citrus county property appraiser budget presentation march 2011
DESCRIPTION
At the March 8th, 2011 , regular school board meeting Geoffrey Greene, Citrus County Property Appraiser , presented a Special Budget Workshop to the school board on the current property value trends for the nation, our state, and Citrus county.TRANSCRIPT
CITRUS COUNTY PROPERTY APPRAISER
GEOFFREY GREENE, CFA
CITRUS COUNTY SCHOOL BOARD
SPECIAL BUDGET WORKSHOPMarch 2011
Appraisal and Taxing Process
Property Assessment By Property Appraiser
Millage RatesProposed by
Taxing Authorities
TRIM Notice
Tax Bill Issued byTax Collector
Millage Rates Adopted by
Taxing Authorities
Government Operations
Funded in part by
Ad Valorem Taxes
Start Here JANUARY
1
JULY
MID-AUGUST
NOVEMBER
SEPTEMBER 30
PA Responsibilities to Taxing Authorities
Value all county real and tangible property, process all
exemptions, caps and classifications to arrive at taxable values for each property by July 1st.
Certify preliminary and final taxable values to all Taxing Authorities
On behalf of Taxing Authorities notify Property Owners of proposed taxes and rates, through the annual TRIM notices.
Transmit data to the Tax Collector for collection of Ad Valorem Taxes.
Source: Citrus County Property Appraiser
January 26, 2011
NationalPerspective
Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency
NATIONAL ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Consumer Confidence Index
1Q83 - 3Q10
0102030405060708090
100110120130140150
4Q82
4Q83
4Q84
4Q85
4Q86
4Q87
4Q88
4Q89
4Q90
4Q91
4Q92
4Q93
4Q94
4Q95
4Q96
4Q97
4Q98
4Q99
4Q00
4Q01
4Q02
4Q03
4Q04
4Q05
4Q06
4Q07
4Q08
4Q09
4Q10
Source: Conference Board
GROWTH
STATIC
RECESSION
Source: www.metrostudy.com
3 DECADES
4th QUARTER 09 – 4th QUARTER 10 CUMULATIVE NATIONAL HOUSING PRICE CHANGE
FL -5.8%
Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency
State and Regional
Perspective
Source: The Florida Legislature Office of Economic and Demographic Research
Economy Was Set to Rebound
Florida growth rates were beginning an expected slow return to more typical levels. But, drags are more persistent than past events, and it will take years to climb out of the hole left by the recession.Overall…
• The national economic recovery is running its course and, more importantly, the financial markets are recovering stability – although they are still sluggish and difficult to access.The subsequent turnaround in Florida housing will be led
by: Low home prices that begin to attract buyers and clear the
inventory. Long-run sustainable demand caused by continued
population growth and household formation. Florida’s unique demographics and the aging of the baby-boom
generation.
Source: The Florida Legislature Office of Economic and Demographic Research
Population Growth Recovering ●Population growth is the state’s primary engine of Economic growth, fueling both employment and
income growth.
●In the short term, population growth is forecast to remain
relatively flat – averaging 0.4% between 2009 and 2012.
Population growth is expected to recover in the future –
averaging 1.1% between 2025 and 2030.
●The future will be different from the past; the long-term
growth rate between 1970 and 1995 was over 3%.
●Florida is still on track to break the 20 million mark by the
end of 2015, becoming the third most populous state
sometime before then – surpassing New York.
Source: The Florida Legislature Office of Economic and Demographic Research
Citrus
Source: The Florida Legislature Office of Economic and Demographic Research
1.47 9.05 10.52
Source: The Florida Legislature Office of Economic and Demographic Research
Citrus
Source: The Florida Legislature Office of Economic and Demographic Research
Source: The Florida Legislature Office of Economic and Demographic Research
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000Ja
n-9
3Ju
n-9
3N
ov-9
3Apr-
94
Sep-9
4Feb-9
5Ju
l-95
Dec-
95
May-9
6O
ct-9
6M
ar-
97
Aug-9
7Ja
n-9
8Ju
n-9
8N
ov-9
8Apr-
99
Sep-9
9Feb-0
0Ju
l-00
Dec-
00
May-0
1O
ct-0
1M
ar-
02
Aug-0
2Ja
n-0
3Ju
n-0
3N
ov-0
3Apr-
04
Sep-0
4Feb-0
5Ju
l-05
Dec-
05
May-0
6O
ct-0
6M
ar-
07
Aug-0
7Ja
n-0
8Ju
n-0
8N
ov-0
8Apr-
09
Sep-0
9Feb-1
0Ju
l-10
Dec-
10
Media
n R
esale
Pri
ce (
SF O
nly
)
Median Price
3.5% Annual Increase
Source: Florida Association of Realtors, Metrostudy
www.metrostudy.com
Historic MLS MedianRegional
Statewide
Source: The Florida Legislature Office of Economic and Demographic Research
$133,100
December 2010
-48.4
Citrus County Perspective
-
100,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
400,000,000
500,000,000
600,000,000
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
165,842,555 170,133,189 204,080,342
294,019,015
465,847,079
540,536,938
357,829,823
146,846,629
84,300,000
37,000,000
1,184
1,714
2,457
3,309
1,625
1,024
337 171 149
Citrus County FloridaNew Construction Taxable Values
and Permit Counts from 2002 through 2011
New Construction Taxable Value Permit Counts
New
Co
nst
ruct
ion
Tax
able
Val
ue
in M
illi
on
Do
llar
s
Sin
gle
Fam
ily
Per
mit
Co
un
ts
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20092010
2011
**2011 New Construction Taxable Value is a projected estimate.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
501 507 471 501 915 1640 2001 1490266 250 147 103 293 615 787 1054 585 744
1023 Lis Pendens Filed
Foreclosure Sales Back to Plaintiff (Bank)Source: Citrus County Property
Appraiser
Citrus County Foreclosures
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
5,541 5,751 5,687
7,342
12,574
16,734
6,797
4,180
2,991 2,157
2,070
Sale
s C
ounts
Source: Citrus County Property Appraiser
Citrus County Real Estate Sales CountsAll Qualified Sales from 2000 through
2010
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
2 Year S.F. Market Value Changes
Withlacoochee River Basin
-21%
Citrus Springs
-26%Beverly
Hills-34%
City of Inverness
-29%
Sugarmill Woods-19%
Homosassa Water
District-24%
Coastal Rivers-20%
City of Crystal River
-25%
Source: Citrus County Property Appraiser
Average Market Value Change 2008-2010 by Millage Areas
County Wide
-22%
$-
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
$85,000
$100,000
$139,000 $145,000
$140,000
$131,000
$110,000
$98,000
All of Citrus CountyMedian Sale Prices for Improved Residential Existing Houses on
Non-Premium Parcels
Me
dia
n S
ale
Pri
ce
s
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: Citrus County Property Ap-praiser
$-
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$12,000
$14,000
$29,900
$32,000
$17,000
$12,500
$9,500 $8,550
All of Citrus CountyMedian Sale Prices for Vacant Residential Non-Premium Lots
Me
dia
n S
ale
Pri
ce
s
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: Citrus County Property Ap-praiser
2004 School Taxable Value by Property Class
Prior to Amendment 1 School & Non-School Taxable Values were the same
2007 School Taxable Value by Property Class
Prior to Amendment 1 School & Non-School Taxable Values were the same Source: Citrus County Property Appraiser
2010 School Taxable Value by Property Class
Source: Citrus County Property Appraiser
School Total Taxable Values for Citrus County
2000-2010
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100123456789
10111213
5.2 5.65.9
6.57.1
8.7
11.612.4
11.710.8
10.4
Taxa
ble
Valu
e i
n B
illi
on
Doll
ars
-.9-.7
-.4
(-$2 Billion)
Source: Citrus County Property Appraiser
52%48%
Citrus County Res-ident School Taxable Value
Non-Resident School Taxable Value
School Taxable Value Comparison
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Taxable
Valu
es
in B
illio
n
Dolla
rs
Citrus County’s total taxable values had the 10% cap been in effect in 2005 as the base
year
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
7.9 8.7 9.4 9.9 10.0 9.68.7 11.6 12.4 10.9 10.0 9.6 Amendment 1 Estimates with Non-Homestead Caps in Force Actual Taxable Amounts Source: Citrus County Property
Appraiser
.8 Billion
2.9 Billion
3 Billion1 Billion
7.7 Billion
Significant future tax roll growth will come from ?
New Quality Planned Development
New Commercial and Industrial Development
Expansion of Existing Commercial and Industrial
Government’s role must be to invest in the infrastructure, if the Commission wants to see growth in the Tax Roll. With no new construction, the Tax Roll remains flat.
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
65 Yr Lag
www.metrostudy.com
Persons Turning 65 Yrs. Old
Quality Planned Development
Source: Citrus County Property Appraiser
Commercial New Construction vs. Residential Construction
1 =2010 Average Non-School Taxable Value of $111,600
62$6.9 Million
Source: Citrus County Property Appraiser
Commercial New Construction vs. Residential Construction
1 = 40$4.5 Million
2010 Average Non-School Taxable Value of $111,600
Source: Citrus County Property Appraiser
Diversification
Technology
Green Businesses
2010 Property Tax on Average Single Family Home
Assessed Value of $111,600 before applicable Homestead Exemption.Total Tax Bill $1,150.41
BOCC
$400.20
School
$678.94
Other$71.27
7.8400 Public Schools – School Board’s levy includes 5.3420 local effort required by the state; 0.9980 discretionary millages and 1.5000 mills for local capital improvements;
6.4967 General Government – The county’s levy for the Sheriff, courts and judicial systems, health department, parks, road, library services and fire protection.
0.2500 Hospital – Levy for the Citrus Memorial Hospital;
0.6078 Water Management – Levy by the Southwest Florida Water Management District (Withlacoochee Basin).
0.2992 Mosquito Control – Levy by the Mosquito Control District
Total Millage 15.4937
AD VALOREM TAX BILL COMPONENTS:MILLAGE RATE TAXING AUTHORITY LEVIES
HospitalSWFWMD (Withlacoochee)Mosquito Control
15.4037.4418.43
Source: Citrus County BOCC Final Budget Summary
2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/110
500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 4,500,000 5,000,000
Property Appraiser’s Budget General Fund
Property Appraiser Historical Prospective
-20.27%
Year PA Positions PA Funds Returned2004/05 56 $82,8462005/06 61 $115,4922006/07 71 $27,5562007/08 69 $238,9312008/09 68 $154,4542009/10 57 $269,2172010/11 55
Source: Citrus County Property Appraiser
2011 CITRUS COUNTY SCHOOL
BOARDEstimate of Value
Change
Factors Affecting Accuracy of March Taxable Value Estimates
Source: Property Appraiser
Progress Energy (PGN) representing 21% of Citrus County taxable value can greatly alter final County taxable value results.
Other high value properties often file tax returns after April 1st (Florida Gas, Century Link, Bright House, AT&T, WREC, etc).
Valuation of properties, granting and removing of exemptions and classifications is a process that continues well into June.
Potential impact of July 1st analysis and approval of Tax Roll by Department of Revenue.
Potential for Legislative changes
-3% to -6%
2011 Taxable Value Range
2011 CITRUS COUNTY SCHOOL
BOARDEstimate of Value
Change
Source : Citrus County Property Appraiser
Source: Citrus County Property Appraiser
GROSS TAXABLE VALUE ESTIMATES
Reduction Percent
TAX LEVY CURRENT MILLAGE
2011 REVENUE GAIN/LOSS
CURRENT MILLAGE
$10,382,158,375 0% $81,396,122 NC
$10,278,336,791 -1% $80,582,160 ($813,961)
$10,174,515,208 -2% $79,768,199 ($1,627,922)
$10,070,693,624 -3% $78,954,238 ($2,441,884)
$9,966,872,040 -4% $78,140,277 ($3,255,845)
$9,863,050,456 -5% $77,326,316 ($4,069,806)
$9,759,228,873 -6% $76,512,354 ($4,883,767)
$9,655,407,289 -7% $75,698,393 ($5,697,729)
$9,551,585,705 -8% $74,884,432 ($6,511,690)
2011 School Taxable Value Estimate
THANK YOU!