canara robeco medium term … documents...in the comfort zone for inflation & medium-term target...
TRANSCRIPT
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable
• Income/Capital appreciation over medium to long-term • Investment in Debt and Money Market securities with a portfolio weighted average maturity
between 3 to 7 years
This product is suitable for investors who are seeking*
STRONG INDIAN MACROS
CAD 4.8% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.7%
Fiscal Deficit 4.9% 4.5% 4.1% 3.9% 3.5%
GDP 5.1% 6.6% 7.2% 7.6% 7.1%
2015 2017FI
NA
NCI
AL
YEA
R E
ND 20162014
Inflation 7.88% 5.37% 5.26% 3.65% 5.21%
INR 61.80 63.04 66.15 67.92 63.87
2016 2018
Year
-on-
Year
* 201720152014
2013
Slow and Steady Improvement since 2013….
Source: Bloomberg, Motilal Oswal * Data as of February month end of respective years
KEY MACRO VARIABLES
Source: Bloomberg, IIP & WPI base year considered is 2011-12
4.4
2.48
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
May
-13
Jul-1
3
Sep-
13
No
v-13
Dec
-13
Feb-
14
Apr
-14
May
-14
Jul-1
4
Sep-
14
No
v-14
Dec
-14
Feb-
15
Apr
-15
May
-15
Jul-1
5
Sep-
15
No
v-15
Dec
-15
Feb-
16
Apr
-16
May
-16
Jul-1
6
Sep-
16
Oct
-16
Dec
-16
Feb-
17
Apr
-17
May
-17
Jul-1
7
Sep-
17
Oct
-17
Dec
-17
Feb-
18
Inflation
CPI WPI
RBI’s comfort zone (2-6%)
CPI inflation grew at 4.44% year-on-year in Feb’18, below the print of 5.07% in Jan’18. marking it to be the lowest inflation rate in four months and in the comfort zone for inflation & medium-term target of the central bank.
Wholesale prices in India rose by 2.48% year-on-year in Feb’18, after a 2.84% increase in the prior month. It was the lowest wholesale inflation sinceJul’17, as cost of food and fuel rose at softer paces.
CRUDE OIL PRICE MOVEMENT
OPCRTOTL Index (Bloomberg Total OPEC Crude Oil Production Output Data)DOETCRUD Index (United States DOE Crude Oil Total Production Data)CO1 Comdty (Generic 1st 'CO' Future)
Brent Crude was seen trading in a wide range of 62-70 USD/bbl mark and remained volatile during the last month
Geo-political issues in middle east and supply side problems are expected to keep the prices of crude range bound in the comingmonths
Source: Bloomberg. Data as on 20th Mar’18
FPI INVESTMENTS
Source: NSDL, SEBI, ICRA MFI Explorer/ Bloomberg. Data from 1st Jan’17 to 28th Feb’18
344
-5000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
Jan-
17
Feb-
17
Mar
-17
Apr
-17
May
-17
Jun-
17
Jul-1
7
Aug
-17
Sep-
17
Oct
-17
No
v-17
Dec
'17
Jan'
18
Feb-
18
INR
Cr
FPI's Net Flow in Debt (INR Crs)
RBI to increase FPI limit (in phases) to 5%(G-sec) & 2%(SDL) of outstanding stock by March 2018
During the month of Feb’18, FPIs significantly decreased allocation to Indian debt markets to the tune of Rs. 344 crs in
Feb’18 from Rs.8523 crs in Jan’18
IMPROVED CREDIT QUALITY
Fig. 1: Semi-annual trends in credit ratio and debt-weighted credit ratio
Fig. 2: Semi-annual trends in debt upgrades and downgrades
Credit quality has improved; aided by recent spurt in the government spending & steady growth in private consumption
Sustained recovery (indicated by IIP) is still not certain; Investment linked sectors under pressure
Source: CRISIL Rating Roundup
INVESTMENT GRID
With the current credit environment surrounded by uncertainty, a fund is likely to benefit which endeavors to: Benefit from Interest Rate volatility with Moderate Risk and Aims to capture High Quality Corporate Bond Yields
RBI not aggressive in changing interest rates
Government closely monitoring Fiscal Deficit
India feeling the impact of global headwinds
Corporate balance sheets loaded with excess debt
Curr
ent
Scen
ario
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Accrual Income
Capital Appreciati
on & Liquidity
Investment
Strategy
Average Maturity
Predominant allocation to high credit quality corporate bonds
Tactical allocation to G-Sec and money market instruments
Average maturity of the fund would be in the range of 3 to 7 years
Canara Robeco Medium Term Opportunities Fund offers attractive yields generating ‘Regular Accrual’ by investing in only ‘High Quality Debt Instruments’ with ‘Low to Medium Term Duration’ thereby seeming to be a ‘Perfect Fit’ in the current Scenario
WHY INVEST
•Ideal investment horizon of the scheme is 3-5 years, which helps investors mitigate short term volatility
•Fund will actively manage duration within average maturity range of 3 to 7 years based on fund manager's view on interest rates
•Substantial exposure to AAA papers and AA+ papers
•Exposure to lower risk, yield generating SDLs
•Accrual Income: Through Corporate Bond Exposure
•Capital Appreciation: Through G-sec Exposure
Benefit from both Accrual and Duration
Quality Debt Papers
Uncertain Macro-
Economic Factors
Active Management
PORTFOLIO HIGHLIGHT
As per the latest portfolio, a substantial portion of the portfolio was allocated to securitiesrated AA+ & above, Sovereign and Cash & Cash Equivalents with a view to maximize incomewhile maintaining an optimum balance of safety & liquidity.
The fund has optimized returns by keeping its average maturity consistent between 3 to 5years with a stable underlying Corporate Bond holding.
The fund is positioned to benefit from expected downward movements in interest rates owingto the accommodative stance of RBI and expected transmission of rate cuts by the banks.
PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT
Data as on 28th Feb’18
19.00%
14.67%
66.33%
Asset Allocation
Cblo/Repo/Reverse Repo &Net Current Assets
Treasury Bills/ Sovereign
NCDs/Bonds
19.00%
14.67%
19.54%
46.78%
Rating Allocation
Cblo/Repo/Reverse Repo &Net Current Assets
Treasury Bills/Sovereign
AA+ & Equivaent
AAA & Equivalent
PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT
Data as on 28th Feb’18
4.21%
14.80%
13.51%
13.62%
53.86%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Net Current Assets
0 to 3 Months
3 to 6 Months
1 -2 years
Greater than 2 Years
Maturity Profile
Average Maturity Yrs 3.21
Modified Duration 2.28
Yield To Maturity 7.76%
PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT
Data as on 28th Feb’18
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18
Asset Allocation
Cblo/Repo/Reverse Repo & Net Current Assets Commercial Paper NCDs/Bonds Treasury Bills/ Sovereign
PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT
Data as on 28th Feb’18
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18
Rating Allocation
Cblo/Repo/Reverse Repo & Net Current Assets AAA & Equivalent AA+ & Equivaent A1+ & Equivalent Treasury Bills/Sovereign
FUND FACTS
Data as on 28th Feb’18
Fund Category Open ended debt scheme
Investment ObjectiveThe investment objective of the scheme is to generate income and capital appreciation through a portfolioconstituted of medium term debt instruments and money market instruments. However, there can be noassurance that the investment objective of the Scheme will be realized
Inception Date 7-Feb-14
Asset Allocation GoI & Debt Securities: 60%-100%Money Market Instruments : 0% - 40%.
Plans/Options Regular & Direct Plan:
Options: Growth / Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Quarterly Dividend with payout & Reinvestment
Facilities SIP/ STP/ SWP/ Dividend Transfer Facility
Fund Size Rs. 259.29 Crs (Month End AuM)
Load Structure Exit Load: 1% - If redeemed/switched out within 1 year from the date of allotmentNil - If redeemed/switched out after 1 year from the date of allotment
Benchmark CRISIL Composite Bond Fund Index
Fund Manager Mr. Avnish Jain
The information used towards formulating the outlook have been obtained from sources published by third parties. While suchpublications are believed to be reliable, however, neither the AMC, its officers, the trustees, the Fund nor any of their affiliates orrepresentatives assume any responsibility for the accuracy of such information. CRMF, its sponsors, its trustees, CRAMC, itsemployees, officer, directors, etc assume no financial liability whatsoever to the user of this document. Mutual FundInvestments are subject to market risk. Investors are requested to read the Scheme related documents carefully beforeinvesting.
Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all Scheme related documents carefully.
DISCLAIMER