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Page 1: AFFIDAVIT - Pakistan Agricultural Research Council … · Web viewPre-Feasibility Study RURAL POULTRY FARMING OF HIGH EGG PRODUCING SCAVENGER POULTRY BREED OF NARC A PROPOOR SMALL

Pre-Feasibility StudyRURAL POULTRY FARMING OF HIGH EGG PRODUCING SCAVENGER POULTRY

BREED OF NARC

A PROPOOR SMALL SCALE INTERVENTION

PAKISTAN AGRICULTURE RESEARCH COUNCIL ISLAMABADMINISTRY OF NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY AND RESEARCH

Government of Pakistanwww.parc.gov.pk

January 2014

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1st Draft

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Contents1. DISCLAIMER.......................................................................................................................................3

2. PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT.......................................................................................................4

3. INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME.........................................................................................................4

5. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY...................................................................................................................5

6. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT.................................................................................................5

7. CRITICAL FACTORS..........................................................................................................................5

8. INSTALLED AND OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES..........................................................................6

9. GEOGHRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT...................................................................6

10. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKET....................................................................................................6

11. PRODUCTION PROCESS FLOW.....................................................................................................7

12. PROJECT COST SUMMARY...........................................................................................................8

12.1: Project Economics............................................................................................................................8

12.2: Project Financing..............................................................................................................................9

12.3: Project Cost......................................................................................................................................9

12.4: Space Requirement...........................................................................................................................9

12.5: Machinery and Equipment.............................................................................................................10

12.6: Raw Material Requirements...........................................................................................................11

12.7: Human Resource Requirement.......................................................................................................12

12.8: Revenue Generation.......................................................................................................................12

13. CONTACTS – SUPPLIERS, EXPERTS / CONSULTANTS..........................................................13

14. ANNEXURES...................................................................................................................................14

15: KEY ASSUMPTIONS......................................................................................................................15

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1. DISCLAIMER

This information memorandum is to introduce the subject matter and provide a general idea and

information on the subject. Although, the material included in this document is based on data /

information generated from experiments and field testing by a team of relevant scientists; however, it is

based upon certain assumptions which may differ from case to case. The contained information may

vary due to any change in any of the concerned factors, and the actual results may differ accordingly

from the presented information. The PARC and its employees do not assume any liability for any

financial or other loss resulting from this memorandum in consequence of under taking this activity.

The prospective user of this memorandum is encouraged to contact qualified consultant/technical

expert, especially designated focal person(s) of this enterprise for reaching to an informed decision.

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2. PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT

The purpose of this document is to facilitate potential investors in INTERVENTION FOR

EMPOWERING POOR RURAL WOMEN BY REARING HIGH EGG PRODUCING SCAVENGER

POULTRY BREED by providing them with a general understanding of the business, with the

intention of supporting potential investors in crucial investment decisions. The project pre-

feasibility may form the basis of an important investment decision and in order to serve this

objective, the document/study covers various aspects of project concept development, start-up,

production, finance, and business management. The need to come up with pre-feasibility reports

for undocumented or minimally documented sectors attains greater imminence as the research

that precedes such reports reveal certain thumb rules; best practices developed by existing

enterprises by trial and error, certain industrial norms and well established research findings

that become a guiding source regarding various aspects of business set-up and it’s successful

management. Apart from carefully studying the whole document, one must consider critical

aspects provided later on, which form the basis of investment decisions.

3. INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME

Prime Minister’s Youth Business Loan Programme, for young entrepreneurs, with an allocated budget

of Rs. 5.0 Billion for the year 2013-14, is designed to provide subsidized financing at 8% mark-up per

annum for one hundred thousand (100,000) beneficiaries, through designated financial institutions,

initially through National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) and First Women Bank Ltd. (FWBL). Loans from

Rs. 0.1 million to Rs. 2.0 million with tenure up to 8 years inclusive of 1 year grace period, and a debt:

equity of 90: 10 will be disbursed to SME beneficiaries across Pakistan, covering; Punjab, Sindh,

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan, Gilgit-Baltistan, Azad Jammu & Kashmir and Federally

Administered Tribal Areas (FATA).

5. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

In livestock sector the poultry production has its own impact and value on the overall livestock market

and in the GDP contribution. By enhancing poultry production in the form of eggs and meat production

ultimately the per capita requirement of the protein in the country has been bridged markedly. Poultry

production is considered to be one of the most efficient and economical system of production of animal

protein. In Pakistan Poultry has been playing a vital role in bridging the gap between supply and

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requirement of animal protein food of high biological value. Our poultry production is mostly

dependent on exotic commercial lines but still our indigenous poultry at small scale level contribute

32% share to our national requirement of eggs and 15 % share to meat production. Our indigenous

poultry possesses bright prospects for future development in view of easy and abundant availability of

all the requisite inputs such as land, labor and feed resources in rural areas and lower cost of

production as compared to commercial poultry. The need is to improve our indigenous poultry breed

because the Indigenous chickens have the advantage of being well adapted to the local environmental

conditions (hot cold humid dry and rainy weather) and can live as a scavenger bird and can be reared at

a low cost. PARC has the initiative in this scenario that PARC has developed a new crossbred having

the ability to live as a scavenger bird and lay more eggs as compare to our pure indigenous poultry

breeds. As the conventional system is going on the women keep the local breed in backyard poultry

rearing system and sale eggs in the village and earn money for them. Here PARC intervention for

women empowering is, instead of rearing the pure indigenous breed that lays not more the 70-80 eggs

per year why one should not keep the newly developed high egg producing crossbred chicken that can

lay 170- 180 eggs in a year in the same backyard poultry rearing system. This kind of practical model

already been established in the National Agricultural Research Centre (NARC) and the 15 days old

high egg producing crossbred chick are being supplied to different areas of Pakistan. If the

entrepreneur is near by the federal territory then the chicks can be purchased from the NARC. The 15

days old high egg producing cross bred chick can be supplied to far for long areas of Pakistan at the

rate of rupees sixty only. Due to its good egg production in comparison with the desi or local breeds of

poultry, people love to rear this breed, and already PARC have a farmers list benefiting from our

crossbred. The poor rural women can purchase the chicks from NARC and will rare the chicks up to 6

months of age at partial feeding. Only 25% commercial feed will be given to chicks up to 6 months and

remaining feeding will be done by kitchen waste and by leaving the birds as a scavenger. At the age of

six months the cockerels from the flock will be sold out at the rate of Rs. 300/- per cockerel and the

hens will be kept for the egg production for next one year. The feeding will be increased during the

laying period up to sixty percent of total feeding. The eggs will be sold to the local market and the

women will start earning gradually. By keeping good quality chicks the poor rural women will earn

more than before she will be earning by having more eggs in one year. After one year the female hens

will be sold out at the rate of Rs. 100/= per bird and the new flock will be reared for next cycle. Further

breeding is discouraged in this system and cockerel sholud not keep with the hens to achieve the

objective of having good quality eggs and discouraging uneven breeding practice. This model of

rearing high egg producing chicks can be applied to all five provinces of Pakistan (Sindh, Punjab,

Balochistan and Khyber pakhtunknwa, Gilgit baltistan and AJK). This idea has been generated for a 5

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viable business because already the conventional rural poultry farming is practicing in rural area. By

doing this project one can earn better with less resources and better output. .

High egg producing chick production is considered for empowering women in rural poultry farming

business in this project pre-feasibility. This business is proposed to be located primarily in rural areas

of Pakistan. All the prospects of high egg producing crossbred chicks rearing, egg laying capacity,

disease resistance studies, climate resistance studies and marketing have been studied at Poultry

Research Section, Animal Products Improvement Program, Animal Sciences Institute (ASI), National

Agricultural Research Centre (NARC), Islamabad.

6. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT

Following key parameters must be addressed as per pre-feasibility study:

• Techniques: The high egg producing crossbred chicks will be purchased from NARC and will the

chicks will be reared up to six months of age at partial feeding. Only 25% commercial feed will be

given to chicks up to six months and remaining feeding will be done by kitchen waste and by leaving

the birds as a scavenger. At the age of six months the cockerels from the flock will be sold out at the

rate of Rs. 300/- per cockerel and the hens will be kept for the egg production for next one year. The

feeding will be increased during the laying period up to sixty percent of total feeding. The eggs will be

sold to the local market and the women will start earning gradually. By keeping good quality chicks the

poor rural women will earn more than before.. After having the successful laying period of hens i.e

almost one year the female hens will be sold out at the rate of Rs. 100/= per bird and the new flock will

be reared for next cycle. Further breeding is discouraged in this system and the cockerel should not

keep with the hens to achieve the objective of having good quality eggs and discouraging uneven

breeding practice.

• Location: The business can be initiated in any province (Sindh, Punjab, Balochistan, Khyber

Pakhtunknwa, Gilgit Baltistan and AJK) in hot or cold environment. It is preferable if the site is close

to main road reaching there for the easy transportation of chicks and feed bags to the site. The birds can

live as a scavenger but in early stage of life the care from the domestic and wild animal must be

provided to save the asset in the form of chicks. The site must be close to the living area so one can

easily watch the birds.

• Product: The product in this business will be cockerels at 6-months of age which will be used for

meat purpose and then after 6-months the eggs from the laying hens. The eggs will be sold in the

market or in the rural area and this will be the main source of earning. This idea has been generated for

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a viable business because already the conventional rural poultry farming is practicing in rural area. By

doing this project one can earn better with less resources and better output.

• Target Market: The target market is every one in that rural area or that particular place. People love

to eat desi cockerel in the villages so it can be sold at a good price.

• Employment Generation: In this business the rural women who will own this business is the

manager and the workers. But as the business will grow up the workers can be accommodated in this

business.

7. CRITICAL FACTORS

The commercial viability of the proposed project depends on the following factors:

• Rural women can run this business in a better way so women in this business idea are

critical.

• More successive business can be run in the areas where the temperature does not go very

high and very low.

• Selection of the good variety or breed of the poultry for egg and meat production.

• Very hot humid weather is not preferable as the egg storage will be critical.

• Farm should have strong market linkages for effective disposal of produce.

8. INSTALLED AND OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES

This pre-feasibility suggests that one should have one only 400 sq. ft. area for keeping 200 poultry

birds and 36 sq. ft. for feed storage. In this business the installed capacity depends on the rural women

setup if the sheds are already constructed then the installed capacity will be according to that shed

space but according to the pre-feasibility it has been suggested only 400 sq. ft. for 200 birds. If you one

have the installed capacity for 400 birds then no matter the entrepreneur can adjust the operational

capacity according to the need or the loan he/she is applying for. For Installed capacity may more than

the operational capacity and for the suggested feasibility only 36 sq. ft. is required. The rooms can be

constructed with low cost material. The material of the construction should be used in a way that it

should be re-useable and cheaper in price. Only the technical thing is the shed should be well

ventilated. The major cost in this enterprise will be the construction of the production area, feed store.

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9. GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT

Any geographical location is the potential site for the rural poultry or backyard poultry farming,

especially for empowering women. Preferable areas are where the climate is relatively stable. The

extreme weather areas are less preferable as the labor increases in extreme cold and hot weather.

Regions of Balochistan, Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhuwa, Gilgit Baltistan and AJK all are

preferable sites for the business.

10. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKET

The target market is every one in that rural area or that particular place. People love to eat desi cockerel

in the villages so it can be sold at a good price. When the production process increase the supply of

cockerels and eggs can be spread to the nearest cities and around.

11. PRODUCTION PROCESS FLOW

The high egg producing crossbred chicks will be purchased and reared up to six months of age at

partial feeding. Only 25% commercial feed will be given to chicks up to six months and remaining

feeding will be done by kitchen waste and by leaving the birds as a scavenger. At the age of six

months the cockerels from the flock will be sold out and the hens will be kept for the egg production

for the next one year. The feeding will be increased during the laying period up to sixty percent of total

feeding. The eggs will be sold to the local market and the women will start earning gradually. After

having the successful laying period of hens i.e almost one year the female hens will be sold out and the

new flock will be reared for next cycle. Further breeding is discouraged in this system and the cockerel

should not keep with the hens to achieve the objective of having good quality eggs and discouraging

uneven breeding practice.

12. PROJECT COST SUMMARY

A detailed financial model has been developed to analyze the hatching eggs in hatcheries and chick

production at small scale benefitting the local population of that particular area through Prime

Minister’s Small Business Loan Scheme. Various cost and revenue related assumptions, along with

results of the analysis, are outlined in this section.

12.1: Project Economics All figures in the financial model have been calculated for 38400 day old chicks. The following table shows internal rates of return and payback period.

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Table 1. Project EconomicsDescription Details

Net Present Value (NPV) 101203Benefits Cost Ratio (BCR) 1.31Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 28%Payback Period (years) 3.8

Factors that influence the profitability of this business is good farm management, quality of inputs, good marketing practice and environmental factors.

Following requirements have been identified for operations of the proposed business.

Table 2. Total Project Cost

Capital Investment Amount (rupees)Construction of shed 30000Equipments 4762Total Capital Cost 34762

The results in the tables show that the net present value, internal rate of return and benefit cost Ratio.

Returns on the business and its profitability are highly dependent on experience, suitable location and

good technical practices. The project will not be able to cover the potential demand of consumers and

recover payments, if these factors are not efficiently managed and will also lead to increased operating

cost.

12.2: Project FinancingFollowing table provides details of the equity required and variables related to bank loan;

Table 2: Project Financing

Description DetailsTotal own equity (0%) 11111

Bank Loan 100000

Markup to the Borrower(%age/annum) 8%

Tenure of the loan 8

Total own equity (0%) 11111.2

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12.3: Project Cost

Following requirements have been identified for operations of the proposed business.

Table 3: Project CostCapital Investment Amount(Rs.)Construction of Room 30000

Equipments 4852

Total Capital Cost 34852

Initial Working Capital 76260

12.4: Space Requirement The space required for this small scale business is only one 400 sq. ft. room for the brooding of the

chicks. For feed storage 36 sq. ft. room is sufficient. Room for the worker depends on the availability

of the space in the farm. The rooms can be constructed with low cost material. The material of the

construction should be used in a way that it should be reuseable and cheaper in price. Only the

technical thing is the rooms should be well ventilated. The major cost in this enterprise will be the

construction of the brooding room, feed store, worker’s room and other raw material required for the

brooding.

12.6: Raw Material Requirements

The detail of raw material required is given below.

Table 8: Raw Material RequirementDescription   Total cost/RsPurchase of fertilized Eggs 12000.00Vaccination and medication 200.00Total Feed Cost per Bag 53750.00Marketing   8000Total raw Material(variable cost) Rs 76350

12.8: Revenue Generation

The revenue generation through eggs sales and sale of male birds is given below. The price of the male

bird will be Rs. 200 per bird with increase by 10% every year however the price of eggs will be Rs. 8

with 5 % growth rate.

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Table 10: Revenue Generation

Year No. Sale

Price(Rs./Unit) First Year ProductionEggs sale

First Year8100 8.00 64800

Sale of male bird 120 200 23940

12.9: Other Costs

• Working Capital Requirements: It is estimated that an additional amount of approximately Rs. will

be required as cash in hand to meet the initial working capital requirements during operations. The

requirement is based on the utilities, salaries. All expanses are estimated on increase in 10% on yearly

basis.

Table 11: Total Working Capital

Description Years Yearly Charges(Rs.)Utilities 1 76800Management cost 1 24000

13. CONTACTS – SUPPLIERS, EXPERTS / CONSULTANTSDR. Farrukh Saleem

APIP/Poultry Research Section, ASI, NARC, ISLAMABAD

Ph: 051-8443861

Email:[email protected]

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14. ANNEXURES14.1: Cash Flow of the Project

Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Purchase of chicks 12000 12600 13230 13892 14586 15315 16081 16885 17729 18616Vaccination and medication  200 210 221 232 243 255 268 281 295 310Total Feed Cost  26250 27563 28941 30388 31907 33502 35178 36936 38783 40722Feed for productive hens (after selling male) 27500 28875 30319 31835 33426 35098 36853 38695 40630 42662management cost 24000 26400 29040 31944 35138 38652 42517 46769 51446 56591Electricity*telephone utility bills 2400 2640 2904 3194 3514 3865 4252 4677 5145 5659Marketing cost 1200 1320 1452 1597 1757 1933 2126 2338 2572 2830Total Cost 111112 87550 105153 110285 115757 121595 127826 134479 141587 149185 157311Revenue from  male birds sale( Rs) 23940 26334 28967 31864 35051 38556 42411 46652 51318 56449Sale of Eggs(No) 8100 16200 16200 16200 16200 16200 16200 16200 16200 16200Price (RS/Egg) 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 12 12Revenue for eggs sale(RS) 64800 136080 142884 150028 157530 165406 173676 182360 191478 201052Total Revenue 88740 162414 171851 181892 192580 203962 216088 229013 242796 257501Net Benefit -111112 1190 57261 61566 66135 70985 76136 81609 87425 93610 100190Installments 8000 19207 19207 19207 19207 19207 19207 19207 19207 19207Cumulative  -111112 -109922 -52661 8906 75041 146026 222162 303770 391196 484806 584996Income after the installment -111112 -6810 38054 42359 46928 51778 56929 62401 68218 74403 80983Present value cost 87550 97364 94552 91892 89376 86996 84745 82615 80600 78695Present value of Revenue 88740 150383 147335 144392 141552 138813 136172 133627 131175 128815Discount Factor 1 0.93 0.86 0.79 0.74 0.68 0.63 0.58 0.54 0.50

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15: KEY ASSUMPTIONS

Description

Interest Rate 8%Loan Tenure 8 YearsGrace Period 1 YearsDebt Equity Ratio 90:10Sale Price Growth Rate of eggs 5%Sale Price Growth Rate of male birds 10%Repair and Maintenance Rate 5%Increase in management 10%Increase in Input Prices 5%

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