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Determining Health Expectancies Determining Health Expectancies. Edited by J. Robine, C. Jagger, C. D. Mathers, E. M. Crimmins and R. M. Suzman Copyright 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. ISBN: 0-470-84397-7

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Determining HealthExpectancies

Determining Health Expectancies.Edited by J. Robine, C. Jagger, C. D. Mathers, E. M. Crimmins and R. M. Suzman

Copyright 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.ISBN: 0-470-84397-7

DeterminingHealthExpectancies

Edited by

Jean-Marie RobineINSERM, Equipe De¤ mographie et Sante¤ , Parc Eurome¤ decine, Montpellier, France

Carol JaggerDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Leicester, UK

Colin D. MathersEpidemiology and Burden of Disease,World Health Organization,Geneva, Switzerland

Eileen M. CrimminsAndrus Gerontology Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, USA

Richard M. SuzmanBehavioral and Social Research, National Institute on Aging, Bethesda, USA

Copyright u 2003 John Wiley & Sons Ltd, The Atrium, Southern Gate, Chichester,West Sussex PO19 8SQ, England

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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Determining health expectancies / edited by Jean-Marie Robine ... [et al.].p.cm.

Includes bibliographical references and index.ISBN 0-470-84397-7 (alk. paper)1. Health expectancy. 2. Health status indicators. 3. World health. I. Robine,

Jean-Marie.

RA407 .D47 2002614.4’2–dc21 2002031130

British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

ISBN 0 470 84397 7

Typeset by Dobbie Typesetting Ltd, Tavistock, DevonPrinted and bound in Great Britain by T.J. International, Padstow, CornwallThis book is printed on acid-free paper responsibly manufactured from sustainable forestryin which at least two trees are planted for each one used for paper production.

Contents

List of Contributors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ix

List of Abbreviations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xv

Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1

Jean-Marie Robine, Carol Jagger, Colin D. Mathers,Eileen M. Crimmins, Richard M. Suzman and Yves Peron

PART I THEMAINTRENDSINTHEEVOLUTIONOF THEPOPULATION’SHEALTHSTATUS

Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

Jean-Marie Robine

1 Increase in Life Expectancy and Concentration of Ages at Death . . . . 13

France Mesle and Jacques Vallin

2 Compression of Morbidity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35

Wilma J. Nusselder

3 Patterns of Disability Change Associated with the Epidemiologic

Transition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59

George C. Myers, Vicki L. Lamb and Emily M. Agree

4 Trends in Health Expectancies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75

Jean-Marie Robine, Isabelle Romieu and Jean-Pierre Michel

PART II THERELEVANCEOFHEALTHEXPECTANCIES

Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105

Eileen M. Crimmins

5 Social Inequalities in Health Expectancy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111

Eileen M. Crimmins and Emmanuelle Cambois

6 Sub-national Variations in Health Expectancy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127

Andrew Bebbington and Madhavi Bajekal

7 Cause-deleted Health Expectancies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149

Colin D. Mathers

8 Mental Health Expectancy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175

Karen Ritchie and Catherine Polge

PART III MEASUREMENT, COLLECTIONANDCALCULATIONPROBLEMS

Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185

Carol Jagger

9 Data Collection Methods and Comparability Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187

Victoria Buratta and Viviana Egidi

10 Disability Measurement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203

Dorly J.H. Deeg, Lois M. Verbrugge and Carol Jagger

11 The Evolution of Demographic Methods to Calculate Health

Expectancies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221

Sarah B. Laditka and Mark D. Hayward

12 Health-adjusted Life Expectancy (HALE) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 235

Jean-Marie Berthelot

13 Disability-adjusted Life Years (DALYs) and Disability-

adjusted Life Expectancy (DALE) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 247

Jan J. Barendregt

vi CONTENTS

14 Classification and Harmonisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263

Hendriek Boshuizen and Rom J.M. Perenboom

PART IV HEALTHEXPECTANCIES INTHEDIFFERENTREGIONSOFTHEWORLD

Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 285

Colin D. Mathers

15 Health Expectancy in Asian Countries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289

Yasuhiko Saito, Xiaochun Qiao and Sutthichai Jitapunkul

16 Ageing and Health Expectancies in Urban Latin America . . . . . . . . . 319

Roberto Ham-Chande

17 Global Patterns of Health Expectancy in the Year 2000 . . . . . . . . . . . 335

Colin D. Mathers, Christopher J.L. Murray, Alan D. Lopez,Joshua A. Salomon and Ritu Sadana

18 Health Expectancies in European Countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 359

Rom J.M. Perenboom, Herman Van Oyen and Margareta Mutafova

19 Health Expectancy Research in North American Countries . . . . . . . . 377

Vicki L. Lamb

20 Health Expectancy in Australia and New Zealand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 391

Peter Davis, Colin D. Mathers and Patrick Graham

Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 409

CONTENTS vii

List of Contributors

EMILY M. AGREE Johns Hopkins University, Dept of PopulationDynamics, School of Hygiene and Public Health,615 North Wolfe Street, 21205-2179 Baltimore,MD, USAEmail: [email protected]

MADHAVI BAJEKAL National Centre for Social Research, London EC1V0AX, UKEmail: [email protected]

JAN J. BARENDREGT Erasmus MC, Dept of Public Health, PO Box 1738,3000 DR Rotterdam, The NetherlandsEmail: [email protected]

ANDREW BEBBINGTON University of Kent, Personal Social ServicesResearch Unit, Cornwallis Building, CanterburyCT2 7NF, Kent, UKEmail: [email protected]

JEAN-MARIE BERTHELOT Statistics Canada, Health Analysis andMeasurement Group, R.H. Coats Building,24-P, K1A 0T6 Ottawa, Ontario, CanadaEmail: [email protected]

HENDRIEK BOSHUIZEN National Institute for Public Health and theEnvironment, Computerization and MethodologicalConsultancy Unit, PO Box 1, 3720 BA Bilthoven,The NetherlandsEmail: [email protected]

VITTORIA BURATTA ISTAT, DIREZIONE CENTRALE PEREIndagini Sulle Istitutson: Sociali, Via Liegi, 13,00198 Rome, ItalyEmail: [email protected]

EMMANUELLE CAMBOIS INSERM, Equipe demographie et sante, Centre Vald’Aurelle, Parc Euromedecine, 34298 MontpellierCedex 5, FranceEmail: [email protected]

EILEEN CRIMMINS Andrus Gerontology Center, University of SouthernCalifornia, 90089-0191 Los Angeles, California,USAEmail: [email protected]

PETER DAVIS Christchurch School of Medicine and HealthSciences, University of Otago, PO Box 4345,Christchurch, New ZealandEmail: [email protected]

DORLY J.H. DEEG Faculty of Medicine/LASA, Vrije Universiteit, Vander Boechorststraat 7, room H-036, 1081 BTAmsterdam, The NetherlandsEmail: [email protected]

VIVIANA EGIDI ISTAT, Dipartimento delle Statistiche Sociali, viaA. Rava’ 150, 00142 Rome, ItalyEmail: [email protected]

PATRICK GRAHAM Department of Public Health and General Practice,Christchurch School of Medicine and HealthSciences, PO Box 4345, Christchurch, New ZealandEmail: [email protected]

ROBERTO HAM-CHANDE El Colegio de la Frontera Norte, Department ofPopulation Studies, Abelardo Rodriguez 2925 –Zona Rio, 22320 Tijuana, BC, MexicoEmail: [email protected]

MARK D. HAYWARD The Pennsylvania State University, PopulationResearch Institute, 501 Oswald Tower, UniversityPark, PA 16802-6210, USAEmail: [email protected]

CAROL JAGGER University of Leicester, Dept Epidemiology andPublic Health, 22–28 Princess Road West,Leicester LE1 6TP, UKEmail: [email protected]

SUTTHICHAI JITAPUNKUL Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine,Chulongkorn University, Bangkok 10330, ThailandEmail: [email protected]

x LISTOF CONTRIBUTORS

SARAH B. LADITKA Center for Health and Aging, State University ofNew York Institute of Technology, Box 3050,Utica, New York 13504-3050, USAEmail: [email protected]

VICKI L. LAMB Center for Demographic Studies, Duke University,Box 90408, Durham, NC 27708-0408, USAEmail: [email protected]

ALAN D. LOPEZ Evidence and Information for Policy, World HealthOrganization, 20, Via Appia, CH 1211 Geneva 27,SwitzerlandEmail: [email protected]

COLIN D. MATHERS Epidemiology and Burden of Disease, World HealthOrganization, Geneva, SwitzerlandEmail: [email protected]

FRANCE MESLE INED, Institut National d’Etudes Demographiques,133 Boulevard Davout, 75980 Paris Cedex 20,FranceEmail: [email protected]

JEAN-PIERRE MICHEL Institutions Universitaires de Geriatrie, Route deMon-Idee CH-1226 Thonex-Geneve, SwitzerlandEmail: [email protected]

CHRISTOPHER J.L. Evidence and Information for Policy, World HealthMURRAY Organization (WHO), 20 Avenue Appia, 1211

Geneva 27, SwitzerlandEmail: [email protected]

MARGARETA MUTAFOVA Medical Academy, Department of Social Medecine,Belo More Str, 8, 1527 Sofia, BulgariaEmail: [email protected]

GEORGE C. MYERS Deceased

WILMA J. NUSSELDER Erasmus MC, Department of Public Health,University Medical Centre Rotterdam, POBox 1738, 3000 DR Rotterdam, The NetherlandsEmail: [email protected]

ROM J.M. PERENBOOM TNO Prevention and Health, Division PublicHealth, PO Box 2215, 2301 CE Leiden,The NetherlandsEmail: [email protected]

LISTOF CONTRIBUTORS xi

YVES PERON Universite de Montreal, Departement deDemographie, C.P. 6128, Succursale A, H3G 3J7,Montreal, Quebec, CanadaEmail: [email protected]

CATHERINE POLGE INSERM EMI 99/30, Hopital La ColombierePavillon Calixte Cavalier 42, 39, Avenue CharlesFlahault BP 34493, 34093 Montpellier, FranceEmail: [email protected]

XIAOCHUN QIAO Institute of Population Research, The People’sUniversity of China, Department of Demography,175 Haidian Road, 100872 Beijing, ChinaE-mail: [email protected]

KAREN RITCHIE INSERM EMI 99/30, Hopital La Colombiere,Pavillon Calixte Cavalier 42, 39, Avenue CharlesFlahault BP 34493, 34093 Montpellier, FranceEmail: [email protected]

JEAN-MARIE ROBINE INSERM, Equipe demographie et sante, Centre Vald’Aurelle, Parc Euromedecine, 34298 MontpellierCedex 5, FranceEmail: [email protected]

ISABELLE ROMIEU INSERM, Equipe demographie et sante, Centre Vald’Aurelle, Parc Euromedecine, 34298 MontpellierCedex 5, FranceEmail: [email protected]

RITU SADANA Global Programme on Evidence for Health Policy,World Health Organization (WHO), 20 AvenueAppia, 1211 Geneva 27, SwitzerlandEmail: [email protected]

YASUHIKO SAITO Nihon University, Center for InformationNetworking, 4-25 Nakatomi-Minami,359 Saitama-ken Tokorozawa-shi, JapanEmail: [email protected]

JOSHUA A. SALOMON Global Programme on Evidence for Health Policy,World Health Organization (WHO), 20 AvenueAppia, 1211 Geneva 27, SwitzerlandEmail: [email protected]

RICHARD SUZMAN National Institute on Aging, Behavioral and SocialResearch, 7201 Wisconsin Avenue, Gateway

xii LISTOF CONTRIBUTORS

Building 2C-234, 20892 Bethesda MD, USAEmail: [email protected]

JACQUES VALLIN INED, Institut National d’Etudes Demographiques,133 Boulevard Davout, 75980 Paris Cedex 20,FranceEmail: [email protected]

HERMAN VAN OYEN Scientific Institute of Public Health, Unit ofEpidemiology, Juliette Wytsmanstraat, 14, 1050Brussels, BelgiumEmail: [email protected]

LOIS M. VERBRUGGE University of Michigan, Institute of Gerontology,300 North Ingalls, 48109-2007 Ann Arbor,Michigan, USAEmail: [email protected]

LISTOF CONTRIBUTORS xiii

List of abbreviations

ADL Activities of Daily LivingDALE Disability-Adjusted Life ExpectancyDALY Disability-Adjusted Life YearDemLE Dementia-free Life ExpectancyDFLE Disability-Free Life ExpectancyDSM Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental DisordersEC European CommunityGBD Global Burden of DiseaseGDP Gross Domestic ProductGHQ General Health QuestionnaireGNP Gross National ProductHALE Health-Adjusted Life ExpectancyHE Health ExpectancyHLE Healthy Life ExpectancyHSE Health State ExpectancyHUI Health Utility IndexIADL Instrumental Activities of Daily LivingICD International Classification of DiseasesICIDH International Classification of Impairments, Disabilities

and HandicapsLE Life ExpectancyLED Life Expectancy with DisabilityMHI Mental Health IndexOECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and DevelopmentPYLL Potential Years of Life LostQALY Quality-Adjusted Life YearsREVES Reseau Esperance de Vie en Sante/International Network

on Health Expectancy and the Disability ProcessSES Socio-Economic StatusSMPH Summary Measure of Population HealthUN United NationsUNFPA United Nations Population FundWHO World Health OrganizationYLD Years Lived with DisabilityYLL Years of Life Lost