02 m walker vodafone

© Vodafone Group 2004

Pag

e 1

Our wireless world moves on

Professor Michael Walker

3 December 2004

Future Generation Conference, ETSI, Sophia Antipolis, France, 1-3 December 2004

Pag

e 2


Global mobile business

_ more than 1.3 billion people, or 20% of the global population, have a mobile phone, and more than 80% are GSM customers

_ 2 billion people in the world have yet to make a phone call - when it happens it will be on a mobile phone not a fixed line

500

400

300

200

100

0 Europe Asia North South Arab Africa Russia India EastAmerica America Central

Asia

Other

GSMSubscribersEstimate

August 2003(millions)


Pag

e 3


3G heralds expanding market boundaries

anywhere, any time, to anyone

connect me to the web or my office interactive services


Pag

e 4


Pipes galore

Proprietary technologies

IEEE 802 Family

3GPP Family

WCDMA FDDWCDMA TDDTD-SCDMACDMA 1xEV-DO / DV……

IPWireless TDDInterDigital TDD

FlarionNaviniNextNetArrayCommBeamreach….

802.20

802.16e802.16-2004 (WiMax)802.11b802.11a / g / n / s…

AirGo

licensed spectrum

unlicensed spectrum

4G


Pag

e 5


What are they aiming for?

_ Fixed Wireless Access: • DSL to homes and business

WiFiWiFi

WiFiWiFi

802.16eNLOS to MSS (laptop/PDA..)

802.16aNLOS to fixed

outdoor antenna

802.16aNLOS to

fixed Indoor antenna

802.16LOS to fixed

outdoor antenna

BROADBAND WIRELESS ACCESSBROADBAND WIRELESS ACCESS

WiFiWiFi

MSS: Mobile Subscriber Station; LOS: Line of Sight; NLOS: Non Line of Sight

802.16/a Backhaul


Pag

e 6


Nextel Steps Up Data Race Unstrung (May 14 2004) – Nextel Communications Inc. has ramped up its Flash-OFDM trial with startup Flarion Technologies, announcing a set of tariff plans that will provide a real market test for the vendor’s “alternative wireless broadband” technology (see Nextel Extends Flarion Trial).

BT ready for WiMax driveZDNet UK (February 23, 2004) – WiMax is creating quite a stir in tech circles and BT is already using it to bring broadband to four rural locations. Could this be followed by a major rollout? Four radio-broadband trials being conducted by BT in rural parts of the UK could be the prelude to a full-scale deployment of WiMax in Britain.

Intel’s High Hopes for WiMAX

Wi-Fi networking news (Jan 2004) – During a speech at the Wireless Communications Association conference this week, Intel predicted that the next 10 years would be defined by broadband wireless: Intel has become a big supporter of WiMAX, hoping to see Wi-Fi and WiMAX bundled into computers.

Siemens plans to develop WiMAX network solution

RCR Wireless News (March 2004) – Siemens Information and Communication Mobile Group said it plans to develop a complete solution for WiMAX radio networks, which will be available in the second half of next year.

Personal Broadband’s iBurst Service Officially Open for Business at 1 Megabit

per SecondPR (16 March 2004) - Personal Broadband Australia (PBA) this evening announced that its eagerly anticipated iBurst™ commercial service has been officially launched..

PCCW launches TDD IPWireless broadband in the UK

Total Telecom (6 May 2004) – UK Broadband to offer services based on UMTS TDD technology from IPWireless in a limited area for a three-month commercial trial period. PCCW on Thursday launched a soft rollout of commercial broadband wireless services in the U.K.

Flarion announces Vodafone trialPMN (07 May 2004) - Flarion, which provides Flash-OFDM based wireless broadband technology, has announced that Vodafone is trialing its technology in Japan. The agreements adds to Flarion's existing portfolio of trials in South Korea, Western Europe and its commercial deployment with Nextel in North Carolina.

Hype continues unabated


Pag

e 7


Horses for courses?

Or

Vs ?

How to compare:


Pag

e 8


How far it goes depends where your terminal is

3 Sector base station at 25m to:

Consider a hypothetical broadband (1Mb/s) wireless network

Gain Height Building loss

Range Relative site count

Rooftop – LOS

10 dBi 8 m 0 dB > 30km

Rooftop NLOS

10 dBi 8 m 0 dB 6.2 km 1

Terminal / Gateway in upstairs window

3 dBi 5 m 0 dB 1.8 km 12

Outdoor PCcard

0 dBi 1.5 m 0 dB 780 m 60

Indoor PCcard - Suburban

0 dBi 1.5 m 10 dB 410 m 230

Indoor PCcard - Urban

0 dBi 1.5 m 20 dB 210 m 800

All figures except LOS based on COST231-Hata model with 10dB shadow margin and no cable losses. System operates at 2GHz with 1Mb/s from 24dBm EIRP terminal TX, 3dB Eb/No, 5dB NF RX. BS antenna = 18dBi


Pag

e 9


How far does it goes depends on data rate

3 Sector base station at 25m to outdoor PC card

100kb/s 1.49km

1Mb/s 0.78km

10Mb/s 0.41km

100Mb/s 0.21km

Data Rate

Range

Site density

1

3.6

15

50


Pag

e 10


How far it goes depends on frequency


Pag

e 11


How far does it goes depends on technology

UMTS TDD: 64kbps UL / 500kbps

3GPP R99 64kbps UL / 128kbps DL

Proprietary technology (1)

75kbps UL / 600 kbps DL 1.41 km

Proprietary technology (2) 64 kbps UL / 1400 kbps DL 1.56 km

Downlink data rate

1.47 km

Comparison using 64kbps uplink as reference, what does a single user obtain on the downlink?

3GPP HSDPA 64kbps UL / 700 kbps DL 1.63 km

1.62 km

Assumes service to outdoor mobile


Pag

e 12


User needs?

Horses for courses - what do we need?C

ompl

exity

Functionality

WiMAX

IP onlyNo volume billingDirect connect to internetNo routing of incoming callsBest effort - No QoSNo circuit-switchingStatic usersNo handoverNo roaming

802.16-2004

Flarion

Internet HSDPA

802.16e

Circuit + PacketFull mobilityIncoming call routingRoamingFlexible billingGSM fallbackRich services

GSM + UMTS


Pag

e 13


TomorrowTomorrowHorizontal Network (multi-services)Horizontal Network (multi-services)

TodayTodayVertical Networks (single service)Vertical Networks (single service)

Mo

bile

Mo

bile

Fix

ed D

ata

Net

Fix

ed D

ata

Net

Fix

ed T

elep

ho

ny

Fix

ed T

elep

ho

ny

WL

AN

WL

AN

Services

Transport, Switching & Access Networks

Content

AccessAccess Access

Content

Services

ServicesEnvironment

IP Multi-Servicesnetwork

Towards an IP multi-service network


Pag

e 14


Customer Propositions

BRAND

Service Enabling

Connectivity

Access802.11

802.16-2004back-haul & FWA

802.16e802.20

GPRSWCDMAHSDPA

IMS

Licenced and unlicenced spectrum

GSM

Termina

l

Network operators will become more radio access agnostic – within reason!

Access management


Pag

e 15


B3G/4G

3GPP study item

_ 100 Mbps dl and 50 Mbps ul

_ improved spectrum efficiency (e.g., 2 - 4 x HSDPA+HSUPA)

_ latency below 10 ms and faster link set-up

_ range of bands -900 MHz, 1800 MHz, 2.1GHz, 2.5GHz

_ scaleable bandwidth [1.25,] 2.5, 5, 10, [15,] 20 MHz

_ increase "cell edge bit rate" whilst maintaining same sites as today

_ inter-working with 3G and non-3GPP systems

_ further enhanced IMS and core network

disruption

reaction

lack of vision

loss of confidence in process


Pag

e 16


Michael Walker

Group Research & Development

Director

Vodafone Group Services

Vodafone House

The Connection

Newbury RG14 2FN

Phone +44 1635 673886

e-mail

[email protected]

02 m walker vodafone

Business

fixed wireless access

uk broadband

ip wireless

wireless world

tdd ipwireless broadband

mbs wireless network

hypothetical broadband

umts tdd technology