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September 2011 www.deloitte.com/in Inclusive growth A challenging opportunity

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Page 1: AIMA Deloitte Inclusive Growth

September 2011www.deloitte.com/in

Inclusive growthA challenging opportunity

Page 2: AIMA Deloitte Inclusive Growth

2

Contents

Introduction 3

Theimperativenow 4

Theopportunity 5

Governance 10

Education 11

EnergyandResources 13

TelecomandTechnology 15

Infrastructure 16

Healthcare 18

Financialinclusion 21

Businessmodelinnovation 23

Conclusion 24

References 25

Acknowledgements 26

Page 3: AIMA Deloitte Inclusive Growth

Inclusive Growth AChallengingOpportunity3

Introduction

Reformsundertakenintheearly1990smadeIndiaoneoftheworld’sfastestgrowingeconomies.TheboomoftheITindustryandimprovedagriculturalproductioncreatedanatmosphereofoptimism,whichledtothecoiningofphrases,suchasIncredibleIndia,IndiaShining,andIndia2020aroundtheendofthemillennium.

TheIndiangrowthstoryhasbeenoneofhighGrossDomesticProduct(GDP)growthbutprimarilydrivenbythegrowthinservicessector.Notallsectorsoftheeconomyhavegrownatthesamepaceasisreflectedintherelativelylowagriculturalgrowthrate,low-qualityemployment,pooreducation,inadequatehealthcareservices,rural-urbandivide,socialinequalities,andregionaldisparities.

Growththatisnotinclusiveaffectsthesociety,theeconomy,andthepolity.Alackofinclusivegrowthcanresultinrealorperceivedinequities,whichhasitsownsocialramifications.Inclusivegrowthpromoteseconomicgrowthpartlybybroadeningthebasefordomesticdemandandpartlybyincreasingthenumberofpeoplewithastakeinreformsandinastablegovernment.

Inclusivegrowththusseekstobroadentheflowofbenefitsofglobalizationtowardsthecurrentlyexcludedsections.However,forachievinginclusivegrowth,itisessentialthatthediffusionofopportunitiesbesupportedwithgoodgovernanceandaccountability.

Inordertoreducedisparityandpromoteinclusivegrowth,theIndiangovernmenthassetstate-specifictargetsforparameters,suchasGDPgrowthrate,agriculturalgrowthrate,newworkopportunities,povertyratio,dropoutrateinelementaryschools,literacyrate,gendergapinliteracyrate,infantmortalityrateandmaternalmortalityratio.

Inthelastfewyears,inclusivegrowthhasbeenattheforefrontofstudiessponsoredbymultilateralaidagencies,suchastheUnitedNations,theWorldBank,AsianDevelopmentBank,andseveralnongovernmentalorganizations(NGOs).Successivegovernmentshaveinitiatedseveralprojects,suchasJawaharRozgarYojna,IntegratedRuralDevelopmentProgram,RuralHousingScheme,andSwarnjayantiGramSwarozgarYojanatopromoteinclusivegrowth.However,forinclusivegrowthtohappeninacountrywiththescaleandsizeofIndia,privatesectorinvolvementisequallyimportant.Theprivatesectorhasstartedcontributingwithinitiatives,suchastheICICIFoundationhavingbeensetupwiththesolepurposeofpromotinginclusivegrowth.Thegovernmentandprivatesectorcanplaycomplementaryrolesindrivinginclusivegrowth.ThereisaneedforthepublicandtheprivatesectorinIndiatohaveaunifiedapproachtowardshowtheycanextend,innovate,andcollaborateinnewwaystodriveinclusivegrowth.

ThispaperelaboratestheneedtobuildInclusiveIndiaandemphasizeswhyitisimperativetofocusoninclusivegrowthnow.ItpresentstheopportunitiesavailableforbuildinganinclusiveIndiabyidentifyingkeyleversingovernance,education,energyandresources,telecomandtechnology,infrastructure,healthcare,financialinclusion,andbusinessmodelinnovation.Itgivesexamplesofinitiativesundertakenbyothercountriestobuildinclusiveness,suchasthosebyThailand,Malaysia,Kenya,andTheGambiaintheeducationsector.ItalsohighlightssomeofthereasonswhyeffortstobuildanInclusiveIndiainthepasthavehadonlylimitedsuccessandwhatcanbedonebetterinthefuturesothatinclusivegrowthisrealized.Thepaperfurtherstressesupontheneedforthepublicandtheprivatesectortoworkintandemandleverageeachother’sstrengthstodriveinclusivegrowth.

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The imperative now

ThefocusofthegovernmentinrecentyearshasshiftedfrompromotingIncredibleIndiatobuildingInclusiveIndia.Inclusivegrowthneedstobeachievedinordertoreducepovertyandothersocialandeconomicdisparities,andalsotosustaineconomicgrowth.Inrecognitionofthis,thePlanningCommissionhadmadeinclusivegrowthanexplicitgoalintheEleventhFiveYearPlan(2007-2012).ThedraftoftheTwelfthFiveYearPlan(2012-2017)liststwelvestrategychallengeswhichcontinuethefocusoninclusivegrowth.Theseincludeenhancingthecapacityforgrowth,generationofemployment,developmentofinfrastructure,improvedaccesstoqualityeducation,betterhealthcare,ruraltransformation,andsustainedagriculturalgrowth.

Despitethepresenceofover300,000NGOs,whichareworkinginsectorsspanningthegamutfromagriculturetomicrofinance,andfromminorityrightstoscientificandindustrialresearch1,India’sgrowthhasprimarilybenefiteditsurbaneliteandmiddleclasspopulationwhoareengagedlargelyinthefast-growingservicessector.TheIndianmiddleclass,definedasthoseconsumingbetween2and20USdollarsperday,hasgrownbyabout205millionbetween1990and2008.2However,around70%ofthepoorarefromruralareas3wherethereisalackofbasicsocialandinfrastructureservices,suchashealthcare,roads,education,anddrinkingwater.Stuntedagriculturalgrowth,relativelyhighfoodprices,lowruralwages,insufficientgovernmentspendingonruraldevelopmentandobsoleteinfrastructurearekeydeterminantsofruralpoverty.

SignificantinterstateaswellasintrastateregionaldisparitiescontinuetoexistinIndia.Lowgrowthratesandpoorpublicservicesinthepoorerstatesfurtherwidensthedisparityindevelopment.Forexample,povertyconcentrationcanbeseenintheadjoiningstatesofBihar,Jharkhand,Chhattisgarh,UP,MP,Orissa,andRajasthan.Thesestatescollectivelyaccountfor44%ofthetotalpopulationand60%ofthepoor.4Mostofthelow-incomestateshaverichnaturalresourcesbutpoorinfrastructureandhumandevelopment.Neighbourhoodeffectisseenwhenonesuchbackward

regiondragsdownitsneighbouringregions.Becauseofmutuallyreinforcingconsequencesofgeographicalclusteringandneighbourhoodeffect,thereisadangerthattheseadjoiningstateswillbecaughtinapovertytrap.

Women,labourers(includingagriculturallabourers),tribalpopulation,somescheduledcastegroups,andreligiousminoritiesinparticulararelaggingbehindinjobopportunities,earnings,andhumandevelopment.Around58%oftheworkersinIndiaareinvolvedintheagriculturalsector.Despitethis,thecontributionofagriculturalandalliedsectorsintheGDPisonlyaround14%.5Hence,fortheremovalofpovertyitisimperativethattheruralfarmandnonfarmsectorsbepromoted.Agriculturecontinuestosufferfromfragmentedlandholdingsandwateravailabilityproblems.Further,itisvulnerabletocropprocurementpricesandweatherconditions.Poormonsoonsleadtocropfailuresandsubsequentlyindebtrepaymentdistressforfarmers.

Figure 1: Population and GDP contribution by State (2010)

Population (%) GDP Contribution (%)

Uttar Pradesh Maharashtra Bihar

Tamil Nadu Rajasthan Gujarat

Kerala Jharkhand

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

3% 2%3% 4%

5%7%

6%4%

6%

7%9%

3%

9%14%

16%8%

Source:Census2011(population);VMWAnalyticsServicedata(state-wiseGDP)

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Inclusive Growth AChallengingOpportunity5

Anestimated86%oftheIndianworkforceisengagedintheinformalorunorganizedsector,6however,thequalityofemploymentremainsaproblem.Workersinthissectorhavevirtuallynosocialsecurity.AreportbyWorldBanksuggeststhat,inclusivegrowthapproachtakesalongertermperspectiveasthefocusisongeneratingproductiveemploymentratherthanondirectredistributionofincomeasameansofimprovingfinancialwell-beingoftheexcludedgroups.

Withtheworld’ssecondlargestpopulationandwidespreadurbanandruralpoverty,Indiafacesthechallengeofbridgingthegrowinggapbetweenthehavesandthehave-nots.Itisimperativetofocusoninclusivegrowthnowasitisinterrelatedwithseveralkeychallengesfacingthegovernment,suchaspovertyreduction,increaseinquantityandqualityofemployment,agriculturaldevelopment,socialsectordevelopment,reductioninregionaldisparities,andenvironmentalprotection.

Demographicdividendoccurswhenproportionoftheworkingclasspopulationislargerthanthedependednon-workingclasspopulation.Asaresult,fewerresourcesgointomeetingtheneedsofthedependentgroupsandmoreresourcesarereleasedforinvestmentineconomicgrowthandhumandevelopment.Thereisevidencethatdemographicdividendhasplayed

amajorroleinthetransitionofseveraleconomiesfromdevelopingtodeveloped.Forexample,inthe1960s,birthrateintheRepublicofKoreafellwhichresultedinelementaryschoolenrolmentsdeclining.FundspreviouslyallocatedforelementaryeducationwerefreedupandusedtoimprovethequalityofeducationathigherlevelsinKorea,whichresultedinfastergrowthinthelaterperiods.7AnewreportbytheRandCorporationhaspointedoutthatdemographicdividendsareestimatedtohavecontributedone-fourthtotwo-fifthsofEastAsianpercapitaGDPgrowthinthelate20thcenturyandIndiacurrentlyhastheopportunitytoreapthisdividend.

However,demographicdividendonlyprovidesashortwindowofopportunityanddoesnotguaranteeautomaticgrowthanddevelopmentunlesseffortsaremadetotakeadvantageofit.Forexample,Pakistanbeganexperiencingademographicdividendin1990andisexpectedtohaveitswindowofopportunityopentill2045.However,ithasbeenunabletocapitalizeonthisopportunityoverthepasttwodecades.8Hence,itisimportanttousetheperiodinwhichademographicdividendexiststomakeinvestmentsineducation,healthcare,andjobcreation.Asperthe2011Census,thedecadalgrowthrateoftheIndianpopulationhasseenadeclineforthefirsttimesinceIndianindependence,havingdroppedsharplyfrom21.15%in2001to17.64%in2011.Althoughthepercentageofthe15-34agegroupreachesitspeak(35.4%)in2010andtapersofffromthenonwards,thepercentageofthe15-59agegroupreachesitspeak(64.6%)onlyin2035,andtapersoffgraduallyoverthenext15yearsto61.6%in2050.AfailuretotakeadvantageofthisopportunitybyIndiacouldhaveadamagingeffectonitsfutureprospectsandleadtoaspirallingriseinpoverty,unemployment,andsocialinequalitiesinthecountry.Ontheotherhand,thesamedemographicdividendprovidesIndiaanopportunitywhichcouldseeitturnintoadevelopednationifbackedbyfavourablepolicies,goodplanning,andefficientimplementation.

InclusivegrowthisalsoakeycomponentifIndiaistofulfilitsMillenniumDevelopmentGoals,which193UnitedNationsmemberstatesaimtoachieve

Figure 2: Workforce and GDP contribution by sector

58%

15%

17%

30%

25%

55%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Workforce (%) GDP (%)

Services Industries Agriculture

Source:Census2011(population);VMWAnalyticsServicedata(state-wiseGDP)

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by2015.Thesegoalscompriseeradicatingextremepoverty;achievinguniversalprimaryeducation;promotinggenderequality;reducingchildmortalityrates;improvingmaternalhealth;combatingAIDS,malaria,andotherdiseases;ensuringenvironmentalsustainability;anddevelopingglobalpartnershipsfordevelopment.

Environmentalconcerns,suchaslanddegradation,waterpollution,andairpollutionneedtobeaddressedwhilestrivingforrapiddevelopment.Highereconomicgrowthatthecostofindiscriminatedamageanddeteriorationoftheenvironmentcannotbesustainable.Attemptsofthegovernmenttoproviderapidandinclusivegrowthinthepasthaveoftenbeenmadedifficultduetolackofinfrastructure.Theroleofpublic-

privatepartnershipindevelopmentoftheinfrastructurerequiredforpromotinginclusivenessinIndiahasbeenrecognizedtobecrucial.

Inclusivenesscanberealizedbyhighgrowthratesonlywhenthesourcesofgrowthareexpandingandtherebyincludinganincreasingshareofthepopulationinthegrowthprocess.

“The government need not do any of the things that are better done by a competitive market. In agriculture, for example, a competitive market is important but the role of the state is also very important in providing infrastructure, rural connectivity, rural electrification, investment in irrigation, watershed management and so on. All these areas require a lot of participatory work by the community. In infrastructure, too, the role of the state is crucial. Historically, even in the U.S., infrastructure has been developed by the public sector. We are trying to do it through public-private partnerships.”

—Montek Singh Ahluwalia,DeputyChairmanofthePlanningCommissionofIndia,Nov2007

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Inclusive Growth AChallengingOpportunity7

The opportunity

Theobjectivesofaninclusivegrowthagendaistoreducepoverty,improvequalityoflife,andensuretotheextentpossible,thatallsegmentsofsocietybenefitfromtheeconomicgrowthofthecountry.Anumberofmacroandmicrolevelinterventionshaveshowntobeconducivetopromotinginclusivegrowth.Atthemacrolevel,recommendationssuchasimprovingfiscaldiscipline,tradeliberalization,opennesstoForeignDirectInvestment,privatization,deregulation,taxreforms,labourmarketflexibility,providingsocialsafetynets,reorientationofpublicexpenditure,andlegalandpoliticalreformscanbeusefulinguidingpolicydiscussionsforpromotingrapidandinclusivegrowthindevelopingcountries.9Atthemicrolevel,reducingincomeandnon-incomerelatedinequality,improvingpublicinfrastructure,healthcare,education,accesstomarkets,accountability,women’sempowerment,roleplayedbycivilsocietyorganizations,andgoodgovernancecanhelpacceleratepovertyreduction.AnIndiawithasustainable9%orhighergrowthratewillbepossibleonlyifurbanandruralIndiaintegrateineconomicopportunitiesandqualityoflife.Thisimpliesthatthekeyleverstoachievinginclusivegrowthareincreasingtheavailability,accessibility,quality,

andaffordabilityofvariousproductsandservicessothatallsegmentsofpopulationhaveequitablesocialandeconomicopportunities.Toachievethis,thegovernmentandtheprivatesectorneedtoworkjointly,whileabidingbythefundamentalprinciplesofademocraticsociety.

Withinthiscontext,theresponsibilityofthegovernmentistocreateafavourableandstablemacroeconomicenvironmentthatfostersprivatesectorparticipationwithoutleadingtomarketdistortionssuchasmonopoliesorwindfallprofitstoafewselectfirms.Tocreatesuchanenvironment,thegovernmentneedstocreateandimplementlawsthatareequitable,facilitatetheprocurementofnaturaland/orscarceresources,andprovideeconomicincentivesthatencouragetheprivatesectortopromoteinclusivegrowthbyservingunservedorunderservedmarketsegments.Additionally,insectorsofnationalimportance(suchasdefence)orthosethatpromotesocialwelfare(suchassocialprotectionandpro-pooremployment),thegovernmentcansupplementprivatesectorparticipationthrougheffectivelymanagedpublicsectorundertakingsorwelfareprojects.

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Onitspart,topromoteinclusivegrowth,theprivatesectormustutilizeitsexpertiseandaccesstotechnology,capital,andhumanresourcesinbuildinginnovativebusinessmodelsthathelpincreaseacompany’stoplineandprofitabilitywhileensuringthatbenefitsaccruetoalargerpopulationbase.Contrarytopopularbelief,theprofitmotiveofprivatecompaniesandsocialgoodthatisenvisagedbyinclusivegrowthisnotnecessarilyatoddswitheachother.Therearenumerousinstances,bothinIndiaandabroad,wherecompanieshavedevelopedbusinessmodelsthatprofitablyservecustomersatthebottomofthepyramid.

TheIndianmiddleclasswillcontinuetoexpandsignificantlyinthecomingyearsprovidedthecurrentlevelofeconomicgrowthissustained.Inrecognitionofthis,anumberofproductsandservices,suchastheTataNanoandflightsoperatedbylow-costcarriershavebeenintroducedinrecentyears.AstheincomegrowthacrossIndiahascontinued,thecharacterofconsumptionhasalsochanged.Alesserproportionofthetotalspendingisbeingusedbythemiddleclassonbasicnecessities,suchasfoodandclothingand

thereisincreasedexpenditureonitems,suchasmobilephones,consumerelectronics,andentertainment.Widespreadadoptionofmobilephonesandtelevisionsets,andincreasingpenetrationoftheInternet,opensupnewmarketsforadvertisementsandpromotions.Forcorporationsaroundtheworld,theIndianmiddleclassthuspresentsahugeandrapidlygrowingbusinessopportunity.

However,therapidgrowthresultingfromtheeconomicliberalizationinitiatedin1992hasalsowidenedthegapbetweenthehavesandthehave-nots.Inordertoreducethisgapandbringthosecurrentlyintheperipheryintothegrowthstory,thegovernmentandprivatesectorneedtoimplementinitiativesacrosseightbroaddimensions—governance,education,energyandresources,telecomandtechnology,infrastructure,healthcare,financialinclusion,andbusinessmodelinnovation.

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Inclusive Growth AChallengingOpportunity9

Goodgovernanceisatthecoreofimprovingthedeliveryofessentialpubliclyprovidedservices.Itprovidesthemechanismforlinkinginclusion,decisionmaking,andaccountability.Problemsininfrastructure,criticalforbuildinganinclusiveIndia,canoftenbetracedbacktopoorgovernance.Redtape,lackofaccountability,andcorruptionhasplaguedIndiasinceindependence.

Thegovernmenthaslaunchedalargenumberofinitiativesovertheyearsinordertoachievetheobjectiveofrapidgrowthcoupledwithpovertyalleviationandinclusiveness.Manyoftheseinitiativeshavefailedtoachievetheirgoalsbecauseofpoordesign,insufficientaccountability,andcorruptionatvariouslevels.Withouteffectiveimplementation,evensubstantialgovernmentexpenditureresultsinlimitedsuccess.

AsofOctober2010,outofthe559projectsundertakenbythegovernmentforinfrastructuredevelopment,14wereaheadofschedule,117wereonschedule,293aredelayedandforthebalance135projects,nodateshadbeenfixedforcommissioning.10

Realizingthataccountabilityandtransparencyarecriticalelementsofgoodgovernance,theRighttoInformationAct(RTI)wasenactedin2005.RTIempowerspeopletogetinformationfromthegovernmentandthusconstitutesabigsteptowardstransparencyandaccountability.However,theRTIitselfsuffersfrompoormonitoringofitsimplementation.ThegovernmentofficialsareoftenreluctanttoshareinformationwhilecommonpeoplehavealowlevelofawarenessregardingprovisionsoftheRTI.IthasbeenfoundthatthereisoftenunnecessarydelayintheexecutionofRTIapplicationsduetolackofmotivationonthepartofgovernmentofficials.Unsurprisingly,ithasbeenobservedthatinIndia,inordertofixtheprocesses,appropriatechangesfirstneedtobeeffectedatinstitutionallevelstofixtheinstitutionsthatdesigntheprocesses.11

Goodgovernancedependsonprocessesandincentivestonotonlydesigngoodpolicies,butmoreimportantly

oninstitutionstoimplementthesepoliciesefficientlyandwithefficientutilizationofresources.Transparencyandaccountabilityinthedeliveryofpublicservicescanbeimplementedthroughinvolvementoflocalself-governments,community,andcivilsocietygroups.

Althoughgovernanceislargelythemandateofademocraticallyelectedgovernment,privatesectorexpertisecanbeleveragedashasbeendoneinthecaseoftheUniqueIdentificationNumber(UID)project,whereinthecentralgovernmentisimplementingtheprojectundertheleadershipofNandanNilekani,whosecareerwaslargelyintheprivatesector.Utilizingtheknowledgeandexpertiseofprivatesectorleadersinothergovernancemechanisms,suchasthePlanningCommission,publicdistributionsystem,andruralemploymentcanhelpdeliverbettergovernanceatboth,thecentralandthestatelevels.Privatesectorcanplayabiggerroleinimplementingtheseinitiativesinthee-governancespace.Forinstance,Mindtree,aBangalore-basedITcompany,isworkingondevelopingandmaintainingapplicationsforrolloutoftheUIDprogram.

AnotherexampleofgoodgovernanceisprovidedbytheNorthAmericanElectricReliabilityCorporation(NERC),whichbeganasaprivate,voluntaryorganizationestablishedbythecompaniesthatsupplyelectricpowertotheelectricalgridoftheUnitedStatesandCanada.Inanefforttoguardagainstthecausesandeffectsofregionalblackoutsandothermajorservicedisruptionsthatareharmfultotheirbusiness,thesuppliersagreedonanenforceablesetofstandardsrelatedtotheiroperationswithNERChavingthelegalauthoritytoenforcecompliancewithNERCreliabilitystandards.

Effectivegovernancewillhelpingeneratingimprovedservicedeliverywithbetteroutreachtothepoor.Thiswillenhancethechancesofthepoormovingoutofpovertyandalsoreducediscriminationinaccesstobasicpublicservices,suchaseducationandhealthcareandtherebypromoteinclusivegrowth.

Governance

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“Corruption manifests itself in many forms. In some instances, funds meant for schemes for the welfare of the common man end up in the pocket of government officials. In some other instances, government discretion is used to favour a selected few. There are also cases where government contracts are wrongfully awarded to the wrong people. We cannot let such activities continue unchecked. I believe that there is no single big step which we can take to eradicate corruption. In fact, we will have to act simultaneously on many fronts. We will have to improve our justice delivery system.” —Dr.ManmohanSingh,onIndia’s65thIndependenceDay,15thAug2011

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Inclusive Growth AChallengingOpportunity11

Bettereducationisoftenanimportantmeanstobetterjobs,increasedincome,andabetterqualityoflife.Toillustrate,JapaneseinvestmentsineducationaftertheSecondWorldWarhelpedittransformfromadefeatednationtoanindustrialnationthatcreatedinnovativeproducts,increasedemployment,andprovidedinclusivegrowthtoitscitizens.

Overthepastfewdecades,theglobaleconomyhasshiftedfrombeingmanufacturing-centrictoaknowledgedrivenone.Theservicessectorcontributionofworldproductionhasgrownfromaround52%in1970to68%in2005.12India’sincreasingintegrationwiththeglobaleconomyandthegrowthofsectorssuchasIT,BPO,andfinancialserviceshaveledtoanincreaseddemandforknowledgeworkers.AlthoughIndiacurrentlyhasaround480universitiesand22,000colleges13,inthenext10years,Indiawillneed700newuniversitiesand35,000newcolleges.ThepopulationofIndia,cuttingacrossregions,languages,andsocioeconomicstatus,hasbeguntoappreciatethevalueofeducationinaglobaleconomyanddemonstratedanincreasedwillingnesstopayforqualityeducation.AnecdotalevidencesaboundofdomestichelpersusingtheirearningstosendtheirchildrentoEnglishmediumschoolsinthehopeofabetterfuture.

“Indianeedstowidenitseducationbaseradically,”14saidProf.AmartyaSenafterreceivinganhonorarydegreeofDoctorofLiteraturefromtheNationalUniversityofEducationalPlanningandAdministrationatNewDelhiinJuly2011.

However,asmentionedbyProf.Sen,thereisalotthatremainstobedone.TheprimaryeducationsectorinIndiaismarkedbyvariations—theSeventhAllIndia

EducationSurveypublishedbytheNationalCouncilofEducationalResearchandTrainingin2006foundthatalthough80%ofchildreninthe5-14agerangewereenrolledintoschools,theratedroppedtolessthan50%forsecondaryschools.Nearly15%ofgovernmentschoolsaresingle-teacherschools.InsomestatessuchasBiharandRajasthan,girlswereonlyhalfaslikelytobeenrolledinsecondaryschoolsasboys.However,instatessuchasKeralaandTamilNadu,thesecondaryeducationenrolmentratesarepro-female.

ThegovernmenthaspassedtheRighttoEducationAct,whichmakeseducationafundamentalrightforallchildrenintheagegroupof6-14,butforthegoalof

Education

The government can provide the physical infrastructure in terms of classrooms, equipment, etc. (for example, existing infrastructure at the various industrial training institutes can be upgraded and used) and the private sector can create training material, train teachers, determine certification criteria, and recruit certified students.

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completeliteracytobeachieved,greaterinvestmentisneededinthephysicalandintellectualinfrastructure.Themiddaymealschemeenactedbymanystategovernments,withsupportfromvariousNGOsandtheprivatesectorcompanies,addressesafundamentalproblemthathasplaguedtheeducationsector—increasingstudentattendanceanddecreasingdropoutrates.However,otherproblemscontinuetopersist.Reportsofteacherabsenteeism,genderinequalityinenrolment,andinadequateinfrastructure,suchascrowdedclassroomsarenotuncommon.Forexample,theRighttoEducationActmandatesamaximumpupil-to-teacherratioof30:1,butaccordingtotheNationalUniversityofEducationPlanningandAdministration,over12%ofthenation’sschoolshadapupil-to-teacherratioof60ormorein2010.Correctingthisimbalancerequiresinvestinginteachertraininginstitutes,increasingthenumberoffull-timeteachersthroughbetterincentives,andintheinterimbridgingthegapthroughinnovativemodels,suchaspara-teachersorcontractteachersforshortdurations.

Indiacanleveragetheexperienceandsuccessthatothercountrieshavehadinaddressingsuchchallengesthroughinnovativesolutions.Toillustrate,TheGambiastartedaninitiativein2001tomakeschoolsmoregirlfriendly.Thisinitiativeincludedtheprovisionofgirl’stoiletsandwatersothatgirlscouldmanagetheirpersonalhygienebetter.Inaddition,thegovernmenthadsetuptheScholarshipFundTrustforGirlssothatallcostsrequiredforeducatingagirlchildaremet.Finally,inareaswheregirls’enrolmentwaslow,acampaignwasconductedtoeducatesociety,andaddressculturalfactorsthatresultingirlsbeingdeniededucation.Also,tofullyutilizeexistingclassroomcapacitywhilenewclassroomswerebeingbuilt,schoolsoperatedinshiftsonsixdaysoftheweek.15

MajorityofIndianprivateeducationrevenuesaccruefromformaleducationinstitutions.Theprivatesectorhasapresenceacrosstheformaleducationspectrumrangingfrompreschoolstohighereducationinstitutions.Whileprivateeducationisconsideredsuperiortopubliceducationintermsofitsquality,itisalsomoreexpensiveandlargelyrestrictedtourbanandsemi-urbanareasandispredominantlyinthekindergartenthrough12thstandard.16Atthetertiarylevel,ofthe~600universitiesinIndia,lessthanone-fifthareintheprivatesector.17However,itisestimatedthatover800newuniversitieswillbeaddedinIndiainthecomingdecade.18Theprivatesectorcanplayasignificantrolein

establishingnewuniversitiesgivenitsaccesstocapitalandphysicalinfrastructure,providedthattheregulatoryregimeforsettingupandoperatinguniversitiesisreformedtoenablefasterapprovalsandaccreditations.Infosys,forexample,hassetupafacilityinMysore,whichiscapableoftraining13,500employeesatatimeinaresidentialprogramwhichlastsaroundfourmonths.Asoneofitsco-foundersNandanNilekaninoted,itisprobably“theworld’slargestcorporateuniversity”.19ShivNadar,thechairmanofHCLTechnologiesLtd.,hassetupauniversity,whichaimstoprovidemultidisciplinaryandworldclasshighereducation.Itwillbeginoperationsthisyearandcanaccommodate4000studentsuponcompletionofthefirstphaseofcampusdevelopmentitself.IntheUnitedStates,whichhasanumberofthetopuniversitiesintheworld,everystatehasabodywhichisdesignedtopromotecollaborationbetweenhighereducationinstitutions.Someofthetopinstitutes,suchasHarvard,MIT,andStanfordareallprivateinstitutes.

Inadditiontoincreasedprivatesectorparticipationinformaleducation,thereexistssignificantpotentialatthetertiarylevelintheformofsettingupadditionalvocationaltrainingcoursesandinstitutes.Indiafacesashortageofskilledlabourinsunrisesectors,suchasretail,construction,andhospitality.Thegovernmentcanprovidethephysicalinfrastructureintermsofclassrooms,equipment,etc.(forexample,existinginfrastructureatthevariousindustrialtraininginstitutescanbeupgradedandused)andtheprivatesectorcancreatetrainingmaterial,trainteachers,determinecertificationcriteria,andrecruitcertifiedstudents.Suchanarrangementcanreduceindustrytrainingcostsandprovideindustrieswithalargerpoolofskilled,productive,andemployableresources.

Thailand,forexample,hasaDualVocationalTrainingprogrammodelledaftertheGermanmodelinwhichthestudentsworkastemporaryemployeesevenduringthecourseoftheprogramandarecompensatedfortheircontributionstowardsthecompany’stoplineandbottomline.Thisenablesstudentstogethands-on,relevantworkexperienceduringtheircourseasagainstinternshipsinwhichstudentsmaygetassignedtoirrelevantjobs.InThailand’sDVTprogram,companiesalsoofferpermanentemploymenttostudentsupongraduation.20

Thus,meetingthechallengesofuniversaleducationinpursuitofinclusivegrowthwillrequireaconcertedeffortfromboth,governmentandindustry.

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Inclusive Growth AChallengingOpportunity13

EconomicgrowthandhigherincomeshaveledtoanacceleratingdemandforenergyandnaturalresourcesinIndiabutIndia’sgenerationcapacityandeffectiveutilizationiscurrentlyinadequate.

Theenergysectorsuffersduetoveryhighdistributionlossesandtheft.Lackofcompetitioninmanycriticalsegmentsoftheindustry,especiallydistribution,resultsininefficienciesastheexistingmonopoliesofstate-owneddistributioncontinuetounderperform.Thisresultsinunreliablepowersupply,whichhampersagricultureandindustryandalsopenalizeshouseholdswhilecausinglargewelfarelosses.Ruralelectrificationisanimportanttooltobringaboutinclusivegrowthbymakingelectricityavailabletofarmersandinruralareas.Electricitysupplyisthusoneofthecrucialinputsinthecontextofinclusion.

Reformssuchasstrengtheningofregulations,improvingdistribution,openingbulksupplytocompetition,andrevisionoftariffstomoreeconomiclevelsareessentialforrealizinginclusivegrowth.

Providingincentivestoprivatesectorcompaniestosetupnewplantsorfactoriesinbackwardregionscancatalysethedevelopmentthere.However,itisessential

forthegovernmenttoensurethattherightsofanytribalinhabitants,forestdwellers,andlocalsaresafeguardedwhentheseprojectsareimplemented.Thegovernmentcanincludeclausestoguaranteereservationofjobsforlocalsinthecontractthatitsignswiththeprivatecompanies.Itcanalsoincludeconditionsinthecontractforpromotionofancillaryanddownstreamindustries,whichwouldleadtofurthercreationofjobsanddevelopmentofpublicinfrastructureintheregiontherebypromotinginclusivegrowth.

ResourceendowmentsarenotaconstraintformostofthepoorIndianstatesastheyarerichlyendowedwithmineralandforestresources.ThestatesofMP,Bihar,andOrissahavesubstantialcoalandironoredeposits,whileRajasthanhassubstantialzinc,phosphorite,andcopperdeposits.IntheNorth-East,Assamhaspetroleumandnaturalgas.Jharkhandalonehas33%ofthecountry’smineralreserves.21Itmightseemparadoxicalthatahighlevelofmineralpresenceisoftencorrelatedwithweakereconomicperformance,lowergrowthrates,andinferiordevelopmentoutcomes.Thisresourcecursecanoftenbeseeninregionsthataredependentonresourcesextractedfromanarrowgeographicbaseandtheseregionsoftenperformpoorlyacrossarangeofdevelopmentindicators.

Energy and Resources

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LessonsfromsuccessfulminingregionsincountriessuchasAustraliaandNorwayhaveshownthatinordertoavoidthisresourcecurse,Indianeedstoimplementreforms,whichpursueabroad-basedgrowthstrategybackedbystronginstitutionswhilealsofocusingonsequencingofthereformsanddevelopments.22

Mininginisolationisunlikelytogeneratebroad-basedgrowthanddevelopment.Theminingsuccessstoriesareineconomieswheremineralextractionhasspurredorcomplementeddevelopmentinothersectorsoftheeconomy.Butthiscanonlyoccurifthereisaninvestmentfriendlyclimatethatpromoteslinkageswithupstreamordownstreamindustriesorcreatesinvestmentopportunitiesinothersectors.Theseinturnaidingeneratingjobsandfuellinggrowththatspreadthebenefitsofmining.

Stronginstitutionsareneededtopreventthecapturingofbenefitsbyaselectfewandpromoteinvestment.Institutionsarealsonecessarytoaddressthemanyandvariedenvironmentalandsocialcostsofmineralextractionthatcanimpedegrowth.

Also,thesequencingofthesereformsiscrucialassimilardevelopmentscanproducepositiveornegative

outcomesdependingonwhetherstronggoverninginstitutionsarepresent.Withinstitutionalstrengtheningandpropersequencing,thesereformsprovideanopportunityforincreasinginclusioninthelaggingstatesusingamineralintensivegrowthstrategy.

Finally,theprivatesectorcansignificantlycontributeininitiativesthataddresstheissuesofgreenandsustainableenergy.Forexample,theBerkeley-IndiaJointLeadershiponEnergyandtheEnvironmentisapartnershipbetweenthegovernment,privatesector,andeducationalinstitutionsofU.S.andIndiatoassistbothcountriesadoptpathwaysandapproachesforreducingtheemissionsofgreenhousegaseswhilepursuingsustainableeconomicdevelopment.NERC’spowersupplyintheU.S.andGE’sEcomaginationcampaignwhichpromisedtodoublethecompany’sinvestmentsincleanenergy23areadditionalexamplesofrolesthatcanbeplayedbytheprivatesector.SimilarinitiativesareneededtoharnessIndia’spotential,suchassolarpower,giventhegeographiclocationofthecountry.Awell-plannedenergydevelopmentandutilizationroadmapbackedbyeffectiveexecutionandprogrammanagementcanenableIndiatobridgetheenergygapandenableinclusivegrowthwithoutcompromisingontheenvironment.

Reforms such as strengthening of regulations, improving distribution, opening bulk supply to competition, and revision of tariffs to more economic levels are essential for realizing inclusive growth.

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Undoubtedly,thetechnologyandtelecomsectorsinIndiahaveexperiencedtremendoussuccess.ThepastdecadehasseenanexplosioninthegrowthofcommunicationsconnectivityandthetechnologyindustryinIndia.AsofMarch2011,Indiahasatele-densityof70%(urbantele-densityexceeds150%,whereasruraltele-densityis~33%)24andtheITindustrycontributesto~6%oftheGDP.TheoutsourcingindustryisexpectedtogrowtoUSD225billionoverthenextdecade.25Withover25lakhpeopleemployeddirectlyandindirectlybytheITindustry,itisoneofthelargestjobcreatorsintheIndianeconomy.Alargeuntappeddomesticmarket,acriticalmassoftechnology-savvyprofessionals,andarobustecosystemwithproveninnovationstailoredfortheIndianmarketarealluniqueassetsthatcanbeleveragedtodriveinclusivegrowthinthecountry.

Thereareover800millionwirelesssubscribersinIndiatoday26andthecountryhasoneofthelowesttariffsintheworld.Ruralcommunitiescannowaccessup-to-dateinformationataffordablepricesfacilitatedthroughinitiativessuchasITC’sE-Choupal.E-Choupalimprovestheearningcapabilityofandminimizesriskforsmallfarmersbyprovidingthemwithrelevantandtimelyinformationrelatedtoweather,cropprices,bestpractices,etc.,throughamobilephone.Similarmodelscanhelpworkersinotherindustriesthatdominatetheruraleconomy,suchasfisheries,handicrafts,andtextiles.

TheubiquitousmobilephonecanalsoserveasanInternetaccessdeviceandbeusedtodeliverotherbasicservices,suchaslandadministrationrecords,mobilecouponsforaccessingpublicdistributionsystems,etc.Suchinitiativeswouldhelpsocialbenefitsreachtheintendedbeneficiariesandreducesystemiccorruption.Further,amobilephonecanalsoprovideaccesstoinformationandexpertiseandminimizetheimpactofgeographicaldistanceorlocation.Forexample,theSouthAfricanDokozasystemusescost-effectiveSMSforinformationmanagement,transactionalexchange,andpersonalcommunicationforuseinrollingouttreatmentsrelatedtoAIDSandtuberculosisacrossthewholecountry.27Thus,themobileecosystemcanbeusedtoimprovequalityoflifebyhelpingimproveservicessuchasprimaryhealthcare.

Withtherolloutof3Gandthedecliningpricesofhandsetswithincreasingfeatures,everlargernumberof

peoplewillhavetheabilitytoaccessandconsumericherinformation.Capabilitiesof3Gsuchasonlinevideostreaming,videocalling,andfasterdownloadscanbeutilizedtoprovidevalue-addedservicessuchasremoteeducation.

Inanefforttoprovidetelecomservicesataffordableprices,multiplemeasures,suchasMobileNumberPortability,bringingmorenumberofmobileoperatorstoinfusecompetitiveness,settingupofTelecomCentresofExcellenceandtheCoordinationCentreinPPPmodelshavebeentakenoverthelastfewyears.TofurthergiveimpetustothetelecominfrastructureinIndia,thePPPinitiativesneedtojointlyaddresscapabilitybuildingforcreatingmarket-readytalentpool,continuoustechnologyadaptationtomeetIndia-specificeconomicandsocialdevelopmentneeds,fasterdeploymentofservices,andeffectivelybridgingtherural-urbandigitaldivide.

Onthetechnologyfront,theIndiantechnologysectorhasprovidedjobs,increasedincomes,andimprovedthelivelihoodsforthousandsofpeople.Althoughthecountrywasinitiallyattractiveduetoitslow-cost,high-qualitytalent,thiscostarbitragehassincebeendiminishingduetowagepressuresandthesectorwitnessinghighemployeeturnover.TheIndiantechnologysectorisnowincreasinglycompetingwithotheroutsourcing/offshoringdestinationcountriessuchasVietnamandPhilippines,especiallyinrelativelylow-skillservices,suchasvoice-basedcallcentresanddataentryoperations.28Someofthelostadvantagescanberegainedbyleveraginghigh-speedwirelessInternetaccessibilitytosetupruralorsemi-urbanBPOs.Inadditiontoloweringcosts,providingjobs,andincreasingincomesinthetier2and3cities,suchamovewillalsohelpstemthemigrationfromruralareastourbanIndia,whichiscausingsignificantpressureonurbaninfrastructureandlivingstandards.29Further,thesettingupofindustriesintier2and3citiescoupledwithincreaseddisposableincomeofthelocalpopulationwillhavecascadingeffectsandhelpthesettingupandgrowthofsecondaryservices,suchasfoodcateringandlanguagetutorialsinthosecities.

Hence,providingeverycitizenwithaccesstoinformationandharnessingtechnologytoinnovativelydeliverserviceswithintheIndiancontextwillbethekeytodrivinginclusivegrowthinanincreasinglydigitalworld.

Telecom and Technology

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Investmentininfrastructuredrivesthegrowthofacountry’seconomy.In1980,IndiahadagreaterinvestmentandinfrastructurebasethanChina,buttoday,Chinaisaheadinphysicalinfrastructureavailability,quality,andquantity.30India’spopulation,availabilityofnaturalresources,andlowcostbasemakeitattractiveasamanufacturingdestinationandthemanufacturingsectorcansubsequentlydrivegrowthinjobsandincomes.However,formanufacturingtobecompetitiveandsustainablerequiresanefficientsupplychainandphysicalinfrastructureforprocurementofrawmaterials,storageofwork-in-processandfinishedgoods,andspeedytransportationtocustomersbasedondemand.AspointedoutbythePlanningCommission—“Goodqualityinfrastructureisthemostcriticalphysicalrequirementforattainingfastergrowthinacompetitiveworldandalsoforensuringinvestmentinbackwardregions.”31

ThePrimeMinisterofIndia,Dr.ManmohanSinghhassaidthatIndianeedstoinvestoverUSD1trillionininfrastructureby2017ifthecountryistoachieve10%annualgrowthrates.32TheEleventhFiveYearPlanenvisagesimproving~26,000kilometresofarterialroutes,thedevelopmentofthegoldenquadrilateral,theNorth-South-East-Westcorridor,twodedicatedfreightcorridors,andtheupgradationandexpansionofover70airports.

However,fundingnewinfrastructureprojectswilladdressonlyapartoftheissue.Inordertopromoteinclusivegrowth,systemicreformsareneededtofixtheinstitutionsandtheprocessesusedtocreateinfrastructure.Currently,thelandacquisitionprocessforpublicprojectsisbureaucraticanddoesnotadequatelyaddresstherehabilitationandcompensationmechanismsforthedispossessedtherebyleadingtoill-willandpublicprotests.Equitablepoliciesthatallow

fortimelyacquisitioncoupledwiththeabilitytoresolveissuesamicablyandwithindefinedtimelinesareneeded.

Thekeycomponentstophysicalinfrastructurearetransportationconnectivityandwarehousingstorage.2%ofIndia’sroads(theNationalHighways)carryover40%oftheroadtransport.ThepoorconditionofIndia’sroadsreducestheaveragespeedoftrucksto40kmphascomparedto80kmphindevelopedeconomies.Therailwayroutenetworkexpansionhasbeenslowatanannualgrowthrateof0.3%andmanywagonsemployobsoletetechnologyandhavenotbeenupgradedindecades.Internationalairportsindevelopedcountrieshandle~75take-offsandlandingsperhour,whereastheMumbaiinternationalairportcanhandle~35take-offsandlandingsperhour.33Over90%ofthewarehousingcapacityisintheunorganizedsector.Mostwarehousesaremerelycoveredstoragespaceswithlowcapacities,outdatedtechnologies,andlackfacilities,suchascoldstorage,verticalspaceutilization,andadvancedwarehousemanagementsystems.34

Improvingtransportationconnectivityrequiresinvestmentsinboth,urbanaswellasruralinfrastructure.WhileportsandairportsconnectIndiatotherestoftheworld,theroadsandrailwaysarethebackboneforconnectingvariouspartsofIndia,specificallyruralIndiatourbanIndia.Fundingcanbeobtainedthroughanumberofmeans—governmentinvestment,public-privatepartnerships,andprivateinvestments.Indiahasstillnotfullyexploitedthepotentialofinsuranceandpensionfundsintheinfrastructuresector.35Inadditiontofunding,apropermonitoringmechanismisneededtomonitorprojectssothattheydonotoverrunbudgetsandschedules,leakagesareminimized,andthattheassetscreatedareofinternationalstandards.InnovativemodelssuchastheuseoftheNationalRuralEmploymentGuaranteeAct(NREGA)tocreate

Infrastructure

Funding new infrastructure projects will address only a part of the issue. In order to promote inclusive growth, systemic reforms are needed to fix the institutions and the processes used to create infrastructure.

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roadnetworksandexpandrailwaynetworkswhilesimultaneouslycreatingjobscanbeusedtospeedupthepaceofinfrastructureassetcreation.

Globally,countriessuchasMalaysiahaveformulatedpoliciesthatencourageprivatesectorinvestmentininfrastructureandinrecentyears,theprivatesectorinvestmentininfrastructurehasexceededthatofthepublicsector.Manyofthehighways,expressways,andurbanroadshavebeenbuiltbytheprivatesectorastollroads.

ThesuccessfulcompletionoftheDelhiMetroonbudgetandalmostthreeyearsaheadofscheduleisproofthatifinstitutionaldelaysareminimizedandpowerisdevolvedappropriately,Indiahasthecapabilitytoexecutelargeinfrastructureprojectsefficiently.36

Investinginwarehousingfacilitieswillbenefitnotonlymanufacturingindustriesbutwillalsoserveinfurtheringsocialwelfaregoals.In2010,thegovernmentofIndiaestimatedthatoverRs.50,000croreworthoffooditemsiswastedeveryyearduetotheunavailabilityorinadequacyofstoragefacilities.37Creatingcoldstoragecapacityforperishablesbyleveragingtechnologycanhelpreducewastageandtherebydecreasefoodprices

whileincreasingthenation’sfoodsecurity.Theprivatesector’saccesstocapital,technology,andprocessexpertisecanbeharnessedusingthePPPmodelinbuildingandoperatingofwarehouses.

Likeinmanyothercountries,urbanization—themovementofpeoplefromruralareastosemi-urbanandfromsemi-urbantourbaninsearchofjobsandabetterqualityoflife—isagrowingphenomenoninIndia.By2030,Indiaisexpectedtohave41%ofitspopulationlivingincitiesandtowns.38Therefore,underinvestmentininfrastructurecreation,costoverrunsofprojects,andpoorqualityofphysicalinfrastructureareriskstotheIndianeconomicgrowthstoryandtoensuringinclusivegrowth.WhileboththepublicandtheprivatesectorsareawareofthekeyshortcomingspresentinIndia’sinfrastructure,theapproachtowardsaddressingtheseshortcomingsneedtobemoreformalized.Articulatingsystematizedreformsacrosstheinfrastructuredevelopmentlifecycle—fromconceptualizingtoplanningstagetocreatingprocessesforinfrastructuredevelopmentandfinalexecution,canhelpachievethemuchanticipatedresultsinIndia’sinfrastructuredevelopmentstory.

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ThehealthcareindustryinIndiapromisestobeoneofthefastgrowingonesandisexpectedtobeaUSD280billionindustryby2020.39Thecountryhasworld-classhospitals,highlyqualifiedmedicalpersonnel,andisgraduallyemergingasapreferreddestinationformedicaltourismforcitizensofthedevelopedworld.However,theactualdeliveryofhealthcareservicesisinadequateforalargesectionofthelocalpopulation.Indiacomparespoorlytootherdevelopingcountriesonparameters,suchashospitalbeddensity,physiciandensity,numberofdoctorsgraduatingeveryyearfromIndianuniversities,andpublicexpenditureonhealthcare.40Also,thelowpenetrationofhealthinsurance(only~15%ofthepopulationhasanyformofhealthinsurance41)impliesthataseriousillnessorhospitalizationcausessignificanteconomichardshiptomanysectionsofsociety,especiallytheurbanpoorandtheruralpopulation.Inthecontextofhealthcare,inclusivegrowthimpliesthathealthcareresourcesareallocatedequitablysuchthatthebenefitsaresharedbyallsegmentsofthesociety.

Today,healthcareisnoteasilyavailabletoallsectionsoftheIndiansociety.Aruralpersonseekinghealthcarehastotravel~10kmswhichtakesanentireday(andconsequentlyaday’searnings)duetopoorphysicalconnectivity.Suchsituationscanhavedireconsequencesduringmedicalemergencies.Thelackofinfrastructure,poormonetarycompensation,andsocialprejudicesresultindoctorsbeingreluctanttopracticeinruralareasandtherebyfurtherreducinghealthcareavailability.Whileitismandatedforallmedicalstudentstospendoneyearinruralareasaspartoftheirinternship,makinghealthcareuniversallyavailablerequiresmoreefforts.Someprivatehospitalshavebegunbysettinguphealthcarefacilitiesintier2and3citiesusingbusinessmodelswhichlowercostandconsequently,allowthemtooperateatlowerpricepointsthanthoseinmetros.Privateplayersareexperimentinginstrikingabalancebetweenprojectassets,location,investmentamount,andpricingtodeliverqualityhealthcareinnonurbanareas.

Intheabsenceofinsurance,almostthree-fourthsofallhealthcareexpenditureisbornebytheconsumer.Healthcarecostsarerisinggiventhedemand-supplymismatchinavailabilityofservices.Tomakehealthcaremoreaffordable,allstakeholdersarerequiredtocollectivelyworktowardsreducingthecostsofhealthcareandensuringthatindividualshavethe

purchasingabilitythroughincreasedhealthinsurancecoverage.CertaingovernmenthealthinsuranceschemessuchastheYeshaswinischeme(Karnataka)haveseensuccessinincreasingcoverageandprovidingaffordablehealthcaretononurbanpopulations.42However,thereremainssignificantuntappedpotentialinaspects,suchasthesettingupofno-frillshospitals,frugalinnovationinmedicaltechnologies,drugdevelopment,andleveragingeconomiesofscaletoreducecosts.

Thedisparityinqualityofhealthcareservicesprovidedatprivatehospitalsvis-à-visgovernmenthospitalsislarge.Theunderlyingfactorsforsuchdisparityarethelackofcompetition,poorinfrastructure,andlackofaccountabilityandmonitoringmechanisms.Inanefforttoaddressthiseffectively,theprivateandpublicsectorneedtopartnerininitiativestowardspromoting

Healthcare

Private players are experimenting in striking a balance between project assets, location, investment amount, and pricing to deliver quality healthcare in nonurban areas. Figure 3: Number of hospital beds (per 1000 population)

9.7

4.1

2.4

0.9

Russia China Brazil India

Source:WHOHealthStatistics2011,DeloitteAnalysis

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“A multi-pronged strategy involving various stakeholders is necessary. Both public and private sectors need to work in tandem to make healthcare available, accessible, and affordable to all.” —SheilaDikshit,ChiefMinisterofDelhi

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awarenessanduseofhealthcarefacilities,upgradingskillsforhealthcaredeliveryprofessionals,andincreasingtheuseoftechnology(suchastelemedicine)indeliveringhealthcareservices.SomestatessuchasGujaratandTamilNaduhavestartedaccreditingtheirpublichealthcarefacilities,suchashospitals,labs,andbloodbanks.Thismodelshouldbeimplementednation-wideandthegovernment,inassociationwithreputedmedicalresearchinstitutionsshoulddevelopconsistent,reliable,andeasilyunderstoodaccreditationnorms.

TheprivatesectorcanalsoplayalargerroleinenablingtheweakersectionstoaffordandaccesshealthcarebydevelopingmicrohealthinsuranceproductsandrollingoutcashlessadmissiontohospitalsinruralIndia.AsimilarinitiativealreadyexistsinKenyathroughtheCooperativeInsuranceCompanyofKenya,whichmarketsitsinsuranceproductsthroughmicrofinanceinstitutions.Theseinstitutions,inturn,enablethelow-incomecitizenstomakeannualpremiumpaymentsthroughloanswhicharetoberepaidmonthly.

GivenIndia’spopulationandregionalvariations,isolatedorsporadicinnovationswillnotensureinclusivehealthcare.Fordrivingsustainablehealthcaredevelopment,itisimportanttoeffectivelyusetechnologyacrossallareasofthehealthcarevaluechainfrominformationcapturetodiagnosistorecoverymonitoring.Itisalsonecessarytocomplementtechnologyinnovationswithinvestmentsinthemedicalacademicinfrastructureintermsofquantityandqualityofmedicaleducationavailable.Moreover,theneedforthepublicandprivatesectortoworktogethercannotbeundermined.Whilethegovernmentbringsintherightlevelofplanningandinvestmentsrequiredforbroad-basedaccesstohealthcare,theprivatesectorparticipationincomplementingeffortstowardssettingupofthephysicalinfrastructure,creatingawareness,andensuringaccesstoqualityhealthcarefacilitiesisequallyimportant.

The private sector can also play a larger role in enabling the weaker sections to afford and access healthcare by developing micro health insurance products and rolling out cashless admission to hospitals in rural India.

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Financial inclusion

Asocietycanbeconsideredfinanciallyinclusivewhenallsegmentsandstrataofsocietyhaveaccesstofinancialservicesandtimelyandadequatesourcesofformalcredit.Similartoaccesstoeducationandhealthcare,theaccesstofinanceisanimportantoneforallsegmentsofsociety,andespeciallytothepoorandmarginalizedsections,asitcanfacilitatethemtoekeoutasustainablelivingandalleviatethemfrompoverty.Forexample,thelawonexclusion(1998)inFranceunderscorestheindividual’srighttoabankaccount.Similarly,theCommunityReinvestmentActof1997intheUSAmandatesbankstooffercredittoallpopulationsegmentswithinitsareaofoperationandpreventsspecifictargetingoftherich.

Today,thebulkofIndia’spopulationlacksaccesstofinancialproductsandservices,suchassavingsaccounts,loans,insurance,pensionschemes,payments,etc.Bankingpenetrationisestimatedtobeonlyabout5%amongthelowerincomeclasses,andevenamongthemiddle-andhigh-incomeclassesthepenetrationisabout45%.43Mostofthepopulationbelongingtothelowerincomegroupsdoesnothaveaccesstoformalbankingandcredit.Thisleadstoaviciouscycleinwhichthevulnerableareforcedtoresorttoborrowingfrominformalsources(suchasmoneylenders)atusuriousratesofinterest.Thisnotonlyhamperstheirabilitytopaybackandgetdrawnintofurtherdebt,butalsotakesawayasubstantialportionoftheiralreadymeagreearnings.Thisdebttrapworsenspovertylevelsandcaseswherethedebtorhascommittedsuicidefearinganinabilitytopaydebtsarenotunheardof.

Realizingtheimportanceoffinancialinclusion,theReserveBankofIndiahaspushedforthesamethroughpolicymeasures.Recognizingthatprivatebankscanhaveanimportantroletoplayinincreasingbanking

penetration,inearlyJuly2011,theRBIissuedacircularmandatingallscheduledbankstoopenatleast25%oftheirnewbranchesinruralareas.Further,theRBIhasidentifiedover70,000villageswithpopulationsgreaterthan2,000thatarecurrentlyunservedbybanks.However,inadditiontoopeningnewbranchesincurrentlyunderservedareas,itisalsoimperativetoaddressotherfactorsthatimpairaccesstofinancialservices.

Theabilitytoaccesssmallamountsofcapitalthroughformalmicrofinanceloanshasenabledmanypeoplebelowthepovertylinetostartsuccessfulsmallenterprisesandworktheirwayoutofpoverty.GrameenBankinBangladeshpioneerednotonlymicrofinanceloansbutalsoplayedapartininclusivegrowththroughinitiatives,suchasfinancialliteracysessions,women’sempowermentthroughgrouploans,andbysettinggoalstoeliminatepovertyinareasofbranchoperation(measuredbybenchmarksrelatingtoaccesstofood,water,andsanitaryfacilities).ThemicrofinanceindustryhasprivatesectorparticipationinIndiabuthashadcontroversiesrecentlyrelatingtoconsumerprotectionandcorporategovernanceissues.TheMicrofinanceBillwhichisexpectedtobeintroducedinParliamentshortlyaimstobealegislationthataddressesthechallengesofthemicrofinanceindustryintermsofaregulatoryauthority,clientprotectionmeasures,andensuringthatmicrofinanceinvestorsdonotmakeexcessiveprofitsattheexpenseoftheborrowers.

Likeinmanyothersectors,technologycanbealeveller.Forexample,themobilephonecanactasasmartwalletaswellasatransactionalmedium.Thiscanbeusefulinremoteareaswheresettingupphysicalbankinginfrastructurewouldnotbefeasible.Similarly,paymentsfromsocialwelfareschemessuchasNREGAcanbe

The mobile phone can act as a smart wallet as well as a transactional medium. This can be useful in remote areas where setting up physical banking infrastructure would not be feasible.

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madedirectlytosmartcardswithbiometricinformationsoastofacilitatemorepeopletohaveaccesstoandusebankingfacilities.

Theprivatesectorcanplayitspartinreducingthebarrierstoadoptionandaddressingsomeofinteractingfactorsthataffectfinancialinclusion.Mostimportantly,productsandservicesneedtobetailoredconsideringthesocioeconomicfabricofnonurbanIndia.Thiswouldimplydesigningnewproductsandservices.Giventhelackofasocialsecuritynet,innovationssuchasmicroinsuranceandmicrosystematicinvestmentplansforretirementcanbesuccessfulifdesignedandmarketedproperly.Othermonetaryaspectssuchasminimumbalanceandservicechargesonsavingsaccountswillneedtobetweakedappropriatelysothatservicesareaffordabletothetargetcustomersegmentandyetallowthefinancialintermediarytobeprofitable.

Removingotherbarrierstoadoptionwillalsoposeachallengethatneedstobeaddressedjointlybytheprivateandpublicsectorbanks.Giventheirlackoffamiliaritywithbanksandfinancialintermediaries,alargemajorityofthecurrentlyunbankedpopulationmightbehesitanttousesuchservices.Campaignstoeducatethepopulationaboutthebenefitsoffinancialinclusioncanhelpbringtheunbankedintotheformalbankingsystem.Tobeeffective,theprivatesectorcanpoolresourcesandconductcampaignsjointlysothatlargerareascanbecoveredtherebydrivinggreater

penetration.Equallyimportantwillbetodesignsimpleproceduresthatreducetransactionalcostsforthecustomer—noteverybodyinruralareaswillhavethedocumentation(suchasidentityprooforaddressproof)requiredtoopenanaccount.Otherbehaviouralfactorssuchasthelackofliteracyorcomfortwithonlyasingleregionallanguagemustbefactoredinwhiledevelopingmethodsthatmakeiteasyforsuchpeopletoaccesstheiraccountsorformalbankingchannels.

Recognizingtheimportanceofafinanciallyinclusivesociety,theRBIhasformulatedpoliciessuchasthemandateforbankstoofferno-frillsaccount,simplerKnowYourCustomernorms,andeasiercreditfacilities(suchastheGeneralCreditCardsscheme)whicharetailoredtowardsservingtheunbankedpopulationandincreasingbankingpenetration.Both,publicandprivatesectorfinancialinstitutionsneedtogiveafurtherimpetustodrivefinancialinclusionoverthecomingyears.

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Business model innovation

In2010,lessthanone-fifthoftheIndianpopulationhadanaveragedailypercapitaincomegreaterthanUSD4.However,by2030,itisestimatedthatoverhalfoftheIndianpopulationwillhaveanaveragedailypercapitaincomegreaterthanUSD4.44Growthindisposableincomecoupledwithtechnologyinnovationsthatmakeiteasierforcompaniestoreachconsumersimpliesalargeandpotentiallyprofitablemarket.However,simplytransplantingproducts,services,orstrategiesfromthedevelopedworldorevenfromurbanIndiamaynotalwaysworkinalarge,developing,anddiversemarketsuchasIndia.Inclusivegrowthrequirescompaniestoinnovatetheirbusinessmodeltoprofitablyservethe“bottomofthepyramid”.Thisentailsunderstandingthespecificneedsofthevarioustargetcustomersegments,theirpreferences,purchasingpower,anddesigningsuitablecustomervaluepropositions.

SeveralexamplesofinnovationcanalreadybefoundintheIndiancontext.In2008,GodrejlaunchedtheChotuKool—asmaller,cheaper,portablerefrigeratorthatusedsignificantlyfewerpartsthanaregularrefrigerator.Insteadofusingtheconventionalcoolingtubesandrefrigerant,theChotuKoolwasdesignedtouseafanthatranefficientlyonevenerraticpowersupply,andwastargetedatthelowerincomeclasseswhotypicallyhavelessfoodforstoragethandothemiddleandupperclasses.Similarly,theadventofdual-SIMmobilephoneswasbasedonunderstandingthatmanymobilephonesubscribershavetwophones—oneforincomingcalls,andanotheronetomakeoutgoingcallsandtherebytakeadvantageofthecostdifferentialinprepaidplansofferedbydifferentmobileoperators.TheNano,acardesignedtobesoldatthepricepointofUSD2,500wastheresultofRatanTata’sinsightintothecustomerpsycheandneeds.Seeingafamilyoffourtravellingonascooter,hebelievedthatacarthatofferedbettersafety,comfort,andwasaffordablewouldbeacompellingvalueproposition.45DuringhisvisittoIndiain2010,theUSPresident,Mr.BarackObamaappreciatedtheKisaanSancharService(roughlytranslatedas“Farmers’NewsService”)providedthroughajointventurebetweenBhartiAirtel,IFFCO,andStarGlobal.TheKisaanSancharServiceleveragestechnologytoempowerfarmerswithrelevantandtimelyinformationtomakebetterdecisions.46

However,thereissufficientscopeforadditionalinnovativebusinessmodelsineverysector.Forexample,vaccinesandsurgeriesthatarelowcostwhilecomplyingwithinternationalqualityrequirementsareneededinthehealthcaresector.Theconvergenceoftelecommunications,media,andtechnologypresentsanumberofopportunitiestodriveinclusivegrowththroughnewproductsandservicessuchasremoteeducationandmobilebanking.

Akeytakeawayfromalltheaboveexamplesisthatboththepublicandtheprivateenterprisesneedarefreshedapproachtowardscreatingagenuineandinclusivevalueproposition—onethatfocuseson“getting-the-job-done”asagainstsimplyintroducingascaleddownorcheaperversionofanexistingproductorservice.Acookie-cutter“onesizefitsall”approachisunlikelytobesuccessfulincreatinginclusivegrowth.Tosucceed,companiesneedtodevelopacompellingcustomervalueproposition—provideaclearsolutiontoacustomerneed—whilecreatingvalueforthecustomerandthecompany.Leveragingexistingresources(technologyandpersonnel)andprocessescanhelpdesignnewproductsandservicesataffordablepricepoints.

Further,publicprivatepartnershipscantaketheformwhereinprivatesectorbringsaccesstoproducts,services,andcapitalandthepublicsector,givenitsbetterreachinthehinterlands,providessalesanddistributionsupport,withthejointobjectiveofeffectivelyservingabroadercustomerbasewithinnovativeproductsthathelpmeetcustomers’specificneeds.

Innovation,bydefinition,isrisky.Therehavebeenandwillcontinuetobeinnovationsthatwillnotsucceedasenvisaged.However,theprobabilityofsuccesscanbeincreasedifcompaniesreinventtheirbusinessmodelstoconsiderinclusivityasakeyfactoratthedesignstageitself.Innovativebusinessmodelsthatareinclusiveinnaturenotonlybenefitsocietyasawhole,butalsoserveasanewandprofitablerevenuestreamforenterprises.

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Conclusion

Inordertoachieveinclusivegrowth,holisticandintegratedsolutionsareneededtofacilitaterapidandsustainablegrowth.ThetaskofbuildinganInclusiveIndiaforits1.2billionpeopleissolargeandcomplexthatitcannotbeaccomplishedbyeitherthegovernmentorbytheprivatesectorworkinginisolation.AchievinginclusivegrowthisnotonlytobeseenasapriorityinthePlanningCommission’sFiveYearPlans,butalsoasanequallysignificantopportunityforeveryenterpriseinthepublicandtheprivatesector.Today,‘Inclusion’forIndiaisn’tamerebuzzwordthatindividualsandenterprisestalkabout,butanimperativethatcallsforconcertedactiontowardsbringinginclusionineveryaspectofhowindividuals,publicandprivateenterprisesaswellasthegovernmentoperateandenvisagetogrow.

Focusofthegovernmentonbetterandmoreefficientdeliverymechanismstoimproveaccesstocurrentlybackwardregionsiscrucial.Ithasalreadybeenobservedthatmajorityofthelow-incomestateshaverichgeographicresources.However,duetopoorinfrastructure,theseregionsareoftencaughtinaviciouspovertycirclefromwhichtheyfinddifficulttobreakout.However,iftheseregionscantakealeafoutofexperiencesincountriessuchasAustraliaandtailoritforlocalneeds,theypresentagreateropportunityforitspeople.

IthasbeenarguedthatthedemographicdividendplayedaroleintheeconomicmiraclesofthefourEastAsianTigers—HongKong,Singapore,Korea,andTaiwan.47Indiahasastrategicopportunityasaresultofitsdemographicsdividend,itsentrepreneurs,itstechnologyprowess,itsdemocracy,andthelargeEnglish-speakingpopulation.However,thiswindowof

opportunitycouldbeshortandhenceitisimperativeforthegovernmenttotryandachieverapid,sustainable,andinclusivegrowth.

Privatesectorparticipationcanbringaccesstotalent,capital,processes,andtechnologyinnovationneededtodriveinclusivegrowth.Thechallengefortheprivatesectoristoincorporateinclusivenessinitscorporatephilosophyandtofacilitateitsleadersandbusinessmanagerstoactivelyparticipateandplaytheirroleinfosteringnewproducts,services,andbusinessmodelsthatenableamorewidespreadandequitablegrowthintheyearstocome.Additionally,theprivatesectormusttakeonalargerrolebyconsistentlyprovidingitsskills,suchasstructuredandgoal-orientedprocesses,effectiveprogrammanagement,efficientexecutionandmonitoringmechanisms,tothegovernmentandthepublicsectortowardstheunifiedgoalofachievingthemuchdesiredinclusioninIndia.

AsNandanNilekaninotesinhisbookImaginingIndia(2008):“Indianowstandsevenlybalanced,betweenourreluctancetochangeinthefaceofimmensechallengesandthepossibilitieswedohaveifwedotackletheseissueshead-on.Theconsequencesofthesetwochoicesareinextremes—inthelongtermwewilleitherbecomeacountrythatgreatlydisappointswhencomparedtoourpotentialoronethatbeatsallexpectations.”

Indiahasahugepotentialtobearolemodelforthiscenturyiftheeffortsattheinclusivegrowthbythegovernmentandprivatesectorsucceed.Theopportunitytoactisnow.

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Inclusive Growth AChallengingOpportunity25

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Acknowledgements

Joydeep Datta GuptaChiefOperatingOfficerDeloitteandToucheConsultingIndiaPvt.LtdE-mail:[email protected]

Jeffrey L. SchwartzManagingDirectorHumanCapital,DeloitteConsultingIndia(P)LtdE-mail:[email protected]

Vikram LatawaSeniorManagerStrategyandOperationsConsultingE-mail:[email protected]

Pradyot AnandManagerStrategyandOperationsConsultingE-mail:[email protected]

Suman DubeyManagerStrategyandOperationsConsultingE-mail:[email protected]

Abhishek SinghSeniorConsultantStrategyandOperationsConsultingE-mail:[email protected]

Anupriya NayyarSeniorConsultantStrategyandOperationsConsultingE-mail:[email protected]

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