consultative workshop on desalination and renewable energy bridging the water demand gap:...
TRANSCRIPT
Consultative Workshop on Desalination and Renewable Energy
Bridging the Water Demand Gap: Desalination
Dr. Fulya Verdier, Dr. Rudolf BatenFichtner GmbH & Co.KG
Muscat, Oman 22-23 February 2011
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Mena Water Outlook, Part II
Study objectives Identification of water gapPotential of solar powered desalination to bridge the gap
Study approachKey criteria for technology selectionBasic features of selected desalination technologiesDefinition of typical plants Current water situation in the countries of the MENA regionExpected water gap in until 2050Costs of desalinated waterPotential of CSP to supply the required energy (separate presentation)
Energy needs for desalination in the MENA region by countryFocus on renewable energy sources - more specifically on CSP
Implementation scenarioDefinition of typical plants Potential of CSP to supply the required energyCost estimates
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Desalination & CSP
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Main drivers for new desalination projectsExtent of water gapFinancial strength of country (e.g. % of GDP spent for desalination) Experience with existing desalination facilitiesAttractiveness to investors (political stability)Development aid
Main drivers for new CSP projectsPeaking energy prices and undesired dependency on fossil fuel Limited availability of fossil fuel sourcesReduction of carbon footprintAttractiveness to investors (political stability)Government incentives and regulations
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Desalination & CSP
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Key considerations for desalination plantsMED, MSF and SWRO desalination technologies are well-provenSignificant improvements achieved (i.e. energy efficiency)Capital and energy intensiveFootprint of secondary importance
Key considerations CSP plantsCSP still in development status, including storage capacitiesOperational constraints due to limited solar radiation, back-up requiredCapital and energy intensiveFootprint significantIs CSP the bottleneck?
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Desalination & CSP
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Design constraints for desalination plantsDesalination plants are best operated at base load mode
Design constraints for CSP plantsVariable steam supply from CSP depending on solar irradiance (day/night)Fossil-fired back-up power plantExpensive heat storage Maximum live steam temperature is 370°C (compared to 480-560°C)Relative large footprint, especially for higher Solar Multiple (SM) PlantsLargest CSP capacity to date ~ 100 MWe
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MED: Working principle of an MED unit
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MED: Process flow diagram of a 14 effect MED unit
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MED: Key design considerations (I)
CapacityUnit production capacity (current maxium: 38,000 m³/d) Number of duty / standby units
Energy demandElectrical energy demand (1.5 to 2.5 kWh/m³)Heat demand (order of magnitude: 70 kWh/m³)Steam demand calls for cogeneration of water and power
Temperature profileTemperature of heating steam (upper process temperature)Seawater temperature (lower process temperature)Number of effects (performance ratio)
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MED: Key design considerations (II)
DurabilityPlant availability and service time Material selection (e.g. Titanium tubes in top rows and alu brass tubes in
below rows)
Operational featuresRobust in regard to seawater salinity and bio-fouling potentialHigh distillate quality
Supplier marketMajor MED Suppliers: SIDEM (Veolia); others are following
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MED: One of 12 Fujairah F2 IWPP 38,640 m³/d MED Units
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SWRO: Working principle of a spiral wound module
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Source: Dr.ir. S.G.J. Heijman, nanofiltration and reverse osmosis, http://ocw.tudelft.nl/fileadmin/ocw/courses/DrinkingWaterTreatment1/res00053/embedded/
!4e616e6f66696c74726174696f6e20616e642072657665727365206f736d6f736973.pdf, accessed on 20110218
Feed at high pressure (100%)
Permeate atlow pressure (≈ 40%)
Concentrate at high pressure( ≈ 60%)
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SWRO: RO section of the Singapore 136,000 m³/d Plant
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SWRO: Key design considerations (I)
Operational featuresLarge membrane area and narrow flow cross section cause
susceptibility to bio-foulingPre-treatment process to be adopted to the seawater conditionsSeawater salinity and temperature affect the power demandNo perfect salt rejection – usually a second pass required
EnergyElectrical energy demand (order of magnitude: 4 kWh/m³)Absence of heat demand allows for stand alone configurationMethod of energy recovery (Pelton turbine, turbocharger or isobaric system)
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SWRO: Key design considerations (II)
Capacity and plant designPlant capacity (current maximum: 500,000 m³/d) Modularity allows a high number of process configurations (e.g. train or
centre design)
DurabilityPlant availability and service time Material selection (e.g. super duplex for high pressure section)
Supplier marketMajor Suppliers: Befesa, Cobra/Tedagua, Degremont (Suez), GE, Hyflux,
IDE, OTV (Veolia)
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SWRO: Flow diagram of a typical SWRO process
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Source: Victorian Desalination Project
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SWRO: Artists view of the Hamma (Algeria) 200,000 m³/d plant
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Source: IDA Yearbook 2008 - 2009
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Desalination Market
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Cumulative capacity put online in and outside the GCC countries
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Ca
pa
city
pu
t o
nlin
e (c
um
ula
tive
)[M
illio
n m
³/d
]
Year
MSF in GCC Countries
MSF in non GCC Countries
MED in GCC Countries
MED in non GCC Countries
SWRO in GCC Countries
SWRO in non GCC Countries
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Desalination Market
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Online Desalination Capacity sorted by technology and daily capacity
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
MED MSF SWRO MED MSF SWRO
Tota
l On
line
Ca
pa
city
[Mill
ion
m³/
d]
Non GCC CountriesGCC Countries
< 5 000 m³/d 5 000 m³/d - 20 000 m³/d 20 000 m³/d - 100 000 m³/d > 100 000 m³/d
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Desalination Market
Forecast Contracted Capacity by Technology (2006-2016)
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Desalination Market
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Additional Desalination Capacity (2008-2016), 12 MENA countries in TOP 20 !
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Study Approach
DATA Water Demand & Availability
Installed Capacities
Power
Water
Potential
CSP
Desalination
TYPICAL PLANTS=> Number & Location in MENA Region
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Solar & Land Assessment
Desalination & CSP Potential Assessment
TECHNOLOGY
Desalination CSP+
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
Iraq
Iran
Lebanon
Morocco
Syria
Egypt
Oman
Tunisia
Djibouti
Algeria
Israel
Jordan
Bahrain
Malta
Saudi Arabia
Libya
Yemen
Qatar
UAE
Kuwait
Total renewable per capita (actual) (m3/cap/yr)
Total water withdrawal (without desalination) per capita (m3/cap/yr)
Total desalinated water withdrawal (m3/cap/yr)
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Desalinated Water-Share in MENA
Source: FAO: Aquastat
Water scarcity 1000 m³/cap/yr
Water Resources and Water Withdrawals (1960-2010)
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Technology Screening
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Plant Configurations
Dual-purpose plant (MED-CSP) located at coast with seawater coolingStand-alone plant with RO located at coast and CSP located in inland with
air cooling
Source: DLR, 2007
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Key Study Features
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Mediterranean
Gulf
Red Sea
Increasing seawater TDS & temp.
Seawater Quality
3 macro-regions
Product Water Quality
TDS < 200 mg/l
Potable
Industrial
Irrigation
MED SWRO
MEDIUM100,000 m³/d
LARGE200,000 m³/d
Desalination Process
MED / SWRO
MEDIUM100,000 m³/d
SMALL20,000 m³/d
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MED Typical Plant Design
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“Plain” MED Plant Basic Design
Plant design parameters Dimension Data
Net output capacity m3/d 100,000
Average annual availability % 94
Number of units No. 3
Unit capacity net m3/d 33,333
Recovery % 18
Performance Ratio kg/2326 kJ 11.7 (1)
Effects / unit No. 14
Seawater design temperature °C 28
Steam conditions
Steam pressure bar 0.35
Steam temperature °C ~ 73
(1) Considering potential future developments
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MED Plant Capacity [m³/d]
Electrical Energy Demand
[kWh/m³]
Electrical Equivalent for Heat Demand
[kWh/m³ distillate]
100,000 1.55 (1) [ 4.25 - 4.75 ] (2)
(1) Including seawater pumping, evaporation, post-treatment without potable water pumping(2) Based on seawater at 28°C and final condensation at 38°C
MED Plant Capacity [m³/d]
Area Requirement [ha]
100,000 1.5
Energy requirement
Area requirement
MED Typical Plant Requirements
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MED Typical Plants
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Source: SIDEMFujairah F2 MED SWRO Hybrid Plant, UAE 464,600 m³/d
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SWRO Typical Plant Design
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SWRO Plant Basic Design
Net output capacity m³/d 100,000
Average annual availability % 94
Number of passes No. 2
Second pass capacity control Type Split partial configuration in 1st pass
Energy recovery system Type Isobaric (Pressure Exchanger)
1st pass RO 2nd pass RO
Recovery % 40 90
Type of membranes TypeSW standard
membraneR = 98%
BW high boron rejection, caustic
soda dosing
Average membrane flux l/m2,h 13 - 14 33 - 37
Average annual membrane replacement rate
% / y 15 12
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Region@ selected seawaterdesign parameters
Pre-treatment Specific Energy Consumption1
[kWh/m³]
Mediterranean Sea & Atlantic Ocean
@ TDS 39,000 mg/l &15-30 °C
FF1 3.5
MF / UF 4.0
Beach wells /sand filters
3.8 – 3.9
Red Sea & Indian Ocean
@ TDS 43,000 mg/l &20-35 °C
FF1 3.7 – 3.8
Beach wells /sand filters
4.2
Arabian Gulf@ TDS 46,000 mg/l &
20-35 °C
DAF + FF2 4.2 – 4.3
Beach wells /sand filters
4.3
SWRO Typical Plant: Energy Requirement
SWRO Design: Area Requirement
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SWRO Plant Capacity [m³/d] Pre-treatment Area Requirement 1)
[ha]
200,000
FF1 10
MF / UF 9
DAF + FF2 12
100,000
FF1 6
MF / UF 5
DAF + FF2 7
20,000 Beach wells /sand filters 1
1) FF1 including open gravity filters
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Evaluation Cases
4 evaluation cases are conducted in all macro-regions:MED-CSP at coast with seawater cooling SWRO and CSP at coast with seawater cooling SWRO at coast and CSP inland with air cooling SWRO at cost, CSP inland with “solar only” operation and air cooling
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CAPEX & OPEX
Unit MED RO
Specific CAPEX (1) US$/(m³/
d) 3100 1750 – 2400
OPEX US$/m³ 0.6 - 0.7 1.0 - 1.4
(1) Including pre-treatment, post-treatment, electrical and I&C equipment as well as civil structures including intake and outfall
Key Cost Data - Typical Plants
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CAPEX & OPEX
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Arabian Gulf DNI 2400 kWh/m²/yr
Fuel NG
MediterraneanDNI 2400 kWh/m²/yr
Fuel NG
16%
49%
35%
15%
53%
32% OPEX
ENERGY
CAPEX
Cost Distribution – MED Typical Plant
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CAPEX & OPEX
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Arabian Gulf DNI 2400 kWh/m²/yr
Fuel NG
MediterraneanDNI 2400 kWh/m²/yr
Fuel NG
21%
51%
28%
22%
48%
30%
OPEX
ENERGY
CAPEX
Cost Distribution – SWRO Typical Plant
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Evaluation Cases
4 evaluation cases are conducted in all macro-regions:MED-CSP at coast with seawater cooling SWRO and CSP at coast with seawater cooling SWRO at coast and CSP inland with air cooling SWRO at cost, CSP inland with “solar only” operation and air cooling
For the electricity generation by CSP plantDNI classes: 2000 / 2400 / 2800 kWh/m²/yFossil fuel options: Heavy Fuel Oil (HFO) / Natural Gas (NG)Electricity mix for “solar only” option
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1.90
1.95
2.00
2.05
2.10
2.15
2.20
2.25Levelized Water Production Costs by MED Plant [US $/m³]
med_ DNI 2000_HFO
med_DNI 2000_NG
med_DNI 2400_HFO
med_DNI 2400_NG
red_DNI 2000_HFO
red_DNI 2000_NG
red_DNI 2400_HFO
red_DNI 2400_NG
gulf_DNI 2000_HFO
gulf_DNI 2000_NG
gulf_DNI 2400_HFO
gulf_DNI 2400_NG
Mediterranean
Red Sea
Gulf
Levelized Water Costs by MED
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Source: NETL
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1.45
1.50
1.55
1.60
1.65
1.70
1.75
1.80
1.85
1.90
Levelized Water Production Costs by SWRO Plants [US $/m³]
med FF1_HFO_DNI 2000
med FF1_NG_DNI 2000
med FF1_HFO_DNI 2400
med FF1_NG_DNI 2400
med MF/UF_HFO_DNI 2000
med MF/UF_NG_DNI 2000
med MF/UF_HFO_DNI 2400
med MF/UF_NG_DNI 2400
red FF1_HFO_DNI 2000
red FF1_NG_DNI 2000
red FF1_HFO_DNI 2400
red FF1_NG_DNI 2400
gulf DAF+FF2_HFO_DNI 2000
gulf DAF+FF2_NG_DNI 2000
gulf DAF+FF2_HFO_DNI 2400
gulf DAF+FF2_NG_DNI 2400
Red Sea
Mediterranean
Gulf
Levelized Water Costs by SWRO
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Bridging the Water Gap in MENA
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Year 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050Efficiency Gains 0 0 17,655 35,959 57,108 80,036Unsustainable Extractions 32,432 47,015 44,636 9,104 7,093 16,589CSP Desalination 0 0 23,405 55,855 79,461 97,658Conventional Desalination 4,598 9,210 12,679 9,732 1,054 0Wastewater Reuse 4,445 4,929 16,965 29,618 44,125 60,357Surface Water Extractions 185,256 172,975 146,749 162,131 165,735 150,024Groundwater Extractions 39,136 43,051 48,116 41,491 36,032 37,700Total Demand BaU 265,868 277,180 310,205 343,891 390,609 442,364
Water supply (MCM/y) based on within the average climate change scenario for MENA
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Bridging the Water Gap in MENA
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Excerpt: OMAN
Water Production in MCM/y 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Efficiency Gains 0 0 30 75 150 245
Unsustainable Extractions 0 0 0 0 0 0
CSP Desalination 0 0 0 536 1418 2032
Conventional Desalination 90 297 523 389 44 0
Wastewater Reuse 37 40 82 139 231 335
Surface Water Extractions 624 657 693 568 567 480
Groundwater Extractions 98 0 0 74 65 53
Total Demand BaU 849 994 1328 1780 2475 3145
No of Desalination Plants* installed
0 0 0 15 39 56
*Reference desalination plant capacity: 100,000 m³/d
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Bridging the Water Gap in MENA
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Excerpt: SAUDI ARABIA
Water Production in MCM/y 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Efficiency Gains 0 0 826 1606 2485 3271
Unsustainable Extractions 9126 9299 7289 0 63 0
CSP Desalination 0 0 3400 14144 20172 23656
Conventional Desalination 2000 3434 3946 2950 286 0
Wastewater Reuse 160 158 1132 2144 3380 4611
Surface Water Extractions 6159 6154 6035 5528 5287 4393
Groundwater Extractions 4082 3297 2438 1911 1508 1227
Total Demand BaU 21527 22341 25066 28283 33182 37158
No of Desalination Plants* installed
0 0 93 388 553 648
*Reference desalination plant capacity: 100,000 m³/d
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Bridging the Water Gap in MENA
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Excerpt: LIBYA
Water Production in MCM/y 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Efficiency Gains 0 0 41 90 151 220
Unsustainable Extractions 560 183 0 0 0 0
CSP Desalination 0 0 0 1321 2487 2818
Conventional Desalination 223 223 757 689 0 0
Wastewater Reuse 40 43 265 510 817 1153
Surface Water Extractions 821 871 915 963 1007 943
Groundwater Extractions 2529 3124 2862 1598 1290 1112
Total Demand BaU 4174 4444 4840 5171 5751 6247
No of Desalination Plants* installed
0 0 0 36 68 77
*Reference desalination plant capacity: 100,000 m³/d
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Bridging the Water Gap in MENA
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Excerpt: MOROCCO
Water Production in MCM/y 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Efficiency Gains 0 0 1035 2118 3328 4487
Unsustainable Extractions 498 0 1223 0 573 24
CSP Desalination 0 0 3400 6344 7904 8540
Conventional Desalination 10 25 250 228 0 0
Wastewater Reuse 0 0 854 1804 2951 4192
Surface Water Extractions 13247 15043 8704 8097 6692 6870
Groundwater Extractions 2632 1213 3148 2130 2160 1971
Total Demand BaU 16387 16281 18613 20721 23608 26084
No of Desalination Plants* installed
0 0 93 174 217 234
*Reference desalination plant capacity: 100,000 m³/d
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Conclusions
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Desalination has the potential to close the water gap (basically)
Limitations may arise from environmental and financial aspects
In most evaluation cases, SWRO appears more favorable, however certain circumstances may call for MED
Energy is the major cost item for desalinated water
Future developments of electricity cost will highly influence water production costs