did type of prior antihypertensive therapy influence the heart failure results in allhat? richard...
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Did Type of Prior Antihypertensive Therapy Influence the Heart Failure
Results in ALLHAT?
Richard Grimm, Barry Davis, Linda Piller, Karen Margolis, Joshua Barzilay, Richard Dart, James Graumlich, Robert Murden, Otelio Randall, Katrina Sawyer, for the ALLHAT Collaborative Research Group
ALLHAT
Randomized Designof ALLHAT
High-risk hypertensive patients ≥ 55 years
Consent / Randomize
(42,418)
Amlodipine
Chlorthalidone
Doxazosin
Lisinopril
Eligible for lipid-lowering
Not eligible for lipid-lowering
Consent / Randomize (10,355)
Pravastatin Usual care
Follow for CHD and other outcomes until death or end of study (up to 8 yr).
ALLHAT
Secondary Outcomes
• All-cause mortality
• Stroke
• Combined CHD – nonfatal MI, CHD death, coronary revascularization, hospitalized angina
• Combined CVD – combined CHD, stroke, lower extremity revascularization, treated angina, fatal / hospitalized / treated CHF
• All components of CVD – prespecified
ALLHAT
ALLHAT Criteria for HF Evaluation*
Must have one from each category:
Category “A” Category “B”Paroxysmal nocturnal dyspnea Rales
Dyspnea at rest Ankle edema
NYHA Classification III Tachycardia
Orthopnea Cardiomegaly by CXR
CXR characteristic of CHF
S3 gallop
Jugular venous distention
*ALLHAT Manual of Operations, 5.3.4
ALLHAT
Heart Failure Data Collection
• Hospitalized nonfatal – discharge summary
• Hospitalized fatal – death certificate, discharge summary
• Nonhospitalized fatal – death certificate
• Nonhospitalized nonfatal (treated) – checkbox
• 100% review of discharge summaries and death certificates by CTC Medical Reviewer
ALLHAT
--Queries to clinics if diagnosis questionable
Background: Hospitalized and Fatal Heart Failure
HR P value 95% CI
A vs. C* 1.35 < 0.001 1.21-1.50
L vs. C* 1.10 0.11 0.98-1.23
D vs. C† 1.66 < 0.001 1.46-1.89
ALLHAT
*JAMA 2002;288:2981-2997 †Hypertension 2003;42:239-246
Cumulative Event Rates for Hospitalized/Fatal Heart Failure by
Treatment Group
Cu
mu
lati
ve E
ven
t R
ate
Years0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0
.02
.04
.06
.08
.1 RR 95% CI
A-C 1.35 1.21-1.50
L-C 1.10 0.98-1.23
ChlorthalidoneAmlodipineLisinopril
ALLHAT
Cumulative Event Rates for Hospitalized/ Fatal Heart Failure by Treatment Group
RR (95% CI) p value
D/C 1.66 (1.46-1.89) <0.001
ALLHATC
um
ula
tive
Fat
al+
Ho
sp H
F E
ven
t R
ate
Years to Fatal or Hosp HF
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
.03
.06
.09
.12
Chlorthalidone
Doxazosin
ALLHAT Question to be Addressed by these Analyses
Kaplan-Meier curves for the HF outcome show an early divergence of the curves for chlorthalidone vs. amlodipine, lisinopril, or doxazosin.
Question: Can the heart failure findings in part be explained by discontinuing antihypertensive medications such as diuretics and ACE-inhibitors upon entry into ALLHAT?
HF Validation Study – BP Meds at Entry
• 2091 pts w/ 3032 hosp/fatal HF cases centrally reviewed
• Criteria – ALLHAT, Framingham, reviewer judgment
• 70-84% confirmed on central review (similar across Rx groups; Rx group effects larger in confirmed cases)
• Requested information about pts’ BP drug use at trial entry just before end of study
• Received information for 1418 pts (~ 2/3 total) population for this study
ALLHAT
Baseline Characteristics
HF Ppts with BP Med Data
Total HF Ppts
Number 1418 2091
Age, mean, yr 70.3 70.1
Female, % 43.9 43.3
Ethnicity
White, % 62.4 61.1
Black, % 33.2 34.8
RX at baseline, % 93.6 93.5
BP, mean, mg Hg 148.5 / 82.0 148.5 / 81.9
ALLHAT
Baseline CharacteristicsALLHAT
HF Ppts with BP Med Data
Total HF Ppts
Hx of CHD, % 38.4 37.2
Hx of coro. revasc., % 23.1 21.5
Hx of diabetes, % 47.5 49.4
Cigarette smoker,% 15.3 19.1
LVH on ECG, % 18.0 18.8
T-chol, mean, mg/dL 217.8 216.9
Fast. trig., mean, mg/dL 181.4 182.2
Source of Entry Drug Information
Source of information Distribution
ALLHAT RZ records 66.2%
Other medical chart 53.7%
Asked patient 1.6%
Other 4.1%
ALLHAT
Note: More than one source was used for some patients.
Heart Failure During ALLHAT: Percent of Patients on Prior BP Meds
Prior BP Med C A L D Total
Diuretics 36 41 37 42 39
CCB 46 47 45 49 47
ACE-I 38 39 35 34 37
Beta Blockers 17 14 22 16 17
Total # of ppts*† 460 369 285 304 1418
*Participants may have been on one, multiple, or no prior BP meds.†Refers to participants with HF during ALLHAT and for whom prior medication data is available.
ALLHAT
Heart Failure Within the First Year Following Randomization: Percent
of Patients on Prior BP Meds
ALLHAT
Prior BP Med C A L D Total
Diuretics 45 47 52 49 48
CCB 35 44 51 46 45
ACE-I 43 42 36 40 40
Beta Blockers 10 11 24 10 14
Total # of ppts*† 49 79 75 99 302
*Participants may have been on one, multiple, or no prior BP meds. †Refers to participants with HF during first year following randomization and for whom prior medication data is available.
Cumulative Event Rates for Heart Failure by Prior Meds Status
ALLHAT
RR (95% CI) p value
Y/N 1.48 (1.25-1.75) <.001
C
um
ula
tive
HF
Rat
e
Years to HF
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 70
.03
.06
.09
No Prior Meds
Prior Meds
Case-Only Analyses
• Cannot do analyses on entire population since pre-ALLHAT BP meds data was only collected for HF cases.
• A technique know as case-only analyses will allow us to examine if there was interaction.
• Do “full” analyses and case-only analyses provide comparable results?
ALLHAT
Interactions of Step 1 Treatment and Use of ANY Prior BP Meds for
Occurrence of HF*
Full logistic Case-only
Year 1 OR P OR P
A vs C 1.81+ 0.29 1.83 0.28
L vs C 3.52 0.07 3.49 0.07
D vs C 1.70 0.30 1.69 0.30
ALLHAT
* All hospitalized/fatal heart failure cases
+ OR (A vs. C) = 2.32 (1.75, 3.08) for those on meds; 1.28 (.44, 3.71) for those not on meds
Interaction of Treatment (L vs. C) and Specific Prior BP Meds
for Occurrence of HF
Univariate Multivariate*
Prior BP Meds OR 95% CI OR 95% CI
Diuretic 1.33 0.65-2.74 1.57 0.73-3.38
ACE-I 0.75 0.36-1.57 1.03 0.47-2.29
CCB 1.93 0.92-4.06 2.51 1.13-5.60
Beta blocker 2.78 0.96-8.07 3.30 1.08-10.07
ALLHAT
* Controlled for use of other classes of BP drugs
Interaction of Treatment (A vs. C) and Specific Prior BP Meds
for Occurrence of HFALLHAT
Univariate Multivariate*
Prior BP Meds OR 95% CI OR 95% CI
Diuretic 1.08 0.53-2.21 1.17 0.55-2.47
ACE-I 0.96 0.47-1.97 1.06 0.49-2.28
CCB 1.50 0.72-3.13 1.68 0.77-3.68
Beta blocker 1.13 0.36-3.60 1.42 0.43-4.72
* Controlled for use of other classes of BP drugs
Potential Confounders
• Confounders by indication: why was the patient placed on a specific class of drug prior to participation in the study?
• Use of additional meds during the study: what conditions developed that caused the patient to be placed on additional meds?
• Possibility of misclassification of drugs used prior to study entry
• Missing data: approximately one third of heart failure cases lacked information on specific drugs used prior to entry into ALLHAT
ALLHAT
Conclusions
• Among the HF cases, CCB’s were the most used BP drug prior to entry into ALLHAT, followed by diuretics and ACE inhibitors.
• Pts on any prior BP med (vs. none) were at higher risk of developing HF.
• These findings are noteworthy for those on CCB’s and BB’s at entry (confounding by indication?).
• These findings suggest that the type of BP drug at entry is not a major determinant of the HF results.
ALLHAT