b4b: where tech is headed

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B4B: Where Tech Is Headed J.B. Wood CEO TSIA Lead Author: B4B ISG September 2014

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B4B: Where Tech Is Headed

J.B. Wood CEO TSIA Lead Author: B4B ISG September 2014

2

2009 2011 2013

“We Have a Problem…” “A New Purchasing Model Is Coming”

“Industry Transformation”

Risk Shifts to The Vendor 1

3

Simplicity Will Be King 2 Users Drive Tech Decisions 3

Customer Aggregators Shrink Direct Market 4

Channel Value Reset 5 Tech Pricing Under Pressure 6

Usage Data Leverage Becomes Key 7

© TCG Advisors and TSIA

The New Rules of Tech (circa 2010)

Services Will Own the Customer 8

Industry Trends Impacting Tech Supplier Business Models

Revenue of Large Cap Tech Companies Are Declining

5

2008 Q4, $248B 2011 Q4, $242B

$206B

$100,000

$120,000

$140,000

$160,000

$180,000

$200,000

$220,000

$240,000

$260,000

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

-$7B Q4 to Q1

- $36B or 15%

- $140B/Yr

SOURCE: TSIA Service 50 Index

What Is Happening to IT Suppliers?

6

Software Eating Hardware.

Cloud Eating On-Prem.

Services Eating Products.

Business Buyers Eating IT Budget.

Sell Complex Products To the IT Department

Sell Outcome Services To the Business Users

Complexity

Price Per Unit

Service vs. Product Spending

7

$0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000

$100,000 $120,000 $140,000 $160,000 $180,000

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Total Service & Product Revenues

Sum of Product Revenue Sum of Service Revenue

What Is Happening to Service Providers?

8

Software Eating Labor.

Cloud Eating On-Prem.

Point Products Battling Solutions.

Who’s Budget? IT or Business?

Sell Services To Business Buyers

Sell Outcome Services To the Business Users

Complexity

Price Per Unit

Market Forces in Play

9

Profitable Legacy Model ?

Commoditized Legacy Model XaaS 1.0

Supplier Scenarios

Demand for New Consumption Models

Prof

itabi

lity

of

Cor

e O

fferin

g

No One Wants Either Scenario

10

Profitable Legacy Model ?

Commoditized Legacy Model XaaS 1.0

Supplier Scenarios

Demand for New Consumption Models

Prof

itabi

lity

of

Cor

e O

fferin

g

X X

Everyone Seeking

B4B Frameworks and How Tech Suppliers Are Aligning to Transform

The Great Divide

Product Focused

Outcome Focused

CUSTOMERS SUPPLIERS

Much of Future Supplier Growth and Differentiation Will Be

Determined In This White Space

12

Basic Offer: Complex Offer: Optimize Offer: Outcome Offer:

B4B Operating Model Construct

Optimal ROI Ease Best Product,

Fair Price Fast and Sure

Availability

Standard, Reliable Product

Implementation and Maintenance

Services

Tailored Product

Adoption Services

Connected Product

+ +

LEVEL 1 SUPPLIER

LEVEL 2 SUPPLIER

LEVEL 3 SUPPLIER

LEVEL 4 SUPPLIER

Supplier Operating Model

Product Focused

Outcome Focused

Operate (Managed) Services

Customer Value Power +

Outcome as-a-

Service

Supplier Offer Power

13

LEVEL 1 AND LEVEL 2 SUPPLIERS B4B:

14

“B2B was an age where a manufacturer sold products TO a business customer.”

What Do Manufacturers Like To Do?

• Make. • Sell. • Ship.

15

Basic Offer:

Level 1 Works Great For Basic Products

Best Product, Fair Price

Standard, Reliable Product

LEVEL 1 SUPPLIER

Supplier Operating Model

Product Focused

Outcome Focused

Customer Value Power

Supplier Offer Power

Make. Sell. Ship.

16

It’s Easy!

IT Department Role To Own and Operate

Basic Offer:

Level 1 Supplier: The Financial Model Was Well Understood

LEVEL 1 SUPPLIER

Supplier Operating Model

Product Focused

Outcome Focused Rev

Mix

PRODUCT OTHER

Cost Structure

Target Profit

% COGS

% COM

% COS % G&A

% EBIT

Make. Sell. Ship.

17

Out of Level 1 Grew A Critical, Tacit Agreement

Supplier Model: OUTCOME PROVIDER

Customer Responsible Zone Supplier

Responsible Zone

Asset Works Asset Operational Optimized ROI Competitive Differentiation

Customer Value Objectives (meet needs of different buyer types)

Make. Sell. Ship. Own. Operate. Get Outcome.

18

Once Software Or Systems Get Involved, Customers Need Help to Get and Keep the Product Operational

19

Complex Offers Require a Level 2 Supplier

20

Basic Offer: Complex Offer: Optimize Offer: Outcome Offer: LEVEL 1

SUPPLIER LEVEL 2

SUPPLIER LEVEL 3

SUPPLIER LEVEL 4

SUPPLIER

Supplier Operating Model

Product Focused

Outcome Focused

Great Product

Great Product

Product Attached Services

IT Department Role To Own and Operate

I Need a Bit of Help!

Make. Sell. Ship.

Service. +

Basic Offer:

Complex Offer:

Level 2 Supplier: Different Financial Model Was Even Better!

LEVEL 1 SUPPLIER

LEVEL 2 SUPPLIER

Supplier Operating Model

Product Focused

Outcome Focused Rev

Mix

% PRODUCT

% SERVICES

Cost Structure

Target Profit

% COGS % COM

% COSa

% G&A

% EBIT

% COSe

21

Make. Sell. Ship.

Service. +

Basic Offer:

Complex Offer:

The Hard Line For Suppliers At Level 2

LEVEL 1 SUPPLIER

LEVEL 2 SUPPLIER

Supplier Operating Model

Product Focused

Outcome Focused

STOP

Complexity. Friction.

Cost. Time.

= Not

Scalable

22

Make. Sell. Ship.

Service. +

But Now…This

23

2008 Q4, $248B 2011 Q4, $242B

$206B

$100,000

$120,000

$140,000

$160,000

$180,000

$200,000

$220,000

$240,000

$260,000

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

-$7B Q4 to Q1

- $36B or 15%

- $140B/Yr

SOURCE: TSIA Service 50 Index

LEVEL 3 AND LEVEL 4 SUPPLIERS B4B:

24

“B4B is an age where a supplier achieves an outcome FOR a business customer.”

Level 3 and Level 4 Markets: OEMs And Partners Are Gearing Up To Play New Roles

25

Basic Offer: Complex Offer: Optimize Offer: Outcome Offer: LEVEL 1

SUPPLIER LEVEL 2

SUPPLIER LEVEL 3

SUPPLIER LEVEL 4

SUPPLIER

Supplier Operating Model

Product Focused

Outcome Focused

Great Product

Great Product

Product Attached Services

New Ways to Save Customers

Money and Improve Their

Business Outcomes

As Market Demand Shifts To Level 3: New Roles Formerly Done by IT or Not At All

26

Basic Offer: Complex Offer: Optimize Offer: Outcome Offer: LEVEL 1

SUPPLIER LEVEL 2

SUPPLIER LEVEL 3

SUPPLIER LEVEL 4

SUPPLIER

Supplier Operating Model

Product Focused

Outcome Focused

Great Product

Great Product

Product Attached Services

Great Product

Product Attached Services

Operate and Adopt Services

As Market Demand Shifts To Level 4: Monetize Huge Volumes By Delivering Customer Outcomes Easily and With Low Risk

27

Basic Offer: Complex Offer: Optimize Offer: Outcome Offer: LEVEL 1

SUPPLIER LEVEL 2

SUPPLIER LEVEL 3

SUPPLIER LEVEL 4

SUPPLIER

Supplier Operating Model

Product Focused

Outcome Focused

Great Product

Great Product

Product Attached Services

Great Product

Product Attached Services

Operate and Adopt Services Extreme

Automation Platform

The Great Race is On

28

Profitable Legacy Model B4B Company

(XaaS 2.0)

Commoditized Legacy Model XaaS 1.0

OEM Scenarios

Demand for New Consumption Models

Prof

itabi

lity

of

Cor

e O

fferin

g

Sales in the XaaS Model

29

Selling into OpEx Budgets Selling into CapEx Budgets

Business Expertise Technical Expertise

Vertical Territories Geographic Territories

Selling Results Selling Features

Outcome-Based Contracts Fixed-Price Contracts

Business Process Slides Demoing Features

Land and Expand Large, Multi-Year Lock-In

The Business Buyer The IT Buyer What’s Hot? What’s Not?

Level 1 Suppliers Focused On:

• Make. • Sell. • Ship.

30

Level 3 and 4 Suppliers Now Preparing To Talk About Customer Outcomes

31

Outcome Based Service Portfolio Consumption KPIs Financials Type 1 Type 2 Type 3

Users Transactions

Terabytes Instances Features Minutes

# of Customers Units Produced

Employee Productivity Equipment Productivity

Customer Sat # of People

Efficiency KPIs Percent Compliance

Spend Per Customer Cost per Transaction Reduced Labor Cost New Offer Revenue

The Yin-Yang of Outcome Offers

Building a Product Offer: 1. Product: What can this product do? 2. Services : What services will the customer

need with this product? – Implementation, Training, Ongoing Support

3. Features and Benefits: Why should the customer buy these services from us?

– Expert staff that know the technology – Reduce implementation time and risk – Optimize uptime

Building an Outcome Offer: 1. Business Challenge: What is the

business challenge your customer is facing?

2. Outcome Metrics: How does the customer know they have solved the business challenge?

3. Capabilities: What are the capabilities required to meet the challenge and achieve the outcome?

4. Processes: What are specific processes need optimized to support the capability?

5. Performance Metrics: How will you measure progress toward the outcome?

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Product + Service Outcome Dependencies

What Does the “Shift Right” Mean to IT?

• Pivot toward the business users and new innovations • Trusted advisors to the business users, then trusted

sourcers (both among suppliers and vs. internal IT)

• Relegate more of “operate” and “adopt” to suppliers • Shift supplier evaluation criteria away from features and

toward their operating model capability • Hard choices about IT’s role and size

33

RESULT OF THE GRAND BARGAINS:

Suppliers That Satisfy CIOs

34

Low Cost and Variable Costs of Usage State-of-the-Art Security

Range of Purchase Models

Innovations That I Did Not See

Ability to Deliver Outcomes

Fast and Agile

On-Prem, Hybrid, Cloud Options

Flexible Data Constructs Technology Enabled

Mastery of Domain

What Changes? A Lot. A Calm, Rationale Approach to Transformation

27 Things That Level 3 & 4 Suppliers Must Re-visit

Offers

Markets

Partner

X Product

Land Sales

Financial Models

GTM …aaS Operations

Pricing

Value Prop Offer Type

Trial Mktg Processes

Org & Skills

User Exp

Dev Capab Connected Prod

SaaS 2.0

Revenue Mix Offer Margins

Land GTMs Expand GTMs Service GTMs

Ext Auto Plat Cust Success Expand Sales

Partner Eval

Partner Enabl Partner Mgmt

Target Buyer Segment Model

Comp. Analy

In Use Mktg Services

Quote-to-Cash

New Capabilities Must Be Added, Some Must Be Repurposed, Others Eliminated

37

✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔

✔ ✔ ✔

CEO

R&D Manufacturing Sales Services Marketing

CFO

The Technology

Industry

Products

Hardware and Software

Technology Services

Product Services

Technical Design

Implementation

Integration

Offsite Tech Support

Onsite Repair

Technical Training

Traditional Level 2 Supplier Product and Service Offers

L2 L1

The Technology

Industry

Products

Hardware and Software

Technology as a Service

Technology Services

Product Services

Technical Design

Implementation

Integration

Offsite Tech Support

Onsite Repair

Technical Training

Optimize Services

Operational Services*

System Monitoring

Hosting

Configuration Management

Multi-Vendor Management

Adoption Services

Adoption Planning

Process Consulting

Consumption Monitoring

Consumption Optimization

Information Services

Data Maintenance

Data Analytics

Data Supplementat

ion

Outcome as a Service

Outcome and Risk

Management Success Science

Success Reviews

Success Variables

Success Plays

Outcome Bundles*

Full Automation

*Also known as Managed Services

New B4B Services Are Coming From Tech Companies

L2 +L3 +L4 L1

A Changing Landscape

• Tech Companies Will Rapidly Migrate Toward Services • They Will Combine Technology (on-prem and off) and Services (on-

prem and off) • Pure Service and L3/4 Product Companies Will Compete • New Supplier Operating Models Are Still…New!

– What Are the New Financial Models? – What Are the New Capabilities? – Who Does What? – Direct AND Indirect Customers

• We Believe the Transformation Is Manageable – and Vital

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The New XaaS Normal

41

What’s Out? • Complex technology • Asset purchases • Install, integrate, upgrade • Maintenance costs • Hard-to-use software • Central IT control

What’s In? • Simple • Pay for results • Business value • Turn on, turn off vendors • Higher volumes • End-user preference

Thank You! J.B. Wood CEO TSIA Lead Author: B4B ISG September 2014