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Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare for Growth. May 2, 2012 San Antonio, TX

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Page 1: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Demographic Characteristics and Trends

of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX

Leadership San Antonio

Understand Infrastructure.

Prepare for Growth.

May 2, 2012

San Antonio, TX

Page 2: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

2000 Population*

2010 Population*

Numerical Change

2000-2010

Percent Change

2000-2010

United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7%

Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6%

California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0%

Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6%

Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3%

North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5%

Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6%

15.7% of numerical

change in U.S.

Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.

Select Growing States, 2000-2010

2

Page 3: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Percent Change

-21% - -10.1%

-10% - -0.1%

0% - 24.9%

25% - 54.9%

55% - 81.8%

Number of People

82 - 9,999

10,000 - 24,999

25,000 - 99,999

100,000 - 999,999

1,000,000 - 4,092,459

Total Population by County, 2010

3

Total Population Population % Change, 2000 to 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 P.L. 94-171 Redistricting Data.

Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.

Page 4: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Select Growing Counties, 2000-2010

2000 Population*

2010 Population*

Numeric Change Percent Change

Harris County 3,400,578 4,092,459 691,881 20.4

Dallas County 2,218,899 2,368,139 149,240 6.8

Tarrant County 1,446,219 1,809,034 362,815 25.1

Bexar County 1,392,931 1,714,773 321,842 23.1

Travis County 812,280 1,024,266 211,986 26.1

Guadalupe County

89,023 131,533 42,510 47.8%

Comal County 78,021 108,472 30,451 39.0%

Wilson County 32,408 42,918 10,510 32.4%

Kendall County 23,743 33,410 9,667 40.7%

4

Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.

Page 5: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Select Growing U.S. Cities, 2000-2010

2000 Population*

2010 Population*

Numeric Change Percent Change

New York, NY 8,008,278 8,175,133 166,855 2.1%

Los Angeles, CA 3,694,820 3,796,621 97,801 2.6%

Chicago, IL 2,896,016 2,695,598 -200,418 -6.9%

Houston, TX 1,953,631 2,099,451 145,820 7.5%

Philadelphia, PA 1,517,550 1,526,006 8,456 0.6%

Phoenix, AZ 1,321,045 1,445,632 124,587 9.4%

San Antonio, TX 1,144,646 1,327,407 182,761 16.0%

San Diego, CA 1,223,400 1,307,402 84,002 6.9%

Dallas, TX 1,188,580 1,197,816 9,236 0.8%

San Jose, CA 894,943 945,942 50,999 5.7%

5

Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.

Page 6: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Numeric and Percent Change of Top 10 Fastest Growing MSAs, 2010-2011

6

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

Numeric Change Percent Change

Page 7: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center.

Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2011

7

Percent Change Due to

Year* Population

Numerical Change**

Percent Change

Natural Increase

Net Migration

1950 7,711,194 -- -- -- --

1960 9,579,677 1,868,483 24.2 93.91 6.09

1970 11,196,730 1,617,053 16.9 86.74 13.26

1980 14,229,191 3,032,461 27.1 41.58 58.42

1990 16,986,510 2,757,319 19.9 65.85 34.15

2000 20,851,820 3,865,310 22.8 49.65 50.35

2009 24,782,302 3,930,484 18.8 54.04 45.33

2010 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6

2011 25,674,681 529,120 2.1 54.79 44.99

All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year. Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1, as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. ** Change is from previous decade/time period

Page 8: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Components of Change for Bexar County, 2010-2011

Area Total Population

Change

Natural Increase Vital Events Net Migration

Total Percent Births Deaths Total Percent Inter-national

Domestic

Texas 529,120 288,479 54.5 493,650 205,171 238,956 45.2 93,641 145,315

Harris County

88,452 61,240 69.2 88,975 27,735 27,343 30.9 24,187 3,156

Dallas County

47,875 34,209 71.5 51,851 17,642 13,692 28.6 15,203 -1,511

Travis County

38,858 14,665 37.7 20,273 5,608 23,914 61.5 6,461 17,453

Bexar County

41,376 19,535 47.2 33,357 13,822 21,605 52.2 4,605 17,000

Value for 2010 is for the decennial census conducted April 1, 2010. Values for 2011 are for July 1, as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. ** Change is from previous time period

8

Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center.

Page 9: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 1990-2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 1990, 2000, and 2010 Census counts.

9

61%

25%

12%

2%

1990

NH White Hispanic

NH Black NH Other

53% 32%

11% 4%

2000

NH White Hispanic

NH Black NH Other

45%

38%

11%

6%

2010

NH White Hispanic

NH Black NH Other

Page 10: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Bexar County Racial and Ethnic Composition, 1990-2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 1990, 2000, and 2010 Census counts.

10

36%

54%

7%

3%

2000

NH White Hispanic

NH Black NH Other

42%

50%

7%

1%

1990

NH White Hispanic

NH Black NH Other

30%

59%

7% 4%

2010

NH White Hispanic

NH Black NH Other

Page 11: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

San Antonio Racial and Ethnic Composition, 1990-2010

11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 1990, 2000, and 2010 Census counts.

36%

56%

7%

1%

1990

NH White Hispanic

NH Black NH Other

32%

59%

6%

3%

2000

NH White Hispanic

NH Black NH Other

27%

63%

6%

4%

2010

NH White Hispanic

NH Black NH Other

Page 12: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

20

00

20

02

20

04

20

06

20

08

20

10

20

12

20

14

20

16

20

18

20

20

20

22

20

24

20

26

20

28

20

30

20

32

20

34

20

36

20

38

20

40

Anglo

Black

Hispanic

Other

Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 2000-2007 Migration Scenario. 12

Projected Racial and Ethnic Population Percentages for Texas, 2000-2040

Page 13: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

20

00

20

02

20

04

20

06

20

08

20

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20

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20

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20

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20

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20

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20

26

20

28

20

30

20

32

20

34

20

36

20

38

20

40

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Projected Racial and Ethnic Population Percentages for Bexar County, 2000-2040

13 Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 2000-2007 Migration Scenario.

Page 14: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

14

Texas Population Pyramids by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

Median age

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Summary File 1 data by the Office of the State Demographer.

Page 15: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Texas Population Pyramid, 2010

15

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Summary File 1 data by the Office of the State Demographer.

Median age

Page 16: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Age Group as a Percentage of the Total Bexar County Population, 1990-2010

16

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Summary File 1 data by the Office of the State Demographer.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Pe

rce

nt

1990 2000 2010

Page 17: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Percent Change in Population by Age Group, 2000-2010

17

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Summary File 1 data by the Office of the State Demographer.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Pe

rce

nt

Texas San Antonio

Page 18: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Percent of Persons Aged 65 Years and Older in Texas Counties, 2000 Census and 2040 Projected

2000 2040

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Percent

5% - 9.9%

10% - 14.9%

15% - 19.9%

20% - 24.9%

25% - 30.7%

Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario.

Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.

Page 19: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Projected Population Among Older Texans

19 Source: Texas State Data Center, 2000-2004 Projection Scenario.

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,0002

00

0

20

02

20

04

20

06

20

08

20

10

20

12

20

14

20

16

20

18

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20

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20

28

20

30

20

32

20

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20

36

20

38

20

40

65 to 74

75 to 84

85 plus

Page 20: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Projected Population Among Seniors in Bexar County

20 Source: Texas State Data Center, 2000-2004 Projection Scenario.

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,0002

00

0

20

02

20

04

20

06

20

08

20

10

20

12

20

14

20

16

20

18

20

20

20

22

20

24

20

26

20

28

20

30

20

32

20

34

20

36

20

38

20

40

65 to 74

75 to 84

85 plus

Page 21: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Implications for Education, the Labor Force, Health Care, and Transportation

21

Page 22: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Percent Educational Attainment for Population 25 and Over

22

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Less than HighSchool

High School orequivalency

Some college orAssociate's

degree

Bachelor's degree Graduate orProfessional

degree

Texas Bexar County San Antonio

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates.

Page 23: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Percent Educational Attainment by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

23

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

NH White Hispanic NH White Hispanic

Texas San Antonio

Less than High School High School or equivalency Some college or Associate's degree

Bachelor's degree Graduate or Professional degree

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates.

Page 24: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Socioeconomic Characteristics for San Antonio Population 25 Years Plus, 2010

Less than High School

High School or

equivalency

Some college or Associate’s

degree

Bachelor’s degree

Graduate or Professional

degree

Percent Educational Attainment

19.8 25.6 30.8 15.0 8.8

Median Earnings

$18,379 $23,395 $30,360 $46,169 $61,019

Percent in Poverty

28.8 15.9 10.4 5.2*

--

24

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates.

Note: Percent in poverty for population with Bachelor’s degree also includes those with graduate and professional degrees

Page 25: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040

Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 1.0 Migration Scenario.

18.8

29.0 28.7

18.2

5.3

30.1 28.7

23.9

12.9

4.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

No High SchoolDiploma

High School Graduate Some College Bachelor's Degree Graduate/ProfessionalDegree

Pe

rce

nt

2000 2040

Page 26: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Health Insurance Coverage Status, 2009

Adults aged 18 to 64 Children aged 18 and under

Number Uninsured

Percent Uninsured

Number Uninsured

Percent Uninsured

Texas 4,607,983 30.9 1,205,354 16.9

Bexar County 282,839 28.5 64,853 13.6

Harris County 830,241 33.3 235,727 19.5

Dallas County 553,800 36.8 153,357 21.6

Travis County 184,150 26.7 39,132 15.3

26 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009 Small Area Health Insurance Estimates.

Page 27: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Projected Increase in Obesity in Texas by Ethnicity, 2006 to 2040

27 Source: Office of the State Demographer using 2006 Texas State Data Center Population Projections, 2000-2004 Migration Scenario

Page 28: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Projected Number of Adults with Diabetes by Race and Ethnicity, Texas, 2010-2040

28

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

Total

Latino

Anglo

African American

Other

Source: Office of the State Demographer using 2006 Texas State Data Center Population Projections, 2000-2004 Migration Scenario

Page 29: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Sizing and Serving Texas Urban Gaps

29

Page 30: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Sizing and Serving Texas Urban Gaps

• Amarillo • Austin • Beaumont • College Station – Bryan • Corpus Christi • Dallas – Fort Worth – Arlington • Denton – Lewisville • El Paso • Galveston • Houston • Killeen • Longview

• Lubbock • Midland • Odessa • Port Arthur • San Antonio • Temple • Texarkana • Tyler • Victoria • Waco • Wichita Falls

Urban gaps identified in the following urbanized areas:

Source: Texas Department of Transportation: RMC 0-6473

Texas A&M University/Texas Transportation Institute & University of Texas at San Antonio, Institute for Demographic and

Socioeconomic Research

Page 31: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Urban Transit Gap Findings

Estimated 4.2 million persons living in urban gaps in 2010

31

Urbanized area

Percent of Texas Urban Gap

Population, 2010

Percent of Urbanized Area

Population

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington

45.9% 38.1%

Houston 31.1% 27.3%

San Antonio 4.6% 12.5%

Austin 5.0% 17.8%

Source: Texas Department of Transportation: RMC 0-6473

Texas A&M University/Texas Transportation Institute & University of Texas at San Antonio, Institute for Demographic and

Socioeconomic Research

Page 32: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Demographics & Destiny

32

Page 33: Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar …...Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare

Contact

Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530

E-mail: [email protected]

Website: http://osd.state.tx.us

Office of the State Demographer

33