Transcript
Page 1: Invensys Presentation 281112

© 2012 Invensys. All Rights Reserved.The names, logos, and taglines identifying the products and services of Invensys are proprietary marks of Invensys or its subsidiaries. All third party trademarks and service marks are the proprietary marks of their respective owners.

© Invensys 28 November 20121

Proposed Disposal of Invensys Rail for £1,742 millionUK Pension Agreements

Return of £625 million to Shareholders

Strategy of Retained Group

Page 2: Invensys Presentation 281112

INFORMATION REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This document, which has been issued by Invensys plc (“Invensys”), comprises written materials for a presentation to investors concerning the proposed disposal of Invensys’s Rail Division (“Invensys Rail”), to be effected through the sale of Invensys Rail (Singapore) Pte Ltd, Invensys Westinghouse Rail Technical Consultancy Services (Beijing) Ltd, Invensys Rail Systems India Pvt Ltd, Invensys Rail Corporation, Invensys Australia Corporate Pty Ltd, Westinghouse Brake and Signal Holdings Ltd and Invensys Iberica SAU and certain subsidiaries of these companies (the “Rail Disposal”). This document, the presentation and any related materials do not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities in Invensys nor shall they or any part of them nor the fact of their distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision in relation thereto. Invensys shareholders are advised to read carefully the formal documentation in relation to the Rail Disposal once it has been despatched. Any response to the proposals should be made only on the basis of the information in the formal documentation to follow.

This document and its contents, the presentation, any related materials and their contents are strictly private and confidential and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, in whole or in part by any medium or in any form, for any purpose. The presentation is only being made in the United Kingdom to (and this document and any related materials are intended for distribution only in the United Kingdom to): (i) persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments failing within Article 19 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the “Order”); or (ii) high net worth entities and other persons to whom it can otherwise lawfully be communicated falling within Article 49 of the Order, all such persons in (i) and (ii) together being referred to as “relevant persons”. The presentation is being made on a confidential basis and this document and any related materials are furnished to you solely for your information. By attending the presentation and/or accepting this document and/or any related materials, the attendee/recipient confirms that he or she is a relevant person. The presentation, this document and any related materials may not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not relevant persons. Any investment activity to which the presentation relates will be available only to relevant persons and will be engaged in only with relevant persons. If you are not a relevant person you should not attend the presentation and should immediately return any materials relating to that meeting currently in your possession. Recipients of this document should not base any behaviour in relation to qualifying investments or relevant products (as defined in the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (“FSMA”) and the Code of Market Conduct made pursuant to FSMA) which would amount to market abuse for the purposes of FSMA on the information in this document until after the information has been made generally available. Nor should the recipient use the information in this document in any way which would constitute “market abuse”.

This document is being supplied to you solely for your information and for use at Invensys’s presentation to investors in connection with the Rail Disposal. No information made available to you in connection with the presentation may be passed on, copied or reproduced, in whole or in part, or otherwise disseminated, directly or indirectly, to any other person. The contents of this document are to be kept confidential.

Some of the information in this document or any related materials or given at this presentation is still in draft form and has not been legally verified and will only be finalised at the time of publication of any class 1 circular in connection with the Rail Disposal. The information set out herein and in any related materials and given at the presentation is subject to updating, completion, revision, verification and amendment, and such information may change materially. Invensys is under no obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation, to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent, or to publicly announce the result of any revision to the statements made herein except to the extent they would be required to do so under applicable law or regulation, and any opinions expressed herein, in any related materials or given at the presentation are subject to change without notice.

This document includes statements that are, or may be deemed to be, “forward-looking statements”. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including the terms “believes”, “estimates”, “plans”, “projects”, “anticipates”, “expects”, “intends”, “may”, “will”, or “should” or, in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans, objectives, goals, future events or intentions. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. They appear in a number of places throughout this document and include, but are not limited to, statements regarding Invensys Group’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Invensys Group’s results of operations, financial position, prospects, growth, strategies and the industry in which it operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and the actual results of the Invensys Group’s operations and financial position, and the development of the markets and the industry in which the Invensys Group operates, may differ materially from those described in, or suggested by, the forward-looking statements contained in this document. In addition, even if the results of operations, financial position and the development of the markets and the industry in which the Invensys Group operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this document, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in subsequent periods. A number of factors could cause results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements including, without limitation, general economic and business conditions, industry trends, competition, changes in regulation, currency fluctuations, changes in its business strategy, political and economic uncertainty and other factors.

Forward-looking statements may, and often do, differ materially from actual results. Any forward-looking statements in this document speak only as of their respective dates, reflect Invensys’s current view with respect to future events and are subject to risks relating to future events and other risks, uncertainties and assumptions relating to Invensys’s operations, results of operations and growth strategy. You should specifically consider the factors identified in this document which could cause actual results to differ before making any decision in relation to the Rail Disposal. Subject to the requirements of the Financial Services Authority, the London Stock Exchange, the Listing Rules and Disclosure and Transparency Rules (and/or any regulatory requirements) or applicable law, Invensys explicitly disclaims any obligation or undertaking publicly to release the result of any revisions to any forward-looking statements in this document that may occur due to any change in Invensys’s expectations or to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this document.

No statement in this document is intended as a profit forecast or profit estimate and no statement in this document should be interpreted to mean that the earnings per share of the Invensys Group, as reduced by the disposal of Invensys Rail, or Invensys Rail for the current or future financial periods will necessarily match or exceed the historical or published earnings per share of the Invensys Group or Invensys Rail.

© Invensys 28 November 20122

Page 3: Invensys Presentation 281112

Summary of proposed transactionsFeature Comments

1. Disposal of Invensys Rail to Siemens for £1,742m

• Represents 15 times FY2012 OPBIT

2. UK Pension Agreement

• £400m up-front contribution

• £225m “Reservoir Trust”

• £40-47m per annum cash flow extinguished

• Establishes long-term funding solution (10+ years)

• Any future funding requirement intended to be met by trust fund

3. Return of £625m (around 76.7 pence per share) to shareholders

• Value creation to be passed back to shareholders

• Immediately following completion of disposal

4. Creates focused Group• Focused industrial software and control equipment group

• Over 33% of activity in energy markets and around35% in emerging markets

• Investment and development targeted in higher margin and higher growth areas

• Around £25m of overhead savings by start of FY2015

• Clear strategy

• Opportunity for strong value creation through growth in software and equipment and business development

© Invensys 28 November 20123

Page 4: Invensys Presentation 281112

© Invensys 28 November 20124

Rationale for proposed disposal

• Successful execution of Invensys

Rail strategy in past five years

has created significant value

– 64% order book in new markets

• Medium term probability of

consolidation creates

uncertainties

– Limited scope to increase size of

Invensys Rail

• Strategic review concluded

– Siemens best placed to maximise

potential value due to significant

synergies

– First mover advantage of disposal of

Invensys Rail

Invensys Rail order book £1.1bnAt 30 September 2012

Page 5: Invensys Presentation 281112

© Invensys 28 November 20125

Proposed disposal of Invensys Rail to

Siemens for £1,742 million

• Agreement based upon a debt free/cash free basis

• Price represents 15 times Invensys Rail FY2012 OPBIT

• Subject to Invensys shareholder approval at General Meeting in

late December 2012

– Also subject to customary anti-trust clearances, UK Pensions Regulator

approval and lending banks consent

• Completion expected in second quarter of calendar year 2013

• Westinghouse Scheme transferring to Siemens

– £39m deficit on £155m of liabilities at 30 September 2012

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Invensys Pension Scheme Funding Agreement

Feature Comment

£625m cash• £400m contribution to scheme• £225m in trust

• Including trust, fully funded on a technical provisions basis (headroom estimated at £100m)

• High likelihood of being self-sufficient as gilt yields return to normal levels

List of further mitigation opportunities to be considered, including:• Enhanced transfer value• Early retirement

• Reduces remaining pension risk and adds to cover by circa £100m

Trust arrangement and release process agreed by Trustee

• Any funding deficit (after £400m contribution) will use Trust to contribute up to £20m per annum starting in 2018

• Reverse payments made if scheme is in surplus (120%), which could return money to Company

Buyout capability maintained

Agreements will be submitted to UK Pensions Regulator for approval

• Initial consultations already held

© Invensys 28 November 20126

Invensys believes that these actions establish long-term funding solution and Reservoir Trust provides buffer

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Invensys Pension Scheme Funding Agreement

NPV of defined benefit obligations (DBO) for next 20 years

© Invensys 28 November 20127

£bn

DBO forecast to reduce from £4.3bn to £1.8bn by 2028

Source : Invensys 2012 Annual Report and Accounts

Trust disbursement as requiredPossible outcomes as gilt yields normalise

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© Invensys 28 November 20128

Invensys Pension Scheme Funding Agreement

Historical yields on 15 year gilts

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

%

Normal range

Trust provides flexibility as gilt yields recover

Today 2.25% below middle of normal range

Page 9: Invensys Presentation 281112

© Invensys 28 November 20129

Return of funds to shareholders

Proposed return of £625m of cash to shareholders in 2013,

representing around 76.7 pence per share

• Shareholders will be able to elect to receive cash as income, capital,

deferred capital or a combination of the three and the timing of such

return

• More details will be provided after completion of disposal

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© Invensys 28 November 201210

Reduction in Corporate Costs

• Disposal of Invensys Rail provides opportunity to simplify Group

structure and reduce costs

• Reduce both Group centre and divisional overheads

• Annual cost savings at around £25m from April 2014

• One-off cash costs expected to be £30m predominantly in FY2014

• Expect ongoing restructuring will no longer be an exceptional charge

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Retained Group

© Invensys 28 November 201211

Invensys Operations Management

• A leading provider of industrial software

• Top 3 global installed base of DCS and world’s leading safety system

• Niche manufacturer of equipment used in industrial applications

Invensys Controls

• Leading manufacturer of appliance controls

• Major supplier of monitoring and controls in commercial refrigeration

• Climate controls for residential/small commercial buildings, optimising energy efficiency

Page 12: Invensys Presentation 281112

Retained Group benefits from facing higher growth

energy and emerging markets

© Invensys 28 November 201212

FY2012 revenues by end-market FY2012 revenues by geography

Energy markets represent c.33% of revenues

Emerging markets represent c.35% of revenues and c.52% of order book

Page 13: Invensys Presentation 281112

Retained Group Revenue

2012 Revenue

£m

2012 Growth at

CER v 2011

% of Retained

Group

Indicative* EBIT

margins%

Investmentpriorities

Software 231 16% 13% Mid 20’s ���

Systems 765 14% 43% High single �

Equipment - industrial 276 6% 16% Mid teens ��

Invensys Operations Management

1,272 72%

Equipment - commercial/wholesale

201 (4%) 12% Mid teens ��

Appliance 291 (14%) 16% Single

Invensys Controls 492 28%

© Invensys 28 November 201213

41% of Retained Group revenues from higher margin, higher growth areas

* Before central costs

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Retained Group Revenue

How we will operate in FY2014

2012 Revenue

£m

2012 Growth at

CER v 2011

% of Retained

Group

Indicative* EBIT

margins%

Investmentpriorities

Software 231 16% 13% Mid 20’s ���

Equipment - industrial 276 6% 16% Mid teens ��

Equipment - commercial/wholesale

201 (4%) 12% Mid teens ��

477 1% 28%

Systems 765 14% 43% High single �

Appliance 291 (14%) 16% Single

© Invensys 28 November 201214

• Streamlined portfolio has fastest growth in highest margin businesses

• Organic growth will be coupled with M&A to drive EBIT growth

* Before central costs

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Investing for future growth

Priorities

Software • R&D in growth areas such as simulation and optimisation• Consolidator of fragmented industrial software market

Equipment - industrial • Product development to enhance niche positions• Acquisitions of companies with products that broaden offering

Equipment – commercial/wholesale

• New product development and geographic expansion• Focus on energy monitoring and efficiency, wireless solutions and energy and controls systems for residential and small retail customers

Systems • R&D to maintain strong market position

Appliance • Significant past investment in lean and low cost manufacturing

• Ensure enhanced profitability when markets recover

© Invensys 28 November 201215

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© Invensys 28 November 201216

Retained Group – key takeaways

• Remaining businesses have strong fundamentals and will allow us

to grow faster than European industrial peers

– Our software and equipment businesses have leading market positions

and no issues of scale

– Our fastest growing business, software, is also our highest margin %

– We have free cash to invest in the growth potential of software and

equipment (c.f. Spiral Software)

– Estimated cash post transaction is £518m (or around £400m net of

normal business funding needs)

• Step change in pension position

– Long term funding solution

– Cessation of £40-47m annual payments which benefits free cash flow

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Timetable

© Invensys 28 November 201217

Class 1 circular and Notice of General Meeting posted to shareholders

As soon as practicable

General Meeting held to approve disposal of Invensys Rail Late December 2012

Invensys Capital Markets Day on Retained Group TBC in 2013

Expected date of completion of disposal of Invensys Rail Q2 Calendar 2013

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Invensys and the Invensys logo are trade marks of Invensys plc© Invensys 28

November 2012Slide 18

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Invensys software benchmarkingAveva

Mar YE (£m) ‘11A ‘12A ‘13E ‘14E

Revenue% growth

174 19612.6%

22213.1%

24611.1%

EBIT% growth% margin

55 6213.8%31.8%

6910.1%30.9%

7915.1%32.0%

FV/RevenueFV/EBIT

5.5x17.7x

4.9x15.4x

Source: Company reports, Brokers estimates, Factset as at 2 November 2012

© Invensys 28 November 201219

Aspen Technologies

Mar YE (£m) ‘11A ‘12A ‘13E ‘14E

Revenue% growth

144 17320.3%

20921.1%

25521.6%

EBIT% growth% margin

(15) 10nmnm

37nm

17.5%

71nm

27.7%

FV/RevenueFV/EBIT

7.1xnm

5.8xnm

Source: Company reports, Brokers estimates, Factset as at 2 November 2012

Manhattan Associates

Mar YE (£m) ‘11A ‘12A ‘13E ‘14E

Revenue% growth

189 21111.5%

23712.5%

2609.5%

EBIT% growth% margin

29 4245.3%20.0%

5633.3%23.7%

6312.4%24.3%

FV/RevenueFV/EBIT

2.9x12.4x

2.7x11.0x

Source: Company reports, Brokers estimates, Factset as at 2 November 2012

Bentley Systems (private company)


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