Climate Variability and Change:

A Challenge for Sustainable Agricultural Production

COAG 2001COAG 2001

• Scope and issues • Impacts and remedial action• Negotiation process and COP 6• Role of FAO

Overview

Scope and issues•Variability of weather variability of agricultural production•Climate change exacerbates

impact •Frequency of extremes increases

Major Greenhouse Gases

Other 15%CO2 60%

N2O 5%CH4 20%

Likely impacts

•Carbon dioxide and warming + -

•Changing production patterns, crop and animal distribution and yields

• Increased vulnerability

Remedial Action in Agriculture

• Reduction of agricultural emissions• Carbon storage in vegetation and

soils; conservation agriculture• More energy efficiency• Substitution of fossil fuels by

biofuels• Adaptation to foreseen changes

Kyoto Protocol CoP 3 Kyoto, 12/1997

Objective: Reduction of GHG

in 39 countries by at least 5 % (level 1990)

in 2008-2012

Flexible mechanisms

Emission trading

Joint implementationClean development mechanism

After COP 6

Compliance Flexible Mechanisms

Financing

After COP 6Inclusion of LULUCF

Forests and soils as sinks

Supplementarity

Next steps ?Informal Talks

COP 7 in November COP 6/2 in July

Rio + 10 in 2002

Role of FAO

• Repository of data• Information and advice• Custodian of methods, models

• Neutral forum