Stepney Episcopal AreaContextual Survey 2013

Christchurch Spitalfields12 February 2014

Population Rollercoaster

18011811

18211831

18411851

18611871

18811891

19011911

19211931

19411951

19611971

19811991

20012011

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

Popu

latio

n (m

illio

ns)

‘Interventionist’ and ‘Opportunistic’ Development

Long Street workshops, Old Street

Wood Wharf aspirational, E14

Contrasting Local Development Strategies

Contrasting Local ‘Ideas’

Undistinctive Town CentresStepney town centres: count of civic amenities Facilities include civic centres

(such as town halls, courts, Job Centres), libraries and churches. There are almost 1,100 in London’s 221 town centres, but only 48 (4%) of these are in Stepney.

Only 7 out of 342 of London town centre Places of Worship (2%) are in Stepney. These include five C of E churches: o St Paul’s Old Ford; o St John at Hackney; o St Mary’s Islington; o St John on Bethnal Green; o St Paul West Hackney.

Tower Hamlets town centres score particularly low on civic and community focal points, although there are “Ideas Stores” (libraries) at Chrisp Street, Whitechapel and Watney Market.

Town Centre

Places of

Wo

rship

Civic Cen

tres

Post O

ffices

Com

mun

ity Cen

tres

Libraries/

Museum

s

TOTA

L

Rank (by no. of am

enities)

Dalston 1 4 1 2 1 9 27=

Mare Street 1 3 2 - 2 8 34=

Nag’s Head 1 1 1 3 - 6 54=

Angel 1 3 - 1 - 5 67=

Bethnal Green 1 - 2 2 - 5 67=

Chrisp Street 1 - 1 - 1 3 103=

Stoke Newington 1 - 2 - - 3 103=

Whitechapel - 2 - - 1 3 103=

Roman Road East 1 - 1 - - 2 132=

Canary Wharf - - 1 - - 1 167=

Watney Market - - - - 1 1 167=

Finsbury Park - - 1 - - 1 167=

Brick Lane - 1 - - - 1 167=

Roman Road West - - - 1 - 1 167=

STEPNEY 7 14 12 9 6 49 Croydon 12 18 2 7 1 40 1

Ilford 9 14 2 2 1 28 4

Greenwich 6 11 1 2 1 21 7

Stratford 2 7 1 1 2 13 17=

Camden Town 4 3 1 3 1 12 19=

ALL LONDON 342 311 205 110 128 1096

Source: GLA London Town Centre Healthcheck (2009) as amended by LBTH Town Centre Boundaries and Balance of Use Review (2012)

End of Empire

Expansio

n of

Private

Rental

Sector

Younger

Neighbou

rhoods

20 to 35 year olds as percentage of all residents (2011)

Expansion of 20 – 35 group

0 - 4 5 - 910 - 1

415 - 1

920 - 2

425 - 2

930 - 3

435 - 3

940 - 4

445 - 4

950 - 5

455 - 5

960 - 6

465 - 6

970 - 7

475 - 7

980 - 8

4 85+0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2011 2001

2001 Aged 10 years

Age Group

Popu

latio

n (t

hous

ands

)

Expansion of the Student Community

Hackney Islington Tower Hamlets0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,0002001 2011

Internationalised in-migration

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

10

20

30

40

50

60

Moving from rest of UK (see 1.06)

Moving from abroad

Year to 30 June

Thou

sand

s

Changing EthnographyNational Insurance Registrations to Overseas Nationals resident in Stepney, 2003 – 2012

Overall numbers of registrations has risen from 16,000 to around 30,000 in ten years, an increase of 90%.

Numbers from Western Europe have risen almost four fold, with the bulk of the increase since 2010.

In 2011 – 2012, there were 3,390 Spanish registrations, 3,610 Italian and 2,490 French.

Registrations by Poles peaked at 3,450 in 2006 and have been declining every year since.

Bengalis accounted for most registrations by country of origin, although there were fewer in 2011 – 2012 (1,410) than ten years previously.

Other significant national groups (2011 – 2012) included Australians (1,640), Germans (1,050) and Indians (1,020).

Source: DWP

Australia and New Zealand

Other Americas

USA and CanadaOther Africa

West Africa

Far East

Other Subcontinent

Bangladesh

Middle EastOther Eastern Europe

Poland

Other Western Europe

France

Italy

Spain

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Tho

usa

nd

s

Year to 31 March

Population Turnover

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Years at current address

Perc

ent

HackneyIslingtonTower Hamlets

Havering(for comparison)

Percentages of households living at current address, by cumulative length of stay

Metropolitan ChurnDestination local authorities: Top 20 by number of movers 2002 and 2011 All but one of the local

authorities on the 2002 list feature on the 2011 list.

Every inner London borough now features on the list, including Haringey, where over 4,000 former Stepney residents moved in 2011.

Outer London boroughs to the North (e.g. Enfield) and to the East (e.g. Waltham Forest) also attract Stepney residents.

The only non-London local authorities to feature on either list are Brighton and Thurrock.

Top twenty accounted for 56% of all movers out in 2002; 58% in 2011.

Local or unitary authority

Movers out Year to 30 June 2002

Local or unitary authority

Movers out Year to 30 June 2011

Haringey 2,960 Haringey 4,040Newham 2,860 Newham 2,610Enfield 2,080 Camden 2,380Waltham Forest 2,080 Waltham Forest 2,160Camden 2,020 Southwark 2,080Redbridge 1,320 Lambeth 1,940Barnet 1,270 Enfield 1,640Lambeth 1,240 Redbridge 1,490Southwark 1,210 Wandsworth 1,380Westminster 1,130 Westminster 1,280Barking & Dagenham 1,010 Barnet 1,220Wandsworth 930 Lewisham 1,200Greenwich 850 Barking & Dagenham 1,070Lewisham 830 Greenwich 980Havering 760 Hammersmith 870Brent 730 Brent 690Brighton and Hove 570 Ealing 610Hammersmith 570 Brighton and Hove 580Thurrock 510 Kensington & Chelsea 560

Ealing 490 Havering 540

Stepney Episcopal AreaContextual Survey 2013

Christchurch Spitalfields12 February 2014

Dalston/Hackney/ Homerton 14,000

Archway 8,000

City Fringe 200,000

Kings Cross 14,000

Angel 17,000

Canary Wharf 120,000

521,00

0 Jobs

(2010)

1 dot = 100 jobs

Emerging Professional Profile

Security GuardsOperatives

DriversSales Assistants

HairdressersChildminders

CarersSkilled Workers

BuildersChefs

Admin StaffSecretaries

TechniciansAccounting Technicians

Sales and MarketingCreative Industries

Clergy and other ProfessionalsNurses

DoctorsArchitects

TeachersMedia Professionals

IT ProfessionalsLawyers

Business ProfessionalsSenior Managers and CEOs

-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40

Under by

Over by

Under and Over-representation per 1,000 WorkersStepney Area compared to All-London Average 2011

4/10 working residentscommute outside StepneyEmployment location of Stepney working residents (2001)

Source: ONS

11% City

15% Westminster

41% Stepney (29% same borough)7% Outer London

23% Other Inner London

‘Work Hard/Play Hard’

Routine occupations/unemployed

Self-employed/Small businesses

"Intermediate occupations"

Managers and Professionals

Non-White

White

Over 55

35 - 54

16 - 34

Females

Males

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Percentage

Percentage of surveyed

resident adults (16+)

exercising for the

equivalent of at least 30

minutes 3 times a week

9% ‘official’ unemployment

2001 20110

100

200

300

400

500

600

Retired

Other economically inac-tive

Permanently sick or disabled

Carers and bringing up family

Full-time students

Students in part-time employment

Officially unemployed

Part-time employees

Full-time employees

thou

sand

s

Impact of Benefit Changes Benefit changes

Estimated Annual Cuts/Savings 2014/15 and onwards

Current (2013/14) numbers of recipients affected

Estimated annual cuts/savings per current numbers of recipients affected

Incapacity Benefit (Work Capability Assessment)

£59m 18,500 £3,189

Tax Credits (adjustments to thresholds etc.)

£52m 63,100 £824

Local Housing Allowance (30th percentile max. etc.)

£45m 15,800 £2,848

Child Benefit (freeze rates and limit entitlement)

£39m 82,500 £473

Disability Living Allowance (replace with PIPs)

£17m 5,800 £2,931

Household Benefit Cap (£325/£500 per household)

£16m 3,210 £4,829

“Bedroom Tax” (Scale back for under-occupation)

£14m 12,900 £1,093

Non-dependent deduction (lieu of contributions)

£6m 5,300 £1,132

Council Tax Benefit (reduce by 10%) £6m 49,700 £121

103,000 long-term sufferers54,000 unpaid carersLong-term health sufferers and providers of unpaid care, 2011 7.6% of Stepney’s resident

population describe themselves as unpaid carers for friends, neighbours or family members.

This compares with 8.4% for London and 10.2% for England.

32,000 carers provide between 1 and 20 hours of unpaid care a week; 9,200 between 20 and 50 hours and 12,900 over 50 hours.

In Hackney and Islington, there are around two “sufferers” for every carer (the highest ratio among London boroughs), compared with a ratio of around 1.7 to one for London and England as a whole.

A recent survey found that only 28% of Hackney carers “felt they had encouragement and support”, the lowest proportion for any English LA (all England average is 43%).

Sources: ONS; Health and Social Care Information Centre

-40,000 -30,000 -20,000 -10,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000

Day-to-Day Activities Limited a Little

Day-to-Day Activities Limited a Lot

Provides 1 to 19 Hours Unpaid Care a Week

Provides 20 to 49 Hours Unpaid Care a Week

Provides 50 or More Hours Unpaid Care a Week

Hackney

Islington

Tower Hamlets

Long-term health sufferers

Providers of unpaid care

Sufferers Carers

51,400

over 65s

20 to 35 year olds as percentage of all residents (2011)Over 65 year olds as percentage

of all residents (2011)

Sin-gle

Adult

(Under 65); 85,981

Couples with no chil

dren;

85,330

Couples with

grown up

chil-dren;

15,590

De-pen-dent

adults living with cou-ples;

11,827

Independent adults shar-ing, no children; 134,095De-

pen-dent

adults living with lone par-ents;

15,502

Lone Parents

with grown

up chil-dren;

11,775

Lone parents

with depen-

dent chil-

dren ; 26,843

Couples with de-pendent chil

dren ;

79,056

Adults sharing, with de-pendent children ; 50,832

Household status of adults under 65 (2011)

‘Childful Society’

‘Childless Society’

7% of the population is under 5

(but 14% of the Bangladeshi; 20% of the Charedi)

White (excluding Charedi); 17,152

Charedi; 3,262

Black Car-

ibbean;

1,921Black African; 4,561Black Other; 3,879

Bangladeshi; 13,417

Other Subcon-tinent; 1,863

Other Asian; 2,829

Other; 3,902

Stepney 0 to 4 year olds by ethnic group (2011)

57,000 under 16s in poverty

go on a school trip at least once a term

celebrations on special occasions

Go to a playgroup at least once a week

a hobby or leisure activity

have friends round for tea or a snack

leisure equipment such as sports kit

swimming at least once a month

enough bedrooms for every child over 10

a holiday away from home at least 1 week

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Rest of England In low income

London In low income

Percentages of children in poverty who lack

Atom-

isation

AND

Concen-

tration

Neighbourhood Characteristics by Household Size (2011)

Networking InitiativesKey arts venues identified in Islington’s Cultural Strategy LB Islington envisages a

“cultural infrastructure” to which locally-based Creative Industries (CI) contribute.

Islington HUB, CoC, Business Design Centre, Sadler’s Wells, Central St Martins set up CI Knowledge Transfer Network.

Yet networking not necessarily local: Shoreditch-based CI network (“Hackney House”) partnering with Austin, Texas.

Stepney arts organisations still look largely to grant-making institutions for support, accounting for £84 million of 2012 – 2015 Arts Council (AC) funding (8% of total).

Tower Hamlets has 36 AC-supported organisations, more than any other English LA (Islington second with 32).

Source: Islington Cultu2.21)ral Strategy 2010 – 2015; Arts Council England

Crossart Form (2)

Dance (8)

Design (2)

Literature (3)

Media and Film (5)

Music (11)

Theatre (23)

Visual Arts (11)

Multi-sector (7)

Networking Initiatives ?• A semi-formal survey found 28 active

gangs in Hackney (highest number of any London borough); 26 in Tower Hamlets; 24 in Haringey and 13 in Islington. Some 250 gangs were identified across London.

• Of these, around 50 or 60 were classified as “high harm” gangs (firearms; serious violence; drugs supply; murder). There were 9 such gangs in Hackney; 9 in Southwark; 7 in Haringey; 5 in Tower Hamlets and two in Islington.

• www.londonstreetgangs.com maps gang “regions” (claimed territory) and “set spaces” (base estates) in detail for each Stepney borough.

• Fluid definitions: “gangs”; “peer groups”; “urban street collectives”; “specialist groups

Hackney Gang Map