.
Objective
The purpose of this paper is to review the empirical efforts made to determine the cost effectiveness of health promotion, as distinct from disease prevention, environmental protection, and health information. More specifically, a literature review was carried out to determine the cost effectiveness of the measures devel- oped to aid and motivate people to avoid harmful actions and to form habits that will benefit them.
PROCEDURE
The scope of the current review covers the literature published fi-om 1969 through 1979 in English-language journals. Articles dealing with cost analyses of health-care services, technology, and delivery, with disease detection, and with environmental hazard and accident protection, were excluded. For practical rea- sons, unpubhshed papers, workshop proceedings, and government pubiications were also excluded. Although the search was primarily for empirical studies, several conceptual models and projected applications of certain cost-analysis
326 ROGERS, EATON, AND BRUHN
methods were included as examples. A few representative articles dealing with disease detection and delivery of services were also reviewed.
Computer-based indices were the primary source of citations, along with refer- ences from those citations, numerous unpublished documents, and personal con- tacts with researchers in the field. A few new relevant journals which do not yet appear in the computer indices were searched individually. Five major computer-based searches were undertaken: MEDLINE, to search Index Medicus for 1978- 1979 under the subject heading of “Economics of Health Education,” etc.; BACKFILES, to search Index Medicus for 1969- 1977 under “Cost Analysis of Health Promotion,” etc. ; Excerpta Medica, which covers a set of journals that partially overlaps the set in Index Medicus, was searched under “Health Eco- nomics and Management”; Clearinghouse on Health Indexes was searched under “Health PromotionlSociomedical Aspects”; and Journal of Economic Literature was searched for 1974- 1979.
Since the focus of the review was to assess efforts to motivate or change behavior, each article was evaluated with respect to the health-related behavior involved, the motivational technique used, and the approach of the investigator. The articles were also classified by type of study, sample description, setting, time span, criteria of effectiveness, and measurement techniques. In addition, the level and complexity of the evaluation design were assessed, according to the framework presented by Green (15). Claims of cost effectiveness for any program are only as strong as the evidence assembled to support them, and valid evidence can come only from systematic attempts to evaluate the programs and to make comparisons among them. Such attempts may focus on various phases of a pro- gram, and their study design may range from simple to complex.
Green defined three levels of evaluation: process, impact, and outcome. The emphasis inprocess is on professional practice, such as peer review and audit; the criteria used in measurement are often the numbers of educational booklets dis- tributed and so forth. Impact evaluation emphasizes the immediate impact of health promotion, the impact of methods of practice on knowledge, attitudes, beliefs, and behavior, and the impact on environmental change. Impact studies are the type of health promotion studies that are needed most. Evaluation of outcome is focused on long-term mortality and morbidity after detection and treatment. Outcome studies are useful in conducting both cost-benefit and cost-effectiveness analyses, but it is premature to expect evaluation of outcome for health-promotion programs because of the time needed for complete results. Therefore, measures of impact that are currently available may be used to assess the cost effectiveness of promotion programs, as suggested by Green (15). Green provides a classification of study designs as follows:
A. The historical, record-keeping approach: a simplistic approach yielding graphs and records that demonstrate what is occurring in the community.
B. The stop-everything-inventory approach: collecting data at two or more points through special surveys.
C. The comparative, how-we-stack-up-against-others approach: by borrowing or copying record forms from other similar studies, we can compare studies or can compare data with various national data available.
HEALTH PROMOTION: COST EFFECTIVE? 327
D. The controlled comparison, or quasiexperimental approach: the Stanford University three-community study in California is an example.
E. The controlled experimental approach: comparable to the clinical trial in medical studies.
F. The full-blown, evaluative research project. These definitions are used to classify the research methods summarized in
Table 1. The first three approaches are relatively simple techniques, which may be useful for initial exploratory studies. Truly reliable evaluations of cost effective- ness, however, must be based on the more rigorous approaches of controlled comparison and experimentation.
FINDINGS
The major elements of the 11 studies found in the current review are shown in Table 1. Green’s (15) definitions of evaluation and study design were used. All but one were analyses of cost effectiveness (CEA). Foote and Erfurt’s (12) CBA study is included for its useful model for screening evaluation. The research hypotheses or program objectives are unique to each paper, but among them cover the defined health risks such as nutrition, hypertension, smoking, obesity, and screening for multiple risks. The objective of program evaluation is flexible and can include diverse groups, from workers in a particular work site to self-selected members of local health clinics or, in one case, Mothercraft centers in Haiti. This flexibility is an advantage and an illustration of the adaptability of the CEA technique. Seven of the eleven studies were focused on impact evaluation, which is the type of evaluation needed most at present in health promotion, according to Green.
The criteria of success varied among several categories: the pre- and post-test results were measured against such standards as the Boston Standard for malnu- trition, normal blood pressure levels, adult normal weight, and national incidence and survival for cancer, and pre- and post-test measurements were used to study absolute changes in weight, blood pressure, and cigarette consumption during a program. In the studies that evaluated outcome, the criteria used to measure success were morbidity and mortality rates and reduction in fringe benefits that were paid to employees. In the studies of impact, no consistent criteria were used for measurement, even in those with similar objectives. In the studies of malnutri- tion in preschool children, for example, weight gain to normal was used as the criterion in one study (2), and comparison of children’s weight with the Boston Standard for malnutrition in another (22). The latter study also measured the nutritional condition of the siblings, whereas the former compared patients’ time and costs in the hospital vs those at home. No standard criteria were formulated for these nutrition studies, so the relative costs for their levels of effectiveness cannot be assessed. The use of techniques of health promotion, however, were more consistent among these 11 studies. Seven used both education and behavior modification techniques. Others used screening for early identification of disease or a combination of treatment and screening with education.
The study designs were the element emphasized least in the papers reviewed. One impact study (2) and one outcome evaluation (28) used Green’s Design A, a simple design to demonstrate what is occurring in the program or community,
TABL
E 1
SUM
MAR
Y OF
FI
NDIN
GS:
EVAL
UATI
ON
MET
HODS
AN
D DE
SIGN
IN
ST
UDIE
S OF
HE
ALTH
PR
OMOT
ION
COST
AN
ALYS
ES
Auth
or(s
) O
bjec
tive
and
heal
th
risk
Dur
atio
n Se
tting
Ag
e gr
oup
Met
hodo
logy
Bai (1
972)
Ed
ucat
ion
to c
hang
e nu
rritio
nal
know
ledg
e an
d be
havi
or;
man
agem
ent
of m
alnu
tritio
n
1 ye
ar
Indi
a,
hom
e,
Pres
choo
l D
ieta
ry
and
belie
f su
rvey
: ru
ral
heal
th
and
treat
men
t an
d ed
ucat
ion
in
cent
er
mot
hers
ho
me
to s
uit
cultu
ral
patte
rn
Berg
et
(197
9)
Cer
vica
l sc
reen
ing
to
redu
ce
mor
bidi
ty/m
orta
lity
of in
vasi
ve c
ance
r of
th
e ut
erin
e ce
rvix
vi
a ea
rly
diag
nosis
8 ye
ars
Den
mar
k,
citie
s W
omen
, C
ytol
ogic
m
ass
30-4
9 sc
reen
ing
with
:
smea
r m
etho
d
Dah
ms
et a
l. (1
978)
Foot
e &
Erfu
rt (1
977)
Com
paris
on
of tw
o m
etho
ds
of tr
eatin
g ob
esity
14 w
eeks
C
alifo
rnia
, ho
spita
l cl
inic
Hyp
erte
nsio
n sc
reen
ing
to d
etec
t ca
ses
early
and
re
fer
for
treat
men
t
2 ye
ars
Det
roit,
in
dust
rial
and
com
mun
ity
site
s
Adul
ts,
youn
g Kn
owled
ge
test
of
nutri
tion;
pe
rson
ality
in
vent
ory;
pr
e-
and
post
-wei
ght;
beha
vior
mod
ifica
tion
vs d
rug
Adul
ts
Estim
ate
cost
of
scre
enin
g vs
frin
ge
bene
fits
paid
to
em
ploy
ee
vict
ims
of
card
iova
scul
ar
dise
ase
Grov
e et
al.
(197
9)
Dem
onst
rate
he
alth
pr
omot
ion
in a
cor
pora
te
setti
ng
with
m
ultip
le
heal
th
beha
viors
HD
FP
Coo
pera
tive
grou
p (1
979)
Hype
rtens
ion
scre
enin
g an
d fo
llow
-up
to d
etec
t hi
gh
perc
enta
ge
of c
ases
and
m
aint
ain
long
-term
co
ntro
l
King
et
al.
(197
8)
Man
age
mal
nutri
tion
and
eval
uate
ed
ucat
ion
cent
er
for
child
ca
re a
nd
nutri
tion
as to
the
rape
utic
impa
ct
and
long
-rang
e re
sults
Mac
coby
an
d Fa
rquh
ar
(197
5)
Educ
atio
n an
d re
info
rcem
ent
of b
ehav
iora
l ch
ange
to
(in
pro
gres
s)
redu
ce
mul
tiple
ca
rdio
vasc
ular
ris
ks,
incr
ease
sk
ill le
arni
ng
and
redu
ce
mor
talit
y
Mos
kowi
tz
Brea
st ca
ncer
sc
reen
ing
and
Fox
to i
ncre
ase
surv
ival
ra
tes
(197
5)
via
early
dia
gnos
is
Rod
nick
an
d Bu
bb
(197
8)
Mul
tipha
sic
scre
enin
g to
red
uce
1 ye
ar
redu
ce
mul
tiple
ris
ks
via
educ
atio
n an
d be
havio
ral
chan
ge
Styc
os a
nd
Mun
digo
(197
4)
Com
paris
on
of m
esse
nger
vs
2
mon
ths
pers
onal
vi
sit
of m
otiv
ator
to
ef
fect
fam
ily
plan
ning
ac
tion
6 m
onth
s
S-ye
ar
follo
w-u
p
3-4
mon
ths
treat
men
t; l-2
ye
ar
follo
w-u
p
1 ye
ar
4 ye
ars,
4
mon
ths
Indi
anap
olis,
w
orks
ite
Baltim
ore,
co
mm
unity
ho
useh
olds
Hai
ti,
mot
herc
raft
cent
er
Cal
iforn
ia
sem
irura
l co
mm
unitie
s
Cin
cinn
ati,
hosp
ital
clin
ic
Cal
iforn
ia
heal
th
clin
ic
Dom
inica
n R
epub
lic
com
mun
ity
clin
ic
Adul
ts,
youn
g
Adul
ts,
30-6
9
Pres
choo
l an
d m
othe
rs
Adul
ts,
35-3
9
Wom
en
40-7
0
Adul
ts,
30-7
4
Wom
en,
child
-
Gro
up
beha
vior
mod
ifica
tion;
pr
e- a
nd p
ost-w
eigh
t, bl
ood
pres
sure
, an
d sm
okin
g;
prog
ram
co
sts
Syst
emat
ic
follo
w-u
p vs
re
ferra
l to
M.D
. fo
r hy
perte
nsio
n tre
atm
ent
Mal
nutri
tion
treat
men
t; nu
tritio
n an
d ch
ild
care
ed
ucat
ion
for
mot
hers
Phys
ical
ex
am
of s
ubsa
mpl
e;
mas
s m
edia
te
chni
que
vs.
med
ia
and
inte
nsiv
e in
stru
ctio
n;
thre
e an
nual
co
mm
unity
su
rvey
s of
inf
orm
atio
n,
attit
ude,
an
d be
havio
r
Mam
mog
raph
y,
phys
ical
ex
am
and
biop
sy;
prog
ram
co
sts
Pre-
and
pos
tscr
eeni
ng
at
heal
th
clin
ic
Pers
onal
de
liver
y vs
impe
rson
al
of c
oupo
n to
be
rede
emed
fo
r ap
poin
tmen
t be
arin
g
TABL
E I-C
ontin
ued
Auth
or(s
) M
easu
rem
ent
crite
ria
Prom
otio
nal
tech
niqu
e M
ajor
findi
ngs
Eval
uatio
n le
vel
Stud
y de
sign
Bai (1
972)
Berg
et
(197
9)
et al.
(197
8)
Foot
e &
Erfu
rt (1
977)
Gro
ve
et al.
(197
9)
HD
FP
Coo
pera
tive
.sro
w (1
979)
Wei
ght
gain
to
nor
mal
; co
st a
nd t
ime
in h
ospi
tal
vs h
ome;
in
form
atio
n re
tent
ion
Red
uctio
n in
in
ciden
ce
of
cerv
ical
ca
ncer
Abso
lute
we
ight
lo
ss;
adhe
renc
e to
pro
gram
Redu
ced
mor
bidi
ty
and
cost
of
bene
fits
paid
to
em
ploy
ees
Redu
ced
weig
ht,
smok
ing,
an
d bl
ood
pres
sure
Redu
ced
mor
talit
y
Hom
e-ba
sed
educ
atio
n an
d tre
atm
ent
Mas
s scre
enin
g;
early
dia
gnos
is
Beha
vior
mod
ifica
tion
in g
roup
; ed
ucat
ion
Scre
enin
g
Scre
enin
g an
d ed
ucat
ion;
gr
oup
beha
vior
mod
ifica
tion
Scre
enin
g,
treat
men
t, an
d m
orbi
dity
; pe
rcen
tage
an
d ed
ucat
ion;
co
ntro
lled
hype
rtens
ives
sy
stem
atic
fo
llow
-up
Hom
e tre
atm
ent
cost
s l/3
- l/6
of
hos
pita
l; be
tter
info
rmat
ion
rete
ntio
n at
hom
e
Impa
ct
(A)
Accu
mul
ated
da
ta o
n m
agni
tude
of
cha
nge
in
weig
ht
and
know
ledg
e
Repe
ated
sc
reen
ing
can
lead
O
utco
me
(C)
Scre
ened
ta
rget
gr
oup;
to
red
uctio
n in
inc
iden
ce
of
com
pare
d da
ta w
ith
Dan
ish
cerv
ical
ca
ncer
N
atio
nal
Hea
lth
Serv
ice
Beha
vior
mod
ifica
tion
six
to
nine
tim
es a
s co
st e
ffect
ive
as M
.D.
drug
tre
atm
ent
for
obes
ity
Impa
ct
(E)
Con
trolle
d ex
perim
ent;
rand
omize
d tre
atm
ent
grou
ps
from
se
lf-se
lect
ed
sam
ple
Redu
cing
cost
of
card
iova
scul
ar
dise
ase
3% p
ays
cost
of
prog
ram
; in
dust
ry
setti
ng
is
mor
e co
st e
ffici
ent
than
co
mm
unity
; ro
utin
e sc
reen
fo
llow
-up
resu
lts
in b
lood
pr
essu
re
cont
rol
Out
com
e (B
) C
ondu
cted
pr
e-
and
post
scre
enin
g;
follo
w-u
p of
pat
ient
s in
sam
ple
Scre
enin
g co
sts
$7-
IQ/y
ear/
empl
oyee
; he
alth
pr
omot
ion
prog
ram
=
$24/
year
/eac
h fo
r re
duct
ion
of m
ultip
le
risks
Impa
ct
(B)
Pre-
an
d po
st-m
easu
res
cond
ucte
d wi
thin
vo
lunt
eer
stud
y gr
oup
Syst
emat
ic
cont
rol
can
iden
tify
and
mai
ntai
n hi
gh p
erce
ntag
e hy
perte
nsiv
es;
redu
ctio
n in
S-
year
mor
talit
y (1
7%)
is
sign
ifica
ntly
di
ffere
nt
from
re
ferre
d co
ntro
l gr
oup
Out
com
e (E
) Ho
useh
old
sam
ples
wi
th
rand
omize
d tre
atm
ent
grou
ps;
follo
w-u
p of
pat
ient
s;
pre-
and
po
st-m
easu
res
King
et
al.
(197
8)
Mac
coby
an
d Fa
rquh
ar
(197
5)
Mos
kowi
tz
and
Fox
(197
5)
Rod
nick
an
d Bu
bb
(197
8)
Styc
os a
nd
Mun
digo
( 197
4)
Nut
ritio
nal
cond
ition
of
child
co
mpa
red
with
Bo
ston
St
anda
rd
and
to
cond
ition
of u
ntre
ated
si
blin
gs;
Hai
ti’s
cost
s
Redu
ced
risk
on
annu
al
surv
ey
IO-y
ear
surv
ival
by
de
tect
ion
stag
e; c
ost
per
pers
on/y
ear
gain
ed
Red
uctio
n in
ris
k,
mor
bidi
ty,
and
mor
talit
y
Num
ber
of p
atie
nts
who
mad
e ap
poin
tmen
t at
pla
nnin
g cl
inic
Mal
nutri
tion
Cos
t of
$lO
/chi
ld
for
effe
ctiv
e tre
atm
ent
and
ther
apy
and
prev
entio
n of
m
ater
nal
educ
atio
n m
alnu
tritio
n
Educ
atio
n vi
a m
ass
med
ia;
beha
vior
mod
ifica
tion
Scre
enin
g
Mul
tipha
sic
scre
enin
g;
educ
atio
n;
beha
vior
mod
ifica
tion
Pers
onal
ized
educ
atio
n an
d in
vita
tion
Mas
s m
edia
ca
n be
as
effe
ctiv
e as
1 to
1
effo
rts f
or
info
rmat
ion,
at
titud
e,
and
beha
vior
chan
ge
that
is
su
stai
ned
Max
imum
be
nefit
is
in d
etec
tion
of c
ance
r <5
m
m.
which
re
quire
s bo
th
mam
mog
ram
an
d ph
ysic
al
by M
.D.;
net
bene
fit
= 22
dea
ths
aver
ted
“Com
bine
d us
e of
hea
lth-
haza
rd
appr
aisa
l m
ultip
hasic
sc
reen
ing
and
patie
nt
educ
atio
n ca
n le
ad
to
redu
ctio
n in
car
diac
an
d ot
her
risk
fact
ors
in
wel
l-mot
ivate
d gr
oups
”
Mes
seng
er
deliv
ery
of w
ritte
n m
ater
ial
is f
ive
times
as
cos
t ef
fect
ive
as p
erso
nal
visi
t by
mot
ivat
or
and
is m
ore
cons
iste
nt
Impa
ct
(B)
Com
paris
on
grou
p us
ed
with
pr
e-
and
post
-mea
sure
s on
sel
f-sel
ecte
d sa
mpl
e
Impa
ct
(D)
Mul
tiple
-risk
co
mpa
rison
s am
ong
thre
e co
mm
uniti
es;
rand
omize
d as
signm
ent
of
high
-risk
su
bsam
ple
to
treat
men
t an
d co
ntro
l gr
oups
Out
com
e (A
) H
isto
rical
de
scrip
tion
with
se
lf-se
lect
ed
sam
ple
Impa
ct
(B)
Con
duct
ed
pre-
an
d po
st-te
sts
with
fo
llow
-up
of s
elf-s
elec
ted
sam
ple
Impa
ct
(D)
Syst
emat
ic
sam
ple
and
cont
rolle
d co
mpa
rison
Key
to s
tudy
de
signs
. (A
) H
isto
rical
re
cord
ke
epin
g-ac
cum
ulat
ed
data
onl
y;
(B)
Inve
ntor
y ap
proa
ch-p
erio
dica
lly
colle
ct
data
; (C
) C
ompa
tison
- wi
th
simila
r gr
oup
or
natio
nal
stan
dard
s;
(D)
Con
trolle
d co
mpa
rison
or
qua
siexp
erim
enta
l ap
proa
ch-w
ith
alte
rnat
ive
or
no p
rogr
am
grou
p;
(E)
Con-
tro
lled
expe
rimen
tal
appr
oach
-use
s ra
ndom
as
signm
ent
to g
roup
s sim
ilar
to c
linica
l tri
al:
(F)
Full
eval
uativ
e re
sear
ch
proj
ect-m
ultip
le
grou
p co
mpa
ri-
sons
of
mul
tiple
tre
atm
ents
.
332 ROGERS, EATON, AND BRUHN
such as changes in health status or morbidity or mortality. Three impact studies (16, 22, 30) and one outcome evaluation (12) used Design B, the stop-everything- inventory approach, with behavior modification and education techniques or screening. Design C, the how-we-stack-up-against-others approach, was used by Berget (4) in an outcome study which compared results with national norms and averages. A quasiexperimental design, D, was used in two impact studies (27, 33) for comparison of personal vs mass education techniques. The controlled experi- ment approach, E, was used in one outcome evaluation of hypertension control (19, 20) and one impact study of weight reduction methods (5). Thus, only three of the impact studies used a sufficiently rigorous research design to evaluate the cost effectiveness of the technique of health promotion.
DISCUSSION
Some major methodologic limitations of empirical investigations were apparent from the review. Most studies were not designed to evaluate the cost effectiveness of health-promotion programs. Thus, the criteria for cost effectiveness and for success of health promotion were seldom defined clearly or measured precisely. Results could not be generalized because of frequent use of convenience samples of self-selected participants rather than random selection. Approximately half of the studies failed to use control or comparison groups, so for purposes of CEA, promotional techniques cannot be compared with one another or with other inter- ventions on the basis of cost or effectiveness. Such isolated efforts are useful in the exploratory stages of program development but must be followed by carefully controlled evaluations to establish cost effectiveness.
In general, follow-up strategies to assess change in behavior of subjects in the studies was poor, and little effort was made to ascertain whether changes were sustained over time. Since long-term attitude and behavior change is the primary rationale for health-promotion programs, failure to evaluate it on this basis is a major weakness in the existing literature. In one 5-year study, however, system- atic follow-up in a focused program was found to be more effective in achieving high levels of adherence to hypertension control than referral to personal physi- cians for long-term maintenance (19, 20). This method was concluded to be less expensive in the long run. One of the more comprehensive health promotion studies (27) concluded that, given enough time and appropriate mass media mate- rials, the less costly technique of mass media for information, attitude change, and behavior change is just as effective as more expensive face-to-face techniques. A 2-year follow-up indicated sustained behavior change. The authors recommended that ways be found to use media to stimulate and coordinate programs of inter- personal instruction in natural communities and work sites for delivery of skill training and counseling on health habits. These groups would provide excellent opportunities for controlled evaluations and long-term monitoring.
Two programs that dealt with malnutrition among preschoolers in developing countries (2, 22) found that relatively long-term behavior change resulted from providing nutrition education to mothers, based on personal beliefs and local customs in a home or field setting rather than the hospital. This method was found to cost less as well as prevent the possible morbidity that could be introduced by a
HEALTH PROMOTION: COST EFFECTIVE? 333
hospital stay (2). These were two of the smallest studies with respect to money and staff, but were excellent examples of health-promotion programs. Both were aimed at infhtencing long-range behavior as well as immediate health status. Neither was a controlled study but rather a description of a field demonstration, in which personal beliefs, local customs, and cultural norms were used in a plan to educate, and to change behavior, at a low cost. Publication of the results of such exploratory programs is essential in planning similar future projects, yet personal communication with researchers in this area reveals that other informal studies are being conducted but are unpublished. Future studies undertaken on a small scale will be more helpful if they incorporate a carefully designed evaluation component and a long-term plan for follow-up, with publication of results in stages. This process would allow rapid replication of programs, with immediate impact in a variety of settings, as well as long-term monitoring of results.
In a third-world study of family planning acceptance that assessed behavioral change over a short term (33), the individual case worker was found to be no more effective, and more costly, than a simple messenger in recruiting initial users of family-planning clinic services. In another study in which methods of achieving weight reduction in obese clinic patients were assessed, the group behavior- modification approach was found to be less expensive and equally as effective as individual treatment (which included medication) from a physician (5). Both of these investigations included carefully controlled evaluations of the short-term impact of a promotional technique compared with conventional methods, but neither included long-term follow-up.
Empirical investigations have concluded that both mass media and individual approaches to health promotion can be successful under different conditions. Some have provided evidence of sustained impact on behavior. Often a novel approach is successful, and neither size nor cost of the study bears any relation- ship to the success of the program. As yet, however, carefully designed cost analyses have not been conducted so that the various approaches can be com- pared as to expense, as well as to short-term impact and long-term outcome. Analysis of cost effectiveness assumes that a particular health goal is desirable and then proceeds to determine which program, technique, or intervention is most effective in reaching that goal (6). Since programs with equal criteria for effective- ness are necessary in order to determine which costs less, the goals and criteria to be used for success must be defined clearly. Programs to be compared must agree on the goals and dimensions of the criteria to assess outcome, since these mea- sures are not reducible to the unit of dollars, which is the measure in common among cost-benefit analyses. Methods for measuring costs must also be explic- itly defined and must be comparable, especially when qualitative variables are expressed in quantitative terms. In general, CEA requires less complex measure- ment and study designs, and are performed over a shorter term, than CBA, for which all costs and outcomes, immediate and over a projected lifetime, must be assigned a monetary value. Confusion among health professionals over the defini- tion of cost analysis, the health-promotion concept, and the ethical issue of denied health benefits on the basis of cost, has resulted in a reluctance to conduct such evaluations. Effectiveness and cost of proposed health-promotion efforts, how-
334 ROGERS, EATON, AND BRUHN
ever, must be studied empirically, first in small-scale pilot programs (7) and then in larger clinical trials (8, 25), with repeated monitoring of behavioral change and outcome, in order to convince policy makers that such efforts are the most efft- cient means to improve health status (10, 35). The current lack of sound empirical evaluation precludes any determination of the cost effectiveness of health- promotion programs.
The literature review also uncovered several articles that presented a variety of conceptual frameworks and applications of models for cost analysis of either health promotion or health services. The most common use of cost analysis seems to be in screening programs, particularly those for hypertension and cancer. Other articles also claimed high levels of cost effectiveness for multiphasic screening, but the large number of false positives involved in such programs make this conclusion doubtful (3). This problem may be overcome by combining testing with physical exams by a nurse practitioner (13). One investigation used national sur- vey reports and economic indicators of patterns of consumption to evaluate the effects of mass media antismoking campaigns from 1964 to 1975 (34). The inves- tigators concluded that the campaign contributed to significant reductions in con- sumption and that the current absence of such a campaign may permit a renewed rise in consumption by new generations. Industrial health-promotion programs seem to be increasing in number, and cost savings for the companies involved are claimed (24), but few controlled studies have been published (11).
Two articles (32, 37), considered to be the first systematic attempts at cost analysis, focus on the detection and management of hypertension in medical prac- tice. The authors applied a cost-analysis model to morbidity and mortality data gathered in the Framingham study of cardiovascular disease, and concluded that resources might be allocated better if they were directed toward improving adher- ence to the antihypertensive regimen, rather than to screening large numbers of new cases, which are unlikely to be controlled after detection. Support for this conclusion was reported in one of the controlled empirical investigations dis- cussed earlier (19, 20). Although this model is impressive, it is also statistically complex and employs long-term measures of outcome rather than immediate im- pact for the cost-effectiveness analysis. Another model (12), which was also di- rected toward the cost of hypertension screening, compared aspects of impact that are more appropriate to a cost-effectiveness analysis. These estimates were gen- erated within the context of an industrial program and compared the cost of a screening and follow-up program with the cost of hinge benefits and of replacing employees who developed cardiovascular disease.
One reason for ambivalence about including screening programs among health-promotion programs is their lack of effort to motivate behavioral change beyond the experimental intervention of the program (21). Screening programs are usually limited to detection of disease and seldom include education or health promotion. The terms “disease prevention,” “health protection,” and “health education” are used interchangeably in the literature to refer to the concept of health promotion. Health promotion is oriented more properly toward the estab- lishment or reinforcement of societal norms that further health objectives over a person’s lifetime, whereas the first three terms apply to specific actions that may
HEALTH PROMOTION: COST EFFECTIVE? 335
be elements of such a process (7). Such distinctions are important because “health,” or a general high level of well-being as an end state, is not considered by most individuals to be of a high priority and, therefore, needs to be promoted (7, 2%
For example, protection from disease agents and negative aspects of the environ- ment, which obviously interfere with one’s functioning and preferred life-style, is readily acceptable as important and deserving of change. The promotion of health, however, must be clearly distinguished as the establishment of positive attitudes to- ward healthy behavior and as a method of ensuring and enhancing those aspects of life-style that have the highest priority for both individuals and groups. Until health-promotion activities are contrasted with other health-related programs, no comparisons can be made as to their relative costs or effectiveness, regardless of the rigor of the evaluation design.
RECOMMENDATIONS
Health Promotion Program Evaluation
Future efforts to assess the costs and effectiveness of health promotion pro- grams must be designed specifically for that purpose, with careful adherence to a defined protocol. A proposed model for such a health promotion study is outlined in Fig. 1.
First, a health-related target must be identified. Target areas can range from health promotion designed to prevent disease, to health promotion designed to change health behavior in a particular setting. An example of a health-related target might be nutrition in children under the age of 5 living in an economically depressed area.
Step 2 of the model is to define the specific behavior objectives. In the above example, the specific behavior would be to have the mother feed the child in such a way that the child would be brought to a weight level above that of malnutrition.
Steps 1 and 2 are closely related. Each specific health-related target must have a similar behavioral objective, especially in cost-effectiveness studies, in order to have a firm basis for future comparisons. For example, in order to compare nutrition in children, the objectives of the study must embody the same criteria and definitions.
Step 3 is a further refinement in specifying behavioral objectives. By defining the criteria of success for specific behavioral objectives, standards of comparison can be chosen as guides to achieving a certain level of success. In nutrition studies of children, the Boston Standard for malnutrition could be used.
In step 4 the study design may be as simple as Green’s designs A, B, or C or the more rigorous D, E, or F (15). For a strong cost-effectiveness evaluation, the more rigorous approaches are preferred. A time line will indicate when the mea- surements will be taken, that is, before and after the program intervention and at what intervals over a longer follow-up period.
In step 5, sample size, age, and other characteristics need to be specific for the
336 ROGERS, EATON, AND BRUHN
STEPS ELEMENTS
2.
1.
I DEFINE HEALTH RELATED TARGET
I
I DEFINE SPECIFIC BEHAVIOR OBJECTIVE*
’ for CEA must be similar for health related target
3. DEFINE OUTCOME CRITERIA I
1 4. I SPECIFY STUDY DESIGN
I
1
6. ,+, +,
7.
8.
i
I
v
J
9. COMPARE PAE AND POST
l Actual behavior fo be changed or ellmanated . Amount and type of change l Length of time for change to occur . Direction of change
l Decreased cost/benefit or unit of effectweness l lmplxation of behawor change . Standards to be achieved wng national or
defmed standards as comparison l Morbidity or mortality
. Time lane - Pert chart
. Type of design A E (Green) l Whid, fools, when to apply
l Sample size . Age group . Target group . Random sample of indlvidualr
Method of mearurmg behavior to be rruded . Tool
- resrld - int.?rview - questionnaire
- record
. Record meawrement
Measure behavior to be studied . Tool . Record
FIG. 1. General model for health promotion program evaluation.
sample groups and control or comparison groups chosen. In a rigorous approach, a random sample should be used for both target and comparison groups. When the amount of change is expected to be small, larger samples are needed to demon- strate program effects.
Step 6, the method of measuring the behavior to be studied, is also important. As Green (15) points out, standardized formats for collecting data are recom- mended in order to compare behavioral change across studies. Standardized questionnaires from the National Health Survey are available as well as a mul-
2
3
4
5
6
COSTZFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS
Target Program
Comparison or Delaved Prwram
+ *
Awgn Monetary Value to Program Costs
I Implement Program(r) I
I Measure Outcome Levels- 1 I - Post-Nonmonetary
I
I
C&date Ratio:
CortIAmt. Change I
Target Program
2 Long-Range (Benefit1 Program Outcome Criteria in Monetary Terms
3
4
5a Measure Immediate Outcome Levels- Port-Calculate Monetarv value I
E&q Calculate Intermediate Ratio: 6a
I f
I
5b
6b
fvfeasure Long.Range Outcome Levelr- Post-Calculate Monetary Value
4 Calculate Final Ratio.
CostlAmt. Change -In Monetary Terms
I Compare Ratios Among Prqlranr Lower Ratio = Hi$wr Cost-Eff.
I
I 1
7 j Lower Ratio = Hagher Cost-Benefit
1 Compare RatloT Programs
Evaluate Sire of Ratio According to Available Rnourcer and Priorities
8 Evaluate Size of Ratio Accordmg to Available Resources and Priormer
r Repeat Steps 5 and 6 Periodically -1 9 Repeat Steps 5a and 6a Periodically
HEALTH PROMOTION: COST EFFECTIVE?
FIG. 2. Comparison of cost-effectiveness and cost-benefit analyses.
337
titude of other tests and measures. These tests and measurements in step 6 must be made before and soon after the program or treatment has been applied, as well as at appropriate intervals afterward (step seven).
For the post-test, step 8, the same measurement tools and the same test condi- tions must exist as for the pretest, step 6, so that the results of the two may be compared. In cost-effectiveness studies, outcome will be expressed in cost per unit of effectiveness.
338 ROGERS, EATON, AND BRUHN
Cost-Effective vs Cost-Benefit Analysis
Health professionals need to be offered more information about flexible models of cost analysis to motivate them to conduct empirical investigations on the cost effectiveness of health promotion. Cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) is preferable to cost-benefit analysis (CBA) as the technique for evaluation of health-promotion programs. Early programs are essentially exploratory efforts and must necessarily use quantitative approximations of qualitative measures, such as short-term be- havior change, for which monetary values are not available. For the time being, it is more useful to monitor these actual changes in behavior over a long period of time than to apply the rather complex and abstract statistical models to assess the monetary value of program effects and long-term benefits that are required in a cost-benefit analysis.
Cost-effectiveness analysis permits a more flexible research design and obviates the need to deny potential health benefits to a comparison group. CEA allows the promotional technique to be compared with any alternative or conventional tech- nique for achieving the same objective, assessed by similar criteria. Another method allows a comparison with a group that receives no program initially, but which is scheduled to receive the same program in a second cycle. CBA may also compare a variety of program objectives, but only in monetary terms applied to health status criteria over the long term. This requires denial of benefits to other groups used for comparison.
Smaller ratios indicate greater efftciency in either CEA or CBA. A cost- effectiveness analysis assumes the objective is worth achieving, then seeks the most effective and least costly way of doing it. A cost-benefit analysis assumes the effectiveness of a certain method but seeks to evaluate the cost efftciency of the method compared to the benefits achieved, both present and future. The general process of each type of analysis is outlined in Fig. 2. Health-promotion programs have yet to demonstrate their effectiveness or efftciency conclusively and require the dual evaluation of cost-effectiveness analysis.
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