current employment statistics highlights october 2009 · notes: shaded areas ... percent chan ge:...
TRANSCRIPT
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Current Employment Statistics Highlights
October 2009
Bureau of Labor StatisticsNovember 6, 2009
120,000
122,500
125,000
127,500
130,000
132,500
135,000
137,500
140,000
120,000
122,500
125,000
127,500
130,000
132,500
135,000
137,500
140,000
1999-2009
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.Notes: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in Dec. 2007. Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
B-1. Employment in total nonfarm
Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
October 2009
Level: 130,848
Change: -190
-72
-144-122-160-137-161
-128-175
-321-380
-597
-681-741
-681-652
-519
-303
-463
-304
-154
-219-190
-900
-750
-600
-450
-300
-150
0
B-2. Employment in total nonfarm
Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Over-the-month change, 2008-09
• Total nonfarm employment declined by 190,000 in October.
• Payroll employment has fallen for 22 consecutive months with losses totaling 7.3 million.
• The past 3 months have seen an average job loss of 188,000, compared with job losses
averaging 357,000 during the prior 3 months. From November 2008 to April 2009, payroll employment experienced the greatest monthly declines since the recession started, with losses averaging 645,000.
0.70.5
0.3 0.2
-0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4-0.7
-1.1
-1.6
-2.2
-2.7-3.1
-3.5-3.8 -3.9
-4.1 -4.2 -4.2 -4.2-4.0
-5.0
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
B-3. Employment in total nonfarm
Seasonally adjusted, percent
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Over-the-year percent changes, 2008-09
• In October, total nonfarm employment decreased by 4.0 percent over the year, an
improvement over the 4.2 percent rate of the prior 3 months.
32.5
33.0
33.5
34.0
34.5
35.0
32.5
33.0
33.5
34.0
34.5
35.0
1999-2009
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.
Notes: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in Dec. 2007. Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
B-4. Average weekly hours, total private
Seasonally adjusted
October 2009
Level: 33.0
Change: 0.0
90
95
100
105
110
115
90
95
100
105
110
115
aggregate weekly hours1999-2009
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.
Notes: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in Dec. 2007. Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
B-5. Index of total private
Seasonally adjusted, 2002=100
Aggregate weekly hours are the product of average weekly hours and production and nonsupervisory workers.
October 2009Level: 98.3
Percent change: -0.2
• In October, the average workweek of production and nonsupervisory employees was unchanged at 33.0 hours.
• Average weekly hours have been little changed since March, either 33.0 or 33.1 each month.
• The index of total private aggregate weekly hours fell 0.2 percent in October. Since reaching a peak in December 2007, the index has fallen by 8.8 percent.
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
hourly earnings and CPI-W (1982-84=100)1999-2009
B-6. Over-the-year percent changes in average
Seasonally adjusted, percent
Over-the-year percent changes
October 2009 AHE: 2.4
September 2009 CPI-W: -1.7
Notes: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in Dec. 2007. Most recent 2 months of CES data are preliminary.
Sources: BLS, Consumer Price Indexes program and Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.
CPI-W
AHE
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
1999-2009
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.
Notes: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in Dec. 2007. Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
B-7. Index of total private
Seasonally adjusted, 2002=100
Aggregate weekly payrolls are the product of average hourly earnings, average weekly hours, and production and nonsupervisoryworkers.
aggregate weekly payrolls
October 2009Level: 122.9
Percent change: 0.0
• In October, average hourly earnings of production and nonsupervisory employees rose 5 cents to $18.72. Over the past year, average hourly earnings have risen by 2.4 percent. The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) fell by 1.7 percent over the year ending in September.
• The index of total private aggregate weekly payrolls has remained about unchanged since June, after declining for 10 consecutive months.
-6
-62
-61
-8
-40
-18
0
-1
-8
18
45
-37
-12
0
-80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60
Mining and logging
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale trade
Retail trade
Transportation and warehousing
Utilities
Information
Financial activities
Professional and business services
Education and health services
Leisure and hospitality
Other services
Government
Over-the-month change, October 2009
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.Note: Data are preliminary.
B-8. Employment in total nonfarm
Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
-190Total nonfarm:
• In October, payroll employment losses occurred in most industries. The largest job losses over the month were in construction, manufacturing, and retail trade.
• Despite continued payroll employment declines in most industries, the job losses have moderated substantially since April.
• Some industries added jobs in October. Education and health services continued to grow by adding 45,000 jobs.
• Although, some industries are still experiencing notable employment declines, the losses are much smaller and less widespread than they were last fall and winter.
-5.6-3.2
-13.7
-9.4
-30.2
-10.7-9.1
-10.3
-26.2
-35.6-40
-30
-20
-10
0
Residential building Nonresidential building
Heavy and civil engineering
Residential specialty trades
Nonresidential specialty trades
October 2009 Prior 12-mo. avg.
Over-the-month change, October 2009
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.Note: Data are preliminary.
B-9. Employment in construction
Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
• Construction cut 62,000 jobs in October, similar to average job losses of the prior 5 months of 68,000.
• Losses were concentrated in 2 of the industry’s components: nonresidential specialty trade contractors (-30,000) and heavy and civil engineering construction (-14,000).
-33-52 -49 -57
-30
-51 -51-67 -65
-119-121
-180
-262
-172-172
-150-146
-123
-41-55
-45-61
-300
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
B-10. Employment in manufacturing
Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Over-the-month change, 2008-09
-2
-8
-1
-5
-10
-6
-3
-2
-5
-3
-15 -10 -5 0 5
Wood products
Nonmetallic mineral products
Primary metals
Fabricated metal products
Machinery
Computer and electronic products
Electrical equipment and appliances
Transportation equipment
Furniture and related products
Miscellaneous manufacturing
Over-the-month change, October 2009
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.Note: Data are preliminary.
B-11. Employment in durable goods manufacturing
Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
-44Durable goods:
• In October, manufacturing shed 61,000 jobs, continuing the moderating trend seen in the prior 3 months that averaged losses of 47,000. Manufacturing lost jobs at a faster rate between October 2008 and June 2009, during which time 1.3 million jobs were cut, with losses averaging 161,000 per month.
• Manufacturing has 2.1 million fewer jobs in October than at the start of the recession.
• Employment in durable goods manufacturing fell by 44,000 in October and job losses were widespread throughout the industry.
3.8
-45.6
-20.1
-48.4
-37.7
-15.5
-24.2
-45.7
-56.3-61.4
-90.8-88.1
-46.4
-57.2-61.9
-32.7-28.1
-20.1
-44.5
-20.9
-44.2-39.8
-105
-90
-75
-60
-45
-30
-15
0
15
B-12. Employment in retail trade
Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Over-the-month change, 2008-09
• Employment in retail trade fell by 40,000 in October. Employment declines were concentrated in sporting goods, hobby, book, and music stores (-16,000) and in department stores (-11,000).
-1-3
2
-2
-15 -15
-3
-12
-35
-14
-33-34 -36
-27
-32
-44
-18-15
-25
-2
-18 -18
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
B-13. Employment in transportation
Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Over-the-month change, 2008-09and warehousing
• In October, transportation and warehousing shed 18,000 jobs, continuing the recent trend of moderate job loss. Since May, the industry has averaged monthly losses of 15,000 jobs.
-14-18
-7
-14-11
-17
-8
-13
-26 -27
-45
-33
-56 -56
-41
-46
-27
-33
-14
-23
-9 -8
-70
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
B-14. Employment in financial activities
Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Over-the-month change, 2008-09
• Financial activities payroll employment declined by 8,000, similar to September’s loss of 9,000 jobs.
• The industry has not had losses this small since the summer of 2008. Financial activities incurred the greatest losses from September 2008 to June 2009, during which time job losses averaged 39,000 per month.
-25
-38-34
-23
-37-43
-34
-48
-37-45
-90
-73
-90
-73
-57 -54
-1
-30
-6
3 7
34
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
B-15. Employment in temporary help
Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Over-the-month change, 2008-09services
• Employment in temporary help services rose by 34,000 in October after having edged up in August and September.
• Before that, the industry had lost 838,000 jobs since the beginning of this recession, in December 2007, through July.
12.5
4.8
4.1
5.1
10.0
6
0 3 6 9 12 15 18
Ambulatory health care services*
Offices of physicians
Outpatient care centers
Home health care services
Hospitals
Nursing and residential care facilities
Over-the-month change, October 2009
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009.Note: Data are preliminary.
B-16. Employment in selected health care industries
Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
+28.5Health care:
Ambulatory health care services*
Hospitals
Nursing and residential care facilities
* Includes additional component industries not shown separately.
• In October, health care employment continued to trend up, rising by 29,000 jobs. The industry’s payroll employment has increased by 597,000 since the start of the recession, gaining an average 27,000 jobs every month.
• Except for a job loss in July 2003 (-9,000), health care has not posted a job loss in the
past 10 years.