a triumph of failed ideas: european models of capitalism in the crisis

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„Europe speaks German now!“ A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis Toronto 25 April 2012 Steffen Lehndorff IAQ / University of Duisburg-Essen

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Presented by Steffen Lehndorff in Toronto 25 April 2012.

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Page 1: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

„Europe speaks German now!“

A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

Toronto25 April 2012

Steffen LehndorffIAQ / University of Duisburg-Essen

Page 2: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

Unemployment rates in Europe (12/2011)

Source: Eurostat

Page 3: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

Source: IMK

Page 4: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

Source: IMK

Page 5: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

Source: IMK

Page 6: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

Current account of Germany with Eurozone (bn €)

Source: Deutsche Bundesbank (own calculation)

Page 7: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

Nominal wages as agreed in collective bargaining*

* West Germany, 2000 - 2010

Source: Bispinck, WSI Report 6, 2011

Page 8: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

The rise of the low wage sector, Germany 2000/2006*

* Wage brackets as per cent of all workers; Source: Thorsten Kalina / IAQ (SOEP)

Page 9: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

Labour and capital income, by business cycle

Source: Brenke DIW-WB 8/2011

Page 10: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

Internal flexibility in the crisis

Index 2000 = 100Source: IAB

Page 11: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

The victim is declared guilty ...

Page 12: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

Quelle: IMF (Ball/Leigh/Loungani 2011)

The medicine is killing the patient

Page 13: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

Beware the German Model

„It is not just the austerity measures that are crucial. The structural reforms are equally important for me. For example, the labour market reforms in Germany, known as „Hartz IV“, have lead to massive improvements on the labour market.“

Angela MerkelWorld Economic Forum, Davos25/01/2012

Page 14: A triumph of failed ideas: European models of capitalism in the crisis

http://www.etui.org/Publications2/Books/A-triumph-of-failed-ideas-European-models-of-capitalism-in-the-crisis