brac in md - by jean friedberg - md brac

21
Fort Meade Regional Growth Management Committee BRAC TDM Vanpool Boot Camp November 7, 2011

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Vanpool Boot Camp: Marching Orders - November 7, 2011 - Part 11

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Page 1: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Fort Meade Regional Growth Management Committee

BRAC TDM

Vanpool Boot Camp

November 7, 2011

Page 2: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Contact

Contact:

Jean Friedberg

Regional Transportation Coordinator

Fort Meade Regional Growth Management Committee

[email protected]

410-992-5050

Contact:

Jean Friedberg

Regional Transportation Coordinator

Fort Meade Regional Growth Management Committee

[email protected]

410-992-5050

Page 3: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Transportation Situation / EnvironmentFort Meade's mission success requires a vibrant regional transportation

system

Regional Environment

• Workforce 2.5M and growing

• 18 major regional employment centers

• 6,125 miles of highway; SOV dependent

• Average commute 20x2 miles; 100M PMT per day

• Nation's worst congestion

• Cost to fix = $60B; TTF on empty

• Limited right of way for new capacity

Mission • NSA / DISA / 85 Tenant Agencies• Ensure regional economic vitality

– Job creation / growth– Supplier / customer access

• Address family access needs (services, education,)

Page 4: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Regional Transportation SituationFort Meade's mission success requires a vibrant regional transportation

system

Solution • Two-part strategy

– Focused highway improvements

– Transportation Demand Management (27% SOV Reduction)

• Agency leadership

• Guaranteed Ride Home

• Enrollment program / MeadeRide

Challenge • Gates and intersections near design limits• Dramatic workforce growth (40,000 base)

– Up to 27,000 more onsite; 14,000 offsite– $1.1B close-in transportation improvements– $3.0B regional capacity impact

• Virtually no public transit• Limited funding (5%) and lead times for highways

Page 5: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

The Fort Meade RegionRegional job base growing from 2.4 million to 2.8 million over the 2005-2020

time frame

Page 6: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

FGGM Workforce FootprintMeeting the demands of mission growth will require a regional effort

Source: NSA; RGMC Staff Analysis

Page 7: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Job Growth Due to Fort MeadeBRAC, Cyber and other sources of growth at Fort Meade add more than

40,000 new jobs between 2007 and 2015/2020

Source: FGGM Agency; RGMC Staff Analysis

Page 8: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Shortfall in Meade Area Road CapacityMeade area highways currently at or near capacity in peak periods; planned

increases in highway capacity will not close gap

Source: RGMC Staff Analysis

Page 9: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Top Regional Employment Centers – 2020About 40% of 2.5 million job base concentrated in 18 employment centers, of

which Fort Meade is one of the largest

Sources: BMC Round 7; CBRE Sub-Markets; RGMC Staff Analysis

Page 10: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Bel Air 1,000

Baltimore 1,400

Owings Mills 1,900

Sykesville4,800

Ellicott City 1,000

Glen Burnie3,600

Pasadena3,600

Crofton2,000

Woodbridge2,100

Tysons1,200

Sources: FGGM Agencies; RGMC Staff Analysis

102030

Top 10 Transportation CorridorsTDM program focuses on major transportation corridors, accounting for more

than 50% of Fort Meade workforce

Page 11: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

FGGM Workforce / VMT by Distance BandPersonnel commuting more than 20 miles – 32% – generate disproportionate

share of regional vehicle-miles-traveled(VMT) – 57%;

Source: FGGM Agency; Google Maps; RGMC Staff Analysis

Page 12: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Impact of Fort Meade GrowthFort Meade growth imposes a requirement for 233 new lane-miles of capacity

at $4.1B, or its modal equivalent

Source: FGGM Agency; Google Maps; RGMC Staff Analysis

PRELIMINARY

Page 13: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Two-Part Regional Transportation StrategyFunding levels for new road capacity inadequate; program to limit growth through demand management received regional and state endorsement

Rely on Agency / Employer leadership to reduce peak load

by 27%

Rely on Agency / Employer leadership to reduce peak load

by 27%

Focus limited funding – $50M of $1.1B – on a few key projects

Focus limited funding – $50M of $1.1B – on a few key projects

Roadway CapacityRoadway Capacity

Demand Management

(TDM)

Demand Management

(TDM)

Page 14: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Proposed TDM GoalsGoal of 27% varies by Agency based on workforce distribution; success requires leadership commitment and small communications investment

Source: RGMC Staff Analysis

Page 15: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Fort Meade Compared to PentagonMeade TDM goal less than 50% of current Pentagon level

Source: Pentagon Website; Ft. Belvoir EIS; RGMC Staff Analysis

Page 16: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Subscription Bus ConceptMake equipment, service, features and incentives competitive with SOV

• Point to point service based on user needs• Build relationships with colleagues• Make travel time productive time• Arrive at destination fresh and alert• Experience improvement in quality of life• Reduce commuting costs / fuel consumption / carbon footprint• Avoid investment in peak roadway capacity

Page 17: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

TDM Results to Date (9/30/2011)We've achieved about 40% of overall goal of 27%

Source: RCC Advisory Board; RGMC Staff Analysis

Page 18: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

Transportation Strategy GridOnly TDM can address the near-term impact of growth.

BRT-A: Existing RoadwayBRT-B: Dedicated Guideway

ILLUSTRATIVE

Carpool | Shuttle | Telework >>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Light Rail >>>

Carpool | Vanpool | Shuttle | Telework >>>>>>

BRT-A >>>>>>>>BRT-B>>>>>>>>>>>>

Mixed Rail >>>

Carpool | Vanpool | S-Bus | Telework >>>>>>>

BRT- A >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Heavy Rail >>>

=< 10 Miles

10 - 20 Miles

> 20 Miles

1 – 5 Years 6 – 15 Years > 15 Years

Implementation Time Frame

Managed Lanes >>>>>

Managed Lanes>>>>>

Managed Lanes>>>>>

BRT-A >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Page 19: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

System Impact of Regional Bus/VanAs few as 600 miles of managed lanes – or equivalent – required to avoid

50% increase in regional roadway capacity; saves $45B

Sources: FGGM Agencies; RGMC Staff Analysis

SENSITIVITY TEST

Page 20: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

In Conclusion

• Encouraging results to date for TDM• Vanpool offers critical advantages

– Flexible– Cost effective

• But workforce growth continues / funding limited• Apply multi-faceted strategy:

– Rely on TDM to meet near term needs– Set regional strategy / lay groundwork for long-term

growth

Page 21: BRAC in MD - by Jean Friedberg - MD BRAC

END