US Airfare Trend Report

Week of March 16, 2015

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 21, 2015 – April 25, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 14, 2015

Notes• United Airlines appears to have implemented a systematic $0.40 change across all flights in

the US, on a standalone basis.• The extent of JetBlue’s price hikes have abated somewhat, but still more extensive than

peers.

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 21, 2015 – April 25, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 14, 2015

Notes• The massive extent of the changes at United means that the median hike is substantially $0 (when

rounding $0.40 to the nearest whole dollar)• Delta and American/US continued to see some pretty similar price volatility profiles.

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 21, 2015 – April 25, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 14, 2015

Notes• In terms of the top fare hikes, it is not surprising to see United-heavy routes be

represented. San Francisco and Houston are both hubs for UA.

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 21, 2015 – April 25, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 14, 2015

Notes• Fare drops were on the sparse side this past week, with the top 10 locations with greatest

% of drops keeping around the 20% range.

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 21, 2015 – April 25, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 14, 2015

Notes• We see the $100 price change interval at work in the chart on the left. When airlines raise

or drop the fare on a certain flight, it is usually by a fairly round number.

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 21, 2015 – April 25, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 14, 2015

• Except for some usual suspects here, fares didn’t appear to move much on a dollar basis.

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 21, 2015 – April 25, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 14, 2015

Notes• You can see the impact of

some UA-heavy routes here, such as the ORD-SFO and ORD-LAX flights, both with a median increase of (almost) zero.

• So far, we’ve only noticed the 40 cent markup on United flights. One advantage is that most itineraries should be priced at a rounder number, like $XXX.50 or $XXX.00.

TRENDS AMONG 25 MAJOR AIRPORT ROUTES

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 21, 2015 – April 25, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 14, 2015

ABOUT OUR DATA

• We observed the cohort of non-stop US domestic airfares departing March 21, 2015 to April 25, 2015, or roughly on a one-week to six-weeks forward basis.

• These fares were observed over a seven-day period ending March 14, 2015.• Most commercial carriers in the US are represented.

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 21, 2015 – April 25, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 14, 2015

ABOUT FLYR

FLYR is a data science company that constructs technologies to predict and mitigate future airfare volatility. Our goal is to develop tools that are able to neutralize uncertainty in travel planning.

Our open airfare prediction beta is currently available at http://www.getFLYR.com.

We welcome your comments and questions, as well as ideas and suggestions for future reports.

Steady Travels,FLYR Research

© 2014-2015 FLYR Inc. All Rights Reserved.

All data, charts, and commentary are provided for informational purposes only.Permission to reproduce the contents contained herein must be obtained with prior consent of FLYR Inc.For reproduction/distribution authorizations or other media requests, please contact:

Andrew JingFLYR Inc.andrew@FLYRLabs.com89 De Boom St., San Francisco, CA 94080