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Correlates of Democracy Sören Holmberg Göteborgs universitet

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Page 1: Correlates of Democracy

Correlates of Democracy

Sören HolmbergGöteborgs universitet

Page 2: Correlates of Democracy

AndorraAntigua and BarbudaBahrain

Bangladesh

ArmeniaBosnia

Brunei

Belarus

Cambodia

Cameroon

Taiwan

Den

Fin

Gabon

Gambia

IsraelJapan

Kazakhstan

North Korea

Kuwait

Luxembourg

Malaysia

Mali

Monaco

Mongolia

Oman

NorwayQatar

Romania

Russia

Saudi ArabiaSeychelles

Singapore

Vietnam

Swe

Trinidad

United Arab Emirates

Turkmenistan

Tuvalu

USA

Uruguay

Venezuela

025

000

5000

0

GD

P /

Ca

pita

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.16

Sources: Gleditsch (2002), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

GDP / Capitavs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 3: Correlates of Democracy

Albania

Angola

Azerbaijan Armenia

Bolivia

Bosnia

Belize

Belarus

Cambodia

Can

Central African Republic

China

Colombia

Comoros

Dem. Rep. Congo

Denmark

Ecuador

Ethiopia

Haiti

Honduras

Hungary

IndonesiaIsrael

Montenegro

Netherlands

Niger

Paraguay

Peru

Philippines

Russia

Sao TomeZimbabweSwaziland

Swe

Thailand

Togo

Turkey

Turkmenistan

Ukraine

Tanzania

USA

Uruguay

Uzbekistan

Venezuela

3040

5060

7080

Eco

no

mic

Eq

ua

lity

(Re

vers

ed

Gin

i-in

de

x)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.01

Sources: World Development Indicators (1995-2008), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Economic Equalityvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 4: Correlates of Democracy

Bahrain

Armenia

BosniaBelarus

Cambodia

China

Congo

Cuba

El Salvador

Ethiopia

Estonia

HaitiIran

IsraelJapan

Jordan

North Korea

Madagascar

MalaysiaOman

New Zealand

PakistanPeru

Qatar

RomaniaRussia

Saudi Arabia

Sierra Leone

Singapore

Slovenia

Zimbabwe

Suriname

SweUnited Arab Emirates

Turkmenistan

USA

Serbia

020

4060

80

Eco

no

mic

Fre

ed

om

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.37

Sources: Heritage Foundation (2002), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Economic Freedomvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 5: Correlates of Democracy

Argentina

Bahrain

Armenia

Belarus

China

Dem. Rep. Congo

Dominica

Equatorial Guinea

EthiopiaEritrea

Gambia

Iraq

Israel Japan

Madagascar

Moldova

Vanuatu

Nigeria

Palau

Guinea-Bissau

Russia

Sao Tome

Saudi ArabiaSenegal

Sierra Leone

Zimbabwe

Swe

TajikistanTrinidad and Tobago

Turkmenistan

UkraineTanzania

USA

Uruguay

Venezuela

-20

-10

010

20

GD

P /

Ca

pita

Gro

wth

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.01

Sources: World Development Indicators (2002-2005), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

GDP / Capita Growthvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

(N.B. The data for GDP / Capita growth is for a single year only)

Page 6: Correlates of Democracy

Albania

AlgeriaArgentina

Bangladesh

Armenia

Brazil

Belarus

Cambodia

China

Colombia

Comoros

Djibouti

Georgia

Gambia

India

Iran

Liberia

Malaysia

Mali

Mauritania Mongolia

Mozambique

Pakistan

Panama

Papua New Guinea

Philippines

Russia

Rwanda

Sao Tome

Serbia

Sierra Leone

Slovenia

South Africa

Tunisia

Turkmenistan

Egypt

Tanzania

Burkina Faso

Uruguay

Uzbekistan

020

4060

8010

0

Po

pu

latio

n B

elo

w $

2 a

Da

y (%

)

0 2 4 6 8 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.19

Sources: World Bank (1995-2007), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Population Below $2 a Dayvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 7: Correlates of Democracy

Albania Argentina

Brazil

Belarus Cambodia

Cameroon Cape Verde

China

Colombia

Fiji Georgia

Greece

India

Israel

Jamaica

Japan

Kenya

Kuwait

MalaysiaOman

Nor

Qatar

Russia

Saudi Arabia

Singapore

Vietnam

Swe

ThailandTunisia

Turkey

Uganda

Ukraine

Egypt

USA

Uruguay

VenezuelaZambia

24

68

10

Fo

reig

n C

red

it R

atin

g

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.13

Sources: Standard & Poor's (2011), Freedom House/Polity (2009)

Foreign Credit Ratingvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 8: Correlates of Democracy

Albania

ArgentinaBahrain

Bangladesh

BoliviaSolomon IslandsMyanmar

Burundi

CambodiaCameroon

Cape Verde

Dem. Rep. Congo

Eritrea

Estonia

Gabon

Gambia

Ghana

Iran

Israel

Japan

Kazakhstan

Lebanon

Lesotho

MalaysiaMaldives

Mali

Morocco

Mozambique

Vanuatu

Nigeria

Norway

QatarRussia

Rwanda

Sao Tome

Saudi Arabia

Seychelles

Sierra Leone

Singapore

Vietnam

Swaziland

Swe

Egypt

USA

Burkina Faso

.2.4

.6.8

1

Hu

ma

n D

eve

lop

me

nt

Ind

ex

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.22

Sources: UNDP (2002), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Human Development Indexvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 9: Correlates of Democracy

Afghanistan

Algeria

Bahamas

Bangladesh

Belgium

Bosnia

Botswana

BrazilMyanmar

CambodiaDem. Rep. Congo

Estonia

Honduras

Iceland

India

Israel

Cote d'Ivoire

Kazakhstan

Jordan

Kuwait

LaosLebanon

Malaysia

Mauritius

Namibia

NorwayQatar

Romania

Russia

Seychelles

Swaziland

Swe

Syria

Thailand

Ukraine

Macedonia

Egypt

USAVenezuela

Yemen

010

2030

4050

Go

vern

me

nt

Re

ven

ue

(% o

f G

DP

)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.14

Sources: World Development Indicators (1996-2008), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Government Revenuevs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 10: Correlates of Democracy

Albania

Algeria

Argentina

Bahrain

Armenia

Barbados

BrazilMyanmar

Belarus

Cambodia

Central African Republic

China

Denmark

Fiji

GeorgiaIran

IsraelJamaica

JordanKenya

Kuwait

Lesotho

Madagascar

MalaysiaMorocco

Namibia

Panama

Poland

Qatar

Russia

SeychellesZimbabwe

Swaziland

Swe

Syria

United Arab Emirates

TunisiaMacedonia

USABurkina Faso

Zambia

010

2030

40

Ta

x R

eve

nu

e(%

of

GD

P)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.19

Sources: World Development Indicators (1996-2008), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Tax Revenuevs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 11: Correlates of Democracy

ArgentinaArmenia

Bolivia

Brazil

ChinaColombia

Denmark

Ecuador

Georgia

Ghana

Indonesia

Israel

Jamaica

Japan

Kazakhstan

Jordan

Kenya

Kyrgyzstan

Malawi

Malaysia

MexicoMorocco

Nigeria

Pakistan

Russia

SingaporeVietnam

South Africa

Zimbabwe

Swe

Tunisia

Turkey

Uganda

Egypt

Tanzania

USA

Venezuela

0.2

.4.6

.8

So

cia

l Se

curit

y L

aw

s In

de

x

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.19

Sources: Botero et al (1997-2002), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Social Security Laws Indexvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 12: Correlates of Democracy

Afghanistan

Argentina

Australia

Bahrain

Myanmar

Canada

Central African Republic

China

Taiwan

Dem. Rep. Congo

Ecuador

El Salvador

Fiji

Gambia

Guyana

Haiti

IranIraq

Israel

Italy

Japan

Jordan

South Korea

Kuwait

Malawi

Malaysia

Mali

Mauritius

Mexico

Niger

Papua New Guinea

Portugal

Senegal

Singapore

Zimbabwe

Swe

Syria

USA

Zambia

05

1015

Ave

rag

e S

cho

olin

g Y

ea

rs

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.38

Sources: Barro & Lee (2000), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Average Schooling Yearsvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 13: Correlates of Democracy

AfghanistanAngola

Antigua and Barbuda

Azerbaijan

Bahrain

Bangladesh

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Botswana

Brazil

Myanmar

Burundi

Cambodia

Cameroon

China

Comoros

Cuba

Benin

Ethiopia

Eritrea

Estonia

Djibouti

Gabon

Ger

KiribatiHaiti

India

Iran

IsraelJapan

Kenya

Kuwait

Lebanon

Madagascar

Malawi

Mali

Mongolia

MozambiqueNigeria

PakistanRussia

Rwanda

San Marino

Saudi A.

Senegal

Sierra Leone

Singapore

South Africa

Zimbabwe

Swaziland

Swe

TajikistanThailand

United Arab Emirates

Ukraine

USA

Uzbekistan

Zambia

4050

6070

80

Life

Exp

ect

an

cy a

t B

irth

(Y

ea

rs)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.19

Sources: World Bank (2000-2006), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Life Expectancy at Birthvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 14: Correlates of Democracy

Syria

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Papua New Guinea

ArgentinaS. Arabia

Nor

Croatia

JapanSwe

South Korea

Egypt

BahrainArmenia

Macedonia

ZimbabweSwaziland

Malaysia

AzerbaijanTurkmenistan

Mongolia

Israel

Georgia

Singapore

South Africa

Belarus

USA

Russia

Nigeria

Burundi

Equatorial Guinea

Kuwait

EthiopiaKenyaDjibouti

RwandaCameroon

Afghanistan

Senegal

Lesotho

Mozambique

Laos

BotswanaLiberia

Iraq Gambia

Honduras

Angola

Maldives

Tanzania

Cambodia

TuvaluBangladesh

Brunei

Sierra Leone

Mali

Tajikistan

Cuba

HaitiChad

Pakistan

IranLebanon

China

3040

5060

7080

He

alth

y L

ife Y

ea

rs

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.21

Sources: WHO (-), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Healthy Life Yearsvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 15: Correlates of Democracy

Afghanistan

Angola

Bangladesh

Solomon Islands

Brunei

Cameroon

Central African Republic

China

Comoros

Dem. Rep. Congo

Cuba

Equatorial Guinea

Djibouti

Georgia

Gambia

KiribatiIndia

IranIraq

S. Korea

Lesotho

Liberia

Malawi

Malaysia

Mali

Montenegro

Morocco

Mozambique

Namibia

Marshall Isl.

Timor-LesteRwanda

Sao Tome

Saudi Arabia

Seychelles

Sierra Leone

Singapore

South Africa

Swaziland

Sweden

Tunisia

Turkmenistan

USA

Uzbekistan

050

100

150

200

Infa

nt

Mo

rta

lity

(pe

r 1

00

0 li

ve b

irth

s)

0 2 4 6 8 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.22

Sources: World Bank (2000-2002), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Infant Mortalityvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

High

Low

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Page 16: Correlates of Democracy

Afghanistan

Albania

Bangladesh

Armenia

Botswana

Myanmar

Cameroon

Central African Republic

Chad

China

Equatorial Guinea

EthiopiaEritrea

Gambia

Guyana India

IranIraq

Lesotho

Liberia

Malawi

Malaysia

Mali

MozambiqueNamibia

Nepal Vanuatu

Guinea-BissauTimor-Leste

Rwanda

Sao Tome

Saudi Arabia

Senegal

Sierra Leone

Sweden

TajikistanTunisiaUSA

Burkina Faso

050

010

0015

0020

00

Ma

tern

al M

ort

alit

y R

atio

(pe

r 1

00

,00

0 li

ve b

irth

s)

0 2 4 6 8 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.12

Sources: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation - University of Washington (2002),Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Maternal Mortality Ratiovs. Level of Democracy

Low High

High

Low

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Page 17: Correlates of Democracy

Afghanistan

Angola

Bangladesh

Solomon Islands

Myanmar

Burundi

Colombia

Dem. Rep. Congo

CubaCzech Republic

Dominican Republic

Ethiopia

Gabon

Georgia

Guyana

India

Iran

Iraq

Jamaica

Japan

Kazakhstan

North Korea

Lebanon

Lesotho

Mexico

Marshall Islands

Pakistan

Russia

Saudi Arabia

Swaziland

Swe

Syria

Tonga

USA

Uruguay

Zambia

020

4060

8010

0

Go

vern

me

nt

Exp

en

ditu

re o

n H

ea

lth(%

of

tota

l he

alth

)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.15

Sources: WHO (2001-2002), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Government Expenditure on Healthvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 18: Correlates of Democracy

Afghanistan

Angola

Azerbaijan

AusBahrain

Bangladesh

Solomon Islands

Bulgaria

Myanmar

Burundi

Belarus

Cent. Afr. Rep.China

Colombia

Dem. Rep. Congo

Cuba

Dominican Republic

Ecuador

EthiopiaDjibouti

Gabon

Georgia

Guyana

India

Iran

Iraq

Israel

Japan

Kazakhstan

North Korea

Lebanon

Lesotho

Latvia

Libya

Malawi

Mexico

NamibiaNeth

Nigeria

Marshall Islands

Pakistan

Papua New Guinea

Russia

Saudi Arabia

Slovakia

SomaliaSouth Africa

Swaziland

SweTongaUnited Arab Emirates

Ukraine

USA

Uruguay

Zambia

020

4060

8010

0

Pri

vate

Exp

en

ditu

re o

n H

ea

lth(%

of

tota

l he

alth

)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.15

Sources: WHO (2001-2002), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Private Expenditure on Healthvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 19: Correlates of Democracy

Argentina

Australia

Bhutan

Bolivia

Bosnia

Brazil

BelizeSolomon Islands

Brunei

Belarus

Comoros

Dem. Rep. Congo

Costa Rica

Equatorial Guinea

Ethiopia

FijiDjibouti

Gambia

Guyana

Iceland

Iraq

Israel Japan

Kazakhstan

Malaysia

Mauritania

Mauritius

Guinea-Bissau

Timor-Leste

Qatar

RussiaSaudi Arabia

Swaziland

Swe

Trinidad and TobagoTurkmenistan

Ukraine

EgyptTanzania

USA

Serbia

020

4060

Ca

rbo

n D

ioxi

de

Em

issi

on

s(T

on

s p

er

Ca

pita

)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.00

Sources: Environmental Performance Index (2000-2005), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Carbon Dioxide Emissionsvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 20: Correlates of Democracy

Afghanistan

Bahrain

Bangladesh

Belarus

Cambodia

Cameroon

Chad

China

Comoros

Dem. Rep. Congo

Cuba

Ethiopia

Eritrea

DjiboutiGeorgia

Gambia

Kiribati

Guinea

India

Iran

Iraq

Kazakhstan

N. Korea

Laos

Liberia

Malaysia

Mali

Morocco

MozambiqueNiger

Guinea-BissauTimor-Leste Romania

Russia

Sao TomeSenegal

Singapore

Somalia

SwedenThailand

Tunisia

Turkey USA

2040

6080

100

Acc

ess

to

Im

pro

ved

Drin

kin

g W

ate

r (%

)

0 2 4 6 8 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.18

Sources: Esty et al / WHO (2004), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Access to Improved Drinking Water (%)vs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 21: Correlates of Democracy

Bosnia

Solomon Islands

Brunei

Myanmar

Burundi

Belarus

Cambodia

Cameroon

Central African Republic

Sri Lanka

Chad

Chile

Dominican Republic

El Salvador

Eritrea

Georgia

Ghana

Kiribati

Indonesia

Iran

Israel

North Korea

Laos

Malawi

Mauritania Mozambique

Vanuatu

Nicaragua

Niger

Pakistan

Qatar

Romania

Russia

Rwanda

Sao Tome

Saudi Arabia

Singapore

VietnamSouth Africa

Swaziland

Sweden

Tajikistan

ThailandTrinidad and Tobago

United Arab Emirates

Tunisia

Tuvalu

Egypt

Tanzania

USA

Burkina Faso

Serbia

020

4060

8010

0

Acc

ess

to

Ad

eq

uat

e S

an

itatio

n (

%)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.16

Sources: Environmental Performance Index (2004-), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Access to Adequate Sanitationvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 22: Correlates of Democracy

Angola

Bangladesh

Belarus

Sri Lanka

China

Cuba

Benin

Iceland

India

Israel

Japan

Kazakhstan

S. KoreaKuwait

Latvia

LuxMalaysia

Moldova

Morocco Nepal

Nicaragua

Pakistan

Philippines

Russia

Saudi Arabia

Sweden

SyriaUnited Arab Emirates

Turkey

Uganda Ukraine

TanzaniaUSA

Burkina Faso

Uzbekistan

Yemen

.4.5

.6.7

.8

Ge

nd

er

Eq

ua

lity

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.31

Sources: World Economic Forum (2005), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Gender Equalityvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 23: Correlates of Democracy

Afghanistan

Andorra

Argentina

Australia

Bahrain

Bangladesh

Belgium

Brazil

Burundi

Belarus

China

Den

Eritrea

Finland

Gabon

Gambia

Guyana

India

Iran

Iraq

Libya

Malawi

Malaysia

Maldives

Mali

Monaco

Mozambique

NauruVanuatu

Russia

Saudi Arabia

Seychelles

Zimbabwe

Swe

Thailand

Tonga

Tunisia

Tanzania

USA

050

100

150

200

Se

con

da

ry E

du

catio

n E

nro

llme

nt

(Fe

ma

le)

0 2 4 6 8 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.27

Sources: UNESCO (1999-2009), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Secondary Education Enrollment (Female)vs. Level of Democracy

Low High

High

Low

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Page 24: Correlates of Democracy

Angola

Argentina

Bahamas

Armenia

Botswana

Brazil

Belize

Myanmar

Central African Republic

China

Colombia

Comoros

Democratic Republic of the Congo

El Salvador

Ethiopia

GambiaGrenada

Guatemala

Haiti

Indonesia

Cote d'Ivoire

Jamaica

Mali

Malta

Russia

Rwanda

Saudi Arabia Singapore

South Africa

Sudan

SweTonga

Egypt

USA

Russia

Zambia

020

4060

Ho

mic

ide

Ra

te(p

er

10

0,0

00

po

pul

atio

n)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.01

Sources: UN Data (2010), Freedom House/Polity (2009)

Homicide Ratevs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 25: Correlates of Democracy

MyanmarNepal

Syria

Turkey

Venezuela

Albania

Nor

Qatar

Cyprus

FinlandSwe

Bahrain

Zambia

Mexico

Zimbabwe

Mauritius

Chile

Czech Republic

Malaysia

Azerbaijan

LatviaSingaporeKazakhstan Ukraine

USA

Kuwait

Nicaragua

Malta

Jordan

Maldives

IndiaBangladesh

Brunei

Lebanon

050

010

0015

0020

00

Nu

mb

er

of

Po

lice

Off

ice

rs(p

er

10

0,0

00

po

pul

atio

n)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.02

Sources: UNODC (2000-2006), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Number of Police Officersvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 26: Correlates of Democracy

NepalBoliviaBosnia and Herzegovina

VenezuelaSaudi Arabia

Qatar SweEgypt

Bahrain ArmeniaZambia Macedonia MexicoRomania

Czech RepublicMalaysia

AzerbaijanTurkmenistan MoldovaGeorgiaKyrgyzstan EstoniaSingapore

South AfricaKazakhstan Ukraine

Belarus

USA

Russia

020

040

060

0

Nu

mb

er

of

Pri

son

ers

(pe

r 1

00

,00

0 p

op

ula

tion

)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.01

Sources: UNODC (2000-2006), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Number of Prisonersvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 27: Correlates of Democracy

Albania AndorraAzerbaijan

Australia

Austria

BangladeshBosnia

Brazil

Belarus

China

Colombia

Ethiopia

Finland

India

Indonesia

Iran

IraqJapan

Jordan

Kyrgyzstan

Norway

Portugal

Russia

Rwanda

Saudi Arabia

Vietnam

Slovenia

Sweden

Trinidad and TobagoUganda

Ukraine

Egypt

Tanzania

USA

Serbia

020

4060

80

Mo

st P

eo

ple

Ca

n B

e T

rust

ed

(%

)

0 2 4 6 8 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.01

Sources: World Values Survey (1996-2008), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Interpersonal Trustvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

High

Low

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Page 28: Correlates of Democracy

Algeria

Bangladesh

Bosnia

Belarus

China

Taiwan

Ethiopia

Ghana

Guatemala

Iceland

IndiaIndonesia

Iran

Japan

Malaysia

Morocco

Nigeria

Russia

Rwanda

Vietnam

Zimbabwe Swe

Thailand

Uganda

Macedonia

Egypt

Tanzania

USA

VenezuelaSerbia

.51

1.5

22.

53

Co

nfid

en

ce in

Pa

rlia

me

nt

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.15

Sources: World Values Survey (1996-2008), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Confidence in Parliamentvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 29: Correlates of Democracy

Albania

Argentina

Armenia

Taiwan

Colombia

El SalvadorGeorgia

Ghana

Guatemala

Hungary

Iceland

India

Latvia

MaliNorwayPhilippines

Poland

South Africa

Swe

Turkey

Macedonia

USA

Venezuela

Zambia

.51

1.5

2

Co

nfid

en

ce in

Pa

rlia

me

nt

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.11

Sources: World Values Survey (1996-2008), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Confidence in Parliamentvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

N.B. Only democracies (countries with a FreedomHouse/Polity rating above 6) are included. Bangladesh is also excluded.

Page 30: Correlates of Democracy

AlbaniaAlgeria

Azerbaijan

Argentina

Bangladesh

Bosnia

Belarus

China

Cyp

El Salvador

Ethiopia

Estonia

IndiaIndonesia

Iran

Iraq Japan

Jordan

Kyrgyzstan

Malaysia Mali

Morocco

NigeriaNor

Pakistan

Poland

Romania

Russia

Vietnam

Swe

Switzerland

Uganda

Ukraine

Macedonia

Tanzania

USASerbia

.51

1.5

22.

53

Co

nfid

en

ce in

Go

vern

me

nt

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.22

Sources: World Values Survey (1996-2008), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Confidence in Governmentvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 31: Correlates of Democracy

Albania

Argentina

Armenia

Cyp

Dominican Republic

El Salvador

Estonia

Georgia

Ghana

IndiaIndonesia

Japan

Mali

Nor

Poland

Romania

Swe

Switzerland

Ukraine

Macedonia

USA

Serbia

Zambia

.51

1.5

2

Co

nfid

en

ce in

Go

vern

me

nt

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.00

Sources: World Values Survey (1996-2008), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Confidence in Governmentvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

N.B. Only democracies (countries with a FreedomHouse/Polity rating above 6) are included. Bangladesh is also excluded.

Page 32: Correlates of Democracy

And

Argentina

Bangladesh

Armenia

Bosnia

Bulgaria

Belarus

China

Colombia

El Salvador

Ethiopia

EstoniaGeorgia

Ghana

Hungary

Iceland

India

Indonesia

Iran

Iraq

Italy

Jordan

Malaysia

Mexico

Moldova

Nigeria

Romania

Russia

Saudi Arabia

Serbia

Singapore

Vietnam

Slovenia

Zimbabwe

Spain

SwedenThailand

Turkey

Uganda

Ukraine

Egypt

Tanzania

USA

Venezuela

Serbia

2.5

33.

5

Fe

elin

g o

f H

ap

pin

ess

0 2 4 6 8 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.05

Sources: World Values Survey (1996-2008), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Feeling of Happinessvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

High

Low

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Page 33: Correlates of Democracy

Argentina

Bangladesh

Armenia

Bosnia

Brazil

Bulgaria

Belarus

China

Colombia Denmark

Ethiopia GeorgiaIndia

Iran

Iraq

Italy

JapanKyrgyzstan

Malaysia

Mexico

Moldova

Morocco

Nigeria

Pakistan

Peru

Romania

Russia

Saudi Arabia Singapore

Slovakia

Zimbabwe

Sweden

Thailand

Egypt

Tanzania

USA

Serbia

Zambia

45

67

8

Life

Sa

tisfa

ctio

n

0 2 4 6 8 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.28

Sources: World Values Survey (1996-2008), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Life Satisfactionvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

High

Low

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Page 34: Correlates of Democracy

Angola

Belarus

Bhutan

Brazil

Brunei

Bulgaria

ChadChina

Congo, Democratic Republic

Equatorial Guinea

EthiopiaGambia

Georgia

GhanaGreece

India

Indonesia

Iraq

KenyaKuwaitLiberia

Madagascar

Maldives

Nepal

NigerNigeriaPakistan

Philippines

Qatar RussiaRwanda

Saudi Arabia

Sierra Leone

Somalia

Sweden

ThailandUganda

Ukraine

USA

Venezuela

02

46

810

Le

vel o

f D

em

ocr

acy

20

09

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy 2002

R²=0.88

Sources: Freedom House/Polity (2002), Freedom House/Polity (2009)

Level of Democracy 2009vs. Level of Democracy 2002

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 35: Correlates of Democracy

Afghanistan

Antigua and Barbuda

Armenia

Bhutan Botswana

Solomon IslandsBurundi

Belarus

Central African Republic

Chile

China

Taiwan

Congo, Democratic Republic

Cuba

Ethiopia

Fiji

France

Gabon

Gambia

KiribatiGuatemala

Haiti

Iran

Jordan

North Korea

South Korea

Kuwait

Latvia

Malawi

MalaysiaMaldives

Monaco

OmanNamibia

Nauru

Nicaragua

Norway

Pakistan

Paraguay

Peru

Qatar

RussiaSaudi Arabia

Senegal

Sierra Leone

Singapore

Vietnam

Slovenia

Somalia

Swe

Tonga

United Arab Emirates

Tunisia

Turkmenistan

Tuvalu

Tanzania

USA

-2-1

01

2

Go

vern

me

nt

Eff

ect

ive

ne

ss

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.34

Sources: World Bank (2002-2006), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Government Effectivenessvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

Low

High

Page 36: Correlates of Democracy

Afghanistan

Angola

Antigua and BarbudaBahrain

Armenia

Belgium

Bhutan

Bolivia

Botswana

Myanmar

Sri Lanka

Chile

Colombia

Congo, Democratic Republic

Cuba

Cyp

EcuadorEthiopia

Fiji

Finland

Djibouti

Georgia

Kiribati

Haiti

Iran

Iraq

Israel

Jordan

Korea, South

Kuwait

Libya

MalaysiaMauritania

MexicoMorocco

Oman

NamibiaNepal

Vanuatu

Nigeria Marshall Isl

Panama

Paraguay

Qatar

Russia

Saudi Arabia Seychelles

Singapore

Vietnam

Zimbabwe

Swe

Syria

United Arab Emirates

Tunisia

Turkmenistan

Tuvalu

Egypt

USA

Burkina Faso

-2-1

01

23

Co

ntr

ol o

f C

orr

up

tion

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Level of Democracy

R²=0.27

Sources: World Bank (2002-2008), Freedom House/Polity (2002-2006)

Control of Corruptionvs. Level of Democracy

Low High

Data runs by: Richard Svensson

High Corruption

Low Corruption