critical loads for atmospheric deposition: assessing, evaluating and protecting natural resources

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Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition: Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources Tamara Blett Air Resources Division – National Park Service CANS Workshop Feb 2006 National Park Service

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National Park Service. Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition: Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources Tamara Blett Air Resources Division – National Park Service CANS Workshop Feb 2006. Development/Use of Critical Loads. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition: Assessing, Evaluating and

Protecting Natural Resources

Tamara Blett

Air Resources Division – National Park Service

CANS Workshop

Feb 2006

National Park Service

Page 2: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

DEVELOPMENT (what is the CL?)

IMPLEMENTATION (how can the CL be used to protect parks & wilderness areas?

Development/Use of Critical Loads

RegulatorsScientists

Land Managers, (NPS/FS), EPA

Page 3: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

Definitions…

Page 4: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

Critical load/Target load

• Critical load: “The quantitative estimate of an exposure to one or more pollutants below which significant harmful effects on specified sensitive elements of the environment do not occur according to present knowledge.” (Nilsson and Grennfelt 1988)

• Target load: The level of exposure to one or more pollutants that results in an acceptable level of resource protection; may be based on political, economic, or temporal considerations.

Critical loads and target loads can be developed for any pollutants.

Page 5: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

“…conserve [natural and cultural resources]…as will leave them unimpaired for the enjoyment of future generations.” (NPS Organic Act)

“Wilderness areas…shall be administered…in such a manner as will leave them unimpaired for future use and enjoyment as wilderness…” (Wilderness Act of 1964)

“…preserve, protect and enhance the air quality in national parks, national wilderness areas, national monuments, national seashores…” (Clean Air Act as amended in 1977)

“In cases of doubt the land manager should err on the side of protecting the air quality-related values for future generations.” (Senate Report No. 95-127, 95th Congress, 1977)

Preserve and Protect

[Rocky Mountain NP should be managed for] “…preservation of the natural conditions and the scenic beauties thereof.” (1915 park enabling legislation)

Page 6: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

Defining the critical load

1) ”The maximum amount of pollution into an ecosystem that does not cause significant damage to system resources, survival, structure or function”

2) “The quantitative estimate of an exposure to one or more pollutants below which significant harmful effects on specified sensitive elements of the environment do not occur according to present knowledge.” (Nilsson and Grennfelt 1988)

This first CL definition used in some European approaches… request that we use the *second definition for sensitive U.S. systems and this modeling effort

Page 7: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

European CL approach vs US approach….

Page 8: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

Use of Critical/Target loads: Europe vs U.S.

• Europe: – multi-national, coordinated approach (International

Cooperative Programmes) for critical loads research and implementation; critical/target loads for N, S (acidif & fertil.) used to set emissions reductions goals.

• Canada: – critical/target loads (N&S acidification) used to set

emission reductions goals.

• U.S. EPA: – currently does not incorporate critical loads in air

pollution increments or standards- not likely to ever be used to drive reductions as in Europe. – type of info needed might be different

– NOx Increment Rule discussed optional State uses of critical loads (site by site, approach)

• U.S. Federal Land Managers (National Park Service, Forest Service, Fish and Wildlife Service): – No national funds source for national-scale 1000’s of

plots for ecosystem data to develop & track CL – define “sensitive resources” and “harmful effects” by

using AQRV identification, AQRV screening thresholds, limits of acceptable change

Page 9: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

Large-scale monitoring (Level I)

• Low monitoring intensity

• European-wide systematic

grid (16 x 16 km)

• 6000 monitoring plots

• Crown condition assessment

• Soil survey (5300 plots)

• Foliar survey (1500 plots)

Page 10: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

Level 2: Intensive monitoring

• Aimed at cause-effect relationships

• High monitoring intensity

• 866 monitoring plots

• Plots in important forest ecosystems

• 11 different surveys

Page 11: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

Implications:

Don’t have European CL infrastructure- people & $

Don’t have large # plots – ecosystem data and sensitivities

May have more sensitive ecosystems in U.S.

Europe focused on mitigation, not protection

Have hierarchy of “protected” areas in U.S.- managed to more pristine levels

Have more “stakeholders” in U.S. with input into policy emissions decision-making

Need to learn from European CL process but may not want to develop the science in precisely the same way

Page 12: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

Indicators and Thresholds….

Page 13: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

N Load (kg/ ha /yr)

Changes in soil & water chemistry

Effects on aquatic animals (episodic acidification)

Lethal effects on fish, other aquatic animals (chronic acidification)

Surface water N saturation

Rocky Mountain National Park: Continuum of Impacts to Ecological Health

Changes in tree chemistry

Change in alpine plant species

Change in aquatic plant species composition

Forest decline (acidification effects on trees)

Ecosystem endpoints for CL: Conceptual Diagram

Critical loads are defined for specific indicators and endpoints

Page 14: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

Scientists conduct empirical studies to identify resources sensitive to deposition

Scientists derive critical loads from empirical studies and modeling analyses.

Federal manager is guided by agency policy in selecting sensitive resources and indicators of change; defines ”harmful” changes to sensitive resources based on policy goals.

Decisions about interim or sustainable levels of N and S deposition on federal lands are made by federal manager, with consultation with air regulators and others if target loads will be used for emissions control strategies.

CRITICAL LOAD DEVELOPMENT

SCIENCE FEDERAL MANAGER

Page 15: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

Science/Policy Integration Recommendation- March 2004 FLM CL Workshop

4 box model is useful conceptual framework for considering S and N Critical Loads

Acidif. Nutrient

Aquatic

Terrestrial

Page 16: Critical Loads for Atmospheric Deposition:  Assessing, Evaluating and Protecting Natural Resources

“Sensitive Elements” and “Effects”

• “Specified sensitive elements”: ecosystems sensitive to nitrogen and/or sulfur deposition, e.g.,– Poorly buffered lakes, streams, soils– Ecosystems that evolved under low nutrient

conditions and/or with short growing season (e.g. deserts or alpine areas)

• “Harmful effects”: changes in the natural functioning of an ecosystem, e.g.,– Loss of acid-neutralizing capacity affecting biota

(growth, viability, condition, etc)– Unwanted enrichment by nitrogen resulting in

changes in natural vegetative community