Transcript
Page 1: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT SURFACINGSPresenter: Dr Emile Horak

co-authors Wim Hofsink, Herman Marais, Joanne Muller and Ane’ Cromhout

Page 2: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Paradigm: The concept and meaning

Thinking patterns, rules to look at the world, data, information, skewed by confirmation and hindsight biases

Kuhn (1962)- biases in scientific research

Page 3: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Pervasive nature of paradigms

Rules, standards, guidelines, culture, religion, how we look at information

Page 4: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Rules can make us blind to all available information

The thinking rule : “If it is not square,… it is not there! …” It is round, does

not fit the rule. Result: It is

subconsciously ignored.

We literally become ignorant

to this

Page 5: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Paradigm shift is often to look at all the information or from a different perspective : It exposes our ignorance!

Page 6: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Our ignorance are forced to be challenged- versus previously just confirmation what we already know!

Agnotology: The study field of ignoranceor doubt, particularly the publication of inaccurate or misleading scientific data.

The study of culturally induced ignorance or doubt.Robert N Proctor and Londa Schiebinger

Page 7: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Agnotology is in the other direction of “knowledge”…Agnotology, the study of ignorance. Agnotology is seldom discussed, because studying the absence of something — in this case knowledge — is incredibly difficult.

Epistemology, or the study of knowledge. This field helps define what we know and why we know it. (Confirmation and hindsight biases)

The difficulty of studying something we don’t know

ResearchSearch

Page 8: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Ignorance is bliss! Modern effect of the internet! Everyone is an instant expert!

The ten thousand hour rule applies: Gladwell

Do not express this image in the Afrikaans language!

Page 9: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Broad based information gathering• As-built information• Quality control and quality assurance information• Surveys (eg visual, rutting, Falling Weight

Deflectometer (FWD), riding quality, macro texture, Dynamic Cone Penetrometer (DCP)

• Ground Penetration Radar (GPR) • Test pits and material sampling• Laboratory tests

Climbing the slope of enlightenment: FORENSIC INVESTIGATIONS

Page 10: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

More detailed and specialised investigation phase• X-Ray Diffraction (XRD), or X-Ray Florescence (XRF), • Bending Beam Rheometer (BBR), • Multiple Stress Creep Recovery (MSCR) Test, • Dynamic Shear Rheometer (DSR), • Multiple-Stress Creep-Recovery (MSCR) test, • Asphalt Mix Performance Test (AMPT), • Computed Thomography (CT) scans and modelling, etc

Climbing the slope of enlightenment: FORENSIC INVESTIGATIONS

Page 11: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Reason’s “Swiss cheese” model -distress development –multiple factors contribution on a random basis

Other holes due tolatent conditions

Some holes dueto normal variation

Distress Development in a road is

never just a single factor. The complexity can lead to confusion! Fact and fiction must be separated

Layers of cheese slices - random outlier type defects - the holes through which effects can permeate to the next ‘cheese’ layer

Page 12: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Water from the top as main cause of distress

Distress observation on surface therefore misleading

Open surface allowing water into asphalt and lower layers

Horizontal permeability being higher than vertical

Water entering base at weak spot away from original surface entrance

Distress development in base and away from original water entrance

Distress development – often due to the confusing contribution of the whole pavement system

Page 13: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

The density precipice

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Dens

ity %

ter p

erm

eabi

lity

(l/

hr/m

2 )

89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 970

100

200

300

400

500

Density %

Water permeability (l/hr/m2)

The proverbial edge of the cliff

Typical correlation of density of asphalt versus measured permeability

PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT LAYERS

Page 14: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

McDaniel R (2019) Through thick and thin. Asphalt Pavement Magazine Volume 24,

PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT LAYERS

Typical HMA zone where

permeability may increase exponentially

Permeability is the flow of water through interconnected voids

Variability due to: Influence of stone size on voids and therefore permeability

Page 15: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 6.5 7.5Voids in the Mix (%)

Probability Density FunctionsVoids in the Mix

90th percentile Project B6.65

90th percentile Project A4.86

Median Project A4.33

Median Project B5.53

Voids specification 3% to 6%

Cromhout et al CAPSA 2019

Variability in the air voids demonstrated with Probability Density Functions (PDFn)

PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT LAYERS

Evaluation by means of

averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual

variability

Page 16: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

a) Micro cracks during paving operation

WAYS THAT WATER ENTER THE ASPHALT SURFACING

Shear cracks - compaction rolling . Become visible only after rain. Fines pumped to line the lips of the transverse fine cracks

Page 17: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

b) Rolled in chips (RIC) provides openings in asphalt layers

WAYS THAT WATER ENTER THE ASPHALT SURFACING

Side view Top view

Page 18: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Cracked or crushed RiC can cause a dramatic increase in surface permeability

WAYS THAT WATER ENTER THE ASPHALT SURFACING

(Grobbelaar, 2014)

Page 19: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Once the water is inside it will go sideways!Water appearing away from Marvil

indicating horizontal flow in the asphalt layer.

The Marvil has several short comings and should be improved to allow better

permeability measurement of either vertical or horizontal flow

Maree and Viljoen (1983) MARVIL criteria for bases and surfacings

Layer Percentile permeability limits (l/hr)

Mod-dry regions

Wet regions

Surfacings <0.05 <0.01

G1 <0.05 <0.02

G2 & G3 <3.0 <1.5

Page 20: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Horizontal =up to 10 times vertical permeability

The Marvil test in ‘no man’s land’ Therefore more prone to measure horizontal permeability !

Diameter of Marvilis 175mm

Work done by Harris: Based on approximately 180mm thickness of asphalt. Indications that thinner asphalt layers may be more permeable horizontally than vertically

Horizontal flow

Vertical flow

Page 21: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Permeability measurement

Vertical permeability - not done regularly, horizontal virtually never

Page 22: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Permeability predictions using permeability equations and Rational Bailey Method Ratios can help benchmark asphalt mixes permeability propensity

𝒌𝒌 = 𝟒𝟒𝟒𝟒𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏

𝟐𝟐𝟑𝟑∗ 𝑨𝑨𝑨𝑨𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏

∗ 𝐷𝐷753.70

k= coefficient of permeability(mm/s)AV = total air voids (%)D75= Sieve size through which 75% of the aggregate is passing (mm)

Improved air void and flow path simulation method , Vardanega and Waters (2011)

Page 23: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Summary and conclusions

• Collective experience regarding permeability have characteristics of a paradigm shift.Implying a new look at existing information

• It is recognized as significant as experience shows that asphalt surfacings fail due to the outliers and not the average values

Page 24: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Summary and conclusions (Cont)• Statistical procedures should therefore be re-

examined to reflect the probability density function of as built results to give a better appreciation of variability outside the specified ranges.

• Permeability is a measure of the interconnectedness of voids. Therefore the need for accurate determination of voids in the laboratory is recognized. –CoreLok method

Page 25: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Summary and conclusions (Cont)

• Construction and mix design factors may contribute significantly towards vertical permeability of asphalt layers. Micro-cracks (rolling technique or cold compaction) and the continued use of Rolled in Chips (RIC)

• It is recommended that various obvious alternatives to RIC be considered and evaluated.

Page 26: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Summary and conclusions (Cont)

• Recognition that horizontal permeability in asphalt layers is between 3 to 10 times higher than vertical permeability

• Vertical and horizontal permeability are seldom measured separately in the laboratory.

Page 27: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Summary and conclusions (Cont)

• The Marvil field permeameter- prone to tester capability - may actually measure horizontal permeability more than vertical permeability (diameter size)

• Improvements needed for better field permeameter as well as laboratory permeameters to measure both vertical as horizontal permeability

Page 28: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Summary and conclusions (Cont)

• Current asphalt density specifications (egminimum density of 93% (or lower) implies voids in the field mix is already 7% (or higher) with associated random higher voids in the mix.

• It is like playing on the edge of the precipice! It becomes a dangerous flirtation with high permeability

Page 29: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Summary and conclusions (Cont)

• Permeability potential can be benchmarked via field and laboratory measurements and should be formalized in the new TG35 or update

• Permeability potential can be monitored via binary aggregate principles correlated with rational Bailey ratios and porosity calculations from the grading and aggregate packing

Page 30: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Let us get climb the slope of enlightenment by investigating our ignorance

Let us admit: We are still ignorant about void connectivity and permeability!

Page 31: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios
Page 32: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios
Page 33: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Rules can make us blind to all available information

The thinking rule : “If it is not square,… it is not there! …”

It is round, do not fit the rule.

Result: It is subconsciously

ignored. We literally

become ignorant to this

Do not translate this image to the Afrikaans language!

Page 34: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Most SA Hot Mix Asphalt (HMA) tend to lean towards the lean side-therefore higher up the air voids curve

b) The slippery precipice below specified density levels

PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT LAYERS

Page 35: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Density reduction or binder content reduction both can cause a significant increase in voids in the mix

PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT LAYERSb) The slippery precipice below specified density levels

Page 36: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

The Vexing Problem of Variability

Redivo S. 2012 ‘Correlation of Asphalt Surfacing Permeability of Laboratory and Field Prepared Specimens’.

PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT LAYERS

Water oozing from only certain areas of the asphalt = Variable permeability

Page 37: A PARADIGM SHIFT ON PERMEABILITY OF THIN ASPHALT … · Evaluation by means of averages, mean or median can be totally misleading regarding actual ... Rational Bailey Method Ratios

Not all information are equal: Sources and quality

Data sets such as “as-built” information can at best be dubious

Personal memories of what happened on site can be directly linked to “fruits and nuts” like ignorance

I love Wikileaks!


Top Related