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‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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Page 1: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

‘A Mouse That Roared’?

Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects

FinMark ForumSandton

David Gardner18 September, 2008

Page 2: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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Study Background

Finmark Trust & HIVOS-funded

Based on literature review, interviews, workshop inputs &

peer inputs

Builds on other work by FinMark Trust Township Residential Property Markets study Housing Entrepreneurs Study (comprising Small Scale Landlords and Home

Based Enterprises) FinScope, access frontier for housing finance in South Africa Causes of Default of Housing Micro Loan clients Literature review: housing finance development in Sub-Saharan Africa Access to housing finance in Africa –Zambia, Botswana, Kenya, Namibia

Focus on access to housing finance for the poor

Page 3: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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PRESENTATION OVERVIEW

1. Key Findings

2. Definition & Scope of HMF

3. Institutional Arrangements

4. Demand for Housing Microfinance

5. South Africa’s Develompental Paradigm

6. Status Quo & Lessons Learned

7. Way Forward

Page 4: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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1. Key FindingsThe mouse has not yet roared…but why?

She still believes she is a mouse and not a lion HMF still not secure in its developmental role

All the rats are roaring…so why should the mouse? Microfinance is working. Burgeoning household credit sector Increasing microfinance finding its way into housing by default, not

design

She is caught in a mousetrap Structural constraints limiting HMF to specific market sub-segments,

and precluding HMF from playing a major role in primary housing production processes

She doesn’t get enough cheese…and probably needs steroids Actively and passively maligned HMF sector requires a voice, a presence, and proactive lobbying

Sq

uee

ak!

Page 5: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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2. Definition & Scope

Housing Microfinance: ‘unsecured loans used for housing purposes’ Used for housing and related elements (land, services, construction) Default and design Size: larger than normal microloans: R1000 to R25 000 Term: generally longer than standard MF Interest Rate: competitive even though allowance given for ‘Developmental Credit’ Collateral: range of options being experimented with internationally – not the norm

Importance of Housing Microfinance Commercial Imperative:

untapped MF market Limit and problems of conventional housing finance (mortgage and asset-backed): HMF is more affordable, better understood, more widely available and appropriate

Housing Imperative: Importance of housing to low-income households: security, shelter, housing asset,

economic asset Supporting Incremental housing processes (urban and rural)

Developmental Imperative: Potential to bridge the divide between minimum standards and needs of urban poor and

not-so-poor Potential for supporting urban transformation objectives & relieving housing burden on

state

Page 6: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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2. Definition & Scope: Typology

FIRST TIER Regulated by Banks Act Multiple Financial services 8 registered with NCR

Commercial Banks Deposit-taking institutions offering microloans as part of financial service offering

Portion of lending used for housing purposes. Some considering HML

ABSA, Std, Nedcor, FNB

Microfinance Banks Banks focusing on microcredit

Portion of lending used for housing purposes. Few considering targeted products

African Bank, Capitec, Teba, etc

SECOND TIER Regulated as Non-Banks via NCA

Generally microloans, limited other financial services

2338 registered with NCR

Non-Bank Microfinance Institutions

Commercial providers of microcredit

Portion of lending used for housing purposes

>2 200 entities. Includes Blue, Mafori

Housing-Focused MFIs Focused on provision of housing microfinance

Mostly to all housing related lending

< 20 entities? Includes Kuyasa, Lendcor

Co-operatives & Credit Unions

Generally focused on savings and loans to members

Extent of housing lending unclear

<30 entities registered

THIRD TIER Generally Unregulated / Informal

Savings and credit instruments

Numbers unknown

Mutual Entities, Comm-Based Shelter Funds

Usually donor-supported Membership-based savings funds. Sometimes geared with debt

Numbers unknown

Informal Moneylenders Limited compliance Non-specific, small, high interest loans

Numbers unknown

Informal Savings Groups Group savings Revolving credit groups Numbers unknown

Page 7: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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2. Definition & Scope: Forms

Secured Loans

Unsecured Microcredit

‘Developmental Credit’

Savings-backed Housing microloans

Short-Term Loans

Credit Facilities / Cards

Debit Cards

Informal Loans

Revolving Savings Takings

Personal Savings?

Other Products

Page 8: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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2. Scope Scope of HMF: Up to R8-

billion housing-related microloan portfolio in SA

10% to 24% of total household microfinance portfolio ‘housing-related’

FSC 2007: R1,22-bn (96 760) housing-specific unsecured loans @ R12 600 avg

FSC Growth between 2004 & 2007: 138%, value by 261%

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Total

Hsng-Low

Hsng-High

Hsng-Spec

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

AVERAGE

SOUTH AFRICA

NAMIBIA

BOTSWANA

KENYA

TANZANIA

UGANDA

ZAMBIA

Banked Formal - Other

Informal - Only

2. Definition & Scope

Page 9: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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x

3. Institutional Arrangements

National Credit Act

Co-operativeBanks Bill

Co-operativeBanks Bill

DEVELOPMENT FINANCE

INSTITUTIONS

SA Microfinance Apex Fund (SAMAF)

National Housing Finance Corporation

(NHFC)

Rural Housing Loan Fund

(RHLF)

Land Bank

Development Bank of Southern Africa

(DBSA)Self-regulated EntitiesStokvels

Burial SocietiesVillage BanksCredit Unions

NURCHA

Dedic. Banks Bill

MINISTRIES

STATUTORY BODIES

FINANCIAL MARKETS

Donors & NGOs

RETAIL FINANCE INSTITUTIONS

National Consumer Tribunal

National Credit Regulator

Credit BureauxTCB

SUPPORT ORGANISATIONS

EquityDebt

Insurance

Home Loan Guarantee Company

Equity Debt

Technical Assistance

Equity & DebtTechnical AssistanceGuarantees

Page 10: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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4. Demand for Housing Microfinance

Potential HMF Demand: every person with secure tenure (and some without)Four main areas of potential demand

‘Substitute Finance’: people who cannot afford or access other housing finance – cynical & prevailing view – NOT REALISTIC Space left by lack of penetration by mortgage and secured housing finance Finance-related and housing supply-related problems inhibit potential

Incremental Home Improvement ‘After-Market Demand’– CURRENT FOCUS Improvement of existing properties: rural & urban, formal & informal title. Transferred public rental, RDP/BNG, rural housing

Mobilising Primary Housing Development – NOT YET POSSIBLE Primary access to land and housing for low-mid income people not possible outside of BNG HSS Increasingly recognized as only viable approach to improving housing conditions of lower-income

people en masse Requires a fundamental re-formulation of human settlement & housing paradigm & processes

Housing Entrepreneurship & Private Rental – ADDED STRATEGY Home-based enterprises: 70% of SMMEs linked to the home Backyard Rental / Tenements: Operating housing sub-market housing 13% of urban households Perfect for realizing multiple urban development benefits

Page 11: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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4. Demand for Housing Microfinance

Page 12: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

Enrolments

Years

Figure 10.3: Gauteng Enrolments per Category (2000-2005)

>R500,000 1217 2231 3209 3326 6804 7992

R200k-R500k 3875 6992 10185 8475 15178 17889

R100k-R200k 5188 4423 4911 3337 6755 8057

R50k-R100k 4029 4018 2950 1586 1815 962

<R50,000 281 918 536 97 43 132

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 P/R

4. Demand for Housing Microfinance

Page 13: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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HOUSEHOLD PROPORTION OF HOUSEHOLDS DEEMED SUBSIDY SV / DEPADDITCREDIT PRODUCT SERVICED SITE TOP STRUCTURE FUNDING

INCOME AFFORDABILITY ELIGIBILITY REQ'DSAVINGSAFFORD PRICE SPECIFICATION SPECIFICATION MIX

(R/month) (% inc & R/Mnth (R Total) (R min)(R Total)(R Total) (R Total) (R Average) (m2) (% of Min Product)

8 VERY HIGH NO NO YES

Max >R 10001

Min R 10,001 25% / +R2500.25/m R 30,877 R 277,890 R 308,767 R80000 Fully serviced +-83m2 @ R2,750/m2

7 HIGH NO NO YES

Max R 10,000 22.5% / to R2250/m R 25,906 R 233,155 R 259,062 R65000 Fully serviced +-78m2 @ R2,500/m2

Min R 7,001 R 18,137 R 163,232 R 181,369 R65000 Fully serviced +-52m2 @ R2,250/m2

6 HIGH-MIDDLE YES-DEP. NO YES

Max R 7,000 20% / to R1400/m R 6,357 R 6,692 R 127,147 R 140,196 R45000 Fully serviced +-48m2 @ R2,000/m2

Min R 5,001 R 4,542 R 4,781 R 90,838 R 100,160 R45000 Fully serviced +-32m2 @ R1,750/m2

5 MIDDLE YES-DEP. NO YES

Max R 5,000 17.5% / to R875/m R 3,973 R 4,182 R 79,467 R 87,623 R25000 Fully serviced +-42m2 @ R1,500/m2

Min R 3,501 R 2,782 R 2,929 R 55,643 R 61,353 R25000 Fully serviced +-36m2 @ R1,000/m2

4 LOW-MIDDLE YES YES YES

Max R 3,500 15% / to R525/m R 36,708 R 2,479 R 37,736 R 76,923 R15000 Fully serviced +-73m2 @ R850/m2

Min R 2,501 R 36,708 R 2,479 R 26,965 R 66,152 R15000 Fully serviced +-60m2 @ R850/m2

3 LOW INCOME YES YES YES

Max R 2,500 12.5% / to R312.5/m R 36,708 R 2,479 R 14,048 R 53,235 R15000 Fully serviced +-51m2 @ R750/m2

Min R 1,501 R 36,708 R 2,479 R 8,435 R 47,622 R15000 Fully serviced +-43m2 @ R750/m2

2 V. LOW INCOME YES NO YES

Max R 1,500 7.5% / to R112.5/m R 36,708 R 0 R 1,922 R 38,630 R15000 Fully serviced +-36m2 @ R650/m2

Min R 801 R 36,708 R 0 R 1,027 R 37,735 R15000 Fully serviced +-35m2 @ R650/m2

1 SPECIAL NEEDS YES NO NO

Max R 800 0% / to R0/m R 36,708 R 0 R 0 R 36,708 R15000 Fully serviced +-33m2 @ R650/m2

Min R 0 R 36,708 R 0 R 0 R 36,708 R15000 Fully serviced +-33m2 @ R650/m2

R 36,708 R15000 Fully serviced +-33m2 @ R650/m2

R 2,479

R1 501 to R3 500/ month only

LOAN FINANCE TERMS: UNSECURED LOANS: Term: 2 Yrs; Int: 35%; Dep: 0%. Min: R0, Max: R10,000

GUARANTEED FINANCE: Term: 5 Yrs; Int: 12%; Dep: 10%. Min: R5,000, Max: R50,000

MORTGAGE LOANS: Term: 20 Yrs; Int: 16%; Dep: 10%. Min: R20,000, Max: None

MINIMUM STANDARD HOUSE:

MANDATORY SAVINGS CONTRIBUTION:

ADDITIONAL SAVINGS REQUIREMENT:

100%

100%

77%

5%

90%

10%

65%

90%

18%

5%90%

10%

90%

10%

90%

5%

5%

4%30%

4%

?%

18%

5%

Ownership (51.1%) Rental (35.5%)Squatting(12.3%)

TribalEx-council(7.6%) Subsidy(15.2%)Private (27.2%) Squat(12.3%)

SHI (0.5%)Private(11.5%)Council(7.6%)

Co. (1.6%)Informal(11.4%)

• Step up to minimum standard product• Linear progression up the pyramid thereafter: this is unusual

Limited Subsidy Supply

Impractical FLISP

‘Chasm Housing’

Secondary Housing Mkt

Rental & backyard rental

Access to Land & ServicesInformal Settlement

Minimum Standards

5. SA’s Development Paradigm

Page 14: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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Current HMF Realities Solid financial sector in SA: microfinance still shape-shifting Level playing fields for MFIs: standard operating conditions, barriers to entry, pressure

to grow, consolidation of players NCA: Sector stability via blanket regulation of MF providers & protection of consumers Concerns: household indebtedness, macroeconomic changes, default

HMF is different from MF Emerging literature & local body of evidence of what works and what does not:

wholesale & retail Much larger than RHLF and NHFC-supported HMFIs: works across the board Organic flow of conventional microfinance into housing good, but not enough Emerging sense of differences: points of contact, parameters for successful lending,

alternative methodologies & products, origination, management, risk identification & mitigation, default management

Need to continue to facilitate growth of sector and help ‘turn money into houses’

HMF works but is a prejudiced ‘sector’ Differentiate organisational commercial failure from methodological failure Benefits to lenders and borrowers of all sizes: voluntary, profitable, growing business

area HMF not only the ambit of NGOs and small HMFIs: interest from banks, non-bank

lenders, community groups & alliances, even developers

6. Status Quo & Lessons Learned

Page 15: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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6. Status Quo & Lessons Learned

Current Housing Realities Mismatch between housing demand and supply: quantum and nature of housing products Minimum standards and subsidy system create artificial divide between formal and informal

housing conditions and sterilise the latter Large and growing demand and discontent about housing conditions down-market

Implications of SA Housing Paradigm BNG does not alter development paradigm sufficiently for future success Housing programme out of touch with South Africa’s state of development, real housing needs

and appropriate strategic responses. Housing policy actively antagonistic to role of HMF and potential of incrementalism Need to fundamentally shift human settlement development processes & current housing

subsidy programmes

First and Second ‘Pillars’ of housing policy developed from middle up low-income housing strategy viewed from minimum standards upwards low income people relegated to sub-optimal, maligned housing situations Need to couple only viable low-income housing strategy with only viable low-income financing

Mechanism

fundamental political, strategy and policy change needed – this is more a housing problem than a finance problem

Page 16: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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6. Way ForwardTurning Microfinance into houses:

Institutional Infrastructure: Mainstreaming HMF in affordable housing delivery: Unblock HMF path to primary urban shelter

production Lobbying for new housing paradigm including incrementalism Tackle problems inherent in current housing approach: rigid minimum standards, fully-subsidised

one-step accommodation programmes Key is new methodology combining individual, state (subsidy) and private sector (microfinance) Reformulate facilitative roles of DFIs to offer institutional support to HMFIs, government,

developers

Organisational Infrastructure: Competition & Co-operation: Collaborative partnerships between mainstream and niche players

to seek new housing development methodologies & microfinance models New HMF approaches and products need to be tested:

Longer-term housing microloans Assessment of risk and interest rate Sources of fixed, movable and social collateral ‘Formal rollover’ microloan products Technical Assistance options Savings-based, housing-linked, product-driven, TA-linked

Support to nascent HMF / incremental housing programmes

Support Infrastructure: Understand successful housing strategies that engage with HMF internationally Research true depth and breadth of HMF in South Africa Grow confidence in HMF amongst housing and finance decision-makers. Technical Assistance: Turning HMF into houses: plans, approvals, supports, technologies

Page 17: ‘A Mouse That Roared’? Housing Microfinance in South Africa: Status, Problems and Prospects FinMark Forum Sandton David Gardner 18 September, 2008

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THANK YOU!

David Gardner

Cell: (083) 399-3388Email:

[email protected]

RRROOOOAAAAARRRRR!