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Demographic Transition and an Ageing Society implications for local labour markets in Poland Poland, 21-22 March, 2013 Dr Cristina Martinez-Fernandez OECD LEED Programme

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Demographic Transition and an

Ageing Society implications for local

labour markets in Poland

Poland, 21-22 March, 2013

Dr Cristina Martinez-Fernandez

OECD LEED Programme

Demographic change and local development

2

Extensive statistical / data analysis

Regional field mission and workshop

Analysis of policy indexes

Consolidated report

The Poland results

3

Regional Differences in Demographic Transition

• Complexity of demographic challenges between regions

– Associated with their socio-economic situations

4

Demographic Transition

Ageing Population

Declining Fertility

Population growth / decline

85

90

95

100

105

110

1991 1996 2001 2006

Poland Lodzkie

Malopolskie Pomorskie

Proportion of citizens aged 65+ between 1991 and 2035 Population Growth/Decline (Year 1991 = 100)

Labour market - unemployment

5

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

Unemployment rates 15 years or over

Poland Lódzkie Malopolskie Pomorskie

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

Unemployment rates 15 to 24 years

Poland Lódzkie Malopolskie Pomorskie

Regional workshops

Regional Workshops

Age negative stereotyping

• Not a standalone issue Recognise

the importance

of older people

Sustainability of older people in society

• connections between age and infrastructure needs

The need for Labour

flexibility

Labour market

intelligence is required

Be proactive

• Consider medium and long-term

Undeveloped family policy

Poland Demographic Change Dashboard

7

PL11 – Lódzkie,

PL21 – Małopolskie

PL63 - Pomorskie

DCI Points – 2000

DCI Points – 2010

CRITICALVERY BADBAD

FAIR AVERAGE

SERIOUS

GOODVERY GOODEXCELLENT

PERFORMANCE LEGEND

Emerging Policy Themes

0

1

2

3

4

5

PL11

PL21PL61

ELFRI Index

0

1

2

3

4

5

PL11

PL21PL61

OLWOF Index

OLWOF rate OLWOF importance rate

1 = Poor

5 = Excellent

8

Policy development themes

9

Managing the demographic

transition with sustainableeconomic

development

Increasing skills and competency

levels in light of a changing

workforceDeveloping the silver economy

and managing the ageing working

force

Focusing on family policy in

light of low fertility levels

Fostering cross-regional sharing

of experiences , a community of

practice

Promotingintergenerational

solidarity

Planning infrastructure for

inclusive communities

Delivering smart and coordinated

policy

Encouraging healthy and

activecommunities for

the youth and within an ageing

society

Addressing falling fertility and population change

10

Falling fertility rates

Access to care services for children

Flexible

Financial

Close to home/work

Client oriented

The promotions of family support

initiatives

Population change

Strategies to attract immigrants and

facilitate settlement

Systemic and sustainable policy -

on all administrative levels

Addressing ageing labour markets & older workers

11

Ageing labour markets and older

workers

Focused policy approach - manage this transition

and promote and encompass opportunities

Prolonging the working life

Updating skills and knowledge. Eg

intergenerational activities

Improving working and health conditions

Promote environmental resources to encourage

economic growth

Developing favourable conditions for the ageing population

Continued investment in education services

Development in services to ensure

quality labour market supply and longevity of

professional active population

Labour market intelligence -

forecasting and skills matching