2016_1019 press release

OCTOBER 19, 2016

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Press Contacts

Annie [email protected]

Asma MahdiUCLA Sustainable LA Grand [email protected]

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The Now InstituteA VISIONARY LOOK AT LOS ANGELES’ SUSTAINABLE FUTURE

Press Kit

Two new publications from Thom Mayne of The Now Institute at UCLA explore a sustainable future for Los Angeles in 2050, as the county is expected to welcome 1.5 million more people. These reports mark the first visual attempt at imagining what the future might look like in the nation’s second largest city.

The publications, entitled 100% Sustainable: Strategies for 2050 Renewable Energy, Local Water, and Ecosystem Health in Los Angeles and 99% Preservation, 1% Densif ication: A Case for 2050 Sustainability Through a Denser, More Connected Los Angeles, were developed by Pritzker Architecture Prize-winning architect and UCLA Distinguished Professor, Thom Mayne, and The Now Institute to address and conceptualize the energy, water, and ecosystem goals laid out by the UCLA Sustainable LA Grand Challenge in light of a growing population.

UCLA Sustainable LA Grand ChallengeThe NOW Institute

UCLA Department of Architecture and Urban Design

THE GRAND CHALLENGE:IN 2050, LOS ANGELES COUNTY WILL HAVE 1.5 MILLION MORE RESIDENTS AND TWO TO THREE TIMES AS MANY EXTREME HEAT DAYS. IF LA IS TO THRIVE IN THE NEXT CENTURY IT MUST STRIVE TO ACHIEVE 100% RENEWABLE ENERGY, 100% LOCAL WATER AND ENHANCED ECOSYSTEM HEALTH BY 2050.

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99% PRESERVATION AND 1% DENSIFICATION: A CASE FOR URBAN DENSITY ALONG THE WILSHIRE CORRIDOR AS A STRATEGY TO PRESERVE THE CHARACTER, IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF LIFE, AND PROTECT THE ENVIRONMENT FOR LA’S CURRENT AND INCOMING 1.5 MILLION PEOPLE BY 2050

The greater Los Angeles region holds nearly half of the state’s population and makes up the third largest metropolitan economy in the world. The effort put forward in these publications is twofold: The first publication evaluates the Sustainable LA Grand Challenge goals to achieve 100% renewable energy, 100% locally sourced water and enhanced ecosystem and human health for Los Angeles County by 2050. The second analyzes the viability of three distinct urban growth scenarios, with a full demonstration study of a scenario which preserves 99% of LA County by densifying 1% of land and measures the impact of densification on future sustainability. By 2050, the County of Los Angeles is projected to increase in population by 1.5 million people. Historically, conventional approaches to accommodating growth in LA County have included developing suburban communities at further distances from the urban core. Although The Now Institute has analyzed potential growth scenarios that include greater urbanization in the less developed northern LA County, they opted to focus on a scenario that accommodated projected growth while maintaining the County’s neighborhood integrity over the largest area feasible. “By densifying just 1% of the County along the Wilshire Corridor at a density lower than Manhattan’s, we can preserve 99% of LA’s classic urban texture and natural landscape,” noted Mayne.

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DENSIFYING ONLY 1% TO SUSTAIN 99% OF LA LIFESTYLE

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DENSIFYING ONLY 1% TO SUSTAIN 99% OF LA LIFESTYLE

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Despite the presence of numerous highly dense cities and communities, Los Angeles is infamous for its urban-sprawl approach to population adaptation. As part of the UCLA Sustainable LA Grand Challenge, The NOW Institute study includes a proposal to extend the purple Metro line and provide a high density, interconnected, urban community along Los Angeles’ iconic Wilshire Corridor. In response to a potential 15% population increase, The Now Institute advocates for limiting the expansion of a suburban residential development beyond the current urbanized footprint with a densification strategy that protects 99% of the region’s existing single family residential fabric by densifying less than 1% of County land, primarily along Wilshire Boulevard.

Connecting three cities and 13 neighborhoods, the Wilshire Corridor is a microcosm of the cultural, economic, and physical diversity of Los Angeles. The corridor is an ideal “urban laboratory” for studying the interrelationship of density, demographics, transit, and access to resources in the city, and for exploring various planning scenarios that respond to and accommodate anticipated population growth, while encouraging positive transformation in terms of walkability, safety, and environmental responsibility. By analyzing Wilshire Boulevard in comparison to significant streets in other global metropolises – including Barcelona’s Avenue Diagonal and New York’s Broadway – the study examines real-world responses to growth and transformation that could offer alternative, more sustainable strategies for Los Angeles.

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As new research pushes forward to inform current models, The Now Institute recognizes that these scenarios can and will change. These publications are living documents and a first step in a process towards building a Sustainable LA. Mayne is presenting these publications for the first time on a panel discussion with city and state leaders focused on visions for a sustainable future for Los Angeles at UCLA’s Earth Now: Earth 2050 symposium on Wednesday, October 19.

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“Thom Mayne and The Now Institute have provided a provocative vision for what a sustainable Los Angeles could look like. My hope is that it leads to meaningful dialogue on what we [Los Angeles] can become in the future.”

- Mark Gold, Associate Vice Chancellor for

Environment and Sustainability at

UCLA

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TITLE100% Sustainable: Strategies for 2050 Renewable Energy, Local Water, and Ecosystem Health in Los Angeles

AUTHORThe Now Institute

FORMATHardcover

PAGE COUNT143 pages

LANGUAGEEnglish

TITLE99% Preservation, 1% Densification: A Case for 2050 Sustainability Through a Denser, More Connected Los Angeles

AUTHORThe Now Institute

FORMATHardcover

PAGE COUNT195 pages

LANGUAGEEnglish






99% PRESERVATION AND 1% DENSIFICATION: A CASE FOR URBAN DENSITY ALONG THE WILSHIRE CORRIDOR AS A STRATEGY TO PRESERVE THE CHARACTER , IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF LIFE, AND PROTECT THE ENVIRONMENT FOR LA’S CURRENT AND INCOMING 1.5 MILLION PEOPLE BY 2050

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Details//

Executive EditorThom Mayne, Founder, The NOW Institute

Senior EditorEui-Sung Yi, Director, The NOW Institute

Research EditorAnnie Eby

Publication EditorRyan A. Doyle

Cartographic EditorCagdas Delen

Graphic EditorBeyza Paksoy

Graphic AssistantLily Bakhshi

Research AssistantJulie LeRenard

Executive EditorThom Mayne, Founder, The NOW Institute

Senior EditorEui-Sung Yi, Director, The NOW Institute

Research EditorAnnie EbyRyan A. Doyle

Publication EditorBeyza Paksoy

Cartographic EditorCagdas Delen

Graphic EditorBeyza Paksoy

Graphic AssistantLily Bakhshi

Research AssistantJulie LeRenard






99% PRESERVATION AND 1% DENSIFICATION: A CASE FOR URBAN DENSITY ALONG THE WILSHIRE CORRIDOR AS A STRATEGY TO PRESERVE THE CHARACTER , IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF LIFE, AND PROTECT THE ENVIRONMENT FOR LA’S CURRENT AND INCOMING 1.5 MILLION PEOPLE BY 2050

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Credits//

Sample Spreads//100% Sustainable: Strategies for 2050 Renewable Energy, Local Water, and Ecosystem Health in Los Angeles

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F0 1 0

Mi l es

14% SINGLE FAMILY

5% MULTI FAMILY

1% CONDOMINIUM

20% RESIDENTIAL

18% INDUSTRIAL ANDINSTITUTIONAL

10.5% COMMERCIAL

3% OTHER

48.5% TRANSPORTATION

51.5% GASOLINE

4.5% DIESELD

6.5% COAL

3% NUCLEAR

11% NATURAL GAS

13.5% UNSPECIFIED

5% WIND

3% GEOTHERMAL

1% BIOMASS

0.4% SOLAR

0.4% HYDRO

56%NON-RENEWABLE

FUEL

34%NON-RENEWABLE

ENERGY

10% RENEWABLE ENERGY

10% RENEWABLE ENERGY

90% TOTAL

NON- RENEWABLE

36% GRID SOURCES

BY UTILITY

2.8%

18.5% UNACCOUNTED FOR GRID


54.5% BUILT

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Non-renewable energy means more non-reversible emissions. LA has an immediate, costly, and self-interested reason to curb emissions. Despite years of progress, the region hovers at the top of the smog charts and was the 2015 #1 smoggiest large city in America. Pollution-related deaths are estimated to be double the number of vehicle-related deaths in the County. LA also has a long-term stake in cutting global emissions, as the heating effect threatens to melt ice-caps, flood its coastal regions, and prevent precipitation upon which the County relies for water.

The Sustainable LA Grand Challenge goal of transitioning to renewable energy affects two major sectors: transportation and buildings.

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1 0 0 % R E N E WA B L E

Average D i rect N orm a l So l a r I r r a d i a n ce

≤6. 2

≤7. 0

≤7. 6

≤8 . 0

≤8 . 8

C o u n ty B o u n d a r y

F0 1 0

Mi l es

23% SINGLE FAMILY

8.5% MULTI FAMILY

2% CONDOMINIUM

33.5% RESIDENTIAL

30.5% INDUSTRIAL ANDINSTITUTIONAL

17.5% COMMERCIAL


5% OTHER1.5% COAL0.5% NUCLEAR

2.5% NATURAL GAS

3% UNSPECIFIED

8.5% WIND

5.5% GEOTHERMAL

2% BIOMASS

0.8% HYDRO

74% CSP

2% PV76% SOLAR

7.5%NON-RENEWABLE

ENERGY

92.5% RENEWABLE

ENERGY

66% GRID ENERGY

34% UNACCOUNTED FOR GRID

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STRATEGY #3 : SOLAR THERMAL COULD SUPPLY 100% OF LA COUNTY’S ENERGY ON < 1% OF LAND IN THE REGION, BUT LA DOESN’T EVEN NEED THAT MUCH.

Concentrated solar thermal power (CSP) is a developing technology, but its thermal storage potential is already a less expensive alternative to batteries and can provide a more constant around-the-clock power supply than photovoltaics and wind. Combined with the potential from rooftop solar and existing renewables, CSP would only need to contribute 65% to the renewable supply, which would only require 0.4% of land in the region.

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R E N E W A B L E E N E R G Y

93% I N C R E A S E D S U P P L Y

+65%

R E N E WA B L E E N E R GY

180 TWH TOTA L E N E R GY

194 TWH

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S to rm wa te r C a tc h m e n t Ar e a s

S to rm wa te r C a tc h m e n t Ar e a s

Ra i n fa l l I n ten s i ty

50 yea r s 24 h ou r s

2. 6 - 6 . 6

6. 7 - 8 . 8

8 .9 - 1 1 . 2

1 1 . 3 - 1 3. 6

1 3. 7 - 1 6 . 0

P um pSta ti on

Open Ch a n n e l

N a tu ra l D ra i n a g e

C o u n ty B o u n d a r y

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27% CALIFORNIA AQUEDUCT

21% COLORADO RIVER AQUEDUCT

5% LA AQUEDUCT

22% STORM WATER CAPTURE

22% NATURAL RECHARGE

3% RECYCLED WATER

44% GROUND WATER

47% LOCAL

53% IMPORTED

20% OUTDOOR

43% INDOOR

35% SINGLE FAMILY

28% MULTI FAMILY

63% RESIDENTIAL

3% INDUSTRIAL

7% INSTITUTIONAL

18% COMMERCIAL

9% OTHER

22% STORM WATER CAPTURE

44% GROUND WATER

47% LOCAL

53% IMPORTED

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STRATEGY #3 : THERE’S ENOUGH LOCAL STORMWATER TO MEET 2X LA’S 2050 NEEDS.

Storms drop more than 253,000 acre-feet of water in Los Angeles County after every inch of rainfall. That’s 3.8 million acre-feet, more than twice 2050 demand. LA County already collects about an inch of its average 15 inches of rainfall per year. Collecting less than an inch would increase the local groundwater supply by 10%


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66% NOT

PROTECTED

34% PROTECTED

0.06% MIXED USE0.65% HARBORS - MARINAS

2.2% MILITARY

2.5% OTHER

13% SINGLE FAMILY

2% MULTI FAMILY

2% OTHER

25.5% REGIONAL PARKS

0.4% LOCAL PARKS

3% INDUSTRIAL

8.5% ROADS

4% INSTITUTIONAL4% COMMERCIAL

17.5% RESIDENTAL

3% OTHER

28.5% OPEN SPACE

3% AGRICULTURE

3.5% OTHER

25.5% VACANT

40% DEVELOPED

60% NON-DEVELOPED

66% NOT

PROTECTED

34% PROTECTED

0.06% MIXED USE0.65% HARBORS - MARINAS

2.2% MILITARY

2.5% OTHER

13% SINGLE FAMILY

2% MULTI FAMILY

2% OTHER

25.5% REGIONAL PARKS

0.4% LOCAL PARKS

3% INDUSTRIAL

8.5% ROADS

4% INSTITUTIONAL4% COMMERCIAL

17.5% RESIDENTAL

3% OTHER

28.5% OPEN SPACE

3% AGRICULTURE

3.5% OTHER

25.5% VACANT

40% DEVELOPED

60% NON-DEVELOPED

3% ISLANDS

%46URBAN

%51NON

URBAN 97% MAINLAND

100%

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LA County lies within the California Floristic Province, globally recognized as one of just 35 biodiversity hotspots in the world - the only one in the continental United States. LA has 4,346 identified species, 92 of which are endangered or threatened. Significant Ecological Areas make up 1/4 of the County, but are largely unprotected and have been affected by development. If LA continues to develop at current densities, LA will lose another 150,000 acres by 2050. That’s more than 10X the size of the Wilshire corridor. Moreover, an additional 150,000 acres of urbanized land will need to be served with parks, stretching resources to improve existing park access and quality. An integrated and cross-disciplinary approach is needed to identify how to both protect and incorporate natural environments that define the LA region and contribute to the overall welfare of its citizens.

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E N H A N C E D H E A LT H

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Slauson / Blue LineFlorence / Blue LineFirestone / Blue LineImperial / Blue LineVermont / Green LineHawthorne / Green LineAviation / I-105 / Green LineSierra Madre / Gold LineDel Amo / Blue LineWest Carson / Carson Street Bus StationThird Street Specific Plan

PasadenaLong Beach

Union Station / Red & Purple LineCivic Center - Grand Park / Purple LinePershing Square / Purple Line7th - Metro Center / Red & Purple LineWestlake - MacArthur Park / Purple LineVermont / Purple LineNormandie / Purple LineWestern / Purple LineLa Brea / Purple LineFairfax / Purple LineLa Cienega / Purple LineRodeo Drive / Purple LineCentury City / Purple LineWestwood - UCLA / Purple LineWestwood - VA / Purple LineBundy / Purple Line26th / Purple Line16th/ Purple Line4th/ Purple Line

This map supposes a Purple Line extension along Wilshire Boulevard extending from Union Station downtown to 4th Street Santa Monica. It currently runs from Union Station to Western, with plans underway for an extension to Westwood.

Wilshire Corridor

DRP GENERAL PLAN 2035

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1.5 MILLION MORE PEOPLE ON 1% OF LAND

With the establishment of County-wide goals in energy, water, and ecosystem health and preservation, densification offers an integrated strategy toward achieving all these goals. This approach can double its impact by reducing transportation-related emissions, which account for [x%] of County-wide CO2 emissions. High-density, transit-oriented development (TOD) makes it easy for people to adopt a more sustainable lifestyle, reducing energy and water consumption via smaller multi-family units and less need for outdoor irrigation (the largest demand on residential water). Ecosystem health is enhanced since vertical development allows more groundspace for parks and limits further encroachment on the senstive ecosystem at the urban border. Moreover, a critical mass of transit riders brings the per-passenger-mile energy-expenditure and emissions of public transit below that of private vehicles. Densification strategies should take place where they will be an asset and not a detractor to the economy, culture, and local neighborhood character. Connecting the downtown to the coast, and already one of the more dense corridors in LA County with a substantial amount of jobs, schools, parks, and other urban assets, the Wilshire corridor is an ideal location for densification.

High-density, transit-oriented development can accommodate 1.5 million people on just 1% of County land. The Wilshire corridor, 0.6% of the County area, can absorb an additional 1 million more people, with the remaining newcomers settling in other distributed centers across LA.

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SANTA MONICAOCEAN EDGE CITY

500 sqftper person

78.5K peopleper sqmi

120K people

28.6K people 18.6K peopleper sqmi

745 sqftper person

2015

2050

9%6%

70 210 21

OF WILSHIRE OF EXTRA POP.

WATER ENERGYOPEN SPACE

Gallons per day

per capita

KiloWatt hoursper day

per capita

Square Feetper capita

24 MIN DOWNTOWN

12 MIN LACMA

10 MIN CENTURY CITY

8 MIN UCLA

Santa Monica is the beach city of Los Angeles, a possible terminus for the upcoming Purple Line Extension and the place where land meets the sea. The city has a 50 ft-high edge condition that combines three layers of nature: ocean, beach and park.

Sample Spreads//99% Preservation, 1% Densification: A Case for 2050 Sustainability Through a Denser, More Connected Los Angeles

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HOUSINGMETRICMICRO UNITHOUSINGPROTOTYPE

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MY MICRO UNIT (NY)

LARGE STUDIO 37 SQ/M400 SF

LARGE ONE BEDROOM 67 SQ/M720 SF

SMALL STUDIO 29 SQ/M315 SF

TRANSFORMING ONE BEDROOM 67 SQ/M720 SF

MICRO STUDIO 21 SQ/M225 SF

COMPACT ONE BEDROOM 58 SQ/M630 SF

BALCONY STUDIO 21 SQ/M225 SF STEEL FRAME

FURNITURE MODULE

UTILITY CORE

EXTERIOR CLOSURE

HOUSING MODULE COMPONENTS

COMMON FUNCTIONAL CORRIDOR

BALCONY STUDIO 43 SQ/M465 SF

ROTATING WALL ELEVATING BED OVERHEAD LOFT COMPACT LIVING CORE TRANSFORMING CORE

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Project Statement

The rapid urbanization of today’s metropolitan centers

requires a rethinking of traditional concepts of density. Our

renewed awareness of humanity’s impact on the environment

and the increasingly temporal nature of urban dwelling across

the world necessitates a new model for living. Today’s global

cities compete for intellectual capital and must endeavor

to provide relevant services and cultural experiences for

a highly diverse and informed populace. The growing

“Millennial” generation and other creative entrepreneurs

demand continual access to these places of interaction

and commerce, viewing their shared experiences and

relationships as integral to their changing cultural agency. In

contrast to it’s traditionally sprawling character, Los Angeles

now has the opportunity to reinvent itself as a world leader

in smart, efficient, and flexible urban living.

Analysis of existing microunit projects and other forms of

collective living and working led to the development of a

flexible system of compact furniture and living modules

that can be arranged in a variety of configurations. A simple

steel frame structures a series of interconnected modular

furniture components, which together provides a flexible

system for today’s changing lifestyles. Exterior spaces

provide a connection to nature and heighten the collective

experience of the occupants. While corridors traditionally

provide only access to individual living spaces, here this

common space is re-imagined as a flexible co-working zone

for today’s young digital workers. Developed into a variety

of scales and configurations, this flexible modular system

provides the framework for a series of towers, courtyards, and

dense dwelling units that can be deployed along Wilshire

Boulevard to accommodate the growing population of Los

Angeles County in the coming decades.


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OVERHEAD LOFT

ELEVATING BED

ROTATING WALL

TRANSFORMING CORE

COMPACT LIVING CORE

The rapid urbanization of today’s metropolitan centers requires a rethinking of traditional concepts of density. Our renewed awareness of humanity’s impact on the environment and the increasingly temporal nature of urban dwelling across the world necessitates a new model for living. Today’s global cities compete for intellectual capital and must endeavor to provide relevant services and cultural experiences for a highly diverse and informed populace. The growing “Millennial” generation and other creative entrepreneurs demand continual access to these places of interaction and commerce, viewing their shared experiences and relationships as integral to their changing cultural agency. In contrast to it’s traditionally sprawling character, Los Angeles now has the opportunity to reinvent itself as a world leader in smart, efficient, and flexible urban living.Analysis of existing microunit projects and other forms of collective living and working led to the development of a flexible system of compact furniture and living modules that can be arranged in a variety of configurations. A simple steel frame structures a series of interconnected modular furniture components, which together provides a flexible system for today’s changing lifestyles. Exterior spaces provide a connection to nature and heighten the collective experience of the occupants. While corridors traditionally provide only access to individual living spaces, here this common space is re-imagined as a flexible co-working zone for today’s young digital workers. Developed into a variety of scales and configurations, this flexible modular system provides the framework for a series of towers, courtyards, and dense dwelling units that can be deployed along Wilshire Boulevard to accommodate the growing population of Los Angeles County in the coming decades.

HOUSING PROTOTYPEMICROUNIT

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UCLA Grand ChallengesSustainable LA Grand ChallengeUCLA Grand Challenges connects faculty, students and partners from all disciplines to work together, adopting a comprehensive approach to solve critical societal problems. The Sustainable LA Grand Challenge is t ransforming Los Angeles through partnerships with government, business, academic institutions and community leaders, and cutting edge research to develop the technologies, policies and strategies to reach its goals of 100% renewable energy, 100% locally sourced water, and enhanced ecosystem and human health by 2050.

The Now Institute is an urban planning and research center hosted at UCLA’s Architecture and Urban Design (A.UD) Department, with a focus on the investigation and application of urban strategies to complex problems in modern advanced metropolises and informal settlements. Led by Pritzker Architecture Prize-winning architect and UCLA Distinguished Professor Thom Mayne and Director Eui-Sung Yi, The Now Institute is a product of over 10 years of research initiatives in collaboration with A.UD’s SUPRASTUDIO and establishes a new territory that integrates academic and professional pursuits that span cities across the United States and the world, including Los Angeles, New Orleans, Madrid, Beijing, Port-au Prince, and Cap-Haïtien. The Now Institute focuses on the investigation and application of urban strategies to complex problems in modern advanced metropolises and informal settlements, working with cities affected by challenges of resilience, sustainability and mobility.

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The Now Institutewww.thenowinstitute.org

2016_1019 press release

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