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  • 7/27/2019 Building Britains Future

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    CBI ondt tteg

    Bdg Bt teAn industrial strategy

    for construction

    The CBIs submission to theconstruction industrial strategy

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    An industrial strategy for construction developedby the sector and government has the potentialto unleash growth in the industry and drivetransformation. It will help secure the businessenvironment that enables construction to thriveby creating long-term operational certainty.

    The CBIs 2012 report Playing our strongest hand Maximising

    the UKs industrial opportunities set out the case for developing

    industrial strategies in key growth sectors to rebalance the

    economy towards investment and trade. The construction sector

    is a key economic enabler creating and maintaining our built

    environment. The sector has strong potential for growth because

    of its job-creation capacity, extensive value chain and latent

    capacity as a result of the recession.

    As part of a suite of industrial strategies, the government will

    launch the construction industrial strategy in summer 2013.

    This should be the start of an evolving process of industry and

    government working in partnership to deliver the strategy.This paper sets out the CBIs views on an industrial strategy

    for construction and is based on extensive discussions with

    the construction sector and the wider business community.

    In the future the construction sector will be an enabler of

    other industries, providing services that exceed expectations

    by leveraging world-leading expertise. A strong domestic

    manufacturing sector will be at the heart of an innovative

    and responsive sector.

    A shared vision for the future of the sector will need to be at

    the centre of a successful industrial strategy for construction.

    A strategy that delivers bold targeted action will ensure:

    The construction sector is at the heart of the UKseconomic growth

    Construction is an economic engine that meets and

    stokes demand from key sectors

    By harnessing sources of competitive advantage,

    construction will be a world-leading industry by 2025.

    Establishing a shared vision for construction in 2025

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    The construction sector is a key job creator and contributor to theUK economy, employing over 2 million people.1 It is a diversesector ranging from international companies to thousands of smallbusinesses offering services such as contracting, house building,consultancy and professional services, and includes manufacturersof construction products. The supply chain alone was worth124.6bn in 2010.2

    Overall, construction accounted for 6.7% of GDPin 2012.3 But the effects of construction

    activity are felt more widely than this figuresuggests spending on constructioncreates growth in the wider economy withevery 1 spent on construction generating2.84 of spending more widely.4

    The ect w tke te t ecve the ece

    The construction sector is a bellwether for the economy in the

    UK and has been significantly affected by the recession due to

    the resulting decline in demand from both the public and

    private sectors. Construction output in 2012 was nearly 15%

    below its pre-crisis peak in 2007.

    During this period construction sector output fell most strongly

    in private industrial activity (down 44.7%), private housing (down

    34.5%) and private commercial activity (down 31.0%). Repair

    and maintenance activity also fell by 9.6%. The only elementsof activity which saw growth over the same time period were

    infrastructure (up 51.2%), public housing (up 19.3%), and other

    public construction activity (up 19.3%).5 The categories of

    construction which saw the biggest decline represented over

    half of construction sector output in 2012 as shown in Exhibit 1.

    Exhibit : Construction sector output in by sub-category

    Source: Office National Statistics (ONS), Cebr Analysis

    Repair andmaintenance.%

    Private commercial.%

    Private industrial.%

    Public (excludinginfrastructure andhousing).%

    Infrastructure.%

    Private housing.%

    Public housing.%

    The UK construction sector is at the heart of economic growth

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    To support our submission the CBI commissioned independent

    research on the future of the construction sector from the Centre

    of Economic & Business Research (CEBR). Whilst confidence

    is returning to some parts of the construction sector, CEBR

    forecasting suggests that increases in construction output will be

    slow for much of the next decade without targeted interventions.

    Indeed, Exhibit 2 indicates that growth in the construction

    industry may reflect modest but steady improvements in the

    economy over the coming years, averaging 1.3% between 2014

    and 2017. However, the data also shows that construction output

    may not surpass 2007 levels until 2023 and construction sector

    employment may not rise above 2007 levels until 2024 (2.3m).

    The CEBRs analysis is broadly comparable with other forecasts.

    The Construction Products Association (CPA) has forecast that

    the pre-crisis peak will not be reached until 2021, while the

    Construction Skills Network does not expect the peak to be

    reached until 2022.6 However, any forecasting, particularly on

    a long timescale, is only indicative in nature.

    Source: ONS, Cebr Analysis

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    Exhibit : Annual growth & forecasts in construction output, %

    bt w be we pced t deve gwthConstruction companies are more optimistic about the future

    of the sector given the current level of interest from government.Business leaders in the sector have been unanimous in their view

    that there is far greater potential for growth and job creation with

    targeted action and commitment from government to build and

    renew our national infrastructure. Construction historically

    rebounds strongly after a downturn as Exhibit 3 shows.

    Exhibit :Comparisons of GVA (UK) and construction output (GB), %

    Source: ONS, CBI analysis

    GVA Construction work

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    In addition, the CEBR analysis indicates we are starting from

    a strong base. Exhibit 4 looks at international comparisons for

    construction output and GDP. Compared with the US and the

    Eurozone as a whole, construction makes up a larger share of

    GDP in the UK. Although construction output fell sharply in the

    UK between 2007 and 2012, the decline in output seen was

    smaller than in the US and the Eurozone.

    Exhibit : Change in construction output and GDP - , %

    - - - - - - -

    Eastern and Central Europe

    Germany

    France

    United Kingdom

    United States

    Eurozone

    Italy

    Spain

    Source: ONS, Eurostat, US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Cebr analysis

    % change in construction output -% change in total GDP -

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    d pd cee the eve vee tdeUK construction companies have a strong global reputation with

    major international engineering, architecture and consultancycompanies topping the rankings of world league tables. Indeed,

    the value of construction services exports has seen rapid growth

    in recent years; between 2001 and 2011 the value of construction

    exports rose from 0.2 billion to 1.7 billion.

    The CEBR analysis suggests overseas trade will continue to be an

    important area of growth for the sector but we need to maintain

    our competitive edge. The Olympics helped to show the world our

    construction sector at its best and created a strong platform to

    increase exports in construction services. Exhibit 5 shows that

    CEBR forecasts suggest that export activity in construction

    services could increase to 4.4 billion by 2025.

    Exhibit : Construction sector UK exports and forecasts ofconstruction services, billions

    Source: ONS, Cebr Analysis

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    Opportunities for domestic and international growth are likely

    to create even greater segmentation and fragmentation in the

    industry over the coming years. By 2025 it is likely that small and

    medium sized domestic companies will be operating alongside

    a more limited number of international companies.

    The UK will need to maintain its competitive edge in key growth

    areas. For example, the UK is now recognised as a global leader

    in the exploitation of Building Information Management (BIM)

    technology and processes. But other countries are not far behind

    and we will need to continue to evolve in the adaption of BIM.

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    Construction is an economic enginethat meets and stokes demand fromkey industrial sectors and markets athome and overseas. Demand in the nextdecade shows how the sector is a criticaleconomic enabler as the UK respondsto global trends.

    Gb ted w hpe the be evet 2025

    The 2011 CBI reportA Vision for Rebalancing the Economy

    identified five key mega-trends that will shape the overall

    business environment in the next decade. These mega-trends

    will create opportunities for growth in construction:

    The eed ew d bette tcte we will need

    310bn investment to deliver the 2012 National Infrastructure

    Plan, with about two-thirds needing to come from the private

    sector. Construction will be at the heart of updating our

    creaking infrastructure.Gwth eegg ket there will be an increase in

    export opportunities, especially from new free trade agreements.

    Construction businesses will export skills, knowledge and

    products to emerging markets over the next decade.

    Dgt exp transforming businesses and creating

    national and international opportunities in mobile and digital

    markets. Construction is already being transformed by the use

    of technology such as BIM and this will be a key growth area.

    Demographic change continuing growth in urban populations

    will create demands on the built environment and an ageing

    society will drive changing patterns of consumption. The number

    of people over 65 will increase by 38% by 2025. This will addfurther pressure on demand for new homes, particularly for

    attractive retirement housing. Our cities will need to invest in

    infrastructure and services to respond to rising populations.

    Eeg d cte chge 55bn investment in renewable

    energy alone is needed over the next 10 years and the need

    for a reduction in emissions is leading to increased focus on

    energy efficiency in new and existing property. Construction

    firms will be required to deliver this greater focus on energy-

    efficient buildings.

    Construction is an economic enabler for business

    6.7Construction accountedfor 6.7% of GDP in 2012.

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    Eeg

    The UK needs to build 110bn worth of new

    power stations and generator facilities in the

    coming decade in order to ensure we keep the

    lights on and meet our carbon emission

    targets. 9-150 tonnes of cement and 25-150

    tonnes of steel are needed for each megawatt

    of gas power, nuclear or offshore wind.

    Increasing investment in renewable energy

    sources will need the expertise and innovation

    of the construction sector.

    WteThe water industry will see rising demand from

    industry and households and will need to

    manage the impact of climate change and

    water security. The sector will spend around

    65bn by 2025 in upkeep and maintenance

    of facilities infrastructure and reservoirs.

    Hg

    There will be increasing demands for new

    homes from rising numbers of new households

    with the biggest rises in demand coming from

    single and older households. We are currentlybuilding less than half the homes we need

    and this is set to continue with around 221,000

    new households per year in England. Consumer

    demand for energy efficient and technologically

    smart homes will be standard by 2025. House

    builders are likely to build between 1.7-2.5m

    new homes by 2025.

    Tpt

    Investment in our rail network will exceed9.5bn by 2025. Major investment in our road

    network will be needed as the UK economy is

    already losing up to 8 billion each year from

    congestion on the roads, which could

    potentially rise to 22 billion by 2025. There

    is currently a 10bn shortfall in funding for

    highways projects. The key priorities for

    clients in this sector are reducing their carbon

    footprint and on-going innovation in design.

    Dgt tcte

    The UK is a world leader in digital infrastructure

    and we will need large-scale investment by

    2025 to maintain this competitive advantage.

    Key demands over the next decade will come

    from the roll out of 4G, upgrade to 5G and

    on-going investment in broadband.

    Cec ppet

    Increasing business confidence will lead to

    increasing demand in the commercial property

    sector by 2025. However, spending will show

    weak growth in the next few years with highvacancy rates at present. Whilst overall

    demand will be modest in the short term,

    the market is more segmented in reality with

    strong demand in some areas. Trends in the

    sector of creative urban-led design, innovation

    in building management design and

    sustainability will increase in prominence. As

    we shift to a new normal for financing as a

    result of structural changes in banking we will

    also need to find new models to fund work on

    some existing properties.

    ConsTruCTioninDusTry in

    2025

    HousinG

    TransPorT

    EnErGy

    CommErCialProPErTy

    DiGiTalinfrasTruCTurE

    WaTEr

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    d ctct w ee the uK epd

    Construction provides world-class services enabling other businesses to

    boom. The construction industry exists to meet the needs of clients and

    the clients role from procurement to delivery is critical to the success of

    a project. To inform our response to the development of an industrial

    strategy for construction we mapped demand for construction activities

    from key sectors and conducted a number of interviews to look at the

    changing demands from clients.

    The chart on the previous page summarises our findings about demand

    from key sectors who will be investing over 300bn by 2025 in the built

    environment. Across these entire sectors repair, maintenance and

    improvement (RMI) spend will increase. Investing in the built environment

    is a substantial and sometimes risky investment for any business.

    Construction companies will need to gear up to this, maintain an increased

    focused on low carbon design and be able to respond to the changing

    business requirements of key sectors. Embedding innovation in our

    approach to construction will be central to meeting the needs of key clients.

    Through our in-depth interviews we found that the sector has a strong

    reputation among clients. Key strengths that came out of our discussions

    include meeting the needs of clients, responding to demand and a greater

    focus on innovation and efficiency as a result of the recession.

    When asked about the future, clients said they would like to see:

    a planning system that works for businesses (see box opposite)greater collaboration across the industry, government agencies

    and the supply chain

    on-going improvements in innovation and efficiency

    low carbon design and sustainability at the heart of how the

    sector works and responds to the demands of clients

    the UK being able to beat the increase in competition from

    overseas companies where expertise in areas such as high-end

    design and delivery is getting better.

    Many of these areas have been the subject of extensive focus in the

    construction industry. The 1994 Latham report focused on the key role

    of the client and the importance of collaboration across a fragmented

    supply chain through focusing on procurement reform.8 In 1998 Egan

    sought to further drive efficiency improvements through committed

    leadership, customer focus, cost and quality, integrated processes,

    and commitment to people.9

    A decade later progress on these areas has been substantial but is

    still ongoing. In particular the industry is still characterised by a diverseand fragmented supply chain which acts as a barrier to delivering

    improvements through collaboration and efficiency. Only an industrial

    strategy for construction, focused on delivering carefully targeted action

    in key areas of competitive advantage has the potential to deliver long

    term reform.

    Pg the teWhilst the planning system is not included in the scope of the

    construction industrial strategy both construction firms and clients

    agree that an effective planning system will be central to economic

    growth in the UK. Too often essential shovel ready projects are

    being delayed by planning red tape at a cost to the private sector.

    When implemented poorly, our planning system increases office

    rent, lowers retail productivity and lowers employment in small

    independent retailers and this needs to change.7 Whilst recent

    reforms to the planning system have been welcomed, we need a

    decrease in time taken for planning permission and reduction in

    costs to businesses in getting planning permission.

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    By harnessing sources of competitive advantage,construction will be a world-leading industry by2025. But industry and government will need tocollaborate and show leadership to secure a strongfuture. Our proposed KPIs will ensure that theindustrial strategy enables the sector to exploitsources of competitive advantage.

    sce cpettve dvtge t tt thepg ed

    UK construction businesses are at the forefront of sustainable

    design and innovative technologies such as BIM, and as already

    mentioned are increasingly exporting this expertise overseas.

    Underpinning this we need to go further to secure a strong

    domestic manufacturing sector.

    A successful industrial strategy for construction will therefore

    need to focus on developing key areas of competitive advantage

    in the sector to meet the demands and expectations of clients in

    2025. In doing this we can learn from other sector strategies such

    as automotive and aerospace, where each has focused on a

    limited number of areas that will make the most difference to the

    development of the sector. For this reason we think an effective

    industrial strategy for the construction sector should focus on

    four specific areas as set out below.

    In addition, an effective strategy must establish measurements

    for success in these areas, so we have set out some KPIs below.

    It is important to note that the KPIs will need to be kept relevant

    and under review and our proposals are based on available

    sources of information for benchmarking.

    Securing a world-leading sector

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    Bece wd ede tbt d

    w cb ctct, for example in the

    delivery and lifetime performance of buildings

    and infrastructure. The sector will help secure

    a low carbon built environment through

    contributing to a 50% reduction on carbon

    emissions by 2025. Certainty through building

    regulations and incentivising energy efficiency

    in new and existing buildings will have a key

    role to play in achieving this.

    Ebeddg vt in the way firms work

    and embracing new technologies. Whilst strong

    progress has been made industry fragmentation

    and a project-centric approach continue to

    restrict innovation in construction. This should

    be measured through a 20% increase in

    spending on R&D by 2025.10 Government and

    the sector should also conduct a feasibility

    study into the potential of an innovation levyto transform the sectors approach to innovation.

    Finally an intelligent and responsible use of

    public procurement to create wider economic

    value can help to drive forward innovation.

    Cetg tg d eet pp ch that

    utilises the strength of UK manufacturers. It is

    estimated that products and services secured

    from the construction supply chain typically

    account for about 80% of the cost of the project.

    Through stronger integration and a robust

    domestic supply chain we can achieve greater

    efficiencies and growth. This could be achieved,

    as well as addressing the balance of the trade,

    by sourcing 85% of building products and

    materials used on UK sites by 2020 (by value).

    This is currently around 75%.

    Eg tht wd-c expete ted,

    tcted d expted. UK construction

    companies have the potential to greatly increase

    levels of overseas trade in areas of key strengths

    such as engineering, architecture and low

    carbon construction. Progress should be

    monitored through year on year growth targets

    with a goal of tripling the level of UK exports of

    construction services by 2025. The sector and

    government will need to undertake further

    research to be clear on exact areas of expertise

    to nurture.

    d pet evet tht ebe theect t thve

    Underlying a successful strategy there is a need for an operational environmentwhich helps secure private sector growth. Most of all the sector needs to be

    supported by long-term certainty in regulation creating the environment to give

    businesses the confidence needed to invest in innovation.

    There are also some embedded structural issues in the sector and operational

    environment which will need to be addressed to create the environment for the

    sector to thrive, such as skills, access to finance and the image of the sector.

    The UK is facing a skills gap and this is a concern coming out of other sector

    industrial strategies. The CBIs 2012 survey found that 61% of firms say school

    and college leavers have not developed the self-management skills they need

    for work while at school and are not confident of meeting their need for higher-

    skilled employees. This is why in ourFirst Steps report, the CBI has called for

    an overhaul of the school system to deliver for the country as a whole.

    In construction, there are already acute skills shortages and this is set to

    worsen, increasing costs and undermining sector transformation. A recent

    Charted Institute of Building survey of construction managers found 82%

    believe a skill shortage exists in the sector. The most pressing skills gap is

    in trade and technical skills (particularly in plumbing, electrical and gas

    specialisms), followed by leadership and construction management skills

    and off-site manufacturing (specifically in precision construction).11 The sector

    will need to develop a self-sustaining skills offer to address the skills gap.

    Access to finance is also a concern, especially for SMEs. SMEs are key to

    growth in the construction industry, particularly with their strength in RMI

    which will be key to delivering carbon reduction. But with constrained

    lending many commercially viable construction companies report that they

    are not able to access finance at competitive rates. A recent survey from theFederation of Master Builders found that over 40% of construction SMEs in

    the last two years found it harder to access credit facilities and that credit

    was more expensive. The CBIs 2012 report Financing for Growth called for

    a one-stop-shop for business finance initiatives ensuring that businesses

    with viable lending propositions do not slip through the net.

    Finally, the industry and government will need to work on building a positive

    image of the industry to build a stronger reputation amongst consumers and

    to become a career of choice.

    With this in mind we suggest the industrial strategy for construction should focus on the following areas and

    measure success using these KPIs:

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    References1 House of Commons Construction Industry

    Economic Policy & Statistics Briefing Paper,

    August 2012

    2 CEBR, The Future of UK Construction

    A report for the Confederation of British

    Industry, April 2013

    3 ONS, Blue Book, 2012

    4 LEK Consulting, Construction in the UK

    Economy, 2010

    5 CEBR, The Future of UK Construction

    A report for the Confederation of British

    Industry, April 2013

    6 Construction Products Association,

    Construction Industry Forecasts Winter

    2012/13 edition

    6 Construction Skills Network, Blueprint

    for Construction 2013-2017.

    7 Cheshire et al, Links Between Planning and

    Economic Performance: Evidence Note For

    LSE Growth Commission LSE, 2012

    8 Sir Michael Latham, Constructing the Team,July 1994

    9 Sir John Egan, Rethinking Construction,

    November 1998

    10 Spend on R&D is a limited measure of

    innovation but data is readily available.

    11 Charted Institute of Building, A report

    exploring skills in the UK Construction

    Industry, April 2013

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    For further information, contact:

    Lucy ThornycroftHead of Construction and Manufacturing, CBI

    Centre Point, 103 New Oxford StreetLondon WC1A 1DU

    T: +44 (0)20 7395 8060E: [email protected]

    Chris CassleyPolicy Adviser, CBI

    Centre Point, 103 New Oxford StreetLondon WC1A 1DU

    T: +44 (0)20 7395 8191E: [email protected]

    www.cb.g.k

    Product code: 10017

    June 2013

    Copyright CBI 2013

    The content may not be copied,

    distributed, reported or dealt

    with in whole or in part without

    prior consent of the CBI.

    CBI

    Our mission is to promote the conditions in which

    businesses of all sizes and sectors in the UK cancompete and prosper for the benefit of all.

    To achieve this, we campaign in the UK, the EU and

    internationally for a competitive business landscape.

    Twitter: @CBItweets