asia-pacific telecom in facts & figures
DESCRIPTION
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit ‘93TRANSCRIPT
Asia-Pacific Telecommunications in Facts and Figures
Pan-AsianTelecommunicationsSummit ‘93
Michael Minges
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Asia-Pacific in the World
Source: ITU, UN.
1991
World population World telephone lines
Asia-Pacific
Asia-Pacific
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Regional telecoms growth
Telephone linesAverage annual growth %
1983-92
Source: ITU.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Disparities in Telecom Development
Note: OECD = Australia, Japan and New ZealandUpper Income = Brunei, French Polynesia, Guam, HongkongSouth Korea, Macau, New Caledonia, Singapore and TaiwanLow income = 26 other countries.Source: ITU.
Low-income
Low-income
OECD
OECD
High-income
High-income
Population distribution Telephone line distribution
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Teledensity
Note: Each bar represents one country.Source: ITU.
Asia-Pacific, 1992
“Main telephone lines per 100 people”
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Lorenz Curve
Source: ITU, UN.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Telecom & economic development
Region average
Better offtelecom-wisethan expected
Worse offtelecom-wisethan expected
Source: ITU, World Bank.
1991
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Money doesn’t explain everything
Source: ITU.
Difference betweenactual and expectedTeledensity
Better offtelecom-wisethan expected
Worse offtelecom-wisethan expected
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
The telecom underdevelopedEconomies with teledensity of less than one, 1992
Note: * Classified by United Nations as Least Developed Country.Source: ITU, UN.
0.8120'581.32'555.1TOTAL / AVERAGE0.9811'469.11'175.7China130.9036.54.1Papua New Guinea120.781'500.0191.2Indonesia 110.776'796.7879.6India 100.75130.017.4Sri Lanka 90.3368.920.6Nepal* 80.29200.069.5Viet Nam 70.21256.3119.3Bangladesh*60.183.01.6Bhutan *50.1880.043.7Myanmar * 40.156.84.5Lao P.D.R.*30.1529.019.1Afghanistan*20.065.09.1Cambodia* 1
Tele-density
Main lines(k)
Population(M)
Country
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
From 1 to 40 in thirty years
Teledensity1983 - 1992
838383 929292
Source: ITU.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Convergence
Source: ITU.
Teledensity transition from 10 to 30
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Convergence II
Source: ITU.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Digitization
% of main linesconnected to
digital exchanges1992
Source: ITU.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Mobile
Cellular subscribersper 100 inhabitantsTop 16 countries, 1992
Note: Nordic - Sweden, Finland, Norway, Iceland and Denmark.Not including countries with population less than 100,000.Source: ITU.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Mobile II
Cellular subscribersas a % of total telephone subscribers1992
Source: ITU.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Telecom service revenue
Source: ITU.
Constant prices
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Market share
Japan
Australia
Korea
TaiwanChina Others
Telecom service revenueTotal 1992: US$ 93 B
Source: ITU.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Capital expenditure
Constant prices
Source: ITU.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Investment shares
Telecom capital expenditureTotal 1992: 36 B US$
JapanKorea
China
TaiwanAustralia Others
Source: ITU.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Outgoing international telephone trafficAsia Pacific region
Billion minutes
Traffic
Source: ITU.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Direction of traffic
Destination ofAsia-Pacific Traffic1991 Total: 5 B Minutes
Asia-Pacific
USA
EuropeOther
Source: ITU.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Telecom equipment exports
USA Telecom equipment importsM US$ 1992
Note: Black bars are Asia-Pacific countries.Source: US Department of Commerce.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Telecom equipment exports II
USA Telecom equipment importsM US$ 1989-92
Source: US Department of Commerce.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Top operators
World Rank Asia-PacificTelecom Operators1992 Revenue> US$ 1 Billion
4946454038363127262218
1
Source: ITU.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Productivity comparison
Source: ITU.
1991
Singapore - US$ 1’204US$ 742Revenue per main line
Japan - US$ 185’000US$ 52’000Revenue per employee
South Korea - 25170Main lines per employee
Top countryAverageCategory
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Future
• “Reaching the consumer is going to be hard, because the roads, airports, ports and telephone lines ... needed to support the next burst of industrial growth and consumer spending are not there. The process of building them should provide the second great Asian business opportunity of the next few years.”
• A billion consumers, Survey of Asia. THE ECONOMIST. October 30th 1993.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Future II
• “Asia is going to be installing the equivalent of Japan’s entire present switching capacity and of two-fifths of America’s. China will be adding as many lines as America does in these years, and India more than Japan does. As a whole Asia’s purchases should equal those of the OECD excluding Germany.”
• A billion consumers, Survey of Asia. THE ECONOMIST. October 30th 1993.
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Projection
Projection for 27 lower income Asia-Pacific countries
Source: ITU.
15%Annual growth rate
65MLines to add (1993-2000)
US$ 95 BInvestment forecast (1993-2000)
2.72Teledensity forecast 2000
1.06Teledensity 1992
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Prospects
• Ingredients for telecom growtho Economic growtho Adaptation to technologyo Liberalization o Government commitment
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
CIS
Source: ITU.
6.701.4421.5Uzbekistan6.55.253.8Turkmenistan4.87.275.5Tajikistan7.58.344.5Kyrgyzstan
11.331.9317.0KazakhstanCountry
Tele-Density (p. 100)
Main lines (M)
Popu-lation
(M)
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Restructuring trends
Introduces competition; partly privatizes NTTJapan1985Partly privatizes Telekom MalaysiaMalaysia1990Privatizes Telecom New ZealandClear licensed as second operator
New Zealand1990
Optus licensed as second operatorAustralia Telecom & OTC merge (Telstra)
Australia1990
Singapore Telecom partly privatizedSingapore1993Local service competition with 3 additional operatorsHongkong1995
Dacom licensedKorea Telecom partly privatized (93)
Korea1990
Pan-Asian Telecommunications Summit, Bangkok, 7-9 December 1993
Food for thoughtFastest growing telecom networks
1991-1992
Note: Not including countries with population less than a millionor less than 100’000 lines added.Source: ITU.