demantra demand planning

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Triniti Confidential The material contained in this document is proprietary to Triniti Corporation (Triniti). This material may not be disclosed, duplicated or otherwise revealed, in whole or in part, without prior written consent. Demantra Demand Planning The material contained in this document is proprietary to Triniti Corporation (Triniti). This material may not be disclosed, duplicated or otherwise revealed, in whole or in part, without prior written consent.

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View Related videos:- Truth about Supply Demand Planning:- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K66q2o1ED3c Demantra Vs Oracle Demand Planning http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QwAzP3T6ut4 Another slideshare PPT:- http://www.slideshare.net/amitforu78/demantra-vs-oracle-demand-planning Contact me at www.ezdia.com AsiaLinks

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Page 1: Demantra   Demand Planning

Triniti Confidential

The material contained in this document is proprietary to Triniti

Corporation (Triniti).  This material may not be disclosed,

duplicated or otherwise revealed, in whole or in part, without

prior written consent.

Demantra Demand Planning

The material contained in this document is proprietary to Triniti

Corporation (Triniti).  This material may not be disclosed,

duplicated or otherwise revealed, in whole or in part, without

prior written consent.

Page 2: Demantra   Demand Planning

2Triniti Confidential

Index

• JR286 – Current configuration• AS Is forecasting process• Current Pain Points • What Demantra brings in • How problems can be solved• To be process

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Triniti Confidential

Truth About Demand PlanningTruth About Demand Planning

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Demand Management: Demand Management: How people knew it so far….How people knew it so far….

• Difficult to aggregate forecasting at multiple levels

Category Level/Family Level/Product Level/Customer Level ..and more..

• Long forecasting cycles – End-to-End cycles are time confusing

• Batch Process – real time information is not present

• Forecast accuracy- Poor forecast accuracy leads to unsatisfied customers

• Not scalable:- most companies don’t know how to deal with increased number of customers and opportunties

• Factors– its difficult to apply seasonality and other factors

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The sad stories continue..The sad stories continue..

• Too many versions of the same forecast is present

• Revenue Planning is being done offline / manually

• Manual Efforts require to collate the data such as shipment history, backlog.

• Lacks the ability to archive various forecasts

• No visibility of off-cycle forecast changes

• Different departments forecast in different units of measure, and thus cannot be merged to have a single demand plan

– Marketing: % of market share by brand– Sales: revenue by customer/territory– Finance: Revenue and net profits per quarter– Supply Chain: SKU by ship-to location (advanced)

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Here is what happens afterwards

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Triniti Confidential

OpportunitiesOpportunities

Can somethingCan something be done after all? be done after all?

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OpportunitiesOpportunities

• Improved reporting at all levels of an organization • Better measurement and metrics • Feed the best forecast to plan and generate commitment plan back from

ASCP • Ability to capture multiple forecasts and compare• Enable Statistical forecasting• Monitoring of demand forecast at multiple levels• More accurate demand forecast• Ability to provide better & fast supply dates for changes/enquiries • Easy delegation/approval process thru workflow • Role base security to avoid sharing of unnecessary data

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Triniti Confidential

Introducing

Oracle DemantraOracle Demantra

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Shape Demand Shape Demand

Understand DemandUnderstand Demand

Respond to Demand Respond to Demand

Plan for Demand Plan for Demand

Demand Management

Trade Promotion Management

Trade Promotion Management

Real-Time Sales and Operations PlanningReal-Time Sales and Operations Planning

Business Process PlatformBusiness Process Platform

Demantra’s End-to-End SolutionDemantra’s End-to-End Solution

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Demantra: Forecasting CapabilitiesDemantra: Forecasting Capabilities

• Statistical forecasting using Causal factors

• Inbuilt New product introduction Mapping

• Unlimited Hierarchies, Dimensions, Levels and Attributes

• Mixed/Multiple Demand Signals• Ability to measure/track the past

performance • Bayesian Collaboration

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Oracle Demantra – Causal Forecasting

Estimating techniques based on the assumption that the variable to be forecast (dependent variable) has cause-and-effect relationship

with one or more other (independent) variables.

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Reaction to MarketReaction to Market

Demantra can sense the causal factors and catalysts for demand change and apply them for future demands

It has a unique capability of separating trends & cycles from the causal factors

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Near Real-time Forecast RevisionNear Real-time Forecast Revision

Demantra can quickly manipulate the forecast by intelligently understanding the deviation

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Granular AnalysisGranular Analysis

From “what happened” … To comprehensive understanding of promotion impact

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Week 1 Week 6 Week 11

Week

Cas

es

Actual

TPR Display

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Week 1 Week 6 Week 11

Week

Cases

Cannibalization

Forward buying

Pantry loading

Competitive switching

Category growth

Baseline

Actual

Netlift

Baseline

TPR Display

Gross lift

“This presentation is for informational purposes only and may not be incorporated into a contract or agreement.”

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Actual Shipments

Promotional Execution

In-FlightConsumption

Data

Sales

Marketing

Manufacturing

Finance

ExecutiveProductDevelop-

ment

Consensus

Promotional & Volume Plans

Strategic Plans

Capacity Plans

PhaseIn/Phase Out Products

Demand Plans

Profitability

Service Levels

Inventory Levels

Promotion Effectiveness

Plan Accuracy

AlertsExceptions

Inputs Outputs

Demantra: S&OPDemantra: S&OP

Real-time

“This presentation is for informational purposes only and may not be incorporated into a contract or agreement.”

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EBS Planning FootprintEBS Planning Footprint

DemantraPredictive Trade Planning

and Optimization

Sales and Operations Planning

Demand Management

De

ma

nd

Ch

ain

Pla

nn

ing

Oracle APS

Strategic Network Design

Inventory Optimization

Adv. Supply Planning

Su

pp

ly C

ha

in P

lan

nin

g

Global Order Promising

Collaborative Planning

Production Scheduling

Supply Chain

Execution

E-Business Suite

EBS

ERP

CRM

Sea

mle

ssIn

teg

rati

on

“This presentation is for informational purposes only and may not be incorporated into a contract or agreement.”

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• Excellent Offline Capabilities

• Oracle Demantra anywhere

• Dynamic Open Link to Excel and other BI tools

• Consensus Planning

• Reporting & analysis

• Collaboration Platform - alerts & exceptions

Other capabilities Other capabilities

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Allentown, PA USA

Hyderabad, India

Tokyo, Japan

Cambridge, UK

Triniti Advanced Software Labs (TASL)

Triniti

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Other

Our Customers

Hi-Tech

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Triniti – Relevant HistoryLucent Microelectronics an IDM and Level One Communications a Fabless company co-sponsor customizations to Oracle Discrete Manufacturing to enable Lot level detail to be transacted in Oracle 10.7

Triniti and Oracle Consulting collaborate to make these customizations.

Lucent Microelectronics goes Live integrating all Internal factories and Subcontractors

Triniti deploys customized adapters to integrate MES’s to Oracle and customized master data maintenance tool named ‘GPS’

Silterra, a Foundry in Malaysia goes live on Oracle 11i

Triniti deploys the first version of eDapter that integrates Sliterra’s PROMIS MES to OSFM

Sony Semiconductor announces intent to implement Oracle release 11i including OSFM and APS

Triniti chosen as the implementer. Triniti eDapter chosen as the product for integration. Sony signs LOI with Triniti to build data maintenance tool

Sony Semiconductor goes Live on 11.5.8 integrating all Internal factories and Subcontractors. Within 3 months achieve one-day-close.

Triniti deploys the entire EBS and second version of eDapter and first version of Triniti data quality suite

Cambridge Silicon Radio goes Live on 11.5.9 integrating all foundries and Subcontractors.

Triniti deploys the entire EBS and second version of eDapter and second version of Triniti data quality suite

Qualcomm CDMA Technologies goes Live on 11.5.9 with integration to foundries and SUCON’s

Triniti deploys edapter

Microtune and Zoran integrate foundries and SUBCON’s to their Oracle EBS deployments. Cavium Networks automates onsite transactions

Triniti deploys eDapter at Microtune & Zoran and data quality suite at Cavium Networks

1997 1999 2000 2001 2003 2005 2006 2007

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"In our i-Semicon (Oracle Application Implementation) project, we have implemented a Triniti productivity tool named, "Triniti Product Modeler" aimed at substantial improvements in the speed and accuracy of creating and maintaining the complete Supply chain (Item, Bill of Materials, and Sourcing Rule). Today, our users can create, edit, and revise complex bill of materials in a fraction of the time it would take otherwise."

-- Shuji Kuroki,Global Master Center Lead,Sony Semiconductor Kyushu Corporation

“The Triniti solution has successfully delivered a scalable, automated process reducing at least 6hrs a day of manual WIP input to minutes and pulled up to 7 days of slack out of our supply data.  We plan to develop several reports with summary and drill down data leading to dashboard KPI’s from the data available as a result of our implementation.”

--Troy Dawson,Director ERP SystemsMicrotune

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Triniti Confidential

Demantra Solution

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Cust1

Automatic Download

Cust2 Cust3

Approval

Notification

Simulation Forecast

UploadForecast

ASCPASCP

Actual Sales data

Final Forecast

DemantraEngine

Supply Plan& Allocated ATP

•With Demantra we will have role base security for viewing and updating the data

•Activities will be automated thru work flow, which will include notification and approval steps also

•Data integration – (Upload and download) will be automatic

To Be ProcessTo Be Process

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Cust1

Automatic Download

Cust2 Cust3

Approval

Notification

Simulation Forecast

UploadForecast

ASCPASCP

Actual Sales data

Final Forecast

DemantraEngine

Supply Plan& Allocated ATP

Once the customer file is ready & available in a folder, its automatically download to Demantra

File can be at SKU level or at the higher level, if it’s at the higher level, it will be propagated to the lower level based on actual sales data

To Be ProcessTo Be Process

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Cust1

Automatic Download

Cust2 Cust3

Approval

Notification

Simulation Forecast

UploadForecast

ASCPASCP

Actual Sales data

Final Forecast

DemantraEngine

Supply Plan& Allocated ATP

Once customer files are downloaded, a notification is sent to demand Plan manager

Demand Planner verifies the data to see if everything looks ok.

Demand Planner communicates back with customers if something is not correct

To Be ProcessTo Be Process

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Cust1

Automatic Download

Cust2 Cust3

Approval

Notification

Simulation Forecast

UploadForecast

ASCPASCP

Actual Sales data

Final Forecast

DemantraEngine

Supply Plan& Allocated ATP

•Sales quantities are loaded on a daily basis from ERP instance

•Demand Planner approves the forecast downloaded which triggers into Demantra Demand Planning Engine

To Be ProcessTo Be Process

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Cust1

Automatic Download

Cust2 Cust3

Approval

Notification

Simulation Forecast

UploadForecast

ASCPASCP

Actual Sales data

Final Forecast

DemantraEngine

Supply Plan& Allocated ATP

•As a result of Demand Planning engine run, statistical forecast is generated based on the actual sales history

•System sends notification to demand planners confirming the availability of statistical forecast

To Be ProcessTo Be Process

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Cust1

Automatic Download

Cust2 Cust3

Approval

Notification

Simulation Forecast

UploadForecast

ASCPASCP

Actual Sales data

Final Forecast

DemantraEngine

Supply Plan& Allocated ATP

•Demand Planners compare the results of statistical forecast with actual forecast

•Planners can choose the best fit of all the available forecasts, also they have the flexibility of choosing a forecast combination of available forecasts

•Planners send the final forecast for approval.

To Be ProcessTo Be Process

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Cust1

Automatic Download

Cust2 Cust3

Approval

Notification

Simulation Forecast

UploadForecast

ASCPASCP

Actual Sales data

Final Forecast

DemantraEngine

Supply Plan& Allocated ATP

•Demand manager may see the forecast on the aggregated level and may make necessary changes to it

•After manager approves the forecast, its available for uploading into ASCP

To Be ProcessTo Be Process

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Cust1

Automatic Download

Cust2 Cust3

Approval

Notification

Simulation Forecast

UploadForecast

ASCPASCP

Actual Sales data

Final Forecast

DemantraEngine

Supply Plan& Allocated ATP

•Final forecast is loaded to ASCP Plan from where it can be used to generate the supply plan & allocation data for ATP inquiries

•ASCP can plan can be sent back to Demantra as the commitment plan which can be shared with customers

To Be ProcessTo Be Process

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Ship To

Demand Class I tems

Academy 299 Bass-Pro 132 Big-5 76 Cabela 102 DICKS 356 Dome 278 Forzani 316 Hibbett 4,279 Modell 269 TSA 357 UA-Indy 53 UA-Key 3,724 Undr-Armr 518

BrandBrand

Product LineProduct Line

CategoryCategory

StyleStyle

Product Hierarchy

Org JR-286 Reign

Forecasting

Order Booking

Order Shipping

Planned (ASCP)

Ship From

Available combinations Available combinations

SKUSKU

2

38

4

Appro 250

Appro 2500

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Triniti Confidential

Backup Slides

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Projection Workbook

Manual Supply Plan

Used in Production

Oracle

CONSUMPTIONCONSUMPTION

ASCP

Supply Plan2

Excel Adjustment

File

s by d

em

and

C

lass

Demand Management – AS ISDemand Management – AS IS

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Triniti Confidential

Demantra

What would you see in it?

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Who’s online from your

collaboration group

User defined Realtime KPI’s

Workflow and Exception

based Tasks and Alerts

User DefinedCPFR

Worksheets

Realtime Status

Information

Responding to Demand

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Analytics To Understand Demand

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Sales Input

Sales AccuracyFor Incentives

Key Account PlanInformation

Account Trade and Consumer

Promotions Calendar

Consensus

Example: Internal Collaboration

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Configurable Planning Environment to Match Your Planning Process

Historical Info

Forecast Override

Management

Approval

Final Plan

Flexible BusinessHierarchy

Marketing

Activities

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Collaborate with Customers

Partner Inputs:

XML,EDI or Manual

Production Mix

Partner Forecast Metrics

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Business Modeler

Scheduler

Engine Admin

Workflow Builder

Other ComponentsOther Components