ChoiCe Points for AmericA& the worldmArch 27 - 28, 2012wAshington, d.c. www.affordableworldsecurity.org

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the ideas, institutions and strategies of the 20th century are ill-suited to confront 21st century challenges. the growing world population

creates transnational threats to human security, including an unprecedented level of competition for resources and environmental degradation. meanwhile, the risk of military confrontation, the threat posed by non-state actors, and the proliferation of nontraditional weapons have not subsided.

with limited security resources, the United states and other countries must weigh competing priorities and find new ways to ensure comprehensive human security. the Affordable World security Conference has convened top thinkers and distinguished guests to identify challenges and develop solutions. initiated by the w. P. carey foundation with the collaboration of the eastwest institute, the conference is being held on march 27-28 at the newseum in washington, d.c. – directly between the white house and the U.s. capitol.

in an important election season, the Affordable World security Conference is putting the full range of human security priorities and critical choices on the agenda and offering new ways forward.

FACinG neW ReALities: ensUring secUritY in the 21st centUrY

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the Affordable world security confer-ence will put the full range of human security priorities and critical choices on the agenda and offer practical,

non-partisan and experience-based policy recommendations. the main objectives of the conference are:

to undertake a clear, dispassionate and authoritative appraisal of the criti-cal economic, military, social, environ-mental and sustainability issues that must be managed to ensure world security.

to identify new concepts and strate-gies that can meet emerging chal-lenges to security at an affordable cost in an interconnected world.

to generate educational materials that will inform a heightened public de-bate on the affordable security choice points for America.

An unprecedented joint assessment by the United states national intelligence council and the european Union institute for security studies concluded in september 2010:

“the growing number of issues on the international agenda, and their com-plexity, is outpacing the ability of in-ternational organizations and national governments to cope.”

“formerly localized threats are no longer locally containable but are now potentially dangerous to global secu-rity and stability.”

“threats such as ethnic conflicts, infectious diseases, and terrorism as well as a new generation of global challenges including climate change, energy security, food and water scar-city, international migration flows, and new technologies are increasingly tak-ing center stage.”

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global governance institutions “prob-ably are not going to be sufficient to keep pace with the looming number of transnational and global challenges absent extensive institutional reforms and innovations.”

A year and a half later, increasing numbers of policy and opinion leaders around the world understand that we have reached a turning point in world affairs where long-established ideas, policies and structures are proving inadequate to manage the array of economic, social, environmental, development and se-curity issues that threaten the future.

the problems we face are profoundly inter-connected, they are on an unprecedented scale and they are evolving at hyper speed. Ad hoc, incremental measures taken by indi-vidual nations are inadequate to resolve the systemic challenges of the 21st century.

this is particularly true in the field of national security. countries must now function in a diverse and interdependent world, where economic growth, social progress, employ-ment and welfare in any country depend on complex networks of trade, finance and cooperation and on the decisions of other countries.

these new security challenges have two common features. first, they are essentially interconnected: threats to security will arise not only from trends or events in one field but from the interaction of developments in different but connected fields. second, the new security threats cannot be resolved through strategies of national security that give undue emphasis to military tools. the diversity and complexity of international rela-tions today is such that a different balance of the range of diplomatic, economic, social and military tools is needed to manage the diffuse threats to security and peace.

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the w. P. carey foundation and the eastwest institute decided to spon-sor an international conference to be held in washington, d.c., in spring

2012, on the topic of “affordable security.” the w. P. carey foundation, based in new York, is dedicated to strengthening education as a means to promote economic and social progress and international understanding. the eastwest institute is committed to track 2 diplomacy, while seeking to inform public debates on peace and security issues and global governance, including how best to share leadership burdens and responsibilities in the security field.

the conference brings together about 40 world-class speakers, including leading personalities from government, business and civil society, distinguished scientists, academics and experts, and leaders of major international institutions.

some 200 people from the United states and across the world are participating in the conference by special invitation. the confer-ence is held at the newseum on Pennsylvania Avenue in washington, d.c.

this conference of notable public figures and experts will, itself, be of value through expert contributions and debates on new concepts and strategies to achieve affordable world security. however, it is only a step toward finding solutions to the world’s problems.

we have therefore emphasized outreach in organizing the conference. to that end, we have engaged a major public relations firm to assist in bringing it to the attention of govern-ments, public officials, businessmen, jour-nalists, teachers and students. the agenda is arranged to allow live online streaming of the presentations and debates to make them accessible to a wider public during and after the conference.

Presentations, discussions and interviews with participants will be recorded and made available immediately to news organizations and on the web. later, we plan to provide dVds and printed materials to teachers, students, researchers, public affairs groups and governments throughout the world. in this way, the issues and insights of the con-ference can be made available to the new generation of leaders and thinkers who will be called upon to manage the emerging is-sues of security and peace.

the FoRMAt

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Affordable security: Challenge and opportunity

the world today faces unprecedented challenges from a grow-ing population, increased resource scarcity and economic instability; it also faces military competition, nuclear prolifera-tion and rising concerns about cybersecurity. All of these are transnational problems that demand transnational solutions. by examining our priorities and taking stock of our resources, we can build a new, affordable approach to security.

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the security We Are Getting: the Balance Between traditional Defense and new Challenges

At a time of increasingly tight budgets, spending on traditional security concerns is increasingly in competition with broader domestic spending needs. two critical questions now arise: first, what strategies and measures will ensure world security in the 21st century? second, how can we weigh the competing calls for traditional defense and for efforts on emerging prob-lems?

Affordable security: Financial and economic Realities

in order to build more comprehensive security, we must understand our resourc-es and priorities. in a time of economic turmoil, financial resources can be dimin-ished or uncertain. investments in both traditional and human security are needed, but real solutions must come from a solid understanding of today’s complex policy and economic environment.

new Challenges: human safety and sustainable security

security today cannot come at the ex-pense of security tomorrow. long-term planning is needed to “win the future,” and the earth will be a beneficiary of any effective comprehensive security program. without the food, water and energy re-sources that fuel human society, traditional defense is meaningless. sustainability is a core part of the security picture.

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the security Budget:Balancing Cuts and Consequences

who will be the reformers? many coun-tries view security as an essentially international issue, but comprehensive security requires domestic coordina-tion—and leadership. Affordable secu-rity demands a search for cooperative strategies among foreign and domestic policymakers, between the private and public sector, and among countries that often disagree.

new strategies and Concepts for Moving Forward

entrepreneurs drive changes in busi-ness, and social entrepreneurs can drive social change. the task before future strategists is to leverage what we have in innovative ways to guaran-tee the security the world needs. the challenge for strategists is to facilitate cooperation among nontraditional se-curity guarantors in the private sector and in government.

China and America: the Pivotal Relationship for Affordable security

the world’s two largest economies share an ocean and a future. will they build a secure future world? U.s. arms sales to taiwan and the pricing of the renminbi are only two of several contentious issues in current U.s.-china relations. the future calls for increased interaction between these two countries in a changing interna-tional context. how can china and the United states build the necessary trust to defuse tensions and cooperate in key areas of mutual concern?

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Joseph stiglitz nobel laureate, economics

Jim Cliftonchairman and ceo, gallup

Michael Chertoffformer secretary of homeland security

Paula Dobriansky former Under secretary of state for democracy and global Affairs

Michael Klare Professor of Peace and world security studies, hamp-shire college

George Polkceo, the catalyst Project

Jose FernandezAssistant secre-tary of state for economic and business Affairs

Francis Finlayco-chairman, eastwest institute

David Martin national security correspondent, cbs news

Lawrence Wilkersoncollege of william & mary

Carl horst hahn former chairman, Volkswagen group

the sPeAKeRs

Michelle Bacheletexecutive director, Un women; former President of chile

Dana Priest Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist, washington Post

David FinkelsteinVice President and director, cnA china studies

Wei hongxia Visiting scholar, carnegie endow-ment for interna-tional Peace

Rajendra Pachauri chairman, intergov-ernmental Panel on climate change

Martin Leesformer secretary general, club of rome

terrell Arnoldformer minister counselor for foreign Affairs, department of state

MacKenzie eaglenresident fellow, American enterprise institute

Lester Brownfounder and President, earth Policy institute

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Andrew Bacevich director of Undergraduate studies, boston University

Wolfgang Lutz founding direc-tor, wittgenstein centre for demog-raphy and global human capital

Khalid Malikdirector, human development report office, UndP

sir David Kingdirector, school of enterprise and the environment, oxford University

Óscar Arias sánchezformer President of costa rica; nobel laureate

John edwin Mroz President and ceo.eastwest institute

Marc Perrin de Brichambautformer secretary general, osce

Vartan GregorianPresident, carnegie corporation of new York

Chas Freemanformer Assistant secretary of defense for international security Affairs

Linda Bilmes Professor, harvard kennedy school

Bates Gill director, siPri

Michael haydenformer director, ciA and nsA

William R. Polksenior director, william P. carey foundation

sylvia earleformer chief scien-tist, U.s. national oce-anic and Atmospheric Administration

Fred Guterlexecutive editor, scientific American

RP eddyfounding Partner & ceo, ergo; former director, national security council

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conference AGenDA

dAY 1 | mArch 27

07h30-08h30 registrAtion And coffee 08h45-11h00 AFFoRDABLe seCURitY: ChALLenGe AnD oPPoRtUnitY 08h45-09h00 opening and challenge from the conference chairmen welcome by: Milbry Polk Affordable world security conference Vice-chair; founder, wings worldquest

Francis Finlay Affordable world security conference chairman; co-chairman of the board, eastwest institute Dr. William R. Polk Affordable world security conference chairman 09h00-09h30 war and the economy: the true cost of conflict

Dr. Joseph stiglitz nobel laureate, economics

09h30-10h30 reframing security Priorities in an Age of Austerity and interconnectivity

Jim Clifton chairman and ceo, gallup secretary Michael Chertoff former secretary of homeland security Ambassador Paula Dobriansky former Under secretary of state for democracy and global Affairs discussion moderated by Francis Finlay, eastwest institute

10h30-11h00 what we know About our world and how we know it

Dr. Rajendra K. Pachauri chairman, intergovernmental Panel on climate change, nobel Peace laureate

11h00-11h30 networking breAk

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11h30-13h00 the seCURitY We ARe GettinG: the BALAnCe BetWeen tRADitionAL DeFense AnD neW ChALLenGes

chair: Ambassador Chas Freeman former Asst. secretary of defense for international security Affairs

Dr. Linda Bilmes Professor, john f. kennedy school of government, harvard University Dr. Bates Gill director, stockholm international Peace research institute Dr. Andrew Bacevich director of Undergraduate studies; Professor of international relations and history, boston University Dr. Michael t. Klare Professor, Peace and world security studies, hampshire college

13h00-14h00 boX lUnch

14h00-15h30 AFFoRDABLe seCURitY: FinAnCiAL AnD eConoMiC ReALities chair: Francis Finlay co-chairman of the board, eastwest institute

Michelle Bachelet executive director, Un women; former President of chile Dr. Carl horst hahn former chairman, Volkswagen group Jose W. Fernandez Asst. secretary of state for economic and business Affairs RP eddy founding Partner & ceo, ergo; former director, national security council

15h30-16h00 networking breAk

16h00-17h30 neW ChALLenGes: hUMAn sAFetY AnD sUstAinABLe seCURitY chair: Fred Guterl executive editor, scientific American, author of the fate of the species (may 2012)

Dr. Wolfgang Lutz founding director, wittgenstein centre for demography and global human capital Dr. sylvia earle former chief scientist, U.s. national oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Martin Lees former secretary general, club of rome George Polk ceo, the catalyst Project 17h30-19h00 networking cocktAil recePtion

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conference AGenDA

dAY 2 | mArch 28

08h00-09h00 registrAtion And coffee 09h00-10h30 the seCURitY BUDGet: BALAnCinG CUts AnD ConseQUenCes

chair: David Martin national security correspondent, cbs news

Lawrence Wilkerson distinguished Adjunct Professor of government and Public Policy, the college of william & mary Dana Priest Pulitzer Prize-winning washington Post journalist and author of top secret America Mackenzie eaglen resident fellow, American enterprise institute terrell Arnold former minister counselor for foreign Affairs, department of state 10h30-11h00 networking breAk

11h00-12h30 neW stRAteGies AnD ConCePts FoR MoVinG FoRWARD

chair: Dr. Vartan Gregorian President, carnegie corporation of new York

Ambassador Marc Perrin de Brichambaut former secretary general, organization for security and co-operation in europe (osce) sir David King director, smith school of enterprise and the environment, oxford University Khalid Malik director, human development report office, UndP Lester Brown founder and President, earth Policy institute

12h30-13h30 boX lUnch

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13h30-13h45 PresentAtion: the eLUsiVe QUest FoR seCURitY: theoRY VeRsUs ReALitY

Paper by dr. william r. Polk Affordable world security conference chairman

Presented by: George Polk ceo, the catalyst Project

13h45-15h00 ChinA AnD AMeRiCA: the PiVotAL ReLAtionshiP FoR CooPeRAtiVe seCURitY?

chair: Martin Lees former secretary general, club of rome

Dr. David M. Finkelstein Vice President and director, cnA china studies Ambassador Chas Freeman former Assistant secretary of defense Dr. Wei hongxia Visiting scholar, carnegie endowment for international Peace

15h00-16h00 ConCLUsions AnD neXt stePs

15h00-15h30 the big Picture: special Address

Dr. Óscar Arias sánchez former President of costa rica and nobel Peace laureate

15h30-16h00 concluding conversation on the implications of Affordable security and next steps

General (ret.) Michael hayden former director, central intelligence Agency; former director, national security Agency John edwin Mroz President and ceo, eastwest institute

discussion moderated by Francis Finlay, eastwest institute 16h00-17h00 AffordAble secUritY conference conclUsion: networking & coffee

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the oRGAniZeRs

the W. P. Carey Foundation is a private U.s. foundation, incorporated in 1988 by william Polk carey. it has a 20-year tradition of focused philanthropy.

inspired by the carey family’s legacy of educational leadership and philanthropy, the w. P. carey foundation’s primary mission is to support educational institutions, with the larger goal of improving America’s competitiveness in the world. the main focus of our support to schools, universities, lecture series, chairs and other programs is on the study of business and economics, as well as on admissions procedures and college and career guidance.

education has been a priority of the carey family for generations. descended from promi-nent quaker shipper james carey (1751-1834), wm. Polk carey’s ancestors have served as the founders and deans, presidents and trustees of many schools, including: Arizona state University, baltimore school for the Arts, barnard college, boys’ latin school, bryn mawr college, the bryn mawr school, gilman school, the johns hopkins University, Arizona state univeristy, University of north carolina and sewanee: University of the south.

the foundation has historically supported the educational institutions listed above, as well as preeminent arts and cultural institutions in new York city, the headquarters of w. P. carey & co. llc, a leading global real estate financing firm founded by wm. Polk carey in 1973.

the eastWest institute is a global “think-and-do” tank that devises innovative solutions to pressing security concerns and mobilizes networks of individuals, institutions and nations to implement these solutions.

ewi was founded in 1980 when john edwin mroz and ira wallach set out to bridge divides across the iron curtain. with vast networks in political, military and business establishments in the United states, europe and the soviet Union, ewi quickly established a reputation as a trusted convener with the ability to maintain lines of communication across divides when of-ficial channels failed to do so.

we have continued our work in much the same spirit since 1989, but the “east” and “west” in our name no longer represent the political divisions of the cold war. we have since expanded our work to become a global organization, working with the United states, nAto, turkey, rus-sia, china, india, Pakistan, Afghanistan, iran and many other countries in europe and Asia.

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March 27-28, 2012newseUm, knight conference center

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contact:affordablesecurity@ewi.info

online:affordableworldsecurity.org