BCI North Midlands regional forum Meeting (14/12/2015)

PwCCornwall Court, 19 Cornwall Street, Birmingham. B3 2DT

Welcome, Housekeeping & Introductions

Scott Hughes & Sue Martin

BCI Head Office News

David West

www.thebci.org 5

BCI update

Business Continuity Awareness Week (BCAW) 2016

• New date – 16th – 20th May 2016

• Theme is ‘return on investment’

Appeal for tools and templates

Have you developed business continuity tools or templates that you are willing to share with the business continuity community?

• Do you have tried and tested exercise scenarios? • Examples of effective ways to demonstrate return on BC investment?• A BIA questionnaire that has never let you down? • A way of evaluating how you are performing against Standards? • Model BC plans?• Checklists for procedures?

All submissions will be quality assured before publication with authors being credited. Submissions and questions to Anne.greenish@thebci.org

Working paper series – contributions needed

Papers can come in the form of best practice articles, case studies, empirical research, quantitative/qualitative analysis, or a meta-analysis of available literature in the field, among others.

a. capture the state of knowledge in business continuity (BC) and related fields; b. track current and emerging BC trends; c. provide inputs that may influence the profession; and d. discuss the future of BC as a discipline.

Papers can range from 2,500-5,000 words.

Submissions and enquiries to Patrick.alcantara@thebci.org

Cyber Supply Chain Resilience: A Business Continuity Approach

• Latest working group paper now published• Offers practitioners another perspective in this field by

introducing the ‘cyber’ element of building resilience in supply chains and showing the interface among supply chain management, BC and information security. It also offers a vision on how coordinating these various operational disciplines might look in practice.

• Free to download from BCI website http://goo.gl/idzwwy

Resilience challenge for the BC profession

• 2020 group paper now published• Positions BC as an integral part of resilience, the

benefit of which can be felt in a variety of ways throughout an organization.

• Free to download from BCI website http://www.bcifiles.com/8thReport.pdf

Guide to exercising your BC plan

• Recent study showed that nearly half of respondents to a survey had not tested their plans over the previous year and half of those had no plans to do so over the next twelve months

• What the main types of exercises are• What situation it would be appropriate to use them• How to plan an exercise• What needs to be considered when doing so• Can be downloaded free from http://

www.thebci.org/index.php/exercising-your-business-continuity-plan

BCI presentations now on Slideshare

• Library of presentations available from BCI events

• http://www.slideshare.net/TheBCEye• Hierarchy of availability – Unrestricted, no

download ability, delegates only

Questions?

BCI World Conference

Sue Martin

SBR & DBR – what on earth are these?

Clive Bairsto – Global Head of Resilience and Crisis Management at

National Grid

BCI Briefing - 14 December 2015

Winter Margins – ‘SBR and DSBR – what on Earth are they?’14 December 2015

Clive Bairsto – Global Head of Resilience and Crisis Management

NG’s Winter Outlook Report 2015/16

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Electricity margins are manageable as published in the Winter Review

Range of established tools and processes to balance the system

Diverse and flexible sources of gas supply to meet demand

Storage and supply disruptions pose a low risk to gas supply security

Balancing services procured at a competitive price

Consultation informs the Winter Outlook Report

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Simplified presentation of our electricity analysis

Same structure as the Winter Review & Consultation

Key messages and terms explained in each chapter

Electricity Winter 15/16

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Forecast peak demand broadly in line with last year

Increased likelihood balancing tools will be used

Margins are manageable, with a range of established tools available to help balance the system

Winter view

21

Capacity margin 5.1 %

Loss of load expectation 1.1 hours/year

70 GW total

InterconnectorsDemandGeneration

56.5 GW de-rated

2.4 GW SBR/DSBR

55.1 GW 1.1 GW net imports

Operational view

22

Expected peak demand

Expected lowest operational surplus based on current data

Demand met by medium and full interconnector imports

Operational toolbox

23

Tools and processes are tried and tested

Notifications may be issued to inform the market of potential shortfalls to allow the market to respond

If the market responds, notifications may be withdrawn

We have balancing services ready to respond to a range of scenarios

Signals to the energy market

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Notice of Inadequate Margin (NISM)…informs generators that demand is high and asks them to respond with more power.

High Risk of Demand Reduction(HRDR) …reduces demand to make existing generation go further.

Demand Control Imminent (DCI)…….Instruction to distribution networks to reduce demand across their Networks…within 30 mins

Preliminary activity

25

Interconnectors:If GB is exporting we can stop.We can also request more power from European System Operators.

Additional Short TermOperating Reserve:Specialist contracts that can provide extra energy if required

Actions to take:

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Max generationWe request power stations tooperate at their maximum potential.

Demand Side Balancing Reserve (DSBR)Voluntary demand reduction fromcontracted large energy users.

Supplemental Balancing Reserve (SBR)

Contracts with generators that maynot otherwise be available, can becalled upon if required.

Voltage reduction

Gas key messages

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Demand expected to be similar to last year’s demand

Diverse and flexible supplies of gas sufficient to cover any cold spells

Storage and supply disruptions pose a low risk to supply security

Gas demand

28

Slight increase from 2014/15 weather corrected demand

Increase in demand for gas for power generation

Gas supply

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Capacity DemandPotential supply, including storage, of 613 mcm

Security assessment

30

Assessment of a cold winter with lower BBL flows and a disruption to Russian supplies through Ukraine presents a low risk to security of gas supplies

Low risk

Thank you. Any questions?

Tea/Coffee and networking

25 mins

BIA Exercise – Group Activity

Steve Webb & Planning Committee

– Part One• Aim is to produce a BIA template• The forum will be split up into 4 groups• Available information for those who want it such as GPG,

ISO 22301, ISO 22313

You have 20 minutes, each group will then have 5 minutes each to present back their template to the rest of the forum – please nominate a presenter

– Part Two• Aim is to embed company information, only available from you table facilitator, in to your BIA template and

present back to the group on how well your template worked

• Each table will have a planning committee member (table facilitator) who the group ask questions of to complete their BIA worksheet

• If information isn’t available then you can assume

• Don’t get bogged down in the detail of the scenario– Consider for you presentation:

• What did and did not work in your template• Was there any information you could have done with to help complete your form and if so, how would you go about obtaining

it?

Each group will be given 5 minutes each to present back their findings to the forum – please nominate a presenter

You have 20 minutes for this activity

– Part Two, close

There is no right or wrong answer to this activity – the objective is to generate debate and discussion about how you go about doing BIAs

Business Continuity Surgery

Feedback forms

Wrap up and close