adapting to climate change - nc state university€¦ · adapting to climate change objectives: by...

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25 www.nps.gov Adapting to Climate Change Objectives: By the end of this activity, students will be able to: 1. Identify both natural and human-caused reasons for climate change. 2. Identify three key impacts climate change will have on wildlife. 3. Identify three ways in which wildlife managers are planning for climate change. 4. Identify potential climate change impacts on local species and create an action plan for helping protect these species. Background: The Earth’s climate has changed for millions of years, fluctuating between ice ages and periods of warmer temperatures. Natural causes for climate change include changes in the tilt of the Earth’s axis, changes in the reflectivity of the Earth’s surface, changes in the sun’s energy reaching Earth, volcanic activity, and natural changes in greenhouse gases. These changes occur over thousands of years. These natural factors can contribute to both global warming and climate change, which are different things. Global warming refers to the average increase in temperature across the entire Earth’s surface. There are other factors contributing to warming, but one of the main factors is changes in greenhouse gasses (see Natural Greenhouse Effect in the diagram below). Greenhouse gases act as a blanket over the Earth, trapping thermal radiation much like a blanket traps our body heat to keep us warm. We call this phenomenon the greenhouse effect because the atmosphere acts much like a greenhouse does, trapping the sun’s radiation and keeping the planet warm. When the sun’s radiation travels to Earth, most of it is absorbed by the Earth. Some of this radiation is released back into the atmosphere, and some of it is trapped by greenhouse gases, and then re-radiated in all directions further warming the planet. Without the greenhouse effect, the Earth would be much too cold for us and most other living organisms to survive. There are four main greenhouse gases – water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide. Water vapor is the most abundant gas but only stays in the atmosphere for a short amount Content areas: Science, social studies NC Essential Standards: 6.L.2.3, 7.E.1.1, 7.E.1.2, 7.E.1.6, 8.E.1.4, 8.L.3.1 Common core: R1, R3, R8, S&L1, S&L4, W1 NGSS: MS-ESS2.A, MS-ESS2C, ESS2.D, MS-ESS3.C, MS-ESS3.D, MS- LS2.A, MS-LS2.C, MS-ETS1.B. Materials: o Expert cards (one set per home group) o Student sheets (one per student) o Species cards (one species per home group) o Chart paper Activity Time: One class period Setting: Classroom

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Page 1: Adapting to Climate Change - Nc State University€¦ · Adapting to Climate Change Objectives: By the end of this activity, students will be able to: 1. Identify both natural and

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www.nps.gov

AdaptingtoClimateChangeObjectives:Bytheendofthisactivity,studentswillbeableto:

1. Identifybothnaturalandhuman-causedreasonsforclimatechange.

2. Identifythreekeyimpactsclimatechangewillhaveonwildlife.

3. Identifythreewaysinwhichwildlifemanagersareplanningforclimatechange.

4. Identifypotentialclimatechangeimpactsonlocalspeciesandcreateanactionplanforhelpingprotectthesespecies.

Background: TheEarth’sclimatehaschangedformillionsofyears,fluctuatingbetweeniceagesandperiodsofwarmertemperatures.NaturalcausesforclimatechangeincludechangesinthetiltoftheEarth’saxis,changesinthereflectivityoftheEarth’ssurface,changesinthesun’senergyreachingEarth,volcanicactivity,andnaturalchangesingreenhousegases.Thesechangesoccuroverthousandsofyears. Thesenaturalfactorscancontributetobothglobalwarmingandclimatechange,whicharedifferentthings.GlobalwarmingreferstotheaverageincreaseintemperatureacrosstheentireEarth’ssurface.Thereareotherfactorscontributingtowarming,butoneofthemainfactorsischangesingreenhousegasses(seeNaturalGreenhouseEffectinthediagrambelow).GreenhousegasesactasablanketovertheEarth,trappingthermalradiationmuchlikeablankettrapsourbodyheattokeepuswarm.Wecallthisphenomenonthegreenhouseeffect

becausetheatmosphereactsmuchlikeagreenhousedoes,trappingthesun’sradiationandkeepingtheplanetwarm.Whenthesun’sradiationtravelstoEarth,mostofitisabsorbedbytheEarth.Someofthisradiationisreleasedbackintotheatmosphere,andsomeofitistrappedbygreenhousegases,andthenre-radiatedinalldirectionsfurtherwarmingtheplanet.Withoutthegreenhouseeffect,theEarthwouldbemuchtoocoldforusandmostother

livingorganismstosurvive.Therearefourmaingreenhousegases–watervapor,carbondioxide,methane,andnitrousoxide.Watervaporisthemostabundantgasbutonlystaysintheatmosphereforashortamount

Contentareas:Science,socialstudiesNCEssentialStandards:6.L.2.3,7.E.1.1,7.E.1.2,7.E.1.6,8.E.1.4,8.L.3.1Commoncore:R1,R3,R8,S&L1,S&L4,W1NGSS:MS-ESS2.A,MS-ESS2C,ESS2.D,MS-ESS3.C,MS-ESS3.D,MS-LS2.A,MS-LS2.C,MS-ETS1.B.Materials:o Expertcards(onesetper

homegroup)o Studentsheets(oneper

student)o Speciescards(onespecies

perhomegroup)o ChartpaperActivityTime:OneclassperiodSetting:Classroom

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oftime(afewdays).Carbondioxideisthenextmostabundantandstaysintheatmosphereforthelongestamountoftime(30-100years).Methaneisabouttentimesbetterattrappingheatthancarbondioxide,butitdissipatesfaster(abouttenyears)andislessabundant.Nitrousoxideistheleastabundantgreenhousegasandtrapsalmost300timesmoreheatthancarbondioxideandstaysintheatmosphereforaround100years.1Greenhousegasesarereleasedintotheatmospherebynaturalprocesses.Astheseprocesseschangeoverthousandsofyears,therearetimeswhentherearemoregreenhousegassesintheatmosphere.Whenthishappens,theheattrappingcapacityoftheatmosphereincreases,andtheaveragetemperatureacrosstheEarthincreases(globalwarming).Globalwarmingisoneofthefactorsthatcancauseglobalclimatechange.Climatechangereferstoanysignificantchangeinmeasuresofclimateforanygivenlocationlastingforanextendedperiodoftime.Thisincludesmajorchangesintemperatures,precipitation,orwindpatterns,amongothersthatoccuroverseveraldecadesorlonger.Thesamechangescanalsobeconsideredglobally,andthisisglobalclimatechange.Globallyaveragedincreaseintemperaturesimpactsmanyglobalprocesses.Increasedtemperaturesimpactglobalweatherpatterns,suchasamountsandtimingofprecipitationandfrequencyandintensityofofsevereweathersuchasthunderstorms,hurricanes,andwinterstorms.Warmingcanalsomeltglaciersandpolaricecaps,whichcausessealevelstoriseandoceancurrentstochange.2 Althoughnaturalfactorscontributetoglobalwarmingandinturn,climatechange,recentwarminghasoccurredfasterthaneverrecordedinthepast.Changesoverthelast100yearsandthoseexpectedinthenext100yearscanbeattributedlargelytohumanactivities.3Sincetheindustrialrevolution,wehaveusedfossilfuelslikeoil,coal,andnaturalgastopowerourhomesandbusinesses,fuelourcarsandothertransportationsystemsforfoodandcommerce,andsupportlifeasweknowit.Wenowunderstandwitha95%confidencelevelthatthereleaseofgreenhousegasesbyhumanactivitiesinthisshorttimeperiodisthemaincauseoftherecentwarmingtrendsweareseeingandexpecttoseecontinueintothefuture.2Whenweburnfossilfuels,theyreleasegreenhousegases,enhancingthegreenhouseeffect.4IcecoredatademonstratesthatCO2levelsvariedbetween180and270partspermillionoverthemillionyearsprecedingtheindustrialrevolution,andthenrapidlyclimbedto400partspermillionby2013.5Althoughotheractivitieslikeraisinglivestockandenergyproduction(e.g.,naturalgasleakswhenproducingandrefiningoil)canreleasemethaneandnitrousoxidewhichhavemoreheattrappingpotential,carbondioxidemakesup82%ofgreenhousegasemissionsandremainsintheatmosphereforuptoacentury.Thehighconcentrationofcarbondioxidepairedwithitslongatmosphericlifetimemakesitatargetformanyeffortstoreduceourcontributionstoglobalwarming.InternationaltreatiesandmeetingsliketheKoyotoProtocolandUNSummitonClimateChangehavebeguntohelpcountriesworktogethertoreducecarbonemissions.Technologicaladvanceslikemorefuel-efficientcars,EnergyStarappliances,andalternativeenergysourcesarealsohelpingreduceouremissions.Theseeffortsbyindividuals,communities,andcountriesareencouraging.Asmentionedabove,sealevelriseandincreasedoccurrenceoffloodsanddroughtshavebeenobserved.6Becauseweareseeingsomeclimatechangeimpactsalready,itisalsoimportantthatwefocusonresiliency,orensuringourabilitytothriveinachangingclimate. Climatechangeisalsoaffectingwildlife,andweexpecttoseeevenmoreimpactsinthefuture.Learningabouttheseimpactshelpswildlifemanagersmakesurethatwildlifeisalsoresilient–abletosurviveandthriveinachangingclimate.Threemaineffectsthatwillhavebigimpactsonwildlifearechanginghabitats,sealevelrise,andshiftsinthetimingofseasons.7IntheAppalachianMountains,warmerregionaltemperaturesarethreateningthespruce-firforestsystems.Theseforestsgenerallyoccurabove4,500feetinelevationbecausetheyneedcooltemperaturestosurvive.TheseforestsystemsoccurinNorthernstates,butastemperaturesrise,theymaydisappearfromNorthCarolina.Severalspeciesofwildlifedependonthesehabitats,soifthespruce-firforestscannotsurviveinNorthCarolina,neithercanthewildlifethatlivesthere.8Sealevelrisedirectlythreatensbeachandmarshhabitats,astheymaybefloodedbyseawaterorerodedbystormsurges.9Aswestarttoexperiencewarmerandshorterwinters,thetimingofeventssuchasflowerandleafemergenceandmigrationpatternsareshifting.Sincenotallplantsandanimalsareshiftingtheirpatterns

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insync,thiscancauseproblems.Oneexampleistherelationshipbetweenwintermothsandoakbudburst

timing.Wintermothsemergeinearlywinterandlaytheireggsintreecanopies.Theeggsgettheircuesfrom

thelengtheningspringdaysandemergeastheoakbudburstbegins.Iftheyhatchbeforetheoakbudburst,

theystarve.Iftheyhatchafterbudburst,thecaterpillarswillhavetoeatless-digestibleleaves.Sinceoak

leavestaketheircuesfromwarmingtemperatures,warmerspringsmeanthatoaktreesareleafingearlierin

theyear.Becausemothstaketheircuesfromlengtheningdaysandoakstaketheircuesfromtemperature,a

warmerspringcanmeancaterpillarshatchafteroakbudburst,makingitharderforthemtogetenoughto

eat.10

Wildlifemanagersareworkinghardtoprotectwildlifefromtheseimpacts.Wildlifemanagerscan

reduceriskstowildlifeandprotecttheabilityofwildlifetofollowtheirhabitatasclimatechangemakesit

move(e.g.,upamountainorinlandfromtheocean).Habitatdestruction,fragmentationanddegradation,

disease,invasivespecies,andothersthreatsalsoputwildlifepopulationsatrisk.Byworkingtodiminishthe

effectsoftheseotherthreatsandensuringhealthyhabitatdoesexist,managerscanhelpwildlifepopulations

bemoreresilienttoclimatechange.Adaptivemanagementisastrategyinwhichmanagerscontinuallygather

dataonwildlifeandhabitats.Theyusedatatoseeifactionstheytakemakepositivechangesforwildlifelike

improvingsurvivalorreproductionrates.Becausetheycontinuouslycollectdata,theycantestoutnew

actionsifoldonesarenotmakingwildlifepopulationsmoreresilienttoclimatechange.Wildlifemanagers

needhelp,andoftenworkwithothergroupsusingcollaboration,citizenscienceandeducationefforts.

Educationandpublicoutreachnotonlyhelpwildlifemanagersdotheirjobs;theyhelpensureweareall

preparedwiththeknowledgeandawarenesstodoourpartprotectingwildlife.

Gettingready:1. Preparegroupingassignments.Studentsshouldbeassignedtoa“home”group.Eachhomegroup

shouldhaveatleastsixstudents.EachstudentinahomegroupshouldbeassignedaletterA-F,which

willbeusedtoplacestudentsin“expert”groupsduringtheactivity.

2. Makeenoughcopiesofexpertcards(A-F)soeachstudentinanexpertgrouphasacopyoftheirtopic.

3. Makeenoughcopiesofthe“AdaptingtoClimateChange”studentsheetforeachgrouptohaveone.

4. MakeenoughcopiesofSpeciesCards(AppendixA)sothateachstudentinahomegrouphasacopyof

theirassignedspecies.

Procedure:1. Reviewwiththeclasskeytopicsfrompreviouslessons:

a. Weatherandclimatebothaffectwildlife.

b. Regionalclimatedeterminestheamountandtimingofprecipitationandtemperature,which

affectsthevegetationandwildlifethatcanliveinanarea.

2. Discusswithstudentsthattheclimateischanging.Discusshowtheclimatechangesduetoboth

naturalcauses(e.g.,volcanicactivity,tiltingoftheEarth)andhumanactivities(emissionsof

greenhousegases).Brieflyexplaintheconceptofgreenhousegases.Therearefourmaingases(water

vapor,carbondioxide,methane,andnitrousoxide)thatactasablanketinouratmosphere.Eachof

thesehasadifferentheattrappingpotentialandlifetimeintheatmosphere.Withoutanygreenhouse

gases,itwouldbetoocoldforlifetosurviveonEarth.However,ifwehavetoomuchgreenhouse

gasesintheatmosphere,theEarthwarms.Oneofthemostcommonsourcesofgreenhousegasesis

burningfossilfuels(gasolineforourcars,coalforourpowerplants,etc.).Thisreleasescarbondioxide,

whichhasoneofthelowerheattrappingpotentials.However,carbondioxidestaysintheatmosphere

foralongtimeandmakesup82%ofgreenhousegasemissions,whichiswhyitismostoftentargeted

asawaytoreduceourimpactonglobalwarming.Risingglobaltemperaturesarecausingchangesto

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28

regionalclimatesworldwide.

3. Explainthattoday’sactivitywillexploresomeoftheimpactsthatclimatechangewillhaveonwildlife

andsomeofthewaysmanagersandcitizenscanhelpprotectthesewildlife.

4. Organizethestudentsintogroupsofsix.Thiswillbestudents’homegroups.Assigneachgroup

memberaletterA-F.Nowaskstudentstoreorganizeintogroupsbasedontheirletters.Thiswillbe

students’expertgroups.Eachexpertgroupwilllearnaboutoneofthefollowingtopics.

A. SealevelriseB. Transforminghabitats

C. Changingseasonalcues

D. Adaptivemanagement

E. Collaboration

F. Habitatconservationandrestoration

5. Giveeachexpertgroupcopiesoftheinformationsheetoftheirtopic(oneforeachstudent).

6. Giveeachexpertgroup10minutestoreadoverthesheet,askquestionsofoneanother,discussthe

keyquestions,andpreparetoreportouttootherstudents.

7. Nowhavestudentsreturntotheirhomegroups.Thereshouldbeatleastoneexpertforeachtopic

presentineachhomegroup.

8. Haveeachexpertreportoutontheirfindingstotheirhomegroupmembers.

9. Assigneachhomegrouponespecies(fromAppendixA).Eachgroupmembershouldhaveacopyof

thespeciescardforthespeciesassignedtotheirgroup.

10. Havegroupmembersworkthroughthestudentsheet“AdaptingtoClimateChange”tobrainstorm

waysinwhichclimatechangemayimpacttheirspeciesaswellasstrategiesthatwildlifemanagersand

communitiesmayusetohelpprotectthisspecies.

11. Askstudentstorecordtheirplanonchartpapertopresenttotheclass.

Discussionandassessment1. Attheendofclass,havestudentspresenttheriskstotheirspeciesaswellasaplanforaction.Iftime

permits,havestudentscreateaposterorothervisualpresentation.

2. Considerhavingstudentscreateformalpresentationsandinvitecommunitymemberstothe

presentation.

Extensions1. Invitearepresentativefromyourstate’swildlifeagencytocomespeakwithyourclassaboutwhathe

orshedoes,theroletheagencyplaysincaringforwildlife,anddiscussionsaroundhowtoplanfor

climatechange.

2. Checkwithyourwildlifeagencyforclasses,workshops,andotherresources.

3. Havestudentswriteanargumentdefendingtheiractionplanchoice.

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Sourcesandotherresources1USEPA.(2014).NitrousOxideEmissions.RetrievedDecember03,2014,from

http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/ghgemissions/gases/n2o.html2NationalAeronauticsandSpaceAdministration.(2014).ClimateChange:VitalSignsofthePlanet:Howdoweknow?GlobalClimate

Change:VitalSignsofthePlanet.RetrievedOctober27,2014,fromhttp://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/ 3IPCC.(2014).SummaryforPolicyMakers.InO.Edenhofer,R.Pichs-Madruga,Y.Sokona,E.Farahani,S.Kadne,K.Seyboth,…J.C.

Minx(Eds.),ClimateChange2014,MitigationofClimateChange.Cambraige,U.K.andN.Y.,USA:CambridgeUniversityPress.

(alsoseethisvideosummarizingthereport:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnUXqhMS2bo)4USEPAClimateChangeDivision.(2014).GreenhouseGasEmissions:GreenhouseGasesOverview.Retrievedfrom

http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/ghgemissions/gases.html5NationalOceanicandAtmosphericAdministration.(2014).IceCore|NationalClimaticDataCenter(NCDC).RetrievedNovember

03,2014,fromhttp://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/paleoclimatology-data/datasets/ice-core6NationalClimateAssessment.(2014).RetrievedNovember21,2014,fromhttp://nca2014.globalchange.gov/

7NationalFish,WildlifeandPlantsAdaptationPartnership.(2012).NationalFish,WildlifeandPlantsClimateAdaptationStrategy.

AssociationofFishandWildlifeAgencies,CouncilonEnvironmentalQuality,GreatLakesIndianFishandWildlifeCommission,

NationalOceanicandAtmosphericAdministration,andU.S.FishandWildlifeService.Washington,DC.Retrievedfrom

http://www.wildlifeadaptationstrategy.gov/pdf/NFWPCAS-Final.pdf8NorthCarolinaWildlifeResourcesComission.(2014).Spruce-FirtForestinSouthernBlueRidgeMountains.Retrievedfrom

http://www.southernhighlandsreserve.org/LiteratureRetrieve.aspx?ID=125485&A=SearchResult&SearchID=387429&ObjectID

=125485&ObjectType=69NationalWildlifeFederation.(2014).GlobalWarmingImpactsonEstuariesandCoastalWetlands.RetrievedOctober27,2014,

fromhttp://www.nwf.org/Wildlife/Threats-to-Wildlife/Global-Warming/Effects-on-Wildlife-and-Habitat/Estuaries-and-

Coastal-Wetlands.aspx10Visser,M.E.,&Holleman,L.J.(2001).Warmerspringsdisruptthesynchronyofoakandwintermothphenology.ProceedingsBof

theRoyalSociety,268(1464),289–94.doi:10.1098/rspb.2000.1363

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http://www.ecu.edu/renci/focus/SeaLevelRise.html

ExpertCards

A:Sealevelrise

Asaverageglobaltemperaturesrise,glaciers

andpolaricecapsaremelting.Thewaterthatwas

previouslytrappedonlandflowsintotheocean

raisingoceanlevels.Also,aswaterwarms,it

expands.Thisexpansionistoosmallforusto

observewithoureyes,butwhenyouconsiderallthe

waterinalltheoceans,evenalittleexpansioncan

leadtoabigchange.Bothincreasesinwaterinthe

oceanfrommeltingglaciersandtheexpanding

volumeofallwaterintheoceancontributetothe

risingsealevelsweareexperiencing.Becauseofthe

topographyoftheshorelines,notallareasare

experiencingsealevelriseatthesamerate.InNorthCarolina,wehaveexperiencedabout

onefootinsealevelrisesince1930,andweexpect

abouttwotothreeadditionalfeetinthenext100

years.

Alongcoastlines,sealevelrisecanhavebig

impactsonwildlife.Astheoceanrises,itcanerode

beachesandfloodsaltwatermarshes.Also,higher

waterlevelsmeanthatstormsurgesfromhurricanes

orotherstrongstormscancreatemoreflooding.

Higherwaterlevelandmorefloodingcandamage

nestingsitesforwildlifelikethepipingplover,sea

turtle,ordiamondbackterrapin.Therisingsaltwater

canalsoincreasethesalinityinareasthatcontain

brackishwater(amixofsaltandfreshwater).The

changingsalinitycanchangewhichtypesof

vegetationcansurviveandgrowinthenewsaltier

marshes.Normally,assealevelsrise,marsheswould

simplymovefurtherinland.However,thismaynot

happeninsomeplacesbecauseagriculturallands,

housing,andbusinesseswillformbarrierstothe

naturalinlandmovement.Thismaymeanthesehabitatsandthewildlifethatlivetherehave

nowheretogo.

Pipingploversnestinsandydunesand

beaches.

PhotobyU.S.Fish&WildlifeService

http://www.fws.gov/

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KeyQuestions:

Discussthesequestionswithyourgroupmembers:

1. Wildlifeusecoastalwetlandsasshelter,nestingsites,andplacestofindfood.Many

coastalwetlandsarebrackish,meaningtheyarepartsaltwaterandpartfreshwater.This

mediumsalinitysupportsspecificplantsthatgrowinthesewetlands.Howmightsealevel

riseaffectcoastalwetlandhabitatsandthewildlifethatlivethere?

2. Whensealevelsrise,howmightthatchangewhathappensduringhurricanes?Howwill

thataffectbarrierislandsandcoastalhabitats?

Defenders of Wildlife. (2010). Understanding the impacts of climate change on fish and wildlife in North Carolina. Washington, DC. Retrieved from http://www.defenders.org/sites/default/files/publications/executive_summary_understanding_the_impacts_of_climate_change_on_fish

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32

B:TransforminghabitatsRegionalclimateincludestheaveragerainfallandtemperaturesinanarea.With

climatechange,precipitationpatternsandtemperaturenormsmaychange.Partofthis

meansthatwetareasmaybecomewetter

(morerainfall)anddrierareasmaybecome

drier.Extremeweathermayalsoincrease,

meaningmorefloodsanddroughts.Overall,

weexpecttemperaturestorise,whichwill

meanhigherairandwatertemperatures.

IntheAppalachianmountains,these

changingclimateconditionscanmean

changestosomeecosystems.Inthe

mountains,highertemperaturesmaymean

warmerstreamwatersandhigherlevelsof

rainfallmaycausefloodinganderosion

whichcanclogupstreams.Warmerwater

holdslessoxygen,whichmeansourstreams

cannotsupportasmuchlife.Streamswithtoomuchsedimentcanbecomeclogged,fillin

gravelbottomswithmud,andchangethehabitatavailabletofishandotheraquaticlifetolay

eggsandfindfood.Highertemperaturesmaypushcertainvegetationspeciesfurthernorth,

suchasthespruce-firforestsofNorthCarolina.WildlifesuchastheNorthernflyingsquirrel

dependonthesespecifictypesofforests.Asspruce-firforestsdisappearfromNorthCarolina,

thewildlifethatlivestheremaybeabletofollowthemastheyshiftnorthward.However,

barrierssuchashighwaysorurbanareasmaymakeitdifficultforwildlifetofollowthese

habitatsastheyshiftnorthward.

Inotherareasofthecountry,suchastheAmericanWestandMidwest,weexpect

highertemperaturesandlowerprecipitationlevels.Thesewarmer,drierconditionscould

meanlowerstreamlevelsforWesternsalmonandtrout,disappearanceofMidwestern

wetlandsthatwaterfowlusefornestingsites.

Spruce-firforestonClingmansDomeinNorthCarolina

PhotobyBrianStansberryAppvoices.org

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33

Below,you’llfindmapsthatprojectthechangesintemperatureandprecipitationwe

expectoverthenext100yearsinNorthCarolina.Asyoucansee,thechangesintemperature

andprecipitationarebrokendownbyseason.Winterandfallareexpectedtobearound4-6

degreeswarmerandsummerisexpectedtobeabout5.5-8degreeswarmer.Precipitation

mayriseacrossallseasons,butmoresointhewinter.Inthespring,thecoastmayseeless

rainfall.

KeyQuestions:

Discussthesequestionswithyourgroupmembers:

1. Thinkbacktopreviousactivities.Howdoyouthinkchangingprecipitationandtemperaturepatternsmightaffectvegetation?Howmightthisaffectwildlife?

2. WhatkindsofwildlifeliveinNCrivers?Howmighttheybeaffectedbyfloodsor

droughts?Warmertemperatures?

Defenders of Wildlife. (2010). Understanding the impacts of climate change on fish and wildlife in North Carolina. Washington, DC. Retrieved from http://www.defenders.org/sites/default/files/publications/executive_summary_understanding_the_impacts_of_climate_change_on_fish_and_wildlife_in_north_carolina.pdf

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34

C:ChangingseasonalcuesBecausemanyplantsandwildlifetakecuesfromchangesintheseasons,warming

temperaturesmaymeanshiftsinwhenwildlifedothingslikelayeggsandhibernate.

Problemsarisewhennotallspecieschangeatthesamerate,creatingamismatchofwildlife

needsandresourcesavailable.

Snowshoeharesaremastersofcamouflage.Theircoatsarewhiteinthewinterto

blendinwiththesnow,andin

thesummer,theircoatdarkens

tomatchtheforestvegetation.

Theygettheircuesforthecoat

changebythelengtheningdays

ofspring.Lately,however,

springhasbeencomingearlier.

Temperaturesriseandmelt

thesnowbeforethedays

lengthenenoughtogivethe

snowshoehareitscueto

changecoats.Asaresult,the

whitewintercoatsstickoutagainstthebrownbrushrevealedbythemeltingsnow.Theloss

ofcamouflagemakestheharesmucheasiertospotbypredators.

Warmertemperaturesalsotriggerbirdstomigrate.Birdsspendthewintergathering

energyandtimetheirmigrationnorthsotheycanreachtheirsummerrangeandlayeggs

whenthemostfoodisavailableforfeedingchicks.Somebirdshavealreadybegunto

respondtoearlierarrivalofspringbymigratingearlier.Thisisnotthecaseforallbirds,

however.Thosethatarenotshiftingtheirmigrationpatternsinsyncwithearlierspring

arrivalsseemtobereachingtheirNorthernbreedinggroundsalittletoolatetotimethe

hatchingoftheiryoungwithpeakfoodavailability.Thisseasonalmismatchhasbeen

documentedinseveralbirdspeciesinEuropesuchasthepiedflycatcher.

Snowshoeharesarebrowninthesummertoblendinwiththesurrounding

vegetationandtheirwhitecoatsletthemblendinwiththesnowinthewinter.

Ifsnowsmeltbeforethehareschangecolors,thewhiteharesareeasytospot.

PhotobyL.S.Millsresearchteam.

http://www.npr.org/

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35

KeyQuestions:

Discussthesequestionswithyourgroupmembers:

1. Wildlifedependonseasonalcuesforlotsofthings.Thechangingoftheseasonscues

birdstomigrate,somespeciestocomeoutofhibernation,andmanyanimalstobegin

breeding.Whatotherspeciesdependonseasonalcuesforpartoftheirlifecycle?

2. Howmightthesespeciesbeaffectedbychangingseasonalcues?

Saino,Nicola,etal."Climatewarming,ecologicalmismatchatarrivalandpopulationdeclineinmigratorybirds."Proceedingsof

theRoyalSocietyB:BiologicalSciences278.1707(2011):835-842.

Stenseth,N.C.,&Mysterud,A.(2002).Climate,changingphenology,andotherlifehistorytraits:nonlinearityandmatch-

mismatchtotheenvironment.ProceedingsoftheNationalAcademyofSciencesoftheUnitedStatesofAmerica,99(21),

13379–81.doi:10.1073/pnas.212519399

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36

Adaptivemanagementprocesswww.doi.gov

D:AdaptiveManagement

Theadaptivemanagementprocessof

assessingaproblem,designingaplan,

implementingaplan,monitoringimpacts,

evaluatingresults,andadjustingtheplanforms a

circularpatterninwhichthemanagementplan is

adaptable(seefigure).Thisapproachis

importantwhenincomplexsystemsthatare

difficulttopredictperfectly.Theclimatesystem is

incrediblycomplex,makingithardtopredict

exactlywhatwillhappenorhowwildlifewill

respond.Scientistsarebecomingmore

confidentintheirpredictions,butwedonot

knowexactlyhowclimatechangewillaffect

wildlife.Thisuncertaintycanmakeithardforwildlifemanagerstoplanforthefuture.

Oneimportantstrategyformakingsureweareabletoprotectwildlifeinanuncertain

futureisapracticecalledadaptivemanagement.Usingadaptivemanagement,managerstest

theplanstheyimplementandchangethemwhenobjectivesarenotbeingmet.After

implementingaplan,theycollectdatatoseeifitisworking.OneexampleisthePlattRiver

RecoveryImplementationPrograminWyoming,ColoradoandNebraska.Thegoalofthe

programistoincreasepopulationsofinteriorleastterns,pipingplovers,whoopingcranesand

pallidsturgeons.Managershavedevelopedtwostrategiestorestoreriverhabitat.One

involvesalteringtheriverpathwaystorestorehistoricflowpatternsandonedoesnot.

Managersdonotknowwhichstrategywillworkbest.Byusingadaptivemanagement,

managerscantryeachstrategyindifferentareas,collectdataonthefourspecies,andadjust

theplantoincludemoreofthestrategythatisworkingbetter.Iftheplanisnothelping

addressobjectives(here,increasingpopulationsofthefourtargetspecies),theychangetheir

plansandtryagain.Adaptivemanagementrequiresgatheringlargeamountsofdataand

spendinglotsoftimedecidingwhattodo.Itcanbeexpensiveandtimeconsuming,butitwill

likelybeanimportantstrategytoprotectingwildlifeaswestarttoseetheimpactsofclimate

changeincrease.Wildlifeagenciesarebeginningtoreachouttootherpartnerslikecitizen

sciencegroups(seeinformationinExpertgroupE)tohelpmaintainup-to-datedataonthe

healthofourwildlife.Thesenetworksofbothcitizensandscientistscanhelpspreadoutthe

bigjobofunderstandinghowwildlifearerespondingtoclimatechange.

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37

KeyQuestions:Discussthesequestionswithyourgroupmembers:

1. Whymightadaptivemanagementbebetterthanmakingasingledecision?

2. Whymightadaptivemanagementbemorechallengingthanmakingasingledecision?

3. Howmightmanagersuseadaptivemanagementtohelpprotectspeciesfromclimate

changeimpacts?

DefendersofWildlife.(2010).UnderstandingtheimpactsofclimatechangeonfishandwildlifeinNorthCarolina.Washington,DC.

Retrievedfrom

http://www.defenders.org/sites/default/files/publications/executive_summary_understanding_the_impacts_of_climate_change_o

n_fish_and_wildlife_in_north_carolina.pdf

Runge,M.C.(2011).AnIntroductiontoAdaptiveManagementforThreatenedandEndangeredSpecies.JournalofFishandWildlife

Management,2(2),220–233.doi:10.3996/082011-JFWM-045

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38

E:CollaborationandEducation

Conservingwildlifeinthefaceofclimatechangeisabigjob,andwildlifemanagers

cannotdoitontheirown.Conservingwildlifewillbeeasierifmanagersreachouttopartners

likeresearchersandconservationorganizationsandworktoensurelocal,state,andfederal

agenciesworktogether.Researcherscanhelpprovidemanagerswiththedatatheyneedto

makedecisions.Conservationorganizationslikelandtrustsandwildlifenon-profit

organizationsalsoworktoconservehabitat

andwildlifeandcanlikelyhelpwithmonitoring

efforts.Makingsurelocal,state,andfederal

agenciesworktogetherwillhelpmanagers

“divideandconquer.”Forinstance,biologists

acrosstheNortheastareworkingtogetherto

trackshorebirdhabitat.Becauseshorebirds

liketheTuftedPuffinhaverangesthatare

biggerthanindividualagenciesorrefuges,

biologistscangetamorecompletepictureof

howshorebirdsarerespondingtoclimate

changeandmakethebestconservationplans

possible.

Anotherkeypartnerforwildlife

managersarecitizens.Inrecentdecades,

citizenscienceprojectshavebecomemorecommon,inwhichordinarycitizenscollectdata

thatscientistsuse.Theseprojectsallowscientiststocollectmuchmoredatathantheywould

beabletoontheirownaswellasinvolvecitizensinongoingresearch.Forexample,the

ChristmasbirdcountrunbytheAudubonSocietyfrommid-DecemberthroughearlyJanuary

providesahugedatasetonmigratorybirdpatterns,fromwhichscientistscanbetter

understandwhichbirdsaremovingwhereandwhen.Tensofthousandsofparticipantslogin

totheAudubonSocietywebsitefrommid-DecembertoearlyJanuarytoreportnamesand

locationsofthemigratorybirdsspottedintheirarea.Thisprojectprovidesornithologists

valuabledataonwheremigratorybirdsaretravelingandwhen.Projectslikethesenotonly

helpcollectdatabuttheyalsoengagethepublicinconservationefforts.Engagementisan

importantsteptoensureeveryoneisworkingtogethertowardsclimatechangesolutionsand

makingwildlifemoreresilient.Resiliencyreferstotheabilityforwildlifetothriveinspiteof

climatechange-relatedimpacts.Therearelotsofwayswecanallhelpwildlife,andthrough

educationandoutreach,wildlifemanagerscanhelpusunderstandhow.

Warmertemperaturescannegativelyaffect

nestingsitesforTuftedpuffins.Byworking

together,managersacrosstheNortheast

cankeepaneyeonthepuffinanduse

insightsforconservationplanning.http://www.eopugetsound.org/

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39

KeyQuestions:Discussthesequestionswithyourgroupmembers:

1. Whywouldwildlifemanagerswanttopartnerwithresearchersandneighboring

agenciestomonitorhowclimatechangemaybeaffectingwildlife?Whatkindsof

researchdoyouthinkwouldbemosthelpfulinyourarea?

2. Whataresomewaysthatyoucouldhelplearnaboutclimatechangeimpactson

wildlife?

DefendersofWildlife.(2010).UnderstandingtheimpactsofclimatechangeonfishandwildlifeinNorthCarolina.Washington,DC.Retrievedfromhttp://www.defenders.org/sites/default/files/publications/executive_summary_understanding_the_impacts_of_climate_change_on_fish_and_wildlife_in_north_carolina.pdf

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40

F:Habitatconservationandrestoration

Climatechangeisnottheonlythingthreateningwildlife.Urbanization,deforestation,

invasivespecies,pollution,anddiseasearealsoposingarisktowildlifeandtheirhabitats.

Protectingwildlifefromtheseotherthreats

willhelpmakethemmoreresilienttorisks

fromclimatechange.Resiliencyreferstothe

abilityforwildlifetothriveinspiteofclimate

change-relatedimpacts.Forinstance,healthy

wetlandssupportavarietyofwildlife,butthey

alsohelpcoolwater,reducesedimentfrom

run-off,andcontrolflooding.Restoringone

hectareofwetlandcantranslatetoasmuchas

$33,000insavingspreventingstormdamage.

WhenHurricaneKatrinahittheGulfCoastin

2005,areaswiththemostrobustwetlands

experiencedlessflooding,andunprotected

areaslikeNewOrleansweredecimatedby

unprecedentedfloods.Althoughitisdifficult

topointtoclimatechangeasthecauseofanyonestormevent,scientistsexpecttoseean

increaseinthefrequencyandseverityofstormsinassociationwithglobalwarming.

Protectingandrestoringwetlandhabitatscanprotectthewildlifethatlivesthereandmake

thoseareasmoreresilienttoclimatechangeimpacts.

Anotherkeystrategyispreservingwildlifecorridors,orareasthatconnectdifferent

areasofwildlifehabitat.Astemperaturesrise,weexpectforwildlifehabitatsand

populationstoshifttowardsthepolesandtohigherelevations.Ifwildlifetrytomovefrom

currentrangesandfindbarrierscreatedbyurbanareas,highways,ordams,theymaynotbe

abletoshifttheirrangesinresponsetowarmingtemperatures.Byprotectingwildlife

corridors,theseshiftsaremorepossible.

Besidesprotectingwildlifeandhabitats,effortstoimproveandrestoreexisting

habitatscanalsohelpwildlife.Continuingwiththeexamplefromthegulfcoast,several

restorationseffortsarewellunderwaytorestorewetlandandmangroveecosystemsthat

willreducethetypeofdamagecausedbyHurricaneKatrina.Oneofthemostfamous

examplesisonAveryIsland,wheretheTabascoSauceplantislocated.AfterKatrina,

Tabascoorchestratedamassiverestorationoftheentireisland,whichnowsupportsahost

ofwetlandwildlifeandisthesiteofaparkforvisitorstoenjoy.Notonlyistheparkserving

animportantecologicalandculturalrolenow,butthisrestorationmayhelpprotectthe

factoryfromfuturefloodingevents.

Volunteersworkingtorestorewetlandhabitats

www.carolinasalt.com

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41

KeyQuestions:Discussthesequestionswithyourgroupmembers:

1. Whyareconservationandrestorationeffortsespeciallyimportantinthefaceof

climatechange?

2. Whatkindsofhabitatrestorationprojectswouldbenefityourstateasclimate

changes?

Costanza, R., Pérez-Maqueo, O., Martinez, M. L., Sutton, P., Anderson, S. J., & Mulder, K. (2008). The value of coastal wetlands for hurricane protection. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment, 37(4), 241-248.

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42

AdaptingtoClimateChange

StudentSheet

Name:___________________________________

Speciesyourgroupisworkingwith:__________________________

1. Whatarethreemajorclimatechangeimpactsthatwilllikelyaffectwildlife?

2. Whichoftheseimpactswillmostlikelyaffectyourspecies?Giveatleastthreespecificwaysclimate

changemayimpactyourspecies.

3. Whatarethreemajorstrategiestohelpwildlifeadapttoclimatechangeimpacts?

4. Whichstrategiesdoyouthinkwillbemostimportanttoyourspecies?

Attheendofclass,yourgroupwillassumetheroleofwildlifemanagers.Bepreparedtopresenttotherestof

thegroupthespecificthreatsyourspeciesmightexperienceandwhy.Then,proposeaplanofactionto

protectthisspecies.

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43

ClimateImpactsandAdaptationstrategiesTeachersnotes

PossibleanswerstoKeyQuestionsonthebackoftheexpertcards:

TransformingHabitats:

1. Shiftingtemperatureandprecipitationnormscanchangethetypesofvegetationthatareinanarea.

EventhoughNCisexpectedtohavemoreprecipitationoverall,itisprojectedtofallinconcentrated

times(floods,followedbydrierperiods).Warmertemperaturespairedwithdryspellscanmeansome

plantspeciescannotsurvive.Thisbecomesaproblemforwildlifeiftheydependonthosespeciesfor

foodorcover.

2. Examplesofspecies:hellbender,trout,Northernalligator.Floodingordroughtcanaffectaquatic

species(floodingcanwashawayeggsandfood,droughtcanleavewaterstoolowtosupportlife),

Warmertemperaturescanaffectoxygenlevelsinwater,affectingthewildlifethatlivesthere(e.g.,

trout,hellbender).Warmingwatertemperaturescanalsobegoodforsomespecies,liketheAmerican

alligators.Theymaybeabletogrowlargerandexpandtheirrangeaswaterwarms.

SeaLevelRise:

1. Changingsalinitymayaffectthetypesofvegetationthatcansurviveinthebrackishwater.Ifsalinity

changesenough,itmaybedetrimentaltomanywetlandplantspecies,whichcouldaffectfood,cover,

andnestingsitesforahostofmarshwildlife(marshrabbits,diamondbackterrapin,snowyegret).

2. Highersealevelsmightmeanthatstormsurgesarestronger,exacerbatingtheerosionofbeachesand

thefloodingofcoastalwetlands.Thismaygreatlyaffectthebarrierislands(theymaydisappear),and

thendrasticallychangecoastalwetlandhabitats.Intheory,coastalwetlandhabitatscouldjustmove

inlandassealevelsrise.However,sealevelrisemayhappenfasterthanthesehabitatscandevelopor

urbanoragriculturaldevelopmentmaypreventcoastalwetlandsfrommovinganyfurtherinland.

Changingseasonalcues

1. Anymigratingbirddependsonseasonalcuestobeginmigration.Otheranimalsfeaturedinthis

modulethatdependonseasonalcues:Marbledsalamander,Northernbobwhitequail,andEastern

wildturkey.Coolerfalltemperaturesandincreasedrainscuemarbledsalamanderstoheadtothe

vernalpoolstolaytheireggs.Lengtheningspringdayscuebothquailsandturkeystostartmating,

nesting,andlayingeggs.

2. Somebirdsseemtobeadaptingwelltoearliersprings,butothersarenotchangingtheirpatterns.

Mismatchesbetweenwhenbirdsmigrateandwhenfoodisavailablemayaffectsurvivalor

reproduction.

AdaptiveManagement

1. Adaptivemanagementinvolvesmonitoringandpartoftheplanislookingforandrespondingto

change.Singledecisionsmakearecommendationwithoutconsideringhowthingsmaychange.

Becauseclimatechangeinvolvesimpactsthatarecomplexandhardtopredict,anadaptiveapproach

maybemoreeffectiveatrespondingtoimpactsonwildlifeastheyhappen.

2. Adaptivemanagementmaybemorechallengingbecauseitrequiresconstantdatacollectionandre-

evaluation.It’srequiresmoretimeandresources.

3. Especiallywhenwedon’tknowhowspecieswillrespondtoclimatechange,wecanuseadaptive

managementtomakeaplanforwhatweknowandwhatwepredictwillhappen.Withmonitoring,we

canseeifourplanseemstobeworkingandreadjustifwethinkwecanmakeitbetterorifconditions

change.

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44

CollaborationandEducation

1. Collaborationcanhelpwildlifemanagersgetthehelptheyneed.Byworkingtogether,wecancollect

moredataoveragreaterarea.Becauseadaptivemanagementrequirelotsofdataandabigpicture

perspective,collaborationiskeytomakingsuremanagershavetheinformationtheyneedtomakethe

bestdecisionspossible.

2. Participatingincitizenscienceprojects,butalsodoingthingslikeworkingtoprotectthehabitatsthat

doexist(touchedoninthehabitatconservationandrestorationsection).

Habitatconservationandrestoration

1. Climatechangewillbringahostofimpactsthatwewillhaveahardtimecontrolling.But,byinvesting

inthingswecancontrollikehabitatconservationandrestoration,weincreasetheresiliencyof

wildlifethatareat-risk.

2. InNorthCarolina,wetlandconservationandrestorationwillbeimportanttoprotectbothwildlifeand

peopleagainstsealevelriseandstormsurges.Doingwhatwecantoprotecttemperaturesensitive

communitieslikethespruce-firforestsandotherkeyvegetationcommunitieswillalsohelpmakeother

ecosystemsandwildliferesilienttoclimatechangeimpacts.Additionally,preservingwildlifecorridors

willhelpensurethatwildlifeareabletomovefreelyasrangesbegintoshiftduetorising

temperatures.

StudentSheetanswers:

1. Threemajorrisks:

a. Changinghabitats

b. Sealevelrise

c. Changingseasoncues

2. Belowarewildlifespeciesthatlendthemselveswelltothisactivity:

WildlifeSpecies PotentialimpactsDiamondback

terrapin

Thebiggestthreatissealevelrise,whichcouldcompletelyfloodterrapinhabitat.

Especiallyastheterrapinarepinnedbetweentheoceanandsubstantialcoastal

development,theymayhavenowheretogoifsealevelsrise.Sealevelrisepaired

withmoreseverehurricanesmaybringbiggerstormsurges,whichbesides

destroyinghabitat,couldwashterrapinsfromwheretheyburrowinthemudflats

orwashawayfoodsources.Theymayalsobeaffectedbyrisingtemperatures

becausethesexratiosintheireggclutchesaredeterminedbytemperature.

Eastern

hellbender

Thebiggestthreattothehellbenderisthechangingforesthabitatsofthe

mountains,includinghighertemperaturesandincreasedrainfallintheformof

floodingevents.Higherairtemperaturescanincreasewatertemperatures,which

candecreasetheamountofoxygenavailableforthesegiantsalamanders.Paired

withlossofshadefromthedyinghemlocktrees,warmingwaterisarealconcern.

Floodingeventscanalsowashawayhellbendereggs,makingitmoredifficultfor

themtosuccessfullyreproduce.

American

alligator

Climatechangemaybenefitalligatorpopulationsinseveralways.Alligatorsare

ectothermic(cold-blooded),andwarmertemperaturesallowtheirmetabolismsto

workfaster.Warmerairandwatertemperaturesmayallowalligatorstoconvert

theirfoodtobodymassmorequickly,allowingthemtogrowmorequickly.Also,

alligatorscannotsurviveifwatergetstoocold.Aswatertemperaturesincrease,

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45

alligatorsmaybeabletomovefurtherinlandandnorthward.

Northernflying

squirrel

Risingtemperaturesandmorefrequentdroughteventsthreatenthespruce-fir

forestsinNorthCarolina.Thesetypesofforestsexistfarthernorthward,butif

theydisappearfromNorthCarolina,sowilltheNorthernflyingsquirrelwhich

dependsonthemforfoodandraisingtheiryoung.Ifthisdoeshappen,the

squirrelswillonlybeabletofindsuitablehabitatfarthernorth,ifbarrierslikeroads

donotpreventthemfrommoving.

3. Threemajorstrategiesforprotectionfromimpacts:

a. Conservationandrestorationofhabitat

b. AdaptiveManagement

c. Collaboration

4. Forthisquestion,answersmayvarygreatly,andstudentsmaycomeupwithcreativeanswers.Any

andallofthesestrategiescouldapplytotheexamplespeciesabove.Coastalwetlandrestorationmay

beparticularlyimportantfortheterrapin,hemlockrestorationmayhelpoutthehellbender,

monitoringofalligatorscanbuildunderstandingofwheretheymaybeexpanding,andprotectionof

thespruce-firsystemwillconserveNorthernflyingsquirrelhabitatinNorthCarolina.Othermore

creativestrategiesmaybenecessary.Forinstance,wildlifemanagershaveattemptedtohelpflying

squirrelsbeabletomoveacrosshighwaysbyerectingtallpolesthatthesquirrelscanuseaslaunching

platformsforlongglidesneededtocrossroadways.