caucasus barometer 2011

Caucasus Barometer

Public Perceptions on Political, Social and Economic issues in South Caucasus Countries

Some findings from the CRRC 2011 data

12 September, 2012 .թYerevan

CRRC [email protected]

www.crrccenters.org

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.crrc.am/

http://www.crrccenters.org/

MethodologyAlmost 2,000 people in each South Caucasus countryRepresentative of total adult (18+) populationProportionate representation of demographic and

geographic groupsMulti-stage cluster samplingHousehold selection: Random walk methodRespondent selection: Kish tableFace-to-face interviews in local languages

Content

• Life satisfaction and factors acting upon it • Living standards and migration trends• Attitude towards policy and public institutions • Nagorno Karabagh issue and possible solutions• External world perceptions• Level of happiness

LIFE SATISFACTION AND FACTORS BEHIND

Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia

5.3

4.9

5.35.1 5.1

5.6

N6. How satisfied are you with your own life as a whole (1-10, where ‘1’ means “Not satisfied at all” and ‘10’ means “Completely sat-

isfied”, average score)

2010 2011

Not satis-fied at all

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Completely satisfied

9

4

9 8

23

10

1411

67

13

7

10

3

30

9 8

11

3

6

14

8 87

35

58 8

2

6

ArmeniaN6. How satisfied are you with your own life as a whole

(1-10, where ‘1’ means “Not satisfied at all” and ‘10’ means “Completely satisfied” (% , by settlement type)

Capital Other Urban Rural

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

30

36

28

41

50

54

29

15

18

N1_1. Whether the following statement describes your feelings. There are many people I can trust completely, 2011 (%)

Describes More or less describes Does not describe

Unemployment

Poverty

Rising prices / Inflation

Corruption

Low wages

Low pensions

Unsolved territorial conflicts

Lack of peace in the country

Political instability in the country

Violation of human rights

Unaffordability of healthcare

44

16

7

6

5

4

4

2

1

1

1

28

11

4

8

4

4

31

1

2

3

55

10

5

1

4

12

2

1

1

4

P5. What is the most important issue facing country at the moment 2011, (% )

Georgia Azerbaijan Armenia

Unemployment

Poverty

Lack of peace in the country

Corruption


Territorial integrity

Low wages

Low pensions

Violation of human rights

Unaffordability of healthcare

Low quality of education

Political instability in the country

45

10

9

6

6

5

4

2

2

2

2

1

17

9

2

9

3

53

2

2

1

52

9

4

2

12

3

1

7

1

2

P6. What is the most important issue facing country at the moment, 2010 (%)

Georgia Azerbaijan Armenia

Unemployment

Corruption

Poverty

Peace

Territorial integrity

Unemployment

Poverty

Peace

Corruption


Unemployment

Poverty


Corruption

Low wages

2009

2010

2011

32

19

12

5

4

45

10

9

6

6

44

16

7

6

5

P5. What do you think is the most important issue facing Armenia at the moment? 2009-2011(%, first five issues)


3839

30

3839

38

J1. Share of Employed (%)

2010 2011

LIVING STANDARDS AND MIGRATION TRENDS


4.0

3.5 3.5

4.24.3

4.13.9

4.2 4.1

C14. On which rung of this ladder do you think your household currently stands? (1-10, 1 -lowest possible economic position in society, 10-highest possible position, average

score, weighted by HH weights)

2009 2010 2011


13

125

1

16

32

4

28

32

11

33

2326

15

3

49

2 1

7

2 1 1

C9. Household income last month 2011, (%, weighted by HH weights)

More than USD 1200 USD 801–1200 USD 401–800 USD 251–400 USD 101–250 USD 51–100 Up to USD 50 0


7

17

7

51

34 34

J12-J13. Do you currently have any personal …(% of "yes" answers)

Savings Debts

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

57

47

45

64

52

47

60

52

47

D20. If you had a chance, would you leave country for a certain period of time to live somewhere else? (% of "yes" answers)

2011 2010 2009

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

25

16

11

29

17

7

25

20

6

D21. If you had a chance, would you leave country forever to live somewhere else? (% of "yes" answers)

2011 2010 2009

ATTITUDE TOWARDS POLICY AND PUBLIC INSTITUTIONS

2011

2010

2011

2010

2011

2010

Arm

enia

Aze

rbai

jan

Geo

rgia

14

18

32

38

47

44

25

32

34

31

11

17

36

36

14

9

17

20

25

14

21

21

24

18

P1. Which direction your country’s domestic politics are going. (%)

Politics is going in the right direction Politics does not change at allPolitics is going in the wrong direction Don't know

Religious institutions to which you belong

Army

Healthcare system

Educational system

Banks

Ombudsman

European Union

President

United Nations

Police

Executive government

Court system

Media

Local government

Parliament

NGOs

44

33

15

13

12

11

10

10

10

8

6

6

5

5

5

5

31

31

33

33

35

23

26

24

26

21

20

16

28

28

17

18

11

12

20

23

22

24

26

21

26

25

23

23

34

34

25

30

5

9

13

13

10

8

7

15

7

18

18

19

14

14

18

11

6

13

16

13

12

13

11

24

10

22

26

23

15

15

28

14

3

2

1

4

9

22

20

5

21

6

7

13

3

3

6

22

Armenia P4. Trust Toward Institutions, 2011 (%)

Fully trust Somewhat trust Neither trust nor distrust Somewhat distrust Fully distrust Don’t know


4.44.1 4.1

4.54.3 4.34.3

4.04.2

4.3 4.24.14.1

4.44.2

3.6

4.24.1

P4. Level of trust toward Army (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


2.9

4.3

3.5

3.1

4.5

2.9

3.2

4.4

3.53.3

4.4

3.5

2.8

4.4

3.7

2.8

4.4

3.7

P4. Level of trust toward President (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


2.0

3.2

2.8

2.4

3.4

2.52.5

3.3

3.0

2.7

3.4

3.0

2.4

3.3 3.3

2.4

3.33.2

P4. Level of trust toward Parliament (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

12

13

24

36

30

30

33

16

10

19

41

36

P15, P16. Paradox of TrustWould you say that the most recent election was conducted …,

2011 (%)Completely fairly To some extent fairly Not at all fairly Don't know

81

62

74

19

36

23

2

2

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

Did you vote in the last national election?, 2011 (%)Yes No Don't know

Yes No Don't know

63

31

5

4542

13

56

32

13

P8. Do you think or not that people like yourself have the right to openly say what they think?, 2011 (%)



6

27

89

64

99

D22. Have you or any member of your household been in a situation during the last 12 months when you/they had to pay a bribe in order to get a service or to

obtain preferential treatment or consideration?, 2011 (%)

Yes No

NAGORNO KARABAGH ISSUE AND POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS

It has already been resolved

Within the next year

In 2-5 years In 6-10 years In more than 10 years

Never Don’t know

43

11

7

12

24

38

35

24

12 1210

34

NK2. When do you think the Nagorno Karabakh conflict will be resolved?, 2011(%)

Armenia Azerbaijan

Armenia

Azerbaijan

38

26

24

26

9

22

12

20

17

7

NK4.1. How likely is it to find a solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict within the next 5 years by peaceful negotiation?, 2011 (%)

Very likely Rather likely Rather unlikely Very unlikely Don't know

Armenia

Azerbaijan

11

19

10

23

19

28

36

19

23

10

NK4.2. How likely is it to find a solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict within the next 5 years by force?, 2011 (%)

Very likely Rather likely Rather unlikely Very unlikely Don't know

Have Nagorno-Karabakh as a formal part of Armenia.

Have Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent country.

Create a special administrative region that will be jointly governed by Azerbaijan and Armenia.

Have Nagorno-Karabakh with a high degree of autonomy within Azerbaijan.

Have Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan without autonomy.

61

58

2

2

4

16

19

4

3

2

15

14

77

78

75

8

9

17

17

18

ArmeniaNK5. Various ideas have been proposed for settling the Nagorno Karabakh

conflict. Whether you would ...?, 2011 (%)

Definitely favor Accept under certain circumstances Never accept Don't know

Have Nagorno-Karabakh as a formal part of Armenia.

Have Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent country.

Create a special administrative region that will be jointly governed by Azerbaijan and Armenia.

Have Nagorno-Karabakh with a high degree of autonomy within Azerbaijan.

Have Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan without autonomy.

0

8

6

29

4

96

83

85

40

1

3

8

8

8

4

1

1

23

91

AzerbaijanNK5. Various ideas have been proposed for settling the Nagorno Karabakh

conflict. Whether you would ...?, 2011 (%)

Definitely favor Accept under certain circumstances Never accept Don't know

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Russ

iaU

SA F

ranc

eTu

rkey

EU

73

51

36

36

50

15

8

87

43

40

10

21

22

32

18

29

8

5

22

28

6

18

26

21

17

41

70

2

16

17

11

10

16

11

16

15

14

6

18

15

NK1. In your opinion, should the following countries or organizations be involved in finding a solution for the Nagorno Karabakh conflict?, 2011 (%)

More involved Less involved Not involved at all Don't know

EXTERNAL WORLD PERCEPTIONS

2011

2010

2011

2010

2011

2010

Arm

enia

Aze

rbai

jan

Geo

rgia

10

13

8

5

12

14

26

23

13

19

30

30

26

28

24

23

25

25

7

8

18

16

6

6

10

9

16

16

5

4

21

19

20

22

22

20

P4_16. Trust toward United Nations (%)2010-2011

Fully trust Somewhat trust Neither trust nor distrust Somewhat distrust Fully distrust Don’t know

2011

2010

2011

2010

2011

2010

Arm

enia

Aze

rbai

jan

Geo

rgia

10

12

8

5

13

13

27

23

14

17

32

31

26

27

26

25

23

25

7

9

18

17

6

6

11

9

13

15

5

4

20

19

21

21

21

21

P4_15. Trust toward European Union (%)2010-2011

Fully trust Somewhat trust Neither trust nor distrustSomewhat distrust Fully distrust Don’t know

2011

2010

2011

2010

2011

2010

Arm

enia

Aze

rbai

jan

Geo

rgia

16

14

22

20

38

35

21

23

21

25

29

35

24

26

25

22

15

13

9

9

9

8

3

4

12

12

6

6

5

4

18

16

16

19

11

9

P21. To what extent would you support your country’s membership in NATO? (%)2010-2011

Fully support Rather support Equally support and don’t supportRather not support Don’t support at all Don’t know

Azerbaijanis

Jews

Americans

Greeks

Russians

Turks

Georgians

Kurds, Yezidis

English

32

60

73

69

86

40

66

56

72

64

34

22

27

11

57

30

40

24

ArmeniaN8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business with…,2011,

(%)

No Yes

Armenians

Jews

Americans

Greeks

Russians

Turks

Georgians

Kurds, Yezidis

English

99

55

56

48

27

12

41

70

42

39

39

44

71

87

57

24

53

AzerbaijanN8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business with…,2011,

(%)

No Yes

Armenians

Jews

Americans

Azerbaijanis

Greeks

Russians

Turks

Kurds, Yezidis

English

70

72

75

73

75

76

66

95

59

24

19

17

20

18

18

28

30

32

GeorgiaN8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business with…,2011,

(%)

No Yes

Russia

France

Turkey

Don't know

USA

Don't know

Arm

enia

Aze

rbai

jan

Geo

rgia

81

7

90

5

44

25

P23. Which country is currently the biggest friend of your country, 2011 (%)

Azerbaijan

Turkey

Armenia

Russia

Russia

Don't know

Arm

enia

Aze

rbai

jan

Geo

rgia

60

34

94

3

51

34

P24. Which country is currently the biggest enemy of your country, 2011 (%)

LEVEL OF HAPPINESS


6.4

5.8

6.66.6

6.1

6.9

N2. How happy would you say you are?(1 - 10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely

happy”, average score)

2010 2011

More than USD 1200

USD 801-1200 USD 401-800 USD 251-400 USD 101-250 USD 51-100 Up to USD 50 0

7.6

8.1

7.06.7

6.35.8

6.1

6.8

ArmeniaN2. How happy would you say you are? by household income last month (1 - 10, where

‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”, average score)

6.5 6.6

7.3 7.2 7.3

4.8

6.9

5.1

6.3

7.1

5.0

6.1 6.0

5.0

4.2

4.7

7.0 7.0

7.6 7.4

7.0

6.1

5.45.8

N2, A8. How happy would you say you are?, by marital status, 2011(1 - 10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”, average score)


18-35 36-55 56+ 18-35 36-55 56+Male Female

7.06.6

5.6

7.5

6.4

5.5

ArmeniaN2. How happy would you say you are?, by gender and age, 2011

(1 -10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”, average score)

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http://www.crrccenters.org/caucasusbarometer/online

http://www.crrccenters.org/caucasusbarometer/online

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